Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Sunday - July 14, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/3)-(8/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/6/3)-(8/1/2/6)-(2/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-2   WIN (8/1/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6)-(8/1/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/2/6)-(2/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/2/6)-(2/8/1/3)-(11/3/9/2/6) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
ELP-3   WIN (2/8/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3)-(2/8/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/8/1/3)-(11/3/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/1/3)-(11/3/9/2/6)-(6/10/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-4   WIN (11/3/9/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/3/9/2/6)-(11/3/9/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/3/9/2/6)-(11/3/9/2/6)-(11/3/9/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/3/9/2/6)-(6/10/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/3/9/2/6)-(6/10/2)-(3/7/5/6) 60 $0.50 $180 
ELP-5   WIN (6/10/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/10/2)-(6/10/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/10/2)-(6/10/2)-(6/10/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/10/2)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/10/2)-(3/7/5/6)-(8/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-6   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(8/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(8/5/1)-(8/3/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-7   WIN (8/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/5/1)-(8/5/1)-(8/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/5/1)-(8/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/5/1)-(8/3/5)-(3/6/10/8) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-8   WIN (8/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/5)-(8/3/5)-(8/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/5)-(3/6/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ELP-9   WIN (3/6/10/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/10/8)-(3/6/10/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/10/8)-(3/6/10/8)-(3/6/10/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY SHACK Jun22 Jun10 May26 May07 Apr21 (burdes)BAILON JADHIR 120 8.00    
2  TRAVAILLE Jun08 Apr27 Mar01 Jan25 Dec31 (catalano wayne)MACHADO LUAN 122 2.50    
3  PIONEER PARADE Jun08 Apr27 Apr06 Mar24 Mar09 (shorter a)TORRES A 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
4  LITTLE BLAZE Jun14 Apr27 Mar16 Mar01 Feb03 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 122 2.00 48% 1.10    
SCR  BOBBIE SOX Jun20 Jun02 May16 Apr20 Aug08 (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 124 8.00    
6  SPARKLE OF HOPE Jun13 May23 Dec13 Nov08 Sep30 (foley greg)TORRES A 122 3.00 16% 5.20    
 
ELP-2   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FANTASY Jun22 May09       (casse mark)TORRES A 119 4.50 19% 4.20    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of SWEET JACKIE JO by STORMY ATLANTIC)
2  GROUND SHAKER Jun05         (hancoc)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DANDY DASHA by DUTY OFFICER)
3  WACO         (lukas wayne)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of BEAUTIFUL TREASURE by UNBRIDLED)
4  DREAM ON Jun20         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MAMMA KIMBO by DISCREET CAT)
5  BET ON BRET         (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
6  COACH CLINT         (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of I WONDER by ARCH)
SCR  MR. BABBS         (wilkes ia)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of MS. BUBBETTE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
8  BRIE'S IN TOWN Jun23         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 2.00 34% 2.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BRIELLE'S APPEAL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
ELP-3   07/14/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS SAIPAN Jun20 Jun02 Apr14 Jun17   (gutier)GUTIERREZ RAMOS 108 10.00 8% 12.20    
2  WEATHER MAP Apr28 Apr06 Feb17 Dec13 Nov01 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
3  ICED MOCHA Jun20 Nov03 Oct10     (werr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 122 10.00 6% 14.60    
SCR  WEST COAST HARBOR May19 May02 Apr20 Mar07 Feb19 (puhich mike)ELLIOTT JANE 118 10.00    
5  ZERO CLICK Jun14 Apr30 Mar29 Mar01 Feb08 (norris mike)CANUTO THIAGO 122 30.00    
6  ALMOND FUDGE Jun19 Jun01 May16 Jan12 Nov08 (gowan william)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
7  FANCY PRANCE Jun26 Jun04 Apr13 Mar22 Mar07 (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
8  AGENT Jun10 Apr20 Feb29 Sep13 Jul20 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 3.50 26% 2.80    
SCR  BUSINESS AS USUAL Apr27 Mar22 Mar07 Feb11 Jan12 (shorter a)TORRES A 118 5.00    
SCR  INTEGRATED DESIGN Jun24 Jun05 Apr20 Mar20 Feb23 (hamilton sar)TORRES A 118 3.00    
 
ELP-4   07/14/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WHY WASTE WORDS Jun26 Jun04 Apr21 Dec15 Nov05 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 5.00    
2  GOURMET Jun05 May12 Apr20 Mar14 Feb17 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 7% 13.70    
3  CLASSIC CLAIRE Jun06 Feb29 Feb01 Dec14 Nov01 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  MELIDOUS SONNET         (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 118 30.00    
SCR  CANDY LOVER May23 Apr18 Mar13 Feb04 Nov25 (mcgee paul)TORRES A 118 4.00    
6  TIDAL TACTICS Jun04 May14 Dec21 Nov23 Sep13 (lauer mic)BEALMEAR C 117 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CHA CHA CHUKKA Jun06 Dec28 Nov04 Sep28   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 3.50    
8  TIZ SWEET EMOTION Jun15 May16 May03 Mar23 Jan10 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 15.00    
9  TWO LUCYS May29 Apr17 Mar28 Dec13   (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 11% 8.50    
10  E B ZOOM BABY May19         (gutierrez)TORRES A 118 15.00    
11  BOLTORO Apr24 Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 (vanden be)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 36% 1.80    
 
