Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 15, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (4/7/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (3/6/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (10/3/2/4/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (7/6/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (6/3/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (4/10/9/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (5/10/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MANTA REY Jul07 Jun22 May04 Apr14 Mar29 (haran john)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 15.00    
2  FITZPATRICK Jun28 Jun12 May10 Apr18 Oct01 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
3  APPEAL DENIED Dec01 Nov05 Jun29 May21 Apr21 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00    
SCR  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Jun21 Jun05 May10 Mar15 Jan11 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 3.50    
5  W W CRAZY May25 Apr20 Apr05 Mar23 Feb19 (lauer michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  TIM TAL Jun12 Apr07 Mar09 Feb04 Jan05 (schultz lin)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50    
7  COMMUNICATION MEMO Jun21 May04 Apr12 Mar21 Feb16 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  SPYCRAFT Jun21 May19 Apr27 Apr12 Mar15 (cook b)CANNON DECLAN 122 6.00 22% 3.50    
 
ELP-2   07/15/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAT'S CAVE Jun01 Dec13 Nov18 Sep29 Aug02 (tomlinson mich)TORRES A 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  ROSIA BAY Jun08 May16 Apr13 Mar09 Feb21 (morey e)MACHADO LUAN 124 2.50 27% 2.60    
3  CURL GIRL Jun08 Apr19 Feb28 Jan10 May05 (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 124 1.80 34% 2.00    
4  COZEE RAGS Jun26 May18 Apr05 Mar01 Feb10 (michael brian)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
5  MUSTANG LADY Jun19 Oct18 Sep10 Aug05 Jun29 (newton troy)CORRALES GERARDO 124 8.00    
SCR  LADAN Jun12 May23 Apr07 Mar27 Mar01 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  UNDER ADVISEMENT Jun26 May26 Apr26 Mar28 Feb22 (arnold r)LANERIE J 124 5.00    
 
ELP-3   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCGINNIS         (walden william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
SCR  HALLELUJAH HARRIS Jun16 May30 Aug05 Jun30   (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00    
3  SESAME STREEK Jun21 May27 Apr21     (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  ROYAL SALUTE Jun08 Sep30 Aug27 Jul23 Jun22 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
5  ACCONA Jun10 May19 Apr10 Feb23   (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 12.00    
6  HIGGINSVILLE Jul05 Jun06 Apr07 Mar09 Jan01 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 5.00    
7  BETTERA Jun12 May26 Apr30 Mar24 Feb22 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 124 4.00 29% 2.50    
8  MO RUM Jun06 Apr30 Mar24 Mar07 Feb15 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.50 10% 9.00    
9  TORNADO ROAD Jun23 May02 Apr13 Feb03 Jan05 (lukas wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00    
SCR  WHERE'S JACK Mar16         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-4   07/15/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MINTY Jun07 May02       (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.40    
2  AMERICAN WOMEN Jun07         (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 6.00    
3  MURPHY GIRL Jun07 May17       (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 2.50 36% 1.80    
4  MISS ELLE Jun07 May02       (medina robert)TORRES A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  MY SWEET LOVE         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
6  LADY KATHRYN Jun21         (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 119 2.00 35% 1.90    
7  QUEEN MCKINZIE         (perez car)ROMERO GREGORY 119 30.00    
8  HOME FIRST         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-5   07/15/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FUN LOVING May25 Apr18 Nov25 Nov03 Oct11 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00    
2  SUPERCILIOUS BOLT Mar01         (delima e)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 19% 4.20    
3  BARBTOURAGE Apr26 Apr26       (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 6.00 22% 3.60    
4  WHERE'S THE WINE Jun08 Feb28       (catalano wa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.50 12% 7.40    
5  DREAM ON STORMY Jun29 Jun07 May11 Mar28 Nov01 (winston d)RIQUELME J 124 30.00    
6  LIFE'S SAGA (IRE) Apr21 Mar23       (davis christop)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00    
7  SHEZTHEFACTOR Jun26 Nov19 Oct21 Sep27   (hamilton sarah)TORRES A 119 10.00    
8  MIA MARCELA Jun26 Nov17 Sep27 Aug09   (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00    
9  JUS EVELYN Jun02 Mar02       (lovell michelle)CONNER TYLER 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  ELLEN JAY Jun08 May11       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  MORINGA Jun29 Jun02       (pribble j)BEJARANO R 119 8.00    
SCR  GO GEMMA Jun08 Apr17 Mar23     (medina robert)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  WINE AND WAVES Jun12 May18 Apr13 Mar03   (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 12.00    
SCR  DREAMSCAPE Jun02 Mar16       (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
 
