Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-3   EXA (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  2-1 $27.06 $3.06 13%
    TRI (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00  2-1-3 $23.77 $11.77 98%
ELP-4   DD (2/8/1/3)-(11/3/9/2/6) 20 $2.00 $40.00  2-11 $40.50 $0.50 1%
ELP-8   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  8 $11.70 $5.70 95%
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $2.00 $12.00  8-3 $43.30 $31.30 261%
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00  8-3-5 $52.39 $49.39 1646%
ELP-9   EXA (3/6/10/8)-(3/6/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  6-10 $26.22 $2.22 9%
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/6/10/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-6 $42.32 $18.32 76%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :46 :58     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LITTLE BLAZE 4 1 2nk 14   18 115 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 48% 1.10 0.92 W
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE 5 3 31½ 24   28 215 (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.00 16% 5.20 3.02 P
2  TRAVAILLE 2 5 42½ 48   311 317¾ (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50 3.02  
1  CITY SHACK 1 4 54½ 59   512 418½ (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00 24.85  
3  PIONEER PARADE 3 2 1nk 35   411½ 531¼ (shorter a)TORRES A 122 5.00 5% 19.00 5.35  
SCR  BOBBIE SOX               (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 124 8.00    
 
ELP-2   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:221 :441 :552     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  DREAM ON 4 4 2½ 2½   1nk 11 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00 1.51  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAMMA KIMBO by DISCREET CAT)
8  BRIE'S IN TOWN 7 1 1½ 1½   2nk 21 (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 34% 2.00 2.31 P
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
1  SWEET FANTASY 1 5 75½ 75½   34 33¼ (casse mark)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.20 3.39 S
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
6  COACH CLINT 6 7 31½ 31½   45½ 410¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 7.79  
  (by LAOBAN out of I WONDER by ARCH)
3  WACO 3 3 41½ 41½   55¾ 511¼ (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 9.28  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BEAUTIFUL TREASURE by UNBRIDLED)
5  BET ON BRET 5 6 64½ 63½   67¼ 611½ (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 27.08  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
2  GROUND SHAKER 2 2 52 52   78¼ 712¼ (hancoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00 16% 5.10 24.95  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DANDY DASHA by DUTY OFFICER)
SCR  MR. BABBS               (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MS. BUBBETTE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
 
ELP-3   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :464 :592     1:061   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  WEATHER MAP 2 2 21 21   21½ 11 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 34% 1.90 3.12 W
1  MISS SAIPAN 1 3 11 11   11½ 21 (gutier)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 108 10.00 8% 12.20 4.87 P
3  ICED MOCHA 3 1 31 31   33½ 33¼ (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00 6% 14.60 5.39 S
6  ALMOND FUDGE 5 4 43 52¾   45 45¼ (gowan william)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 2.07  
7  FANCY PRANCE 6 5 53¼ 42½   55½ 57¾ (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00 28.37  
8  AGENT 7 7 63¾ 64¾   68½ 612 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.80 2.73  
5  ZERO CLICK 4 6 713¾ 713¾   712½ 713 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 30.00 59.66  
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL               (shorter a)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  INTEGRATED DESIGN               (hamilton sar)TORRES A 118 3.00    
SCR  WEST COAST HARBOR               (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
 
ELP-4   07/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:23 :461 1:093 1:212   1:331   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  BOLTORO 9 8 74 63½ 53 31 12 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 36% 1.80 3.48 W
8  TIZ SWEET EMOTION 6 2 11 2½ 2nk 11 22 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00 15.86  
7  CHA CHA CHUKKA 5 4 52½ 52½ 64 62¾ 33 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50 5.05  
2  GOURMET 2 3 31½ 31½ 31½ 41½ 43¼ (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 7% 13.70 2.63  
1  WHY WASTE WORDS 1 6 63½ 74 74¼ 73¾ 53¾ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00 6.58 DH
9  TWO LUCYS 7 5 42½ 42 42 51¾ 53¾ (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11% 8.50 15.37 DH
3  CLASSIC CLAIRE 3 1 21 1½ 1nk 21 76¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 22% 3.50 4.14  
6  TIDAL TACTICS 4 7 97¼ 86 86¼ 86¼ 87¾ (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00 5% 19.00 15.43  
10  E B ZOOM BABY 8 9 87 96 96¾ 96¾ 910½ (gutierrez)TORRES A 118 15.00 22.92  
SCR  CANDY LOVER               (mcgee paul)TORRES A 118 4.00    
SCR  MELIDOUS SONNET               (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
 
