Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $16.00 $10.00 167%
ELP-2   EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00  1-3 $13.16 $1.16 10%
    DD (7/8/5)-(3/2/1) 9 $2.00 $18.00  8-1 $72.84 $54.84 305%
ELP-3   DD (3/2/1)-(4/7/8/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-7 $34.20 $10.20 43%
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(3/2/1)-(4/7/8/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00  8-1-7 $69.79 $51.79 288%
ELP-5   TRI (10/3/2/4/9)-(10/3/2/4/9)-(10/3/2/4/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00  10-2-4 $54.22 $24.22 81%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112     1:181   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  SPYCRAFT 6 1 31½ 2nk   11 1¼ (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 22% 3.50 7.00 W
2  FITZPATRICK 1 6 42 52   21 2¼ (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00 4.02  
5  W W CRAZY 3 5 65 64½   52½ 3¼ (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 122 15.00 5% 19.00 11.52 S
7  COMMUNICATION MEMO 5 2 53 41   41½ 4¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60 2.90  
3  APPEAL DENIED 2 3 11 1nk   31 54¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 3.04  
6  TIM TAL 4 4 21 3½   65 615¾ (schultz l)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 2.27  
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
SCR  MANTA REY               (haran joh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
 
ELP-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:12 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT'S CAVE 1 1 1½ 11 1½ 12 13¼ (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00 1.93 W
3  CURL GIRL 3 2 2½ 21 2½ 22 23¼ (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.80 34% 2.00 0.80 P
5  MUSTANG LADY 5 4 31 32 32 34 34½ (newton tro)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00 15.53  
2  ROSIA BAY 2 3 42 43 42½ 44½ 46¾ (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 27% 2.60 6.45  
4  COZEE RAGS 4 5 55 55½ 55 57 58¼ (michael brian)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 7.12  
SCR  LADAN               (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  UNDER ADVISEMENT               (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 5.00    
 
ELP-3   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:213 :45 1:092 1:213   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  BETTERA 6 6 54 53 41¾ 21 11 (amoss tho)TORRES A 124 4.00 29% 2.50 2.63 W
1  MCGINNIS 1 7 76½ 75 74¼ 42½ 21 (walden willi)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 6.34  
4  ROYAL SALUTE 3 2 42½ 31½ 3.2 11 31¾ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 34% 1.90 2.29 S
8  MO RUM 7 1 31 2½ 2nk 31½ 46¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 10% 9.00 3.90  
6  HIGGINSVILLE 5 5 64½ 63½ 63¼ 77 58¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00 8.52  
5  ACCONA 4 4 2½ 1½ 1nk 53½ 611¾ (camejo jos)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 30.80  
3  SESAME STREEK 2 3 1½ 42 52¾ 65½ 712½ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 6.55  
9  TORNADO ROAD 8 8 811½ 89 88¼ 810½ 820¾ (lukas wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 39.14  
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS               (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
SCR  WHERE'S JACK               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-4   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:222 :451 1:102     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  AMERICAN WOMEN 2 5 32½ 32   1nk 12½ (walsh bre)TORRES A 119 6.00 8.68  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
6  LADY KATHRYN 6 3 1½ 11½   2nk 22½ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 35% 1.90 0.68 P
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PINK SCATILLAC by SCAT DADDY)
3  MURPHY GIRL 3 4 42½ 42½   32½ 36¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.50 36% 1.80 2.41 S
  (by WAR OF WILL out of CURLED by CURLIN)
1  MINTY 1 8 56½ 56½   45½ 46¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.40 11.73  
  (by MCKINZIE out of MONEYBRU by TALK IS MONEY)
4  MISS ELLE 4 1 2½ 21½   57½ 517 (medina rober)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.64  
  (by SHANCELOT out of BECCAWHIT by ROMAN RULER)
7  QUEEN MCKINZIE 7 6 88½ 810½   612 618¼ (perez c)ROMERO GREGORY 119 30.00 62.58  
  (by MCKINZIE out of LOVELY DAUGHTER by BIG BROWN)
5  MY SWEET LOVE 5 2 67 710   712½ 718¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 18.30  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  HOME FIRST 8 7 78 69   816½ 836 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00 18.78  
  (by GAME WINNER out of HOMESCHOOLING by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
 
ELP-5   07/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:203 :43 :544     1:004   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  ELLEN JAY 10 7 41 2nk   12 1hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 23% 3.30 1.25 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of COVFEFE by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  SUPERCILIOUS BOLT 2 4 51¼ 51¼   32½ 2hd (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 19% 4.20 5.64 P
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  WHERE'S THE WINE 4 5 2½ 41¼   43½ 33½ (catalano )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 12% 7.40 14.30 S
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
7  SHEZTHEFACTOR 7 6 73¼ 62¼   65 44¼ (hamilton sar)TORRES A 119 10.00 13.36  
  (by THE FACTOR out of MY LUCKY SPELL by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
3  BARBTOURAGE 3 3 1½ 1nk   22 55 (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 22% 3.60 3.42  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of VELVET MOOD by LONHRO (AUS))
5  DREAM ON STORMY 5 8 95¼ 94½   54½ 65¼ (winston d)RIQUELME J 124 30.00 38.62  
  (by GET STORMY out of LU BATON by ROAR)
6  LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) 6 9 84¼ 83   76½ 76¾ (davis christ)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 7.79  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
8  MIA MARCELA 8 1 3½ 31   87½ 810 (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 13.80  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  FUN LOVING 1 10 1010¼ 109½   1010 910½ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 49.87  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FRIVOLOUS by FOOLISH PLEASURE)
9  JUS EVELYN 9 2 61¾ 72¾   910 1010½ (lovell michell)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00 30.05  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of JUS WOW by DUNKIRK)
SCR  DREAMSCAPE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MISS VINDICTIVE by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
SCR  GO GEMMA               (medina rober)TORRES A 119 12.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JEWEL OF A CAT by WILDCAT HEIR)
SCR  MORINGA               (pribble william )BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LADY SIPHONICA by SIPHON (BRZ))
SCR  WINE AND WAVES               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
 