ELP-5   07/14/2024 5940ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ALLNIGHT MOONLIGHT May01 Jan13 Dec09 Nov18 Aug05 (camejo m)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00    
2  NAVY SOUL Jun07 May16 Apr14 Nov30 Oct08 (pittman bonni)FUENTES ERICK 113 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BOOGIE BODE May26 May05 Apr05 Mar01 Feb09 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 123 30.00    
4  WELAKA Jun28 Jun02 Apr11 Mar22 Aug26 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 12.00    
SCR  PALACE KITTEN Jun26 Jun07 May25 May05 Apr27 (cambray an)ANDERSON MCKENNA 123 15.00    
6  CAMP DADDY Jun07 Apr28 Apr06 Feb29 Feb03 (hernandez ar)TORRES A 123 2.50 57% 0.80    
7  THE THUNDERER May26 Apr17 Mar15 Feb17 Dec29 (morse l)BEJARANO R 123 3.00    
SCR  LEBLON Jun26 Jun07 Mar07 Feb16 Jan31 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 123 6.00    
9  HUGE BIGLY Jun07 Apr05 Mar21 Feb02 Nov09 (shorter a)TORRES A 123 3.50    
10  EFFICIENCY Jun02 May10 Apr05 Mar08 Feb24 (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 6.00 10% 9.00    
 
ELP-6   07/14/2024 5940ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($79K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUADRA ISLAND Jun29 May18 Apr11 Feb17 Dec23 (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 122 6.00    
2  ODE TO BALIUS Jun18 Apr26 Mar23 Mar02 Aug12 (torres concepcion)PEREZ E 118 30.00    
3  FUERTEVENTURA Jun06 Apr04 Mar14 Oct13 Aug05 (thomas jonat)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.00 31% 2.30    
4  BARBERINI Jun06 May02 Mar02 Jan05 Nov30 (cowans william )ACHARD ALEX 122 4.50    
5  OSCAR ECLIPSE Jun15 May04 Mar30 Sep23 Aug13 (lynch a)GRAHAM J 122 3.50 14% 6.00    
6  ELUSIVE TARGET Jun19 May18 Mar30 Mar01 Feb03 (maker michae)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  HIDDEN STASH Jun28 Jun06 May13 Apr14 Feb16 (oliver vict)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 29% 2.50    
8  GENTLE SOUL Jun19 May27 Apr19 Jul08 Jun01 (calhoun w)TORRES A 122 5.00    
SCR  BACKGROUND Jun19 May18 May03 Jul15 Jun04 (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00    
 
ELP-7   07/14/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUNNY MAGIC Jun08         (devaux cherie)GARCIA MARTIN 119 5.00 7% 13.30    
SCR  OPTICAL Jun22         (desormeaux)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
3  DBOOK Jun14         (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  REAL CONVICTION         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
5  MUSIC MAN Jun14         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.00 30% 2.30    
SCR  SEMINOLE MAN         (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
SCR  HEDGE Jun13         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
8  SELL IT Jun21         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.50 41% 1.40    
9  GALLO DE FUEGO         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-8   07/14/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUE JEDI Jun16 May18 Apr07 Mar08 Feb03 (cano munoz)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  COULDITBEMAJIC Sep15 Aug13 Jul15 Jun24   (brennan ter)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
3  LINZER Jun16 Apr16 Mar06 Jan18 Dec22 (sharp joe)TORRES A 118 3.50 16% 5.40    
SCR  IRISH HEARTBEAT Jun11 May18 Mar31 Mar03   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 5.00    
5  ARABIAN PRINCE Oct25 Sep22 Sep13 Jul23 Jun23 (barnett b)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  PLAUSIBLE DENILE May05 Apr14 Mar14 Jan01 Dec09 (divito ja)TORRES A 122 2.50    
7  POLSTER Jun16 May17 Apr12 Mar16   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
8  RUNNIN' ROCKET Jun13 May01 Mar23 Feb10 Dec21 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 4.00 41% 1.50    
 
ELP-9   07/14/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MELLIFLUOUS May24 Apr13 Mar09 Feb02 Jan13 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 118 15.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of FAIRY STAR by MORE THAN READY)
2  STORMY PASSAGE         (kenneally edd)CANNON DECLAN 118 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LAKE NAIVASHA by EMPIRE MAKER)
3  BOURBON SOCIETY Jun23 Apr06 Mar16 Jan13 Dec17 (wilkes ian)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by BERNARDINI out of GIGGLIN' GAL by CONSOLIDATOR)
4  TAPIT FOR THE WIN Jun15 May02 Mar30     (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  STAR TOPPER Jun23 May27       (hiles a)LANERIE J 118 15.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of SILVER WAVE by STAR DABBLER)
6  MAXWELL Jun09         (walsh bre)TORRES A 118 6.00 24% 3.10    
  (by UNCLE MO out of VELVETY by HERMITAGE (CHI))
SCR  MANDALORIAN Jun06 May11       (vanden ber)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of DYNAMIC DOLL by GHOSTZAPPER)
8  MISSION RIVER Jun09         (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of STAGEPLAY by CURLIN)
SCR  MOBSTER Jun21 May27 Jan21 Dec26 Nov26 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 124 4.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of MEADOW BREEZE by MEADOWLAKE)
10  TOP GUN ROCKET May27 May04 Feb16 Nov25 Oct29 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00 10% 8.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
SCR  DIVE BOMBER Jun08 May04 Sep02 Jul22   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.50    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of DAISY by BLAME)
SCR  ASK ARTHUR Jun15 May19 Apr06 Feb23 Feb09 (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of HEART OF MIDWAY by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
SCR  COMMUTED Jul13 Jun21       (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of FINAL HOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
SCR  WARP NINE Dec15 Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
15  BLACK IRON         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of TIZSOMTHINGSPECIAL by TIZNOW)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.