Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Lone Star Park
Thursday - April 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LS-1   TRI (5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1)-(5/8/7/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-5-7 $18.55 $6.55 55%
LS-4   EXA (3/5/6)-(3/5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-6 $12.80 $0.80 7%
LS-5   EXA (1/9/3/10/6)-(1/9/3/10/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  1-6 $68.80 $28.80 72%
    TRI (1/9/3/10/6)-(1/9/3/10/6)-(1/9/3/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  1-6-3 $52.65 $22.65 76%
LS-6   WIN (4/9/7/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00  6 $22.00 $12.00 120%
    EXA (4/9/7/1/6)-(4/9/7/1/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  6-9 $171.60 $131.60 329%
LS-8   WIN (4/7/10/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $13.00 $3.00 30%
    PK3 (4/9/7/1/6)-(8/1/2/3)-(4/7/10/9/3) 100 $0.50 $50.00  6-ALL-7 $97.20 $47.20 94%
Simulator Race results
 
LS-1   04/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bluebonnet Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:35
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:12     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLOSING ACT 1 8 1nk 1½   12½ 1¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 112 2.50 8% 12.20 2.70 W
  (by MUNNINGS out of EVENING SHOW by DEVONGATE)
5  TOO MUCH KIKI 5 6 72 63¼   34 2¾ (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 118 3.50 56% 0.80 1.20 P
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SOFT MUSIC by ACTION THIS DAY)
7  PEEK FACTOR 7 5 62 4¾   22½ 32½ (peek kevin)QUINONEZ S 124 4.00 8% 12.10 6.80 S
  (by TOO MUCH BLING out of SLIM'S SECRET by DESERT SECRET (IRE))
2  REASON OVER RICHES 2 7 82½ 83¾   78½ 46¾ (davidson br)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 20.00 27.10  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of TUT'S TREASURE by UNTUTTABLE)
6  BLUSHING BELLE 6 2 51¾ 73¾   88¾ 57 (love)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 15.00 47.80  
  (by CONNECT out of BLUSHING BEAUTY by BLUSHING JOHN)
8  CITY GHOST 8 1 4¼ 3½   44½ 67¼ (johnson b)DIAZ RENE 116 6.00 8% 11.50 11.90  
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of ZIP HER UP by CITY ZIP)
4  RECLUSIVE 4 4 2nk 2½   66½ 78½ ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 118 5.00 11.10  
  (by FLAT OUT out of ROCKINTOTHERHYTHM by BROAD BRUSH)
3  IZATIZ 3 3 3.2 51¾   56½ 89 (hebert matt)CABRERA DAVID 118 4.50 5.10  
  (by MY GOLDEN SONG out of TIZ TIZ by TIZNOW)
 
LS-2   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:02
See original race card.
:231 :472 :60     1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CINCO GAL 6 1 12½ 13½   14 14¾ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 118 2.00 2.80  
4  CATHOLIC SUE 4 5 45½ 47   37 24¾ (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 118 2.50 1.30  
3  ELSIE JANE 3 2 22½ 23½   24 39½ (padilla a)DIEGO V 118 12.00 26% 2.90 10.40 S
1  LADY DRILLER 1 3 33½ 35½   47½ 410¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 1.80 26% 2.90 2.00  
2  ROMINA C 2 6 69 612   69 512 (padilla carl)WISEMAN ISAIAH 118 15.00 14% 6.00 14.90  
5  SNOWBIRD 5 4 57 59½   59 613¼ (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 118 8.00 15.70  
 
LS-3   04/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:29
See original race card.
:23 :463 :59     1:051   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MO TAP 7 1 3.2 2nk   1½ 14½ (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 2.00 42% 1.40 1.50 W
4  CINCO MAJESTIC 4 5 41¼ 52¾   53½ 24½ (silva miguel)DIAZ RENE 118 8.00 9.10  
3  CLASSIC RUNNER 3 7 73¾ 74¼   65 35½ (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 10.00 5% 19.00 11.90 S
2  MIDNIGHT MONEY 2 2 1nk 3.2   2½ 46 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 4.50 9% 9.90 5.50  
6  MESSAGE DISCIPLINE 6 4 2nk 1nk   31 57 (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 4.00 3.20  
1  KENTUCKY ICE 1 6 62¼ 42¼   43 67 (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 2.50 20% 4.00 3.60  
5  D W STRONG 5 3 52¼ 62¾   77½ 710¾ (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 18.20  
 
