Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Lone Star Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LS-6   WIN (2/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  9 $9.60 $1.60 20%

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:222 :46 :582     1:043   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ADOGATE 6 1 31 2½   1½ 15 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 18% 4.60 1.60 W
AFFECTION 4 3 21 32   3 25 (a)DE CRUZ 122 6.00 6.00  
JUST A SIP 1 4 11 1½   2½ 3 (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 53% 0.90 2.80 S
CITY GHOST 5 5 57 55   4 4 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 122 3.00 3.20  
DULCE AMANECER YG 2 6 6 6   6 510¼ (mendoza v)DIEGO V 122 20.00 10.90  
STHENIC 3 2 43 42   56 615¼ (creighton )ERAMIA E 122 6.00 5% 19.00 7.10  
SCR  BLING IT TO ME               (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
 
LS-2   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:28
See original race card.
:221 :453 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EL QUESO GRANDE 1 6 6 65   22 1¼ (a)DE CRUZ 122 8.00 8.60  
CLASSIC RICK 6 1 3½ 3½   12 2¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50 1.30  
FLOTATION STATION 4 4 2nk 2nk   32 3 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.00 48% 1.10 1.30 S
LUCKYTABUCKY 5 5 5 52   44 4 (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
LAST ATTACK 3 2 1nk 1nk   55 59 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 22% 3.60 9.70  
HOLUS BOLUS 2 3 41 4   6 6 (creighton )ERAMIA E 122 10.00 13.40  
SCR  MO WINNING               (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
 
LS-3   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
See original race card.
:22 :451       :572   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KENNEL CLUB 6 6 6 512½   4 1½ (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 3.40  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LA BELLE CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
TAP DANCE TANGO 5 2 2½ 2½   1nk 2½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 31% 2.30 0.80 P
  (by TAPWRIT out of TOP HAT TANGO by GRAYDAR)
TRAVIS 4 3 4 4   5 3 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 5% 19.00 11.70 S
  (by EXCAPER out of FOREVER SINCE by SUPREME CAT)
I AM ON THE LIST 2 5 33 3   33 4 (dunn as)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 9.00  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DANCE CLUB by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
MITOLE'S LIMIT 3 4 5 612½   6 5 (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 10.00 25% 3.00 9.10  
  (by MITOLE out of LIMIT by COX'S RIDGE)
GET RIPPED 1 1 1½ 1½   2nk 66 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 10.00 4.60  
  (by GET STORMY out of PURPLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  BAY BAYBE               (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GLORY DANCER by HONOUR AND GLORY)
SCR  SAFE BET               (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 124 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of APPEALING BRIDE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
 
LS-4   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:223 :47       1:00   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TOO INTIMIDATING 9 2 22 2½   13 1 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 74% 0.40 0.60 W
UBSINGINTHEBLUES 3 4 3 3   3 2 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 5.00 P
UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR 4 7 56 46   48 3 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 6.00 20.20  
CANDY BINDER 6 6 7 79   59 410¾ (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.00 7.50  
SHAKINTHEMONARCHY 7 3 46 5   69 510¾ (willis min)ERAMIA E 120 4.50 7.90  
VIGILANT STORM 2 1 12 1½   23 612¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00 18.90  
MYTURNTODEAL 1 9 89 8   811 714¾ (mallery vonn)GLASS DERBE 115 30.00 5% 19.00 22.70  
TRAVEL GURU 5 8 9 9   912 815 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00 19.10  
ALPHABET ADAMS 8 5 6 6   710½ 916¼ (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00 21.90  
 
LS-5   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
See original race card.
:23 :47       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
H V XTRA WILD HEAT 1 3 41 5   3½ 1¼ (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00 8% 11.10 3.10 W
TEXAN FARMER 5 2 2½ 2½   1½ 2¼ (torrez jerenesto)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 6% 15.40 5.00 P
JUST HANGIN RIDGE 4 1 1½ 1½   2½ 3 (k)DE CRUZ 124 20.00 25.80  
FANDO 2 4 52 7   5 4 (uriegas e)PEREZ A 124 15.00 23.20  
SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE 3 6 6 8   6 5 (mejia jacobo)SALAZAR TERESA 119 4.00 7.90  
10  WITT'S JERRY 10 5 3½ 3½   43 65 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 3.80  
RICHARD'S TX BLING 7 10 1010 1010¾   9 7 (govea c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00 17.80  
CAPTAINS COVE 8 9 9 910¼   109 8 (butler w)GLASS DERBE 119 6.00 7% 14.00 10.60  
RUSTY GADGET 9 8 8 4   7 9 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 3.50 52% 0.90 3.40  
ALL MIGHT 6 7 7 6   8 1010¾ (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 5% 19.00 18.50  
 
