Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - July 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   WIN (1/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7/3)-(1/7/3)-(1/7/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/7/3)-(4/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
LS-2   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(7/4/6)-(9/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
LS-3   WIN (7/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/6)-(7/4/6)-(7/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (7/4/6)-(9/1)-(9/1/8/5/6) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LS-4   WIN (9/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (9/1)-(9/7/3/6/1) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (9/1)-(9/7/3/6/1)-(9/7/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/1)-(9/1/8/5/6)-(2/6/8/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LS-5   WIN (9/1/8/5/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/8/5/6)-(9/1/8/5/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/8/5/6)-(9/1/8/5/6)-(9/1/8/5/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LS-6   WIN (2/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9)-(2/6/8/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
LS-7   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/3/7)-(9/6/4/5/3)-(8/2/6/3) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LS-8   WIN (9/6/4/5/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3)-(9/6/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/6/4/5/3)-(8/2/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
LS-9   WIN (8/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/2/6/3)-(8/2/6/3/5)-(8/2/6/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LS-1   07/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JUST A SIP May17 Sep30       (ashf)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
2  DULCE AMANECER YG Jun09 May25 May17 May05 Apr21 (mendoza v)DIEGO V 122 20.00    
3  STHENIC Apr06 Mar16 Dec31 Jul04   (creighton )ERAMIA E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BLING IT TO ME Jun09 May18 Apr19 Mar16 Feb18 (cravens ronni)CABRERA DAVID 122 10.00    
5  AFFECTION Jun08 May03 Mar17     (a)DE CRUZ 122 6.00    
6  CITY GHOST Jun09 Apr18 Apr05 Mar03 Nov03 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 122 3.00    
7  ADOGATE Nov09         (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.50 18% 4.60    
 
LS-2   07/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($33.5K) 3 ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL QUESO GRANDE Jun08 May17 Apr26 Apr06 Mar15 (a)DE CRUZ 122 8.00    
2  HOLUS BOLUS May04 Apr06 Mar15 Feb03 Dec31 (creighton )ERAMIA E 122 10.00    
3  LAST ATTACK May25 May10 Mar22 Mar06 Jan20 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  FLOTATION STATION Jun09 May03 Mar03 Feb18 Jan27 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  MO WINNING May25 May03 Jan28 Jan01 Nov13 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.50    
6  LUCKYTABUCKY Aug19         (craddoc)GONCALVES R 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
7  CLASSIC RICK Jun08 May25 May03 Mar23 Mar03 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 122 2.50    
 
LS-3   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GET RIPPED Jun19 May27 May12 Mar24 Mar03 (jacks kare)ERAMIA E 124 10.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of PURPLE by ROYAL ACADEMY)
SCR  BAY BAYBE Sep11 Aug05       (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of GLORY DANCER by HONOUR AND GLORY)
3  I AM ON THE LIST Jun15 Jan07 Dec09 Nov20   (dunn as)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of DANCE CLUB by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
4  MITOLE'S LIMIT         (jacks e)DIEGO V 120 10.00 25% 3.00    
  (by MITOLE out of LIMIT by COX'S RIDGE)
SCR  SAFE BET Jun08 Apr04 Mar01 Jan28 Dec30 (petalino joe)QUINONEZ S 124 4.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of APPEALING BRIDE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TRAVIS Mar30 Mar10 Jan20 Dec02 Nov18 (willis mindy)SANCHEZ OBED 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EXCAPER out of FOREVER SINCE by SUPREME CAT)
7  TAP DANCE TANGO Mar30 Nov17       (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 31% 2.30    
  (by TAPWRIT out of TOP HAT TANGO by GRAYDAR)
8  KENNEL CLUB May04 Apr20 Jul30 Jun22 May29 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LA BELLE CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
 
