Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Tuesday - March 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(1/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(1/2)-(1/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/2)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/2)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(1/2/4)-(2/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-3   WIN (1/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/4)-(1/2/4)-(1/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/4)-(2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/2/4)-(2/1)-(2/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-4   WIN (2/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/1)-(2/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/1)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1)-(2/1/5)-(3/5) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MVR-5   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/1/5)-(3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/5)-(2/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-6   WIN (3/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/5)-(3/5/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (3/5)-(3/5/2)-(3/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (3/5)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (3/5)-(2/6/1)-(3/6/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/1)-(2/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(3/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/1)-(3/6/1)-(3/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/12/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORKING HOLIDAY Feb24 Feb12 Nov30 Nov10 Oct26 (buttigieg kevi)GONZALEZ A 118 0.80    
2  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Feb24 Nov27       (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DESERT JUSTICE Feb22 Dec11       (fiesman rober)SIMPSON JASON 126 12.00    
4  SEE YA SISTA Aug30 Aug09 Jul13 Jun19 Jun05 (tumblin an)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 10.00    
5  CITRINA Feb24 Feb12 Jan03 Dec16 Nov30 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 118 1.60 39% 1.50    
 
MVR-2   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSACIABLE PRINCE Feb29 Feb15 Dec04 Oct30 Oct09 (romero jos)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  STEP AHEAD Feb22 Feb12 Jan02 Nov18 Oct27 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 3.00 23% 3.40    
3  HEART OF THE BEAST Feb22 Feb06 Nov29 Nov07 Sep21 (mckanas j)DIAZ I 121 3.50    
4  SMALL SAILOR Feb01 Nov29 Nov13 Oct19 Oct02 (schuster robi)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.60    
5  DOMI Feb12 Jan25 Jan11 Jan04 Dec19 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 10.00 ★    
 
MVR-3   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIVINE MARTHA Feb28 Jan31 Jan23 Dec30 Dec12 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 1.80 44% 1.30    
2  JILL BABE Feb13 Jan08 Nov26 Nov06 Jul16 (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00 26% 2.80    
3  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 Dec27 Oct03 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 126 2.50    
4  O K BABY Feb24 Jan25 Jan04 Dec05 Nov19 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LUCKY TUESDAY Feb28 Feb13 Jan25 Jan04 Sep28 (haehn r)GONZALEZ A 124 2.00    
 
MVR-4   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRETTY PATTY Feb26 Jan31 Jan11 Dec14 Nov14 (morales m)DIAZ I 116 3.00 5% 19.00    
2  TRULY INCLUSIVE Feb13 Jan24 Dec20 Nov13 Oct25 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 2.00 46% 1.20    
SCR  YOU NAME IT Mar04 Feb20 Feb08 Jan09 Dec20 (morales saul )BRACHO A 126 4.00    
4  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Feb27 Jan24 Dec07 Nov13 Jun30 (urieta joha)OLIVEROS CHARLE 124 5.00    
5  TWENTY FOUR KARAT Feb20 Dec20 Nov13 Oct23 Oct04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 2.50    
 
MVR-5   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAMBO KITTEN Feb26 Feb08 Jan09 Dec13 Nov30 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 26% 2.90    
2  POLYESTER BRIDE Feb27 Feb08 Jan25 Dec28 Nov29 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  FABIOLA PRINCESS Feb28 Feb14 Jan31 Jan03 Dec07 (smith larry)DIAZ I 126 3.00    
4  LUCKY ROAD Feb26 Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 Nov29 (guciardo robert)AVILES YAN 124 4.50    
5  TONALA Jan30 Jan01 Dec11 Nov27 Nov07 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WOLF EYES Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 Aug27 May24 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 5.00    
 
MVR-6   03/12/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($15K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED COMET Mar05 Feb21 Feb06 Jan30 Jan15 (bailey ricar)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 20.00    
2  DISCLOSURE Feb20 Feb06 Jan23 Jan15 Dec28 (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 ★    
3  CONFESSOR Feb20 Jan24 Dec20 Nov06 Oct15 (rivera nestor)AVILES YAN 124 2.00 36% 1.80    
4  CENTSOFWANDER Feb15 Jan03 Dec20 Nov27 Oct30 (huffman canda)BRACHO A 126 3.50    
5  R CARDINAL PRINCE Feb26 Jan03 Dec20 Oct30 Oct13 (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
 
MVR-7   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO SWEETS Aug28 Aug14 Jun27 Jun12 May24 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
2  OFFICIALLY YOURS Dec14 Nov29 Nov14     (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 56% 0.80    
3  GOLD HONEY Mar04 Nov14 Oct28 Aug15 Jul22 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 116 3.50    
4  TWISTED JUSTICE Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Dec21 Nov30 (smith larry)RIVERA R 116 5.00    
SCR  ANGEL'S DESTINY Mar04 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec07 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 20.00    
6  AMY'S STAR Feb21 Feb05 Jan11     (pappada julie)BRACHO A 118 2.00 18% 4.50    
 
MVR-8   03/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHADY BABY Feb20 Jan17 Dec16 Nov24 Oct04 (ramos francis)BRACHO A 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  SPOOKY LITTLE GIRL Feb24 Jan30 Jan15 Dec14 Nov29 (calderon)FERNANDEZ R 116 8.00    
3  NUBLADA Feb14         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 1.00 50% 1.00    
4  OH EYE SEE Feb22 Dec07 Nov07 Oct23 Oct04 (lopez jacin)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 20.00    
5  SHAKA'S LYRIC Feb29 Jan09 Dec07 Nov21 Nov07 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.00    
6  KISS ME QUICK Feb01 Nov14 Oct11 Sep25 Aug12 (gorham robert)CEDILLO MAURO 116 2.50 25% 3.10    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.