Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Saturday - May 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (5/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/3)-(5/2/3)-(5/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/3)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/3)-(5/6/2/4)-(7/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-2   WIN (5/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4)-(5/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/4)-(7/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/4)-(7/5/1)-(5/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-3   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/1)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1)-(5/2/4/6)-(7/3/5/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (5/2/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6)-(5/2/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/6)-(7/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(4/5) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-5   WIN (7/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6)-(7/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/3/5/6)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (7/3/5/6)-(4/5)-(6/4/5/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (4/5)-(6/4/5/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(6/4/5/3)-(14/2/10/4/8) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
HAW-7   WIN (6/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/3)-(6/4/5/3/1)-(6/4/5/3/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/4/5/3)-(14/2/10/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-8   WIN (14/2/10/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (14/2/10/4/8)-(14/2/10/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (14/2/10/4/8)-(14/2/10/4/8)-(14/2/10/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHERE'D THE DAY GO Apr28 Apr13 Nov23 Oct04 Sep21 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 1.60    
2  IRISH VALOR Apr27 Oct26 Sep23 Aug25 Jun19 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 21% 3.80    
3  WILDWOOD'S WARRIOR Apr27 Apr06 Jul26 May31 May18 (dizeo dino)MOJICA O 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  PISTOL BOX Apr28 Apr13 Aug27 Aug09 Jul26 (moreno irv)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
5  MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE May11 Apr14 Mar30 Oct18 Sep20 (rodriguez hug)HERNANDEZ K 122 2.50 30% 2.30    
6  BOURBON DELIGHT May04 Apr20 Nov18 Nov11 Oct31 (castro isidro)FELIX E 122 4.50    
 
HAW-2   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESOLUTION (FR) Apr21 Apr07 Mar28     (bahena fernand)COLON H 118 10.00    
2  TRIBEST (ARG) Apr20 Apr07 Feb23 Feb04 Jan25 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 124 3.50 14% 6.20    
3  TEXAS HOTTIE Apr21 Mar16 Feb19     (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
4  SHARP ATTACK Mar28         (rosin w)FELIX E 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  PEGGY'S WAY Apr20 Oct27 Sep27 Aug23 Aug08 (hernandez armando)MOJICA O 118 1.80 39% 1.60    
6  KOLACHE QUEEN         (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 6.00 22% 3.60    
7  SWEET SMILA Aug10 Jul23       (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 5.00    
 
HAW-3   05/18/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALHACO May11 Apr20 Mar31 Mar02 Feb10 (meraz antonio)COLON H 116 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DAPPER DUDE May04 Apr06 Mar24 Feb25 Feb12 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50    
3  ELECTRIC CHARGE Apr06 Mar23 Jan12 Nov29 Nov14 (quinonez max)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
4  NATHANIEL'S HOPE Mar16 Jan06 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 10.00    
5  PAPA YO Mar20 Jan25 Jan06     (davis christ)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 5.00 28% 2.50    
SCR  SHARP STICK Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 Dec30 Aug28 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
7  COOL AND COLLECTED Oct09 Aug24 Jul23 Jun08   (block chris)FELIX E 122 2.50 32% 2.20    
SCR  HIGH HEADED May01 Mar20 Feb01 Jan06 Nov19 (harty eoin)MOJICA O 116 3.00    
 
HAW-4   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATH TO SUCCESS Apr27 Apr06 Mar24 Feb29 Feb03 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
2  ITWASTHISBIG Apr27 Apr06 Mar07 Feb23 Jan18 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 17% 5.00    
3  CONI'S COUP Apr27 Oct24 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
4  CATEGORY TEN Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 Feb01 Dec22 (meraz antonio)HERNANDEZ K 124 3.00 11% 8.20    
5  MCMONEY Apr27 Mar22 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 (winebaugh cheryl)FELIX E 122 4.00 33% 2.00    
6  STAR KANOO Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Jan12 Dec24 (campbell joel)COLON H 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SIR LUMPALOT Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 Mar01 Feb16 (james gerald)REYES FRANK 122 5.00    
 
HAW-5   05/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIONS LAW Apr20 Nov17       (young terry )CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SHE IS A LIONESS by LION HEART)
2  THE LAST THRILL Apr20 Mar30 Nov07 Oct17   (lopez elias)COLON H 124 20.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of APT TO THRILL by APTITUDE)
3  MISS MIKOS Mar24 Aug31       (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 1.80 17% 4.90    
  (by ENTICED out of SARAH ACCOMPLISHED by PERFORMING MAGIC)
4  JOYZELLA Apr20 Mar31 Aug27 Aug10 Aug03 (spagnola ida)FELIX E 124 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of TIZ TERESA by TIZNOW)
5  DREAM NAP         (robertson hugh)COHEN DAVID 118 4.00 16% 5.40    
  (by THREE HOUR NAP out of TAHOE DREAM by AFLEET ALEX)
6  COME ON LADY Sep25         (childers vance)MOJICA O 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RUN AWAY AND HIDE out of SHE'S A FINE LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
7  IRISH SPARK May03         (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 35% 1.90    
  (by FIRING LINE out of IRISH MARVEL by DAAHER)
8  LALY         (kirby j)REYES FRANK 118 6.00    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of MARIA'S MOMENT by INDY SNOW (GB))
 