LS-4   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYTURNTODEAL Jun08 Nov02 Sep12 Jul03   (mallery vonn)GLASS DERBE 115 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  VIGILANT STORM Jun16         (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 15.00    
3  UBSINGINTHEBLUES Jun21 May26 Feb09 Jan21 Jan05 (bravo franc)WETHEY JR 120 3.50 ★    
4  UPTOWN TWOUNDERPAR May31 May11 Apr21 Apr05 Mar17 (padilla a)DIEGO V 120 6.00    
5  TRAVEL GURU May26         (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 20.00    
6  CANDY BINDER Jun16 May26       (pish danny)WISEMAN ISAIAH 120 4.00 ★    
7  SHAKINTHEMONARCHY May31 May11 Mar23 Feb19 Feb09 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 4.50 ★    
8  ALPHABET ADAMS Jun07 May25 May11 Apr21 Mar24 (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 124 10.00    
9  TOO INTIMIDATING May31 Apr19 Mar17 Mar01 Feb09 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.50 74% 0.40    
 
LS-5   07/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  H V XTRA WILD HEAT Jun08 Jul10 Jun26     (ramirez ro)RAMIREZ JR 119 10.00 8% 11.10    
2  FANDO Jun14 Jun02 May18 Mar24 Mar03 (uriegas e)PEREZ A 124 15.00    
3  SAMSPLAYERSLOUNGE Jun14 May05 Jan12 Aug07 Jul03 (mejia jacobo)SALAZAR TERESA 119 4.00    
4  JUST HANGIN RIDGE Jun02 May18 Apr18 Mar24 Feb10 (k)DE CRUZ 124 20.00    
5  TEXAN FARMER Jun14 May19 Mar24 Mar09 Feb17 (torrez jerenesto)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 6% 15.40    
6  ALL MIGHT Jun22 Jun07 May26 Apr19 Mar01 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  RICHARD'S TX BLING Jun14 Jun02 May19 Apr21 Mar24 (govea c)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 8.00    
8  CAPTAINS COVE Jun22 Jun14 Jun02 May19 May05 (butler w)GLASS DERBE 119 6.00 7% 14.00    
9  RUSTY GADGET Jun14 Jun02 May19 May11 Apr27 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 3.50 52% 0.90    
10  WITT'S JERRY Apr05 Mar23 Mar15 Feb11 Oct07 (young bob)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00    
 
LS-6   07/04/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PUTMAN Jun16 Mar08 Feb11 Jan19 Oct21 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 124 20.00    
2  BIG WAVE JAMES May18 Apr18 Mar16 Feb02 Oct07 (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 5.00 39% 1.50    
3  RANCH BADGE Jun16 Feb17 Jan19 Dec29 Dec07 (hebert mat)ERAMIA E 124 4.00    
4  CAPTAIN JACK Jun09 May19 Apr12 Mar14 Feb25 (durham danel)ALVAREZ L 124 20.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MOMENT Jun24 Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 Nov09 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.60    
6  UNCLE BERLEY Apr27 Apr12 Jul31 Jul08 Jun02 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 23% 3.40    
7  DUDE PERFECTA Jun16 Apr05 Mar08 Jan19 Dec16 (jacks karen)WETHEY JR 124 12.00    
8  BLOCKED Jun09 May12 Apr19 Mar16 Feb02 (davis h)CABRERA DAVID 124 12.00 10% 9.50    
9  BALSA Jun16 May11 Apr14 Mar22 Mar10 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DO YOUR JOB Jun14 May04 Apr05 Mar01 Feb18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00    
 
LS-7   07/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CATHOLIC GUILT Jun16 Jun09 May25 Apr27 Mar16 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 3.00 20% 4.00    
SCR  IMA BIG BOPPER Apr27 Apr05 Feb23 Feb02 Jan12 (payn)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 20.00    
3  DESOTO'S WAR Jun16 Jun02 May25 Apr28 Apr14 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 12% 7.40    
4  REQUISITION Jun22 Jun09 May17 Apr29 Apr16 (davidson m)ERAMIA E 124 5.00    
5  TURN ON THE MAGIC Jun08 May17 May03 Apr17 Mar08 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 4.50    
6  DREWPOWER May21 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 Jan01 (a)DE CRUZ 122 20.00    
7  GOLD MONEY May31 May11 Apr28 Mar09 Feb16 (castellanos j)CABRERA DAVID 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  WILLY THE COBBLER Apr28 Mar27 Feb28 Dec02 Nov07 (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 2.50 37% 1.70    
9  GUITAR SLIM Dec29 Dec09 Nov21 Oct26 Jul23 (b)BRIDGMOHAN MARLO 122 8.00    
 
