Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - March 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-5   WIN (1/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $12.20 $4.20 53%
    EXA (1/5/4/3)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-5 $25.00 $1.00 4%
    DD (6/1/4)-(1/5/4/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-4 $32.00 $8.00 33%
MVR-6   WIN (6/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00  6 $6.20 $2.20 55%
    DD (1/5/4/3)-(6/1) 8 $2.00 $16.00  4-6 $56.00 $40.00 250%
    PK3 (6/1/4)-(1/5/4/3)-(6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  6-4-6 $31.70 $19.70 164%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:261 :494 1:15 1:282   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BOBBY'S GIFT 4 1 3.2 41 3.2 1nk 1¾ (bernardini jay )LEON A 124 2.00 46% 1.20 1.00 W
5  MY TWO AUNT JOANS 5 5 4¼ 1nk 1nk 2nk 2¾ (mahan p)VIGIL NOEL 124 3.50 6.10  
6  PEACE OF EKATI 6 4 51¼ 52½ 41¾ 43½ 34¼ (poole c)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 2.50 18% 4.50 3.90 S
1  PARKER 1 2 1nk 2nk 2nk 3½ 44½ (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 124 5.00 2.90  
3  PRIVATE LAKE 3 6 2nk 3½ 52¾ 56 56 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
2  DUEL FUEL 2 3 62¼ 63½ 63¼ 66½ 610½ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 4.50 16.50  
 
MVR-2   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:262 :511 1:153 1:284   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  SUZY Q THE QUEEN 5 4 42½ 5½ 11½ 12½ 18½ (brown glenroy)DIAZ R 124 4.50 8.20  
4  MAKES SENSE TO ME 4 1 21 2nk 21½ 22½ 28½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 1.40 26% 2.80 1.80 P
3  SHEWEARSMYRING 3 2 32 4¼ 55 47 39¼ (dacosta ja)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 1.60 37% 1.70 1.70 S
2  WILDCAT DREAM 2 5 53½ 3.2 44 36½ 412¼ (salcedo ra)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 8.00 9.00  
1  JACK'S YACHT QUEEN 1 3 11 1nk 33½ 57½ 516½ (faulkner rodn)TOLEDO S 124 6.00 7% 14.40 2.40  
 
MVR-3   03/13/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:223 :472       1:073   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PEACEFULPERSUASION 5 3 25 26½   2½ 14¼ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 118 6.00 12.50  
7  RANSAM PAYNTER 7 1 15 16½   1½ 24¼ (vecchio caryn)LEON A 126 8.00 14% 6.00 0.90 P
4  TWELVE MINUS ONE 4 5 78½ 510½   55½ 36 (dacosta ja)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 4.50 7.50  
6  MR. BLUTARSKY 6 2 47 47½   44 46½ (smith larry)BRACHO A 118 2.50 4.70  
1  PACIFIDERO 1 6 36 36½   33 57¼ (smith larry)DIAZ I 118 4.00 16% 5.40 4.20  
3  ELEGGUA 3 4 58 711¾   67½ 611¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ R 126 10.00 5% 19.00 25.10  
2  LEAVENWORTH 2 7 68 611½   77½ 713½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 126 3.00 38% 1.60 7.70  
 
MVR-4   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:252 :491 1:143 1:283   1:431   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LINE DANCER 5 1 3½ 31 22 22 1¾ (zielinski r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 2.00 53% 0.90 0.90 W
3  SORORITY SISTER 2 5 53 53½ 44 34 2¾ (hamm timothy)DIAZ I 124 10.00 5.90  
1  POWER BANKER 1 3 1½ 1½ 12 12 31 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 8.00 16% 5.30 2.10 S
5  NO TWOWAYSABOUTIT 4 2 2½ 2½ 32½ 45 46½ (huffman )FERNANDEZ R 124 3.50 5.10  
4  CAUSE OF LOVE 3 4 41 41½ 54½ 57 57¾ (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 6.00 5% 19.00 10.50  
SCR  HIGH FIRE               (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80    
 
MVR-5   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:224 :462 :593     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  COWTOWN BOSS 4 1 11½ 14   14 11¼ (ibarra marco)GONZALEZ A 124 8.00 7% 13.70 5.10 W
5  STUNT MAN 5 5 33 24   24 21¼ (morales m)REYES FRANK 124 3.00 26% 2.80 0.80 P
8  IT'SGOODTOBESEEN 7 2 54½ 55¼   35½ 32¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 3.50 7.90  
2  UNEEDTOCOMEHOME 2 6 43 45   45½ 44¾ (genovese richard)RIVERA R 126 6.00 4.70  
1  OVERLOAD 1 7 78 78¼   68½ 55 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 5.00 43% 1.30 6.60  
7  GIFT OF OAK 6 4 65½ 66¾   57½ 67 (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00 26.40  
3  BAD BOY BOOGIE 3 3 21½ 35   713 726¾ (romero osc)COLINA ALEJANDRO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 16.20  
SCR  BUCKEYE RED               (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 126 4.00    
 
MVR-6   03/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($17.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:261 :50 1:151 1:29   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRANCIPANTS 4 1 42 3½ 2½ 2nk 11¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.00 36% 1.80 2.10 W
5  MAUREENLOVESFRANK 3 2 11½ 1nk 1½ 1nk 21¼ (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 1.80 1.20  
4  SPECIAL BEACH 2 3 21½ 2nk 31½ 32 34½ (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 3.00 1.50  
1  JOYFUL NOISE 1 4 32 4¾ 44 47 416 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90  
SCR  IRON BERTIE               (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00    
SCR  ONE NIGHT STAND               (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.50    
 
MVR-7   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($36.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 :592     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SERGER 3 3 46 45½   33 1½ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.00 3.80  
5  THE MIRACLE KIUT 5 1 2½ 12   12½ 2½ (vecchio caryn)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 34% 1.90 2.10 P
1  SWEET UNIQUE 1 4 32½ 22   22½ 32 (zielinski richar)RIVERA R 124 1.60 41% 1.40 0.70 S
4  ANGEL WINGS 4 5 57 55½   44 43¼ (flores israel)DIAZ I 124 8.00 13.30  
2  GO GIRL 2 2 1½ 34½   55 58¼ (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 16.70  
 
MVR-8   03/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:001     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ONE STEP ASIDE 6 1 34 35½   33½ 1½ (dacosta )FERNANDEZ R 116 3.50 6.20  
1  RUN RED RUN 1 6 11 11½   11½ 2½ (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 1.40 13% 6.90 0.30 P
4  MOMENT IN THE DARK 4 2 21 21½   21½ 32½ (haehn terry )GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 1.80 60% 0.70 3.00 S
5  SOL OF VAQUERO 5 5 67 59½   46 43¼ (campbell anthon)VEGA L 126 6.00 6% 15.30 20.20  
3  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 3 4 56 610   56 55¾ (sweeting crai)CEDILLO MAURO 124 15.00 24.50  
2  ORLEANS STORM 2 3 44 49½   68 610½ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 15.00 53.70  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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