The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - March 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.20 $3.20 -2.80
MVR-2   Win (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $4.20 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $9.60 -6.00
MVR-4   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $2.40 -6.00
MVR-5   Win (4/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $8.40 -6.00
MVR-6   Win (4/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $5.40 -6.00
MVR-7   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 2.80
MVR-8   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BELEN 4 2 13 13   1nk 1(sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 3.00 36% 1.80 0.60 W
CURT'S ANGEL 1 5 5 23   2nk 2(spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 1.20 37% 1.70 1.40 P
BIRDIE BLUE 5 1 4 33   33 3(spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 3.50 19.60  
MOON PARTY 3 4 23 4   47 410¼ (haehn terry )WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00 5% 19.00 8.70  
WAR MOON 2 3 33 5   5517¾ (langley joshua)LEON A 126 6.00 16.60  
 
MVR-2   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKING ME CRAZY 5 2 5 4   21 1(mahan joseph )SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.80 1.10  
DAVID'S GEM 3 1 1nk 11   11 2(johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 26% 2.90 2.00 P
MALIBU CLASSIC 4 3 4 3   31 3(urieta j)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 46% 1.20 5.00 S
T MONEY 1 5 34 53   54(johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU 2 4 2nk 21   43 513¾ (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00 7.20  
 
MVR-3   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:002     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL BANDIDO 5 3 4 4   22 1(tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00 3.80  
MOON OVER DUBAI 2 6 6 5   32 2(poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50 16.60  
AKITO 6 1 1nk 1½   12 32 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 34% 1.90 2.20 S
DOMI 3 5 3 3   54(mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 8.20  
DONAHUE 4 2 2nk 2½   45(faulkner joshua)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 22% 3.40 1.30  
MIGHTY PELE 1 4 5 6   66 6(zielinsk)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 18% 4.50 7.30  
 
MVR-4   03/19/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:231 :474       1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUVISANAKI 5 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 1(bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60 0.20  
XPENSIVE PRINCESS 2 3 2½ 2nk   2nk 2(poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 5% 19.00 13.70 P
BULLS N BERRY 4 2 5 5   53(loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 3.00 5.80  
SHEZA SAID GOODBYE 3 5 32 31   345 (spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 3.50 30% 2.40 11.90  
PERFECT HOUR 1 4 4 4   45(spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 4.00 27% 2.70 7.70  
 
MVR-5   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:231 :472 1:004     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOT PRINCESS (GB) 4 6 6 5   23 11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00 3.20  
LIGHTENING LOTTIE 3 2 1½ 14   13 21 (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 32% 2.20 5.60 P
BEAUTIFUL SCORE 6 1 41 34   436 (trevino )BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 12% 7.10 3.70 S
THIRTY SOMETHING 5 3 5 4   54(gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50 4.90  
WILD MARIAH 2 5 2½ 24   33 5(radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.00 29% 2.40 1.30  
SOMETHING LUCKY 1 4 3½ 612¾   6615½ (doering mark)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 10.00 23.90  
SCR  KISSING MEDALS               (schuster robin)DIAZ I 118 6.00    
 
MVR-6   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:27 :52 1:18 1:311   1:444   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 3 2 2 22 2nk 1½ 12 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 2.00 1.70  
ANGEL'S DESTINY 4 5 44 4 31 322 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 126 1.60 34% 1.90 1.40 P
MY PINK BABY BIRD 5 1 1 12 1nk 2½ 32 (vickers richard)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 7% 14.30 10.00 S
STATE OF GRACE 2 3 33 3 4 44(cline c)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 6.20  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 1 4 5 55 5 510½ 520¾ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.50 19% 4.10 3.40  
 
MVR-7   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:24 :464 1:122 1:261   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 2 4 24 2 2½ 11 1¾ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 8% 10.80 3.40 W
COME SEE ABOUT IT 5 2 3 3 32 31 2¾ (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 3.00 60% 0.70 3.30 P
R CARDINAL PRINCE 3 3 513½ 514 59 53(rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00 6.50  
LOGICO 1 5 4 410 45 43 42 (radosevich jeff)BRACHO A 126 2.00 0.80  
GOING IN STYLE 4 1 14 1 1½ 21 54 (bailey ric)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00 6% 15.30 11.30  
 
MVR-8   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :463       1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POKER PARTNER 5 1 21 21   1nk 1¼ (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 118 2.50 30% 2.30 1.20 W
MALIBU ROCK STAR 3 2 3 4   3.2 2¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.10 P
LEFTLANEOUTLAW 4 4 4 32   43(lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50 7.70  
YOU BET A FORTUNE 2 3 11 11   2nk 4(bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.00 32% 2.10 1.10  
DESTINO 1 5 5 5   55(morales m)DIAZ I 116 3.00 9.20  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.