Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Monday - March 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/6/3)-(5/3/1)-(4/1/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(4/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(8/6/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/2/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/2/1/6)-(8/6/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/6)-(8/6/7/3)-(1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-5   WIN (8/6/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3)-(8/6/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/6/7/3)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/6/7/3)-(1/3/6)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-6   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/9)-(1/3/6/9) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(5/2)-(5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-7   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/4/2)-(5/4/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/7/2)-(2/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (5/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/2)-(5/7/2)-(5/7/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/7/2)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-9   WIN (2/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5)-(2/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($4K) Purse ($14.9K) 3UP M/F PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY ROAD Mar12 Feb26 Jan30 Jan15 Dec30 (guciardo robe)TOLEDO S 124 12.00    
2  MISS SHADY Mar05 Feb24 Feb07 Jan25 Jan11 (trevino steph)BRACHO A 126 1.80 46% 1.20    
3  MAMBO KITTEN Mar12 Feb26 Feb08 Jan09 Dec13 (suarez javier)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LA REINA DEL NORTE Mar17 Mar05 Feb19 Feb08 Dec30 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 124 4.50    
5  IRON BERTIE Feb26 Feb19 Jan30 Dec28 Dec13 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 3.50    
6  ONE NIGHT STAND Mar05 Feb07 Jan09 Dec27 Nov07 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
MVR-2   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYAL AIR FORCE Feb22 Jan02 Dec18 Nov16 Oct21 (yoder )BATISTA ALBERTO 126 4.00 10% 8.90    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of KALAROUNA by SELKIRK)
2  WILEY T Mar07 Feb22 Feb12 Jan05 Dec05 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 126 10.00    
  (by TEXAS RED out of HOME ON SATURDAY by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
3  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Mar07 Feb07 Dec30 Dec16 Sep06 (trimble pa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 121 1.40 16% 5.10    
  (by IN SUMMATION out of MILTOS EXPRESS by NOTEBOOK)
4  EL SORDO Mar14 Feb22 Dec12 Nov27 Oct25 (romero a)CEDILLO MAURO 126 12.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of DESIGNING BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
5  FINISTERE Mar07 Feb20 Jan02 Dec05 Nov14 (vecchio caryn)VIGIL NOEL 126 1.80 49% 1.10    
  (by VERRAZANO out of FLEURON by DISTANT VIEW)
6  LANEHAYA Mar07 Feb06       (cline c)YARANGA Y 126 8.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of LAHUDOOD by SINGSPIEL)
 
MVR-3   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GILES Mar14 Feb01 Jan10 Dec12 Dec05 (cline robert )CEDILLO MAURO 126 5.00 12% 7.20    
SCR  EXALTED JOY Mar07 Feb28 Feb15 Dec27 Dec12 (vecchio ca)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00    
3  DUEL FUEL Mar13 Feb28 Feb13 Feb05 Jan22 (romero osca)SEVERINO VICTOR 126 3.50    
4  FRANCO (MEX) Mar07 Feb21 Feb08 Jan23 Jan01 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 3.00 51% 1.00    
5  GEMO RAIN Mar18 Feb27 Feb20 Feb05 Jan11 (crumley jevon)BARBARAN ERIK 124 15.00    
6  LAUTREC Mar07 Feb21 Jan08 Dec11 Nov21 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 12.00 9% 10.00    
7  AMERICAN NIGHTMARE Mar07 Feb27 Feb13 Feb01 Jan10 (calderon ivan)LEON A 126 2.50    
 
MVR-4   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINSAULT Feb29 Feb15       (rone penny)TOLEDO S 118 2.50 18% 4.60    
  (by FORT LARNED out of PINOTAGE by EXCHANGE RATE)
2  WEEKEND RETREAT Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23 Dec18 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 4.00 19% 4.10    
  (by CITY WEEKEND out of AFTERNOON PRAYER by MEADOW PRAYER)
3  REDDEN Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21   (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 2.00 33% 2.00    
  (by DA BIG HOSS out of POMMETTE by POMEROY)
4  RAISE YOU ONE Mar07 Feb21 Dec12 Nov22 Oct05 (doering ma)COLINA ALEJANDRO 126 6.00    
  (by MUCH THE BEST out of FRANCIE MAE by LAC OUIMET)
5  MY TICKET Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 (silva fernan)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by TIDAL VOLUME out of SWEET LOLINDA by MARQUETRY)
6  BUMPKIN         (langley jo)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 8.00 9% 9.80    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of BUMP BUMP by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
7  GO TOTHE PRINCIPAL Feb29 Feb01 Jan02     (ro)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 15.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of TYLAN by SKIP AWAY)
8  MY HOMBRE Mar17 Mar07 Feb07 Jan23 Jan08 (schust)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL POWER out of ORIENTAL BELLA by CAPE TOWN)
 
