The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Lonestar Park
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

LS-1   Win (5/8/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $7.40 $7.40 -0.60
LS-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $7.60 -6.00
LS-3   Win (7/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.00 $5.00 -3.00
LS-4   Win (3/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
LS-5   Win (1/9/3/10/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $8.80 $8.80 -1.20
LS-6   Win (4/9/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 6 1 1 $22.00 $22.00 12.00
LS-7   Win (8/1/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $14.40 -8.00
LS-8   Win (4/7/10/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $13.00 $13.00 3.00

Simulator Race results

 
LS-1   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT FAST Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLOSING ACT 1 8 1nk 1½   1 1¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 112 2.50 8% 12.20 2.70 W
TOO MUCH KIKI 5 6 72 6   34 2¾ (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 118 3.50 56% 0.80 1.20 P
PEEK FACTOR 7 5 62 4¾   2 3 (peek kevin)QUINONEZ S 124 4.00 8% 12.10 6.80 S
REASON OVER RICHES 2 7 8 8   7 4 (davidson bren)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 20.00 27.10  
BLUSHING BELLE 6 2 5 7   8 57 (love a)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 47.80  
CITY GHOST 8 1 4¼ 3½   4 6 (johnson b)DIAZ RENE 116 6.00 8% 11.50 11.90  
RECLUSIVE 4 4 2nk 2½   6 7 (hu)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 118 5.00 11.10  
IZATIZ 3 3 3.2 5   5 89 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.50 5.10  
 
LS-2   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:231 :472 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CINCO GAL 6 1 1 1   14 1 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.00 2.80  
CATHOLIC SUE 4 5 4 47   37 2 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 1.30  
ELSIE JANE 3 2 2 2   24 3 (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 12.00 26% 2.90 10.40 S
LADY DRILLER 1 3 3 3   4 410¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.80 26% 2.90 2.00  
ROMINA C 2 6 69 612   69 512 (padilla carlos)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00 14% 6.00 14.90  
SNOWBIRD 5 4 57 5   59 613¼ (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 15.70  
 
LS-3   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MO TAP 7 1 3.2 2nk   1½ 1 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.50 W
CINCO MAJESTIC 4 5 4 5   5 2 (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 9.10  
CLASSIC RUNNER 3 7 7 7   65 3 (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90 S
MIDNIGHT MONEY 2 2 1nk 3.2   2½ 46 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 9% 9.90 5.50  
MESSAGE DISCIPLINE 6 4 2nk 1nk   31 57 (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 124 4.00 3.20  
KENTUCKY ICE 1 6 6 4   43 67 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 20% 4.00 3.60  
D W STRONG 5 3 5 6   7 710¾ (butler ken )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 18.20  
 
LS-4   04/18/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:224 :462       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOSE'S DREAM 3 1 31 1nk   1½ 1 (ba)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.30 W
DETECTIVE BERNARDO 6 3 21 2nk   2½ 2 (roubio)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 9% 10.60 2.90 P
JUST OKIE 2 6 54 44   3 35 (padilla carlo)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 6.40  
AARON'S SPIRIT 1 5 6 69   511 416 (davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00 2.90  
NOOGE 4 2 11 3   4 518 (mckinney kyndra )SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00 15.30  
CROSSTIME 5 4 43 58   612 618¾ (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 119 5.00 22% 3.50 10.00  
SCR  DO YOUR JOB               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00    
 
LS-5   04/18/2024 3300ft TURF FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
See original race card.
:222 :454       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
IMPERIAL RED BIRD 1 8 4 52   1 12 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 43% 1.40 3.40 W
LUCKY PROMISE 6 4 5 6   5 22 (gustafson austi)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.30 P
OZZIES WINGS Y G 3 9 8 42   3 32 (torrez)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 114 5.00 8% 10.90 5.40 S
SPARRA 2 7 6 8   4 4 (br)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 20.00 26.30  
HELLO HELLO MISTER 4 5 7 96   8 53 (gar)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5.50  
CINCO RICHIE 9 2 3 3   7 6 (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 14% 6.10 2.20  
10  BLINGO 10 3 2nk 1½   2 76 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 6% 16.50 4.60  
CAPTAINS COVE 8 10 10 10   10 8 (butler ken )CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00 43.00  
JUST HANGIN RIDGE 7 1 1nk 2½   6 9 (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 120 20.00 38.50  
HOLIDAY RUN 5 6 9 74   9 10 (ascencio ju)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 30.00 38.60  
SCR  AMERICAN FOREST               (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  FORT HOOD               (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RED               (davidson sarah)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00    
 
LS-6   04/18/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NAUTICAL MOON 6 4 910¼ 9 9 6 1¾ (bravo francisc)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
MALIBU S S 9 2 4 3½ 3.2 1nk 2¾ (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 22% 3.50 6.10 P
WORDS OF WISDOM 5 8 7 8 8 7 3 (davidson sarah)PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00 22.90  
BOBBY BRINKLEY 7 3 3 6 62 3 4 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 19% 4.40 2.70  
ELUSIVE D'ORO 2 5 2nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 5 (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 8.00 19.60  
FEDERAL HILL (ARG) 8 9 8 7 73 8 6 (cravens iii)DIEGO V 124 6.00 8.90  
QUARTERBACK DAK 4 6 5 4 5 5 7 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.70  
SEIZE THE TREASURE 1 1 1nk 2½ 2nk 4 812¼ (br)BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 15.00 8% 10.90 6.40  
TEXAS HOLDEM 3 7 6 5 4 9 914½ (caldwe)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 6.40  
 
LS-7   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NEW BERN 4 2 2½ 11   1 1 (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00 6.20  
CORREDOR 6 3 31 31   2 2 (young e)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 P
MIND HUNTER 1 6 5 5   43 3 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50 21% 3.70 2.40 S
MASTER OF DISGUISE 2 4 4 42   33 412½ (diodoro rober)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.50 2.00  
DEACON JONES 3 5 64 6   6 515½ (ortiz javie)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
UKRAINE STRONG 7 1 1½ 21   56 615½ (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00 15.20  
THE OX 5 7 711 715¾   728½ 745¾ (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 117 30.00 14.40  
SCR  MACHO GRANDE               (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
SCR  PHILANTHROPER               (calhoun willia)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
 
LS-8   04/18/2024 4950ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:234   1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD SWIMMER 7 4 54 5   21 1hd (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 16% 5.20 5.50 W
FROM THE HEART 4 10 1011¾ 1013¼   8 2hd (ashford ray)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.80 40% 1.50 2.20 P
CANATLAN 5 8 8 6   32 31 (tor)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 21.90  
BIG WAVE JAMES 2 2 4 43   5 42 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 2.30  
BAY BE GONE 3 7 77 7   75 5 (garza e)DIEGO V 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
WITCH'S VOW 1 3 1 1   11 6 (guzman adan)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 15.90  
OPTIMAL TRIP 9 6 67 910¾   65 7 (rossi l)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 7% 12.50 14.40  
10  WHITEROSE JEWEL 10 5 33 3   43 8 (craven)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
SWAMPDRAINER 8 9 9 810½   9 9 (pearson pau)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 30.00 30.80  
CRAZY RIDGE 6 1 2 2   1012¼ 1015¾ (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00 14.00  
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED               (davidson n)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (gelner jayde )WETHEY JR 124 1.40    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS               (broberg karl)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER LOVER               (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.