The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Lone Star Park
Friday - May 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
LS-2   Win (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $8.40 $8.40 2.40
LS-3   Win (2/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.60 $10.60 2.60
LS-4   Win (3/1/8/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80
LS-5   Win (10/5/6/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.40 $5.40 -2.60
LS-6   Win (9/7/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -4.20
LS-7   Win (1/8/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40
LS-8   Win (1/4/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -5.60

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:224 :462 :583     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIREBALL BIRDIE 4 3 2nk 2nk   11 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 118 2.00 42% 1.40 2.30 W
GUCCI BOY 2 5 5 4   3 2 (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 1.20 20% 4.00 0.60 P
EL QUESO GRANDE 1 2 4¼ 3   43 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 10.00 5% 19.00 8.90 S
FLASH HUMOR 3 4 3.2 1nk   21 43 (silva )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.50 5.20  
CARRY THE FLAG 5 1 1nk 5   511 517 (swift a)BENAVIDES D 113 12.00 13.50  
SCR  ABSOLUTELY CERTAIN               (newbold jon)RAMIREZ JR 119 12.00    
 
LS-2   05/17/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($33.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112     1:18   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAJUN NINJA 2 4 2nk 1nk   1½ 1nk (silva miguel)CABRERA DAVID 122 1.80 31% 2.20 0.60 DQ↓2
INSIGHTFUL MISS 4 2 3½ 3.2   2½ 2nk (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 2.00 21% 3.80 3.20 W
REASON OVER RICHES 3 3 1nk 2nk   32 3 (davidson bren)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00 9.00  
BERTIE'S CAUSE 5 1 4 4   4 4 (broberg karl)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 5% 18.40 5.20  
GEE GEE 1 5 53 5   5 514¾ (kei)DE CRUZ 120 8.00 8.60  
SCR  HOLLY DOLLY               (ashford ray)DIEGO V 120 3.00    
 
LS-3   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
See original race card.
:241 :474 1:122 1:25   1:374   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MALIBU S S 2 3 1½ 1nk 1nk 1 1 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 23% 3.40 4.30 W
HEIR TO GREATNESS 5 7 65 6 5 2 2 (broberg karl)ERAMIA E 124 5.00 3.90  
FAST TRAFFIC 1 4 4 3 4 43 3 (ashfor)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 6.80  
DRIVEHAPPY 4 2 3 4 3 54 4 (scholl kevin)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 17% 4.90 6.40  
ALGEBRA 3 1 2½ 2nk 2nk 32 5 (caldwell r)ELLIOTT S 124 2.50 2.70  
ICARUS 8 6 53 5 6 67 6 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 12.00 5% 19.00 13.90  
QUARTERBACK DAK 6 8 8 7 8 811½ 718¾ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 8.00 19.20  
MONGOLIAN KINGDOM 7 5 77 8 7 710½ 822 (cappellucci dic)CABRERA DAVID 124 3.00 22% 3.50 4.20  
 
LS-4   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:243 :491 1:142 1:272   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO MOVES 1 2 5 4 21 1 1¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 31% 2.20 1.60 W
HARD TO COME BY 5 5 4 31 31 3 2¾ (brober)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 6.00 1.50  
NORTHWIND 3 1 1nk 1nk 11 2 3 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 124 4.50 37% 1.70 5.10 S
TOP COP 6 7 710¼ 712¾ 7 57 4 (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 124 8.00 8% 12.20 9.20  
SEND OFF 2 6 6 6 54 4 5 (davidson )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 20.00 23.10  
10  MAN IN THE MIDDLE 7 4 2nk 2nk 42 611½ 618¾ (castellanos jai)CABRERA DAVID 124 15.00 22.80  
11  D W STRONG 8 3 31 5 6 714½ 725½ (butler ken )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 30.00 36.40  
KITTER KAT 4 8 815¼ 819¾ 816½ 829½ 855¼ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 10.00 5% 19.00 13.50  
SCR  CROW'S NEST               (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 12.00    
SCR  DABOOGEYMAN               (hewitt )MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 20.00    
SCR  GO CATS               (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00    
 
LS-5   05/17/2024 5280ft TURF GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($35K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
See original race card.
:232 :474 1:114 1:241   1:361   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOILER 4 4 43 43 31 2nk 1½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 15% 5.80 1.70 W
WHISKEY NOT WINE 2 6 6 64 6 5 2½ (willis mindy)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 12.50  
COUNTRY CAPER 6 5 53 5 4 7 3¾ (bravo francisco)SANCHEZ OBED 124 12.00 10.90  
BIZZEE CHANNEL 5 3 32 32 5 42 4 (villafranco fre)CABRERA DAVID 122 12.00 7% 14.10 8.10  
RODEO CHAMP 1 1 1½ 1nk 2nk 1nk 5 (davis h)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00 22.50  
COTTONWOOD 7 7 7 8 8 8 64 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 4.80  
IBERIAN RUNNER 8 9 97 97 9 63 7 (govea ces)GONCALVES R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
ROBO 3 2 2½ 2nk 1nk 31 8 (govea )VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 30.00 39.10  
10  DON'TASK DON'TTELL 9 8 85 75 7 9 911½ (padilla a)DIEGO V 124 2.50 53% 0.90 2.30  
SCR  CALICOCO               (wilson shane)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50    
 