ELP-6   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUTLIER Jun15 May30 May12 Apr26 Apr12 (hiles rick)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SOGNO DI CAMPIONE (CHI) May30 Apr21 Mar21 Feb29 Feb03 (esquivel jes)CORRALES GERARDO 122 8.00 6% 14.40    
3  PRINCIP Jun27 Jun02 Apr20 Mar03 Jan26 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 6.00    
4  SOLIDIFY Jun14 Jun02 May10 Apr14 Mar22 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 15.00    
5  TIMELESS BOUNTY Jun27 Jun02 May10 Feb17 Mar05 (ocasio osvaldo)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.00    
6  TILTED TOWERS Jun02 May10 Apr12 Mar30 Dec02 (rice adam)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 26% 2.80    
7  GLOBAL SENSATION Jun27 May25 May10 Mar22 Feb28 (cano muno)TORRES A 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  INFILTRATOR Jun14 May25 Mar29 Feb24 Jan27 (milligan ed)TORRES A 122 4.50    
 
ELP-7   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DROBNY Jul05 May17 Mar07 Feb12 Jan12 (hartman chr)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
2  SOVEREIGNS JOY May29         (maker michael )TORRES A 118 15.00    
3  JUNGLE LAW         (walden will)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 4.50 21% 3.80    
4  PROVISIONAL Aug26         (matejka pavel)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
5  SAN MARTIN Jun08 Apr24       (sancal murat)CHUAN MARTIN 118 10.00    
6  ROCKY JOY Jun16 May02 Mar30 Feb17 Jan06 (lobo paulo )TORRES A 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
7  VERY SATISFACTORY Jun16 Mar24 Mar07 Nov30   (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ADRASTEIA Jun15 Mar28 Nov29 Nov16 Oct27 (bogle fergus)MORALES EDGAR 113 5.00    
9  DELLACROCE Jun20 May29 May09 Apr24 Jul14 (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-8   07/15/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REWIRE Jan28 Nov18 Nov01 Feb17 Jan19 (shorter aaro)CORRALES GERARDO 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  BEAUDACIOUS COLTON Jul04 Jun19 Mar28 Feb23 Dec20 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00    
3  NATIONS DREAM Nov09 Oct19 Sep13 Aug08 Jul09 (mcewen j)ORM CORY 118 30.00    
4  GLOBAL STAGE Jun06 Apr30 Apr06 Apr14 Feb10 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.50 33% 2.10    
5  PRINTS MONEY Jun05 May12 Apr20     (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
6  MERLOTTI Jun23 Jun09 Apr14 Nov18 Nov04 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
7  BRAZEN BOY May30 May09 Dec29 Jun25 May19 (blair jordan)TORRES A 122 6.00    
8  DEWY'S BEAST Aug26 Jul27 Jul01 Jun10   (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
9  ANDY'S CANDY Apr28 Mar01 Feb11 Jan28 Dec31 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 4.00 13% 6.90    
10  PROTEGE Jul15 Apr14 Feb04 Dec17 Nov04 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
 
ELP-9   07/15/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEAR MAGIC Oct08         (eurton pete)TORRES A 118 8.00    
2  J J'S RANGER Jun30 Apr20 Mar23 Feb18 Feb03 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 6% 15.40    
3  COWBOY CODE Jun21 Oct01 Jul21 Jun15   (lukas wayne)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
4  THREE POINT STRUT Jun22 May16 Apr17 Mar15 Feb04 (camejo jose )MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  PANCAKE HOUSE Jun06 May11 Apr06 Mar02 Jan25 (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 124 4.00 41% 1.50    
6  EL PELIGRO Jun27 May21 Apr19 Jun22 Jun06 (torres conce)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
7  GAGLIARDI Jun12 Apr13       (mott i)TORRES A 118 4.50 ★    
8  GOLDENTOWN Jun02 Apr19 Mar07 Jan15 Oct22 (forster t)GRAHAM J 118 5.00    
9  ACTING DEBUT Jun08 Apr14       (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
10  MOUNT CRAIG Jun06 May05 Mar21 Feb25 Nov24 (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  WYOMING CLASS         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.