ELP-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:121 1:381   1:511   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  WELAKA 2 5 43½ 33½ 31 2nk 1nk (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00 4.92  
7  THE THUNDERER 4 2 2½ 2nk 2nk 1nk 2nk (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 2.58  
2  NAVY SOUL 1 4 66 45½ 42 35 311¼ (pittman bonni)FUENTES ERICK 113 30.00 5% 19.00 31.37 S
10  EFFICIENCY 6 6 54 56 52½ 57 413¾ (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 10% 9.00 4.96  
6  CAMP DADDY 3 1 1½ 1nk 1nk 46½ 514¼ (hernandez ar)TORRES A 123 2.50 57% 0.80 2.03  
9  HUGE BIGLY 5 3 33 66¼ 65 69 622 (shorter a)TORRES A 123 3.50 3.23  
SCR  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT               (camejo m)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00    
SCR  BOOGIE BODE               (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 30.00    
SCR  LEBLON               (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 6.00    
SCR  PALACE KITTEN               (cambray an)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/14/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($79K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:241 :48 1:114 1:343   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FUERTEVENTURA 3 2 21 2½ 2½ 1nk 1¼ (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 31% 2.30 1.33 W
1  QUADRA ISLAND 1 6 32 32 42 42¾ 2¼ (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00 7.02  
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE 5 1 11 1½ 1½ 2nk 3½ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 14% 6.00 3.91 S
4  BARBERINI 4 7 63½ 74 63 32½ 4½ (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50 9.45  
8  GENTLE SOUL 8 8 85½ 87 85½ 75¼ 51¾ (calhoun w)TORRES A 122 5.00 7.66  
6  ELUSIVE TARGET 6 3 42½ 42½ 52 64¾ 63¾ (maker michae)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 7.53  
7  HIDDEN STASH 7 4 73½ 64 31½ 53¾ 74¾ (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 29% 2.50 8.80  
2  ODE TO BALIUS 2 5 53 53½ 73½ 87¼ 88¼ (torres co)BEALMEAR C 118 30.00 37.87  
SCR  BACKGROUND               (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
See original race card.
:221 :46 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  DBOOK 2 3 44½ 33½   35 1nk (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00 11.19  
5  MUSIC MAN 3 1 11 12   14 2nk (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30 0.73 P
1  SUNNY MAGIC 1 4 32½ 44½   45½ 33 (devaux cherie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7% 13.30 5.17 S
8  SELL IT 4 2 21 22   24 44½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 41% 1.40 4.44  
9  GALLO DE FUEGO 5 5 510½ 520½   523½ 526¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00 3.76  
SCR  HEDGE               (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
SCR  OPTICAL               (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
SCR  REAL CONVICTION               (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  SEMINOLE MAN               (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
 
ELP-8   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:211 :43 :543     1:002   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET 6 1 2½ 2½   2½ 11¾ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 41% 1.50 4.85 W
3  LINZER 2 4 1½ 1½   1½ 21¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 16% 5.40 1.89 P
5  ARABIAN PRINCE 3 5 63½ 63½   43 32¼ (barnett b)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00 12.89 S
1  TRUE JEDI 1 6 31½ 31½   31½ 43 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 12.00 2.65  
7  POLSTER 5 2 52 52   63¼ 53½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 5.27  
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE 4 3 42 42   53 64½ (divito ja)TORRES A 122 2.50 4.22  
SCR  COULDITBEMAJIC               (brennan ter)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
SCR  IRISH HEARTBEAT               (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:114 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAXWELL 4 7 75¾ 76 52¾ 41½ 1¼ (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 6.00 24% 3.10 1.88 W
  (by UNCLE MO out of VELVETY by HERMITAGE (CHI))
10  TOP GUN ROCKET 6 4 3½ 31 1nk 1½ 2¼ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00 10% 8.80 4.39 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
4  TAPIT FOR THE WIN 3 6 52 52 31½ 31 3¼ (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00 14.14  
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
3  BOURBON SOCIETY 2 1 1nk 1½ 2nk 2½ 42¼ (wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 45% 1.20 1.70  
  (by BERNARDINI out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
2  STORMY PASSAGE 1 3 41½ 41½ 63¼ 53½ 57¾ (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00 15.19  
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
15  BLACK IRON 7 5 62¼ 62 41¾ 65 68½ (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 12.00 6.42  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZSOMTHINGSPECIAL by TIZNOW)
8  MISSION RIVER 5 2 2nk 2½ 77¼ 715 763¾ (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00 20.15  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
SCR  STAR TOPPER               (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
SCR  MOBSTER               (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MEADOW BREEZE by MEADOWLAKE)
SCR  MELLIFLUOUS               (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  MANDALORIAN               (vanden ber)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DYNAMIC DOLL by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DIVE BOMBER               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DAISY by BLAME)
SCR  COMMUTED               (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FINAL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  WARP NINE               (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
SCR  ASK ARTHUR               (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.