The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Hawthorne
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

HAW-1   Win (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $4.00 -6.00
HAW-2   Win (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $51.80 -8.00
HAW-3   Win (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
HAW-4   Win (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 1.20
HAW-5   Win (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $23.00 $23.00 15.00
HAW-6   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 6.40
HAW-7   Win (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $14.00 $14.00 6.00
HAW-8   Win (14/2/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 14 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -5.20

Simulator Race results

 
HAW-1   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:243 :483 1:131 1:392   1:433   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'D THE DAY GO 1 1 3 3 3½ 1nk 1 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 1.60 1.00  
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE 5 4 4 2 2½ 32 2 (rodriguez hugo)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 30% 2.30 6.30 P
BOURBON DELIGHT 6 5 1 1 1½ 2nk 34 (castro isidro)FELIX E 122 4.50 6.30  
IRISH VALOR 2 3 5 5 4 43 4 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 21% 3.80 2.20  
PISTOL BOX 4 6 611½ 6 58 57 511½ (moreno irvin)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00 24.20  
WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR 3 2 2 4 613 632 6100 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00 23.80  
 
HAW-2   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TEXAS HOTTIE 3 2 21 2½   2nk 12 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00 24.90  
PEGGY'S WAY 5 1 11 1½   1nk 22 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 118 1.80 39% 1.60 0.50 P
TRIBEST (ARG) 2 3 4 32   3 3 (rodriguez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 124 3.50 14% 6.20 4.20 S
RESOLUTION (FR) 1 6 6 5   4 4 (bahena fernando)COLON H 118 10.00 35.20  
SWEET SMILA 7 4 3 4   56 5 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00 10.10  
SHARP ATTACK 4 7 53 66   68 610¼ (rosin w)FELIX E 118 6.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
KOLACHE QUEEN 6 5 7 711   711 716¼ (robertson hu)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 6.00 22% 3.60 8.30  
 
HAW-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
See original race card.
:25 :48 1:123 1:383   1:452   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA YO 4 4 2 22 1nk 1 1 (davis christop)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 5.00 28% 2.50 1.20 W
ELECTRIC CHARGE 2 2 42 47 4 3 2 (quinonez max)REYES FRANK 122 10.00 2.20  
PALHACO 1 1 1 12 2nk 2 3 (meraz antonio)COLON H 116 20.00 5% 19.00 16.90 S
COOL AND COLLECTED 5 5 54 57 5 510½ 418¾ (block chris)FELIX E 122 2.50 32% 2.20 2.90  
NATHANIEL'S HOPE 3 3 3 3 3 4 519½ (winebaugh cheryl)REYES ANGEL 122 10.00 11.60  
SCR  DAPPER DUDE               (rodriguez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
SCR  HIGH HEADED               (harty eoin)MOJICA O 116 3.00    
SCR  SHARP STICK               (hernandez arman)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
 
HAW-4   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:234 :47 1:11 1:374   1:422   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATEGORY TEN 4 3 4 1nk 1nk 1 1 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00 11% 8.20 3.60 W
MCMONEY 5 7 79 6 6 45 2 (winebaugh cheryl)FELIX E 122 4.00 33% 2.00 2.40 P
PATH TO SUCCESS 1 5 5 5 5 5 34 (rodriguez eduardo)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00 9.20  
ITWASTHISBIG 2 2 1½ 2nk 2nk 2 4 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00 5.00  
CONI'S COUP 3 1 2½ 3 45 35 5 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 6.00 9.20  
SIR LUMPALOT 7 6 66 7 712½ 714¾ 624¾ (james gerald)REYES FRANK 122 5.00 11.80  
STAR KANOO 6 4 3 4 3 612¼ 726¾ (campbell joel)COLON H 122 6.00 5% 19.00 4.20  
 
