Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Thursday - May 16, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (1/6/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/4/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/3)-(1/6/5/4/3)-(1/6/5/4/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/6/5/3)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/3)-(4/2/6)-(4/6/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-2   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(4/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(4/6/3)-(6/8/9/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(6/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(6/8/9/2)-(10/7/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
EVD-4   WIN (6/8/9/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2)-(6/8/9/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/8/9/2)-(10/7/5/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/8/9/2)-(10/7/5/9)-(3/6/7/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-5   WIN (10/7/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/7/5/9)-(10/7/5/3/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (10/7/5/9)-(10/7/5/3/9)-(10/7/5/3/9) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (10/7/5/9)-(3/6/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/7/5/9)-(3/6/7/4)-(6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-6   WIN (3/6/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4)-(3/6/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/7/4)-(6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/6/7/4)-(6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-7   WIN (6/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/4)-(6/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/2/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4)-(1/2/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   05/16/2024 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MESA SPIRIT Apr24 Mar24 Feb29 Feb03 Jan04 (ducoing sturges)MCMAHON J 123 2.00 47% 1.10    
2  KING OF SONG Jan04 Sep01 Aug16 Aug03 Jun02 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 123 3.50    
3  STRUTTIN APRIORITY Sep09 Aug10 Jul24 Jul01 May28 (thomas lee)GREEN AUBRIE 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  FATHER MARK Apr24 Apr28 Apr08 Mar09   (david b)BARRERA J 120 5.00 ★    
5  GUTZY Mar24 Feb08 Dec02 Aug10 Jul01 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00 7% 13.20    
6  CAJUN BLAST Apr25 Apr12 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 (courville rick)THORNTON G 123 4.50 24% 3.10    
7  CHECKULATER Apr06 Nov22 Jul13 May26 May10 (woodley j)ROSIER R 120 20.00    
8  THE BOYZ PRIORITY May03 Apr20 Jan19 Nov29 Nov09 (ward ronnie)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 15.00    
9  TRIPLE RED ACES Apr27 Feb01 Jan19 Dec30 Oct19 (landry allen)MAGNON H 119 15.00    
 
EVD-2   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURN Apr21 Oct27 Oct01 Jul27 Jun08 (gonzalez isa)BARRERA J 118 8.00    
2  CAMI CAT Apr20 Aug12 Jul21 Jul08 Jun21 (claire alexis)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 2.50 21% 3.80    
3  ISOLATION Apr20 Apr06 Mar03 Feb10 Jan15 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 3.00    
4  COMMERCIAL FLASH Apr19 Apr06 Mar10 Feb29 Feb03 (terre david)MCMAHON J 115 1.80 24% 3.20    
5  MY GOLDEN BLING Mar24 Mar10 Mar02 Nov01 Oct18 (gonzalez isa)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 4.50    
6  SIMPLE SUNDAY Apr19 Feb17 Jan06 Dec21 Dec09 (ward ronnie)VARGAS P 115 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
EVD-3   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE PRETTY SISTER         (woodley j)ROSIER R 118 6.00    
  (by INTERACTIF out of LISA by CAPITALIMPROVEMENT)
2  SAUCY GEM         (breaux samu)MELANCON JANSEN 123 4.50    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of SAUCE by STACK)
3  ZOSIAS SHIP May01 Jun16       (gelner scott)MCMAHON J 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of ZOSIA by MACHO UNO)
4  PRETTY PRAIRIE Apr18         (breaux samu)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 1.80 41% 1.40    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of ENDURING ERIN by KELA)
5  A MISS DEAMEANOR Mar21 Feb29 Feb10 Jan18 Dec10 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50    
  (by CALIBRACHOA out of A RUNNIN POP by SCREEN IDOL)
6  SWEET ALEXIS Apr27 Mar21 Feb24 Feb09 Dec09 (devereux patr)VARGAS P 123 2.50 24% 3.20    
  (by ASTROLOGY out of SWEET CITIZEN by PROUD CITIZEN)
 
EVD-4   05/16/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOUBLE BOGEY Apr20 Oct27 Aug10 Jun23 Jun02 (benoit james)POMPELL L 123 20.00    
2  DR. SNYDER Apr17 Apr05 Feb21 Jan25 Dec29 (mojica )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  EL IT Apr27 Apr13 Mar16 Feb17 Dec02 (breaux samuel)STOKES J 120 6.00    
4  PUPPETEER (GB) Apr25 Apr11 Mar13 Feb15 Jan04 (castille carro)THORNTON G 115 10.00    
5  PRINCE COSMO Apr18 Mar22 Feb09 Jan11 Aug21 (jeansonne ju)BARRERA J 123 3.50    
6  SPECIAL TAP Apr25 Apr05       (degeyter ra)MELANCON JANSEN 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
7  PALANTE Feb15 Feb02 Oct27 Aug11 Jul29 (woodley j)ROSIER R 120 15.00    
8  NAPOLEONIC CODE Apr13 Feb01 Dec16 Nov22 Nov11 (mojica edith)QUILES ANTONIO 123 3.00 24% 3.20    
9  PINCH HITTER Nov09 Oct14 Sep12 Aug13 Jul31 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 123 15.00 22% 3.60    
 
