The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Monday - March 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $17.60 $17.60 11.60
MVR-2   Win (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $25.00 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $9.40 $9.40 3.40
MVR-4   Win (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $8.00 $8.00 0.00
MVR-5   Win (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
MVR-6   Win (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $2.80 $2.80 -3.20
MVR-7   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -1.40
MVR-8   Win (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $13.00 -6.00
MVR-9   Win (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
See original race card.
:232 :464 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMBO KITTEN 3 5 54 33   3½ 1¼ (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.80 W
ONE NIGHT STAND 5 1 21 2nk   1½ 2¼ (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 28% 2.60 1.00 P
MISS SHADY 2 2 11 1nk   2½ 3 (trevino stephen)BRACHO A 126 1.80 46% 1.20 1.00 S
IRON BERTIE 4 4 44 46   4 415½ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50 7.80  
LUCKY ROAD 1 3 33 5   5 516¾ (guciardo robert)TOLEDO S 124 12.00 34.50  
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE               (trevino st)MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
 
MVR-2   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:15 1:282   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WILEY T 2 4 3.2 1nk 1nk 1nk 1 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00 11.50  
ROYAL AIR FORCE 1 6 5 5 2nk 2nk 2 (yoder su)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 10% 8.90 11.90 P
EL SORDO 4 5 6 6 4 34 3 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00 6.20  
FINISTERE 5 2 4 4 54 5 411¾ (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 126 1.80 49% 1.10 1.60  
ROCKY'S EXPRESS 3 1 2nk 2nk 3 46 512½ (trimble patr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.40 16% 5.10 0.90  
LANEHAYA 6 3 1nk 3.2 6 6 621 (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 8.00 24.50  
 
MVR-3   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:26 :503 1:154 1:291   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAUTREC 5 4 3 3 3 11 1 (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 12.00 9% 10.00 3.70 W
FRANCO (MEX) 3 5 46 44 43 21 2 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 51% 1.00 1.00 P
AMERICAN NIGHTMARE 6 2 22 2½ 1½ 31 3 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 2.50 3.20  
GILES 1 3 6 6 610 6 4 (cline c)CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 12% 7.20 6.70  
DUEL FUEL 2 6 5 57 58 5 5 (romero oscar)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50 8.30  
GEMO RAIN 4 1 12 1½ 2½ 4 6 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00 22.80  
SCR  EXALTED JOY               (vecchio cary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00    
 
MVR-4   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:01     1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
REDDEN 3 4 21 22   2½ 1 (cline c)BRACHO A 126 2.00 33% 2.00 3.00 W
WEEKEND RETREAT 2 5 4 45   3 2 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 19% 4.10 3.20 P
BUMPKIN 6 2 11 12   1½ 3 (langley josh)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00 9% 9.80 12.40 S
CINSAULT 1 8 56 56   4 4 (rone penny)TOLEDO S 118 2.50 18% 4.60 1.30  
MY HOMBRE 8 6 33 3   5 510¾ (schuster)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00 7.80  
RAISE YOU ONE 4 3 6 66   6 612 (doering mark)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 6.00 9.30  
MY TICKET 5 7 7 711   712½ 714¾ (silva fernando)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 62.10  
GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL 7 1 8 814   821½ 822¾ (rone)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00 59.70  
 
MVR-5   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:00     1:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RED HOT POWER 6 1 1 1   15 1 (gonz)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 26% 2.80 1.70 W
ANIMO ROBERTO 7 7 65 47   36 2 (tumblin andre)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 6% 17.10 8.60 P
OHIO STRONG 8 2 2 2   25 310¼ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 46% 1.20 1.20 S
HEIDI'S SINATRA 1 8 813 815½   812 411¾ (haehn terry )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00 55.90  
TAMMY'S TOY 4 3 54 6   610½ 512 (brown glen)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50 6.20  
ORLEANS STORM 2 5 32 57   48 612¼ (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 15.00 49.90  
THANKSDAD 5 4 43 3   510 714 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00 18.00  
NOSEY POWER 3 6 77 711½   711 816 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
MVR-6   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:23 :47 :594     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
G T THREE FIFTY 2 4 4 2½   1½ 1 (radosevich just)BRACHO A 126 2.50 27% 2.80 0.40 W
MOESTER 5 7 8 7   43 2 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 5% 19.00 4.80 P
MUTUAL CONFIDENCE 1 8 6 5   31 3 (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 47% 1.10 6.80 S
LUCKY STREAK 3 6 5 41   2½ 4 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 11.40  
KERANOS 6 5 7 8   5 5 (faulkner rod)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00 29.40  
MUTINY 8 2 21 6   74 6 (bailey ricardo)RIVERA R 124 15.00 17.70  
THE PINK Z 7 1 32 31   8 79 (silva fe)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00 14.60  
ESTILO FAVORITO 4 3 11 1½   64 8 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00 60.10  
SCR  FIRST SONG               (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
 
MVR-7   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:014     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIZ KEETA 4 2 11 1   13 1 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.60 75% 0.30 0.30 W
MOST ADORABLE 1 3 21 4   33 2 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00 17.10  
PRIDE AND ATTITUDE 3 4 31 2   23 3 (poole m)BRACHO A 118 3.00 3.60 S
ZASHIXIARAYAN 2 5 53 5   4 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00 5.30  
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 5 1 4 32   5 5 (romero jose )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 13.20  
SCR  SPUNKY ONE               (daco)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 2.00    
 
MVR-8   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:252 :492 1:141 1:274   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LINE DANCER 5 1 2 31 23 2 1 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 4.50 5.50  
BANK BUSTER 3 2 1 1½ 13 1 2 (morales sa)FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00 12.70  
NEAR PERFECT 4 4 43 42 4 3 3 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 41% 1.40 0.60 DQ↓4
SHAOLIN 6 5 6 52 3 44 44 (suarez j)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 20% 4.00 7.40 S
LEMON MOUSSE 2 3 33 2½ 5 5 5 (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 3.50 10% 9.00 5.50  
SCOOP THERE IT IS 1 6 5 6 6 611½ 614 (pappada a)BRACHO A 124 5.00 7.10  
SCR  IMA SURE BET               (mora)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
 
MVR-9   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:01     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V DYNAMIC 2 4 2nk 1½   1½ 1¾ (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 118 1.60 49% 1.00 0.70 W
SWAYBACK MOBIL 4 7 6 54   4 2¾ (schuster robin)DIAZ I 118 4.00 21% 3.70 12.20 P
GHOST OF LONDYN 1 5 1nk 3   2½ 3 (romero jose )WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.50 5.30  
OLLIE'S FOLLY 5 1 3½ 2½   3 44 (rone penny)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 20.10  
ROLL ON MAX 6 8 56 64   5 57 (rone penny)TOLEDO S 118 10.00 7% 12.90 8.00  
DRILIN' FOR GEMS 8 2 4 42   6 612 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00 3.70  
EQUITY CAT 3 6 811¼ 712   7 712¼ (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00 37.90  
CATCHING MY WIND 7 3 7 818   819½ 832¼ (smit)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00 34.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.