LS-4   04/18/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:56
See original race card.
:224 :462       :583   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DOSE'S DREAM 3 1 31 1nk   1½ 11¼ ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 2.50 37% 1.70 1.30 W
6  DETECTIVE BERNARDO 6 3 21 2nk   2½ 21¼ (roub)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 10.00 9% 10.60 2.90 P
2  JUST OKIE 2 6 54 44   34½ 35 (padilla car)WETHEY JR 124 3.50 6.40  
1  AARON'S SPIRIT 1 5 65½ 69   511 416 (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 4.00 2.90  
4  NOOGE 4 2 11 32½   48½ 518 (mckinney kyndr)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00 15.30  
5  CROSSTIME 5 4 43 58   612 618¾ (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 119 5.00 22% 3.50 10.00  
SCR  DO YOUR JOB               (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 118 3.00    
 
LS-5   04/18/2024 3300ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($40.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:23
See original race card.
:222 :454       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERIAL RED BIRD 1 8 42½ 52   11½ 12 (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 122 3.50 43% 1.40 3.40 W
6  LUCKY PROMISE 6 4 53½ 62½   52¼ 22 (gustafson aus)CABRERA DAVID 120 4.50 5% 19.00 9.30 P
3  OZZIES WINGS Y G 3 9 85¾ 42   31½ 32 (torr)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 114 5.00 8% 10.90 5.40 S
2  SPARRA 2 7 64½ 84½   41¾ 42¾ ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 20.00 26.30  
4  HELLO HELLO MISTER 4 5 74¾ 96   84¾ 53 (g)DE CRUZ 120 10.00 5.50  
9  CINCO RICHIE 9 2 31½ 31½   72¾ 64½ (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 120 3.00 14% 6.10 2.20  
10  BLINGO 10 3 2nk 1½   21½ 76 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 4.00 6% 16.50 4.60  
8  CAPTAINS COVE 8 10 108¼ 107½   106½ 86¼ (butler ke)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 120 15.00 43.00  
7  JUST HANGIN RIDGE 7 1 1nk 2½   62¼ 98½ (kotara ronald)BURGOS SAMUEL 120 20.00 38.50  
5  HOLIDAY RUN 5 6 95¾ 74   96¼ 109½ (ascencio )CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 122 30.00 38.60  
SCR  AMERICAN FOREST               (pish danny)ALVAREZ L 120 10.00    
SCR  FORT HOOD               (davidson brent)ELLIOTT S 120 6.00    
SCR  RECKLESS RED               (davidson sar)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 12.00    
 
LS-6   04/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:50
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:131 1:262   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  NAUTICAL MOON 6 4 910¼ 97¼ 95½ 62¾ 1¾ (bravo franci)ALVAREZ L 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.00 W
9  MALIBU S S 9 2 41¾ 3½ 3.2 1nk 2¾ (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 5.00 22% 3.50 6.10 P
5  WORDS OF WISDOM 5 8 76¼ 84¼ 83½ 74¼ 34¼ (davidson sar)PIVARAL GERBER 124 15.00 22.90  
7  BOBBY BRINKLEY 7 3 31½ 61¾ 62 31½ 44½ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 124 3.00 19% 4.40 2.70  
2  ELUSIVE D'ORO 2 5 2nk 1½ 1nk 2nk 55¼ (broberg karl)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 8.00 19.60  
8  FEDERAL HILL (ARG) 8 9 86¾ 73¾ 73 84¾ 66½ (cravens ii)DIEGO V 124 6.00 8.90  
4  QUARTERBACK DAK 4 6 52¾ 41½ 51¾ 51¾ 78½ (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 124 2.00 26% 2.90 2.70  
1  SEIZE THE TREASURE 1 1 1nk 2½ 2nk 41¾ 812¼ ( )BRIDGMOHAN MARLON 124 15.00 8% 10.90 6.40  
3  TEXAS HOLDEM 3 7 63¼ 51¾ 41¾ 96¾ 914½ (cald)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 8.00 6.40  
 