EVD-5   05/16/2024 4950ft DIRT RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOODFORD HOLLER Mar24 Feb25 Dec28 Nov14 Sep11 (calhoun wil)MELANCON JANSEN 118 8.00    
2  SAM'S PROMISE Apr20 Mar21 Dec30     (romero d)WADE LYNDIE 118 12.00    
3  THREE POINT STRUT Apr17 Mar15 Feb04 Dec20 Dec08 (escobar alis)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 ★    
SCR  TEMPLE OF PEACE Apr19 Mar15 Feb24 Feb13 Jan27 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 111 15.00    
5  SPOKEN CODE Apr26 Mar24 Mar09 Jan21 Dec22 (mouton chadwick )ROSIER R 118 6.00 8% 11.30    
6  JACKED Apr05 Feb23 Jan13 Nov19 Sep13 (larrosa juan )VARGAS P 118 10.00    
7  RED OCTOBER Apr17 Feb24 Feb10 Jan19 Dec29 (escobar ali)SANTIAGO EDWARD 118 5.00 9% 10.30    
8  DEN'S GOOD GRACE Apr05 Mar24 Feb09 Jan13 Dec14 (delany sarah)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
9  MY DAD'S GUITAR Apr11 Feb24       (breaux )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 115 20.00 5% 19.00    
10  DONEGAL DREAMER Apr26 Apr12 Feb08 Jan21 Dec08 (noel dane)MCMAHON J 118 2.00 59% 0.70    
SCR  CONTRABAND EARLY May02 Mar16 Feb24 Jan27 Jan06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 10.00    
SCR  MONOLITH May07 Mar01 Feb11 Jan28 Dec15 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 119 3.00    
SCR  NOT LIKELY Feb09 Jan20 Dec28 Dec07 Oct28 (zenon charles)MUNOZ SERGIO 110 20.00    
SCR  BRILLIANT SPIN Mar30 Mar10 Jan13 Dec01 Oct26 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 123 8.00    
 
EVD-6   05/16/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIG SCULLY Mar14 Jan11 Dec14 Sep11 Aug12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 3.00    
2  RUN AWAY SON Apr26 Apr12 Dec08 Nov24 Jul22 (nichols bess)DEL-CID MARLON 115 20.00    
3  UNFATHOMED Apr26 Apr11 Mar13 Feb09 Dec18 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  FLASHY PREMO Apr26 Feb09 Dec14 Oct26 Oct14 (morrell cynthia)POMPELL L 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  FORT BONZ May03 Apr24 Mar07 Feb22 Feb13 (mojica edit)MELANCON JANSEN 120 1.80    
6  GALLANT STAR Apr11 Mar13 Feb18 Jan27 Jan06 (schwandt emile)MCMAHON J 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
7  GOLDEN PALACE Apr18 Mar14 Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 (ramirez eduard)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 16% 5.40    
 
EVD-7   05/16/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SWEET SASSICAIA Mar24 Feb22 Jan21 Jan13 Sep09 (thomas lee)SUAREZ ANGEL 118 3.00    
SCR  SERAPE May03 Apr17 Feb03 Jan13 Dec28 (brinkman bret)VARGAS P 118 10.00    
SCR  BLESSED ASSURANCE May03 Apr17 Mar24 Mar09 Feb21 (dison philli)MAGNON H 118 4.50    
4  BLUE RIDGE QUEEN Apr26 Apr06 Feb15 Jan20 Jan04 (toups brent)POMPELL L 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  FOR HARPER Apr26 Feb24 Feb03 Jan05 Dec01 (ducoing sturge)THORNTON G 118 2.00    
6  SPIRITED BEAUTY Mar24 Mar02 Jan26 Jan06 Dec09 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 118 3.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  DADDY HEY DADDY Apr26 Mar01 Sep03 Aug19 Apr22 (garcia lui)BARRERA J 118 15.00    
SCR  CRYSTAL D'ORO Apr18 Feb08 Jan04 Dec09 Nov25 (landry ray)ROSIER R 118 8.00    
 
EVD-8   05/16/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($16K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARDAY         (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 2.50 31% 2.20    
2  FAYE L. Apr10 Feb09       (averett ronn)BARRERA J 118 2.00 28% 2.60    
SCR  IDO SOLEMNLY SWEAR Apr27 Feb21 Feb07 Jan18 Dec27 (west henry)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
4  FIVE LEAF CLOVER Apr10 Feb03 Jan04 Dec18   (brown james )QUILES ANTONIO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  LONG LEGGED LADY Apr24 Apr10 Feb21 Nov10 Oct18 (pomier chas)SANTIAGO EDWARD 113 15.00    
6  SHEZA HOT STORM Apr10 Feb23 Feb09 Dec15 Nov18 (woodley j)MCMAHON J 118 5.00 21% 3.90    
7  ARTIE'S DEAL Apr10 Jul29 Jun09 Mar24   (cuccia j)NIEVES EMANUEL 123 6.00    
8  DEE'S LIL FOOL Feb15 Jan06 Dec20 Nov18 Oct27 (segura kearn)DEL-CID MARLON 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.