Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (8/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (2/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (11/3/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (6/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-6   Win (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (3/6/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY SHACK Jun22 Jun10 May26 May07 Apr21 (burdess )BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00    
2  TRAVAILLE Jun08 Apr27 Mar01 Jan25 Dec31 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
3  PIONEER PARADE Jun08 Apr27 Apr06 Mar24 Mar09 (shorter aar)TORRES A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LITTLE BLAZE Jun14 Apr27 Mar16 Mar01 Feb03 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  BOBBIE SOX Jun20 Jun02 May16 Apr20 Aug08 (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 124 8.00    
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jun13 May23 Dec13 Nov08 Sep30 (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
ELP-2   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FANTASY Jun22 May09       (casse mark)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
2  GROUND SHAKER Jun05         (hancock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00 16% 5.10    
3  WACO         (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
4  DREAM ON Jun20         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
5  BET ON BRET         (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
6  COACH CLINT         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MR. BABBS         (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
8  BRIE'S IN TOWN Jun23         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
 
ELP-3   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SAIPAN Jun20 Jun02 Apr14 Jun17   (gutierre)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 108 10.00 8% 12.20    
2  WEATHER MAP Apr28 Apr06 Feb17 Dec13 Nov01 (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  ICED MOCHA Jun20 Nov03 Oct10     (werre )PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  WEST COAST HARBOR May19 May02 Apr20 Mar07 Feb19 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
5  ZERO CLICK Jun14 Apr30 Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 30.00    
6  ALMOND FUDGE Jun19 Jun01 May16 Jan12 Nov08 (gowan william)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
7  FANCY PRANCE Jun26 Jun04 Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
8  AGENT Jun10 Apr20 Feb29 Sep13 Jul20 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL Apr27 Mar22 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  INTEGRATED DESIGN Jun24 Jun05 Apr20 Mar20 Feb23 (hamilton sarah)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 
ELP-4   07/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WASTE WORDS Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 Dec15 Nov05 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00    
2  GOURMET Jun05 May12 Apr20 Mar14 Feb17 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
3  CLASSIC CLAIRE Jun06 Feb29 Feb01 Dec14 Nov01 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MELIDOUS SONNET         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  CANDY LOVER May23 Apr18 Mar13 Feb04 Nov25 (mcgee paul)TORRES A 118 4.00    
6  TIDAL TACTICS Jun04 May14 Dec21 Nov23 Sep13 (lauer micha)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHA CHA CHUKKA Jun06 Dec28 Nov04 Sep28   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
8  TIZ SWEET EMOTION Jun15 May16 May03 Mar23 Jan10 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
9  TWO LUCYS May29 Apr17 Mar28 Dec13   (mckeever andre)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
10  E B ZOOM BABY May19         (gutierrez f)TORRES A 118 15.00    
11  BOLTORO Apr24 Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 (vanden berg)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT May01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 (camejo m)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00    
2  NAVY SOUL Jun07 May16 Apr14 Nov30 Oct08 (pittman bonnie)FUENTES ERICK 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOOGIE BODE May26 May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb09 (shorter aar)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 30.00    
4  WELAKA Jun28 Jun02 Apr11 Mar22 Aug26 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00    
SCR  PALACE KITTEN Jun26 Jun07 May25 May05 Apr27 (cambray andr)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 15.00    
6  CAMP DADDY Jun07 Apr28 Apr06 Feb29 Feb03 (hernandez arma)TORRES A 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  THE THUNDERER May26 Apr17 Mar15 Feb17 Dec29 (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00    
SCR  LEBLON Jun26 Jun07 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 6.00    
9  HUGE BIGLY Jun07 Apr05 Mar21 Feb02 Nov09 (shorter aar)TORRES A 123 3.50    
10  EFFICIENCY Jun02 May10 Apr05 Mar08 Feb24 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
ELP-6   07/14/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($79K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUADRA ISLAND Jun29 May18 Apr11 Feb17 Dec23 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
2  ODE TO BALIUS Jun18 Apr26 Mar23 Mar02 Aug12 (torres concepcion)PEREZ E 118 30.00    
3  FUERTEVENTURA Jun06 Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 (thomas jonatha)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  BARBERINI Jun06 May02 Mar02 Jan05 Nov30 (cowans d)ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50    
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jun15 May04 Mar30 Sep23 Aug13 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  ELUSIVE TARGET Jun19 May18 Mar30 Mar01 Feb03 (maker michael )TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HIDDEN STASH Jun28 Jun06 May13 Apr14 Feb16 (oliver victor)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
8  GENTLE SOUL Jun19 May27 Apr19 Jul08 Jun01 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 122 5.00    
SCR  BACKGROUND Jun19 May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY MAGIC Jun08         (devaux cherie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  OPTICAL Jun22         (desormeaux j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
3  DBOOK Jun14         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  REAL CONVICTION         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
5  MUSIC MAN Jun14         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SEMINOLE MAN         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  HEDGE Jun13         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
8  SELL IT Jun21         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
9  GALLO DE FUEGO         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE JEDI Jun16 May18 Apr07 Mar08 Feb03 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  COULDITBEMAJIC Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 Jun24   (brennan terry)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
3  LINZER Jun16 Apr16 Mar06 Jan18 Dec22 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  IRISH HEARTBEAT Jun11 May18 Mar31 Mar03   (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
5  ARABIAN PRINCE Oct25 Sep22 Sep13 Jul23 Jun23 (barnett bob)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE May05 Apr14 Mar14 Jan01 Dec09 (divito jame)TORRES A 122 2.50    
7  POLSTER Jun16 May17 Apr12 Mar16   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET Jun13 May01 Mar23 Feb10 Dec21 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 41% 1.50    
 
ELP-9   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MELLIFLUOUS May24 Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 Jan13 (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
2  STORMY PASSAGE         (kenneally eddie)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
3  BOURBON SOCIETY Jun23 Apr06 Mar16 Jan13 Dec17 (wilkes r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
4  TAPIT FOR THE WIN Jun15 May02 Mar30     (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
SCR  STAR TOPPER Jun23 May27       (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
6  MAXWELL Jun09         (walsh brend)TORRES A 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  MANDALORIAN Jun06 May11       (vanden berg )CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
8  MISSION RIVER Jun09         (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MOBSTER Jun21 May27 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
10  TOP GUN ROCKET May27 May04 Feb16 Nov25 Oct29 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  DIVE BOMBER Jun08 May04 Sep02 Jul22   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
SCR  ASK ARTHUR Jun15 May19 Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
SCR  COMMUTED Jul13 Jun21       (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
SCR  WARP NINE Dec15 Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
15  BLACK IRON         (asmussen m)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.