LS-7   04/18/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($33K) 3 ALL PT-10:17
See original race card.
:231 :47 1:124     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  NEW BERN 4 2 2½ 11   11½ 12¾ (asmussen m)ELLIOTT S 122 5.00 6.20  
  (by BERNARDINI out of SUE'S GOOD NEWS by WOODMAN)
8  CORREDOR 6 3 31 31   21½ 22¾ (young e)CABRERA DAVID 122 2.50 42% 1.40 2.40 P
  (by KLIMT out of MY FOOLISH HEART by SKY MESA)
1  MIND HUNTER 1 6 52½ 52¼   43 36¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.50 21% 3.70 2.40 S
  (by VINO ROSSO out of QUIPPERY by FOREST WILDCAT)
2  MASTER OF DISGUISE 2 4 42½ 42   33 412½ (diodoro rob)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 15% 5.50 2.00  
  (by MASTERY out of SENDA by SCAT DADDY)
3  DEACON JONES 3 5 64 63¾   66½ 515½ (ortiz jav)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 122 20.00 5% 19.00 20.20  
  (by BREAKING LUCKY out of LADY HEATHER by BRAHMS)
9  UKRAINE STRONG 7 1 1½ 21   56 615½ (silva miguel)GONZALEZ ELVIN 122 15.00 15.20  
  (by MASTERY out of MISS IMPATIENT by PYRAMID PEAK)
7  THE OX 5 7 711 715¾   728½ 745¾ (whitton mark)SALAZAR TERESA 117 30.00 14.40  
  (by OXBOW out of JUMPED THE HARBOR by JUMP START)
SCR  MACHO GRANDE               (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 122 4.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of ARTISTICDIFFERENCE by ESKENDEREYA)
SCR  PHILANTHROPER               (calhoun will)ALVAREZ L 122 12.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of SENSEU'VBEENGONE by STREET SENSE)
 
LS-8   04/18/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT-10:44
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:114 1:234   1:293   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOOD SWIMMER 7 4 54 55½   21 1hd (willis mindy)ELLIOTT S 124 3.50 16% 5.20 5.50 W
4  FROM THE HEART 4 10 1011¾ 1013¼   85¼ 2hd (ashford ra)GONZALEZ ELVIN 124 1.80 40% 1.50 2.20 P
5  CANATLAN 5 8 88½ 65½   32 31 (t)DE CRUZ 124 12.00 21.90  
2  BIG WAVE JAMES 2 2 43½ 43   54½ 42 (eoff terry)WETHEY JR 124 15.00 2.30  
3  BAY BE GONE 3 7 77 77½   75 52¼ (garza e)DIEGO V 124 10.00 5% 19.00 23.60  
1  WITCH'S VOW 1 3 11½ 11½   11 63½ (guzman ad)CONTRERAS ALFREDO 124 15.00 15.90  
9  OPTIMAL TRIP 9 6 67 910¾   65 74½ (rossi)MANRRIQUE JOSE 124 10.00 7% 12.50 14.40  
10  WHITEROSE JEWEL 10 5 33 32½   43 85½ (crav)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 124 3.00 15% 5.80 5.50  
8  SWAMPDRAINER 8 9 98¾ 810½   99¼ 98¾ (pearson p)CEBALLOS FRANKLIN 124 30.00 30.80  
6  CRAZY RIDGE 6 1 21½ 21½   1012¼ 1015¾ (kotara ronald)DIAZ RENE 124 15.00 14.00  
SCR  BOARD CERTIFIED               (davidson sarah)SANCHEZ OBED 124 15.00    
SCR  EMBOITE (IRE)               (gelner jayd)WETHEY JR 124 1.40    
SCR  HEIR TO GREATNESS               (broberg kar)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 10.00    
SCR  SUMMER LOVER               (govea cesar)ALVAREZ L 124 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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