LS-8   07/04/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  XANDER S Jun15 May31 May12 Apr19 Mar23 (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 10.00    
  (by ROMAN GLADIATOR out of DIXIE DUCES by CARSON CITY)
2  LEONARDO CREED Jun16 May12       (love alan)SALAZAR TERESA 115 20.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of PHILOGYNY by JOHANNESBURG)
3  IHAVETOOMUCHAIR         (castellanos jaime)DIAZ RENE 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GHURAIR out of BETHYL'S ROYALROSE by TOO MUCH BLING)
4  GOLDEN PURSUIT         (eoff te)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 115 20.00 6% 15.30    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of RUFF CAUSE by NIAGARA CAUSEWAY)
5  BAYOU BOY Jun16 May25 May04 Mar01 Feb19 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 6% 15.30    
  (by BRADESTER out of DALLAS BLONDE by CITY ZIP)
6  VALOBRA         (ashford h )ERAMIA E 124 8.00 7% 13.90    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of MARGARITA MISTRESS by NAEVUS)
7  TITO Jun21 May25 May03 May21 Apr29 (c)DE CRUZ 124 30.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of PETE'S FIVE by ARCH)
8  OBVIOUS CONCLUSION Jun16 May12 May04 Apr05 Mar17 (love alan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 20.00    
  (by INCLUDE out of FREDA STORM by HEART OF THE STORM)
9  UP UP AND AWAY May12 Apr19 Mar17     (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
  (by KEEP UP out of GLIDING ON AIR by HONOR GLIDE)
10  EXPECT GLORY Jun15 May31 May04 Mar17   (bravo francisc)SANCHEZ OBED 120 3.50    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of GLORIOUS ODYSSEY by MIZZEN MAST)
11  MORO TRENDSETTER Jun21 May25 May03 Mar23 Feb23 (echev)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
  (by MORO TAP out of BONITA BELLE by MAGIC CAT)
12  SILENT BLING May31 May04 Mar23 Feb17 Jan06 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 120 3.00    
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of SHOW ME THE BLING by TOO MUCH BLING)
 
LS-9   07/04/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOD SWIMMER Jun14 May11 Apr18 Apr07 Mar10 (willis mindy)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 12.00    
2  SARA'S SHAMAN Jun14 Apr13 Feb18 Jan21 Sep10 (young bob)ERAMIA E 121 2.50 19% 4.20    
3  TITLE CONTENDER May26 May04 Apr13 Feb23 Nov23 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  ONE LAST BID Jun02 May12 Mar24 Mar03 Feb11 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 15.00    
5  MOON CAT Jun14 May19 Apr26 Mar16 Feb18 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 12.00 ★    
6  OPTIMUS KAT Jun14 May19 May10 Mar14 Feb13 (villafranco f)CABRERA DAVID 121 12.00 17% 4.80    
7  UNCLE HAPPY May25 May03 Apr06 Aug06   (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 120 15.00    
8  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jun14 May19 Apr26 Mar23 Feb25 (gelner j)DIEGO V 121 2.00 40% 1.50    
9  FIGHT'N READY Jun14 May04 Mar29 Mar08 Feb10 (petalino jo)WETHEY JR 124 20.00    
10  ZE'BUL Jun09 May05 Apr05 Jan05 Nov10 (cappellucci)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 4.00    
SCR  ELUSIVE D'ORO Jun21 Jun16 Jun02 Apr18 Feb21 (broberg karl)LANDEROS CHRIS 121 15.00    
SCR  MIAMI MOONLIGHT Jun23 Jun15 May18 Apr07 Feb18 (pish danny)DIEGO V 124 8.00    
SCR  WODETON (FR) Apr12 Mar10 Feb09 Jan19 Jan05 (ashford ray)CABRERA DAVID 124 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.