HAW-5   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :581     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DREAM NAP 5 1 3½ 2nk   1nk 1 (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 16% 5.40 10.50 W
MISS MIKOS 3 6 2nk 1nk   2nk 2 (robertson h)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.80 17% 4.90 0.40 P
COME ON LADY 6 4 4 4   35 3 (childers vance)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.10 S
IRISH SPARK 7 8 6 6   46 4 (divito p)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 35% 1.90 4.20  
LALY 8 3 5 5   5 510½ (kirby j)REYES FRANK 118 6.00 34.80  
THE LAST THRILL 2 7 8 8   811 613¼ (lopez elias)COLON H 124 20.00 97.80  
JOYZELLA 4 2 7 7   6 713½ (spagnola ida)FELIX E 124 8.00 31.30  
LIONS LAW 1 5 1nk 3   710 825½ (young r)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 18.30  
 
HAW-6   05/18/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
See original race card.
:221 :451       :573   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MCVICKER 3 3 1 12   14 1 (vanden brittan)FELIX E 116 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 W
TWIRLING ROSES 2 2 4 4   24 2 (rodriguez eduardo)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 43% 1.30 1.20 P
MAN ON ATTACK 1 1 3 3   3 312 (childers vance)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00 13.60  
WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK 4 4 2 22   4 414¼ (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 116 4.50 1.20  
SCR  CODE NAME               (miller r)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC               (block chris)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON               (divito p)HERNANDEZ K 116 5.00    
SCR  WHOLE LOTTA LUTE               (rivelli lar)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
 
HAW-7   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:13 1:404   1:451   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALVIN 4 2 3 4 42 2½ 1 (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 118 3.50 17% 4.90 6.00 W
SKYLANE 6 7 63 66 6 5 2 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 51% 0.90 3.10 P
SECRET HONOR 8 4 42 3 31 4 3 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00 12.90  
PRINCE IS MY BOY 5 6 78 7 710 78 4 (rosin w)FELIX E 118 4.50 5% 19.00 3.50  
LATE BLACKSMITH 3 1 11 1½ 1nk 1½ 5 (lopez elias)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00 13.30  
PRAEFECTUS URBANUS 7 5 21 2½ 2nk 31 6 (lopez elias)COLON H 124 20.00 13.00  
POND 2 9 813 8 811 6 7 (perez manny)ULLOA JOAN 118 15.00 80.00  
HAY MOON 9 8 52 53 56 814 838 (dizeo dino)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00 6.50  
SMACKOVER LIME 1 3 915 910 921 922 953 (litfin veronic)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 10.00 4.60  
 
HAW-8   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
See original race card.
:234 :464 1:114 1:383   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
14  COACH JIMI D 9 7 7 5 32 14 17 (divito p)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 39% 1.60 1.40 W
11  WOLF HUNTER 7 4 42 6 56 34 27 (perez manny)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 12.00 14.00  
RAVIN'S TOWN 2 1 1½ 1nk 11 24 3 (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 20% 4.00 2.40 S
REGIMENTAL 1 9 813¼ 812¾ 813 5 410½ (rodriguez e)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 15.00 18.90  
ALL ABOUT TONITE 5 2 2½ 2nk 21 4 512½ (rodriguez eduard)COLON H 118 12.00 5% 19.00 8.80  
13  MINING CAMP 8 3 32 3 4 6 618¼ (slager mike)FELIX E 124 15.00 36.20  
COWBOY CAUSE 4 6 6 7 712 714¾ 728½ (litfin veronica)REYES FRANK 118 30.00 94.50  
NOT FALLING BACK 3 5 56 4 68 821¾ 869½ (block chris)MOJICA O 118 5.00 5% 17.30 6.20  
10  LAST RUN 6 8 923¼ 9100 9100 9100 9100 (james gerald)GILES EMMANUEL 118 4.00 16% 5.30 19.40  
SCR  EVEN THE WIND               (block chris)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.50    
SCR  INTERLUDE               (roussel louis )CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
SCR  NAGY AND DA BEARS               (zawitz joel)ULLOA JOAN 124 30.00    
SCR  SHARP STRIKE               (roussel j)FELIX E 118 10.00    
SCR  SPINNING HEART               (robertson hu)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.