LS-6   05/17/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($40.5K) 3 F PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:231 :461 :582     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SUCCESSFULPATH 7 1 1 11   15 1 (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 2.00 34% 1.90 0.90 W
BLUE HEAVENLY 4 3 32 3   25 2 (govea ces)GONCALVES R 122 8.00 6.80  
AVALING 5 7 78 7   6 3 (castellanos jai)CABRERA DAVID 122 4.50 22% 3.60 3.30 S
SPEAK SOFTLY 6 6 66 44   4 48 (calhoun will)ERAMIA E 122 15.00 5% 19.00 15.10  
ANTIFREEZE 1 4 43 66   7 58 (jacks e)WETHEY JR 122 12.00 9.30  
DULCE AMANECER YG 2 5 55 54   3 6 (men)DE CRUZ 122 20.00 22.40  
FLYING FIRST CLASS 3 2 2 21   57 713½ (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 122 5.00 5.40  
SCR  IMMA GOING TO WIN               (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 122 15.00    
SCR  OKIE BLING               (young e)ELLIOTT S 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
 
LS-7   05/17/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:13 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STANS HOME RUN 2 6 77 7 4 3 1nk (hjort donna)ALVAREZ L 123 6.00 22% 3.50 4.20 W
ABSAROKA 8 1 12 1 1½ 1nk 2nk (caldwell r)SANCHEZ OBED 123 2.00 23% 3.40 1.30 P
LEVY 7 3 55 5 2½ 2nk 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 12.00 5% 19.00 11.00 S
STELLAR TAP 1 5 32 2 3 4 4 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 123 2.50 30% 2.30 3.60  
10  YAK 10 4 4 42 5 6 5 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 123 5.00 6.30  
12  HIT ONE OUT 12 11 1013¼ 1012¼ 8 5 6 (pad)DE CRUZ 123 30.00 65.70  
GIST 9 10 1117¼ 1115¼ 911 89 7 (davidson )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 118 20.00 60.10  
JOHAN ZOFFANI (IRE) 3 8 910¼ 810 78 9 810¼ (hjort donna)SALAZAR TERESA 118 10.00 29.70  
REQUISITION 4 2 22 3 6 7 911¾ (davidson b)ERAMIA E 123 30.00 33.90  
BIG BROTHER 5 12 1220¼ 1223¼ 1221½ 1215 1013¾ (br)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 123 20.00 26.10  
11  FOREVAMO 11 9 810 910¼ 1112½ 1013½ 1118¼ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 123 30.00 40.40  
RESOLVE NOW 6 7 6 6 1011 1114 1219¼ (eoff terry)GLASS DERBE 118 30.00 69.00  
SCR  PINTXOS               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 6.00    
 
LS-8   05/17/2024 4950ft TURF GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT-10:44
See original race card.
:252 :50 1:144 1:262   1:321   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JUST A SIP 1 2 11 11   13 1 (ashfor)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.50 56% 0.80 1.20 W
PRONUNCIATION 6 1 21 32   23 2 (craddock )GONCALVES R 118 15.00 5% 19.00 19.90 P
PANTHERA 7 5 64 6   4 2 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 6.00 DH
CACTUS BLOSSOM 2 4 32 4   56 46 (bravo francisc)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00 5% 19.00 15.30  
KARA 8 9 9 9   67 5 (pish danny)DIAZ RENE 118 12.00 7% 13.90 14.50  
SOTONA 3 6 7 87   7 6 (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 118 3.00 2.70  
10  FICKLE MISTRESS 9 7 42 21   3 7 (gustafson austin)DIEGO V 118 12.00 41.80  
UNLUCKY IN LOVE 5 8 8 7   911 810½ (coats james)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 118 30.00 20.30  
WARRIOR'S RETURN 4 3 53 53   8 911 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.50 9% 10.20 6.80  
SCR  ERIA VITTATA               (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 30.00    
SCR  OUR GIRL FLINT               (hu)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 118 20.00    
SCR  SKYVIEW DRIVE               (hebert matt)ERAMIA E 124 2.50    
SCR  TIZ A KNOCKOUT               (jacks e)WETHEY JR 124 6.00    
SCR  UTSIRA               (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.