ELP-6   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:092     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GLOBAL SENSATION 7 1 21 21   11½ 14¾ (cano mu)TORRES A 124 3.50 44% 1.30 2.83 W
4  SOLIDIFY 4 7 75½ 77½   76¾ 24¾ (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 9.03  
6  TILTED TOWERS 6 2 11 11   21½ 34¾ (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80 2.73 S
2  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) 2 3 32 32   33 45 (esquivel j)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 6% 14.40 4.53  
1  OUTLIER 1 5 54 66   66½ 56½ (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.26  
5  TIMELESS BOUNTY 5 6 65 55½   56½ 66½ (ocasio osvaldo)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00 5.14  
3  PRINCIP 3 4 42½ 42½   45½ 79¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00 8.71  
SCR  INFILTRATOR               (milligan )TORRES A 122 4.50    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:092 1:204   1:33   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SOVEREIGNS JOY 1 2 11½ 11 1nk 1nk 1¼ (maker michae)TORRES A 118 15.00 31.42  
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of JOELS LAST LAUGH by FORESTRY)
6  ROCKY JOY 5 1 21½ 21 2nk 2nk 2¼ (lobo paul)TORRES A 124 1.20 52% 0.90 0.53 P
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of COLORADO GIRL by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
3  JUNGLE LAW 2 3 32 42½ 42½ 32 31¼ (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 21% 3.80 5.75 S
  (by CONSTITUTION out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
8  ADRASTEIA 7 4 64 53½ 53 65½ 42½ (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 113 5.00 9.00  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of ARROSTOS by BODEMEISTER)
5  SAN MARTIN 4 7 54 64½ 64½ 54 53¾ (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00 9.50  
  (by HONOR CODE out of STOPTALKINGMARIA by WHYWHYWHY)
9  DELLACROCE 8 5 42½ 31½ 3½ 43 65 (torres con)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 33.51  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of HAIL TO ROCKNROLL by SCAT DADDY)
4  PROVISIONAL 3 6 86½ 86 89¾ 710½ 79 (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 12.98  
  (by JUSTIFY out of BUBBLER by DISTORTED HUMOR)
7  VERY SATISFACTORY 6 8 76 76 79½ 811½ 812½ (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 5% 19.00 10.81  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SHES SO SAVVY by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  DROBNY               (hartman c)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
ELP-8   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:221 :443       1:171   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  GLOBAL STAGE 4 4 42 2½   13 14 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50 33% 2.10 1.26 W
7  BRAZEN BOY 7 3 1½ 1½   23 24 (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 6.00 3.66  
9  ANDY'S CANDY 9 5 53 54½   45½ 34¾ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 13% 6.90 4.29 S
10  PROTEGE 10 6 32 32   34 45½ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 32% 2.10 9.18  
1  REWIRE 1 7 74½ 65   67 56½ (shorter aa)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00 17.99  
6  MERLOTTI 6 9 108¼ 77   77½ 67¼ (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 45.62  
8  DEWY'S BEAST 8 2 2½ 42   56½ 78¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 14.49  
5  PRINTS MONEY 5 1 63½ 98½   810 810½ (asmussen )TORRES A 118 6.00 ★ 9.92  
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON 2 8 87 88   912 915½ (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 52.25  
3  NATIONS DREAM 3 10 97¼ 1011   1015½ 1030 (mcewen j)ORM CORY 118 30.00 50.25  
 
ELP-9   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:101 1:221   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  PANCAKE HOUSE 5 1 53½ 42½ 62¼ 11 13¼ (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 41% 1.50 2.45 W
8  GOLDENTOWN 8 8 77 84½ 93¾ 42 23¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 5.00 13.03  
9  ACTING DEBUT 9 7 87¼ 74½ 72¾ 73¼ 34 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00 7.47  
1  SHEAR MAGIC 1 2 11 11 2½ 21 44 (eurton pe)TORRES A 118 8.00 6.94  
7  GAGLIARDI 7 5 43½ 53 3½ 32 55½ (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.50 ★ 5.30  
10  MOUNT CRAIG 10 6 65½ 64 1½ 52½ 66¾ (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 31% 2.30 18.35  
2  J J'S RANGER 2 3 21 21 4¾ 63 79 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6% 15.40 3.05  
4  THREE POINT STRUT 4 10 910¾ 97 83¾ 95¾ 89¾ (camejo jos)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00 57.56  
6  EL PELIGRO 6 4 31½ 32 51¼ 85¾ 910¾ (torres con)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 15.55  
3  COWBOY CODE 3 9 1025¾ 10100 10100 10100 10100 (lukas wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 12.60  
SCR  WYOMING CLASS               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.