Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Tuesday - March 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $7.20 $7.20 3.20
MVR-2   Win (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $4.00 $4.00  
MVR-3   Win (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $2.60 $2.60  
MVR-4   Win (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 5.20
MVR-5   Win (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
MVR-6   Win (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 0.20
MVR-7   Win (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $8.40  
MVR-8   Win (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.20 $3.20  

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:23 :474       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CITRINA 4 1 2nk 1   13 1 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 118 1.60 39% 1.50 2.60 W
XHILARATINGPURPOSE 2 3 32 33   35 2 (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 5% 19.00 12.20 P
WORKING HOLIDAY 1 4 1nk 2   23 3 (buttigieg kevin)GONZALEZ A 118 0.80 0.20  
SEE YA SISTA 3 2 44 47   415 429 (tumblin andr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 10.00 19.60  
SCR  DESERT JUSTICE               (fiesman robert )SIMPSON JASON 126 12.00    
 
MVR-2   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:242 :481 1:143 1:29   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEP AHEAD 2 1 1nk 1½ 12 1½ 1¼ (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.00 23% 3.40 1.00 W
INSACIABLE PRINCE 1 2 5 5 4 2½ 2¼ (romero jose )COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.50 47% 1.10 5.10 P
DOMI 5 3 3 3½ 22 31 3 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 8.40 S
SMALL SAILOR 4 5 4 4 3 41 4 (schuster robin)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60 1.60  
HEART OF THE BEAST 3 4 2nk 2½ 5 515 534 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 121 3.50 10.10  
 
MVR-3   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVINE MARTHA 1 5 31 4   1 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 44% 1.30 0.30 W
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 3 3 2nk 1½   2 2 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 4.30  
O K BABY 4 1 4 2½   3 3 (silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 5% 19.00 19.20 S
LUCKY TUESDAY 5 2 5 3   4 411 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00 5.90  
JILL BABE 2 4 1nk 53   510½ 519 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 26% 2.80 11.10  
 
MVR-4   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:232 :471 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRULY INCLUSIVE 2 2 23 21   2nk 1nk (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.00 46% 1.20 3.60 W
PRETTY PATTY 1 1 13 11   1nk 2nk (morales m)DIAZ I 116 3.00 5% 19.00 0.50 P
WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 3 3 33 3   33 3 (urieta johann)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00 2.70  
TWENTY FOUR KARAT 4 4 4 4   410 418 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50 9.00  
SCR  YOU NAME IT               (morales m)BRACHO A 126 4.00    
 
MVR-5   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:143 1:282   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POLYESTER BRIDE 2 6 4 4 2½ 2 13 (poole c)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 37% 1.70 2.50 W
MAMBO KITTEN 1 4 33 31 1½ 1 23 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 26% 2.90 0.70 P
TONALA 5 5 610¼ 610½ 6 4 3 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 8.00 5% 19.00 12.70 S
FABIOLA PRINCESS 3 1 2nk 2nk 42 3 4 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 3.00 4.60  
WOLF EYES 6 3 5 5 55 5 510 (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 5.00 19.30  
LUCKY ROAD 4 2 1nk 1nk 32 68 616 (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 124 4.50 11.30  
 
MVR-6   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:261 :501 1:15 1:273   1:403   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONFESSOR 3 3 2½ 3½ 1nk 13 1 (rivera nestor)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 36% 1.80 1.10 W
R CARDINAL PRINCE 5 5 42 42 4 33 2 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.80 P
DISCLOSURE 2 4 31 1nk 2nk 23 35 (bailey ricardo)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 5.70 S
CENTSOFWANDER 4 1 53 5 3½ 4 4 (huffman candace)BRACHO A 126 3.50 3.70  
RED COMET 1 2 1½ 2nk 5 510½ 521¼ (bailey ricardo)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00 23.10  
 
MVR-7   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:001     1:134   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLD HONEY 3 5 3 32   2nk 1 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 3.50 3.20  
HELLO SWEETS 1 3 54 5   5 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 5% 19.00 2.80 P
TWISTED JUSTICE 4 2 2½ 2nk   3.2 3 (smith larry)RIVERA R 116 5.00 14.20  
OFFICIALLY YOURS 2 4 1½ 1nk   1nk 4 (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 56% 0.80 0.90  
AMY'S STAR 5 1 4 43   4¼ 5 (pappada a)BRACHO A 118 2.00 18% 4.50 5.60  
SCR  ANGEL'S DESTINY               (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
 
MVR-8   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NUBLADA 3 6 3 2½   11 1¾ (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.00 50% 1.00 0.60 W
KISS ME QUICK 6 2 4 3½   21 2¾ (gorham m)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 25% 3.10 1.10 P
SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL 2 3 11 1½   34 312¾ (calderon i)FERNANDEZ R 116 8.00 16.40  
OH EYE SEE 4 4 5 5   513 420¼ (lopez jacinto)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00 36.90  
SHADY BABY 1 1 21 4   411 521 (ramos francisco)BRACHO A 124 20.00 5% 19.00 45.50  
SHAKA'S LYRIC 5 5 66 611½   616 622¾ (silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 18.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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