Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(4/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(4/3/1)-(6/1/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (4/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/1)-(4/3/1)-(4/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/1)-(6/1/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/1)-(6/1/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (6/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/3)-(6/1/3)-(6/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/3)-(3/1/2)-(4/3/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (4/3/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2)-(4/3/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/3/7/2)-(4/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/7/2)-(4/1/2)-(5/2/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-6   WIN (4/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/2)-(4/1/2)-(4/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/2)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/2)-(5/2/4)-(2/5/3) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-7   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(2/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CURT'S ANGEL Feb19 Feb05 Nov21 Jun21 May23 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 126 1.20 37% 1.70    
2  WAR MOON Mar04 Feb20 Jan03 Dec20 Nov30 (langley joshua)LEON A 126 6.00    
3  MOON PARTY Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 Sep28 Sep13 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  SWEET BELEN Feb27 Feb05 Jan22 Dec30 Dec14 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 126 3.00 36% 1.80    
5  BIRDIE BLUE Mar05 Feb19 Jan15 Dec30 Nov20 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 3.50    
 
MVR-2   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($20.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  T MONEY Feb24 Feb14 Jan11 Dec14 Nov22 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 4.00 5% 19.00    
2  MAYTHEHORSEBWITHU Mar05 Jan30 Dec20 Dec07 Nov17 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 6.00    
3  DAVID'S GEM Feb06 Jan15 Nov29 Oct11 Sep04 (johnson l)DIAZ I 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
4  MALIBU CLASSIC Mar06 Feb01 Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 (urieta)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
5  MAKING ME CRAZY Mar06 Feb19 Feb05 Jan03 Dec20 (mahan josep)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 1.80    
 
MVR-3   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIGHTY PELE Dec27 Nov24 Nov03 Oct17 Oct02 (zielin)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 5.00 22% 3.40    
2  MOON OVER DUBAI Mar04 Feb12 Feb05 Jan18 Jan02 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 4.50    
3  DOMI Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 Jan11 Jan04 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  DONAHUE Mar11 Feb12 Oct13 Sep19 Aug29 (faulkner josh)TOLEDO S 124 2.50    
5  EL BANDIDO Mar11 Mar04 Feb20 Feb06 Dec03 (tumblin andrew)VIGIL NOEL 126 3.00    
6  AKITO Jan11 Dec27 Dec18 Nov15   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.50 34% 1.90    
 
MVR-4   03/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PERFECT HOUR         (spiess m)YARANGA Y 118 4.00 27% 2.70    
2  XPENSIVE PRINCESS Feb24 Nov27       (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 5.00 5% 19.00    
3  SHEZA SAID GOODBYE         (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 3.50 30% 2.40    
4  BULLS N BERRY Mar05 Apr13       (loudin-smith lori)DIAZ R 126 3.00    
5  LUVISANAKI Mar05 Feb12 Feb22 Jan13 Nov04 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 1.60    
 
MVR-5   03/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOMETHING LUCKY Feb27 Dec28 Nov28 Nov13   (doering ma)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 10.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of SOMETHING NAUGHTY by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  KISSING MEDALS Mar04 Feb05       (schuster robin)DIAZ I 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MEDAL COUNT out of DISCREETLY KISSED by DISCREETLY MINE)
3  WILD MARIAH Feb27 Feb14 Aug14 Aug01 Jul13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of COSI CELESTE by BERNARDINI)
4  LIGHTENING LOTTIE Feb27 Feb19 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
  (by DRILL out of DOTTHEI by HAYNESFIELD)
5  HOT PRINCESS (GB) Feb27 Feb19 Dec28 Dec13   (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 118 4.00    
  (by BOLD RED out of DONE GOOSE by MONGOOSE)
6  THIRTY SOMETHING Feb27 Feb05 Nov28 Nov13   (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.50    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of ONE THIRTY ONE by MACHO UNO)
7  BEAUTIFUL SCORE         (trevin)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
  (by DRILL out of JENSENS SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
 
MVR-6   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Feb05 Jan09 Dec06 Nov15 Nov07 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 2.50 19% 4.10    
2  STATE OF GRACE Feb20 Jan06 Nov30 Nov08 Oct25 (cline c)YARANGA Y 124 6.00 12% 7.00    
3  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Mar04 Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 Nov13 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 124 2.00    
4  ANGEL'S DESTINY Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec07 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 126 1.60 34% 1.90    
5  MY PINK BABY BIRD Mar04 Feb20 Jan31 Dec20 Nov15 (vickers richa)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOGICO Feb26 Jan01 Nov25 Oct14 Sep02 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 126 2.00    
2  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Feb20 Feb01 Dec10 Nov12 Oct07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 8% 10.80    
3  R CARDINAL PRINCE Mar12 Feb26 Jan03 Dec20 Oct30 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 5.00    
4  GOING IN STYLE Mar06 Feb15 Feb01 Jan18 Dec28 (bailey r)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00 6% 15.30    
5  COME SEE ABOUT IT Feb20 Jan23 Dec28 Nov29 Sep20 (smith larry)RIVERA R 124 3.00 60% 0.70    
 
MVR-8   03/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINO Feb15 Jan25 Jan09 Dec27 Sep06 (morales m)DIAZ I 116 3.00    
2  YOU BET A FORTUNE Jan27 Dec28 Dec12     (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 116 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  MALIBU ROCK STAR Sep03 Aug06 Jul17 Jul02 Jun06 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  LEFTLANEOUTLAW Mar04 Jan03 Nov29 Nov09 Sep11 (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.50    
5  POKER PARTNER Mar11 Feb15 Jan24 Dec28 Nov22 (dacosta jason)RIVERA R 118 2.50 30% 2.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.