The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

EVD-1   Win (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60
EVD-2   Win (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $6.20 $6.20 0.20
EVD-3   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $4.00 $4.00 -2.00
EVD-4   Win (6/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $5.00 -8.00
EVD-5   Win (10/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $39.80 $39.80 31.80
EVD-6   Win (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.00 $6.00 -2.00
EVD-7   Win (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 5 1 0 $4.00 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
EVD-1   05/16/2024 3300ft TURF FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:214 :453       :574   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MESA SPIRIT 1 5 5 5   3.2 1 (ducoing j)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
TRIPLE RED ACES 9 1 1½ 2½   2nk 2 (landry r)MAGNON H 119 15.00 10.20  
FATHER MARK 4 6 77 810   4 3 (david b)BARRERA J 120 5.00 15.90 S
CAJUN BLAST 6 7 6 4   5 42 (courville ricky)THORNTON G 123 4.50 24% 3.10 8.50  
THE BOYZ PRIORITY 8 2 2½ 1½   1nk 5 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00 41.60  
GUTZY 5 3 4 7   6 64 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 7% 13.20 8.10  
CHECKULATER 7 8 88 68   7 74 (woodley j)ROSIER R 120 20.00 85.30  
KING OF SONG 2 4 3 3   8 85 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50 3.90  
STRUTTIN APRIORITY 3 9 918 923   924¾ 926¾ (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
 
EVD-2   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
See original race card.
:221 :46 :591     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMERCIAL FLASH 4 6 43 3   33 1 (terre david)MCMAHON J 115 1.80 24% 3.20 2.10 W
CAMI CAT 2 1 1 12   1 2 (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 21% 3.80 1.50 P
SIMPLE SUNDAY 6 5 5 57   6 3 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 115 15.00 5% 19.00 21.60 S
MY GOLDEN BLING 5 4 2 22   2 4 (gonzalez isai )DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50 6.70  
ISOLATION 3 2 6 69   5 5 (bourgeois)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 3.00 2.80  
BOURN 1 3 33 45   45 6 (gonzalez isai )BARRERA J 118 8.00 13.60  
 
EVD-3   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:12     1:253   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET ALEXIS 6 1 54 31   14 110 (devereux patric)VARGAS P 123 2.50 24% 3.20 1.00 W
A MISS DEAMEANOR 5 2 43 2½   3 210 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 3.10  
PRETTY PRAIRIE 4 3 1½ 1½   24 310½ (breaux samuel)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 1.80 41% 1.40 1.70 S
ZOSIAS SHIP 3 4 6 6   525 429½ (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 5% 19.00 27.80  
THE PRETTY SISTER 1 5 2½ 45   424½ 538 (woodley j)ROSIER R 118 6.00 55.40  
SAUCY GEM 2 6 31 5   635 655 (breaux sa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 4.50 15.60  
 
EVD-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
See original race card.
:224 :47 :594     1:124   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCE COSMO 4 3 31 4   1½ 1 (jeansonne just)BARRERA J 123 3.50 1.50  
DR. SNYDER 1 5 5 32   2½ 2 (mojica ed)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.00 P
PALANTE 6 7 75 54   45 3 (woodley j)ROSIER R 120 15.00 46.00  
NAPOLEONIC CODE 7 4 4 79   5 48 (mojica a)QUILES ANTONIO 123 3.00 24% 3.20 9.10  
PINCH HITTER 8 2 2½ 2nk   68 511¼ (larrosa a)VARGAS P 123 15.00 22% 3.60 4.60  
SPECIAL TAP 5 1 1½ 1nk   3 612 (degeyter randy)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 2.50 31% 2.20 2.60  
PUPPETEER (GB) 3 8 87 810½   7 712¾ (castille carrol)THORNTON G 115 10.00 14.70  
EL IT 2 6 6 67   811 816¾ (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00 26.00  
SCR  DOUBLE BOGEY               (benoit james)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
 
EVD-5   05/16/2024 4950ft DIRT GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
See original race card.
:25 :501 1:153 1:291   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPOKEN CODE 4 6 53 3.2 2nk 1 1¼ (mouton j)ROSIER R 118 6.00 8% 11.30 18.90 W
SAM'S PROMISE 2 7 64 6 32 2 2¼ (romero dal)WADE LYNDIE 118 12.00 10.70  
10  DONEGAL DREAMER 9 1 4 4 4 42 3¼ (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 59% 0.70 4.60 S
JACKED 5 4 2½ 2nk 1nk 3 47 (larrosa a)VARGAS P 118 10.00 1.20  
THREE POINT STRUT 3 8 7 5 55 55 5 (escobar alison)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 5.40  
DEN'S GOOD GRACE 7 9 98 8 6 6 610¼ (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 15.00 5.40  
RED OCTOBER 6 5 85 7 710 710½ 711½ (escobar aliso)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 9% 10.30 29.90  
MY DAD'S GUITAR 8 2 3 912¾ 813 816½ 819¼ (breaux sa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 20.00 5% 19.00 41.30  
WOODFORD HOLLER 1 3 1½ 1nk 917 941½ 978¾ (calhoun william )GREEN AUBRIE 118 8.00 11.50  
SCR  BRILLIANT SPIN               (gelner scott)BARRERA J 123 8.00    
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY               (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
SCR  MONOLITH               (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 3.00    
SCR  NOT LIKELY               (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 110 20.00    
SCR  TEMPLE OF PEACE               (ducoing sturges )THORNTON G 111 15.00    
 
EVD-6   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
See original race card.
:223 :46 1:113     1:25   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNFATHOMED 3 4 32 2nk   14 1 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.60 29% 2.50 2.00 W
GOLDEN PALACE 7 3 22 33   24 2 (ramirez eduardo)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 16% 5.40 1.20 P
FORT BONZ 5 7 5 68   46 3 (mojica a)QUILES ANTONIO 120 1.80 6.50  
GALLANT STAR 6 2 4 45   3 4 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 18% 4.60 9.20  
FLASHY PREMO 4 5 6 5   6 5 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00 22.00  
BIG SCULLY 1 1 12 1nk   5 615¼ (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00 6.50  
RUN AWAY SON 2 6 7 712   714½ 718½ (nichols bessie)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00 49.60  
 
EVD-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
See original race card.
:262 :521 1:172 1:294   1:423   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR HARPER 2 3 33 33 31 2½ 11 (ducoing sturges )THORNTON G 118 2.00 1.00  
SPIRITED BEAUTY 3 2 2 21 2½ 1½ 21 (wilson s)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 49% 1.00 0.80 P
BLUE RIDGE QUEEN 1 1 1 11 1½ 31 3 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.20 S
SCR  SERAPE               (brinkman brett)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY               (garcia luis)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL D'ORO               (landry ray)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA               (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
SCR  BLESSED ASSURANCE               (dison phillip )MAGNON H 118 4.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.