LS-6   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
See original race card.
:221 :442       :554   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BALSA 8 1 11 11   13 1 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 3.80 W
RANCH BADGE 3 5 32 21   23 2 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 4.00 2.10  
PUTMAN 1 2 21 42   33 3 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00 14.20  
UNCLE BERLEY 5 7 6 68   68 48 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 23% 3.40 4.00  
DUDE PERFECTA 6 4 5 54   45 5 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 12.00 9.20  
BLOCKED 7 3 4 32   5 611¾ (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 10% 9.50 11.20  
BIG WAVE JAMES 2 8 711 711   711 712¾ (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 5.00 39% 1.50 4.10  
CAPTAIN JACK 4 6 813 817   826 829¼ (durham danel)ALVAREZ L 124 20.00 17.80  
SCR  CLASSIC MOMENT               (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60    
SCR  DO YOUR JOB               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
 
LS-7   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
See original race card.
:243 :482 1:133 1:264   1:401   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CATHOLIC GUILT 1 4 33 2 2nk 11 1 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 20% 4.00 1.40 W
REQUISITION 3 2 1 1 1nk 21 2 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 15.10  
TURN ON THE MAGIC 4 1 2 3 3 33 3 (broberg kar)WETHEY JR 124 4.50 7.40  
DREWPOWER 5 6 7 7 4 4 44 (a)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 14.10  
WILLY THE COBBLER 7 5 6 44 6 5 510 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 37% 1.70 2.70  
DESOTO'S WAR 2 8 44 6 5 6 614¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 12% 7.40 6.60  
GUITAR SLIM 8 7 8 814¾ 815¼ 820½ 724¾ ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 122 8.00 13.70  
GOLD MONEY 6 3 54 54 7 716½ 826¾ (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
SCR  IMA BIG BOPPER               (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
 
LS-8   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:124     1:262   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UP UP AND AWAY 8 2 33 33   11 1 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 56% 0.80 1.40 W
  (by KEEP UP out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
10  EXPECT GLORY 9 1 1nk 11   21 2 (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.50 8.80  
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of GLORIOUS ODYSSEY by MIZZEN MAST)
12  SILENT BLING 11 9 8 810   38 311 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 3.00 3.70  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
IHAVETOOMUCHAIR 2 11 1116¼ 1016   612 412¼ (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 5% 19.00 23.20  
  (by GHURAIR out of BETHYL'S ROYALROSE by TOO MUCH BLING)
OBVIOUS CONCLUSION 7 3 2nk 21   48 513 (love alan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00 28.20  
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
VALOBRA 5 5 6 67   713 618½ (ashford h )ERAMIA E 124 8.00 7% 13.90 3.80  
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MARGARITA MISTRESS by NAEVUS)
11  MORO TRENDSETTER 10 7 914¾ 1116½   815 719¼ (echeverria h)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00 29.60  
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
BAYOU BOY 4 4 4 57   511½ 820¼ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 6% 15.30 20.40  
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
LEONARDO CREED 1 10 1015¾ 915   915½ 925¾ (love alan)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00 17.80  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
TITO 6 8 7 79   1016 1034¼ (c)DE CRUZ 124 30.00 19.80  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
GOLDEN PURSUIT 3 6 5 44   1119 1139 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 6% 15.30 25.10  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
SCR  XANDER S               (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
 
LS-9   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:13 1:362   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE HAPPY 7 5 21 21 2½ 3.2 1nk (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00 9.50  
MOON CAT 5 3 33 32 31 2nk 2nk (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 12.60 P
SOLID COUNTRY GOLD 8 8 75 64 42 4¾ 3½ (gelner j)DIEGO V 121 2.00 40% 1.50 3.50 S
FIGHT'N READY 9 9 8 8 73 5 4 (petalino jo)WETHEY JR 124 20.00 18.80  
SARA'S SHAMAN 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 5 (young bob)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 19% 4.20 1.90  
10  ZE'BUL 10 10 10 9 9 7 67 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00 5.30  
GOOD SWIMMER 1 4 9 1010¼ 1011¼ 10 7 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 121 12.00 14.00  
OPTIMUS KAT 6 6 5 53 6 6 8 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 17% 4.80 15.90  
TITLE CONTENDER 3 7 6 7 84 9 910½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00 17.40  
ONE LAST BID 4 2 4 43 5 8 1015 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00 8.30  
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO               (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
SCR  MIAMI MOONLIGHT               (pish danny)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
SCR  WODETON (FR)               (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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