MVR-5   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEIDI'S SINATRA Mar18 Feb21 Feb06 Dec26 Dec04 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 15.00    
2  ORLEANS STORM Mar13 Mar04 Feb24 Jan24 Dec26 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 15.00    
3  NOSEY POWER Mar06 Feb21 Feb08 Jan24 Dec11 (spiess m)YARANGA Y 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  TAMMY'S TOY Mar06 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 2.50    
5  THANKSDAD Mar06 Feb27 Feb06 Jan15 Sep04 (poole m)BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 12.00    
6  RED HOT POWER Mar14 Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Jan15 (go)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 2.00 26% 2.80    
7  ANIMO ROBERTO Mar06 Feb21 Dec30 Dec14 Nov29 (tumblin and)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 10.00 6% 17.10    
8  OHIO STRONG Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 Nov14 (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 124 3.00 46% 1.20    
 
MVR-6   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MUTUAL CONFIDENCE Mar17 Feb24 Feb14 Jan31 Dec14 (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 4.00 47% 1.10    
SCR  FIRST SONG Mar11 Dec26 Nov30 Nov06 Oct24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 8.00    
3  G T THREE FIFTY Feb28 Jan15 Dec28 May16 Mar04 (radosevich ju)BRACHO A 126 2.50 27% 2.80    
4  LUCKY STREAK Mar04 Jan31 Jan08 Dec07 Nov06 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00    
5  ESTILO FAVORITO Mar05 Feb24 Feb12 Jan22 Jan01 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 15.00    
6  MOESTER Feb07 Jan25 Jan08 Dec21 May22 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 3.00 5% 19.00    
7  KERANOS Mar06 Feb19 Feb07 Jan22 Dec26 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00    
8  THE PINK Z Mar04 Jan31 Dec28 Nov28 Nov06 (silva )BATISTA ALBERTO 124 8.00    
9  MUTINY Mar11 Feb29 Feb21 Jan24 Dec14 (bailey ricardo)RIVERA R 124 15.00 ★    
 
MVR-7   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MOST ADORABLE Mar11 Dec21 Nov22 Nov07 Oct21 (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
2  ZASHIXIARAYAN Mar11 Feb19       (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SPUNKY ONE Mar11 Mar04 Feb21 Feb07 Feb01 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 116 2.00    
4  PRIDE AND ATTITUDE Mar11 Feb27 Oct10 Sep22 Sep08 (poole m)BRACHO A 118 3.00 ★    
5  MIZ KEETA Sep04 Aug14       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 1.60 75% 0.30    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Mar11 Feb21 Jan04 Dec21 Dec05 (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
 
MVR-8   03/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($25.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOP THERE IT IS Mar07 Nov06 Sep28 Sep19 Aug22 (pappada julie)BRACHO A 124 5.00    
2  LEMON MOUSSE Aug01 Jul22 Jun30 Jun02 May11 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 3.50 10% 9.00    
SCR  IMA SURE BET Mar07 Feb27 Feb14 Feb01 Jan25 (mo)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 15.00    
4  BANK BUSTER Mar07 Feb27 Feb20 Feb01 Aug08 (morales )FERNANDEZ R 124 4.00    
5  NEAR PERFECT Feb29 Jan08 Dec21 Nov16 Oct21 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
6  LINE DANCER Mar13 Feb22 Jan18 Jan02 Dec07 (bernardini p)RIVERA R 124 4.50    
7  SHAOLIN Feb26 Feb05 Nov21 Nov08 Oct11 (suarez)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 20% 4.00    
 
MVR-9   03/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GHOST OF LONDYN Mar07 Feb29 Feb15 Jan02   (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 113 4.50    
  (by KISS THE GHOST out of CROSS COUNTRY by DIVINE PARK)
2  C V DYNAMIC Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Dec21 Nov30 (salcedo ramon)REYES FRANK 118 1.60 49% 1.00    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  EQUITY CAT Mar07 Feb15 Jan23     (ibarra marco)BARBARAN ERIK 118 15.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of HARD LESSON by DYNAFORMER)
4  SWAYBACK MOBIL Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Jan23   (schuster robin)DIAZ I 118 4.00 21% 3.70    
  (by MOBIL out of RIBBONS AND ROSES by BIONDETTI)
5  OLLIE'S FOLLY Feb15 Feb01 Jan02 Dec18 Nov30 (rone pen)MARTINEZ A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DRILL out of SWEET JODY by VALUE PLUS)
6  ROLL ON MAX         (rone penny)TOLEDO S 118 10.00 7% 12.90    
  (by FORT LARNED out of NO TRUER by ALCINDOR)
7  CATCHING MY WIND Feb29         (sm)SALAZAR FERNANDO 118 10.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of CHEERING FOR AL by BLUEGRASS CAT)
8  DRILIN' FOR GEMS Feb29         (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 6.00    
  (by DRILL out of JILL'S GEM by MINESHAFT)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.