HAW-6   05/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SIMPLE LOGIC Apr06 Jan28 Jan04 Dec07 Oct09 (block chris)FELIX E 122 3.50    
SCR  CODE NAME Feb23 Jan12 Nov17 Oct28 Oct01 (miller r)MOJICA O 122 3.00    
3  MAN ON ATTACK Nov07 Sep23 Sep04 Aug24 Jul30 (childers van)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 15.00    
4  TWIRLING ROSES Apr21 Mar31 Feb12 Jan15 Dec21 (rodriguez eduar)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 43% 1.30    
5  MCVICKER Apr06 Mar23 Dec10 Sep11 Jul30 (vanden br)COLON H 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHATDOYOUTHINKMARK Aug26 Jul01       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 116 4.50    
SCR  WHOLE LOTTA LUTE Apr13 Mar23       (rivelli l)ULLOA JOAN 122 6.00    
SCR  WE MISS ARLINGTON Apr21 Mar23 Feb19 Dec30 Oct18 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 116 5.00    
 
HAW-7   05/18/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SMACKOVER LIME Apr28 Feb09 Jan12 Jan01 Nov25 (litfin veron)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 10.00 ★    
2  POND May04 Apr06 Mar24 Oct24 Sep03 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 118 15.00    
3  LATE BLACKSMITH May04 Mar23 Nov11     (lopez elia)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ALVIN Apr27 Feb02 Jan11 Nov30   (rodriguez eduardo)MOJICA O 118 3.50 17% 4.90    
5  PRINCE IS MY BOY Apr14 Mar15 Mar07 Feb11 Oct26 (rosin w)FELIX E 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
6  SKYLANE May05 Mar29 Feb23 Jan28 Jan12 (campbell joel)HERNANDEZ K 118 3.00 51% 0.90    
7  PRAEFECTUS URBANUS Sep09         (lopez elias)COLON H 124 20.00    
8  SECRET HONOR May04 Apr13 Feb18 Feb09 Jan26 (bahena fernando)REYES FRANK 124 6.00    
9  HAY MOON May05 Apr14 Oct16     (dizeo dino)COHEN DAVID 124 8.00    
 
HAW-8   05/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REGIMENTAL Apr13 Mar23 Mar15 Feb22 Feb01 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 124 15.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of SYNKROS by TAPIT)
2  RAVIN'S TOWN Apr14 Jul09       (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 6.00 20% 4.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of DANCE PLAY by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SPINNING HEART Mar07 Jan21 Dec24 Oct20   (robertson )HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREETWITHNONAME by STREET SENSE)
4  NOT FALLING BACK         (block chris)MOJICA O 118 5.00 5% 17.30    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of NO RETREAT by HYPERBOREAN)
5  COWBOY CAUSE Apr27 Mar15 Dec08 Nov15   (litfin veronica)REYES FRANK 118 30.00    
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of STAR KEEPER by CAPE BLANCO (IRE))
SCR  INTERLUDE Nov25 Sep08 Aug03     (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INTERRUPTED by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  SHARP STRIKE Apr13 Mar07       (roussel j)FELIX E 118 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of DANCING FANCY by SHEIKH ALBADOU (GB))
8  ALL ABOUT TONITE Apr13 Mar21 Mar02 Jan31 Oct12 (rodriguez edua)COLON H 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of CATCHY TUNE by BERNSTEIN)
SCR  NAGY AND DA BEARS Apr07 Mar23 May21 Apr22 Mar09 (zawitz jo)ULLOA JOAN 124 30.00    
  (by RISK AND RETURN out of SHE'S INTOXICATED by BRING THE HEAT)
10  LAST RUN May03 Apr17 Apr06 Mar23 Mar01 (james gerald)GILES EMMANUEL 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
  (by BATTALION RUNNER out of CARMENS HALO by HALO'S IMAGE)
11  WOLF HUNTER Apr13 Mar23 Sep09 Jul23 Jun25 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 12.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of QUEEN DIDO by THUNDER GULCH)
SCR  EVEN THE WIND Aug31 Aug16 Jul23 Jun29 Jun08 (block chr)PEDROZA MARCELINO 124 4.50    
  (by GORMLEY out of TWELVE BELOW by FORT PRADO)
13  MINING CAMP Apr13 Mar23 Feb10 Jan10 Dec20 (slager mike)FELIX E 124 15.00    
  (by GIO PONTI out of KALUGA by UNCLE MO)
14  COACH JIMI D May05 Apr14 Mar30 Mar08 Aug12 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 118 3.50 39% 1.60    
  (by GORMLEY out of SHANGHAI SNOOKIE by SHANGHAI BOBBY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.