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Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!


Ellis Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

			Wgr	Pick						Tot	Bet	Bet	Winning		Pay
			Type	Numbers						Tkts	Unit	Amt	Numbers		Amt			Profit				ROI

ELP-3			WIN	(5/8/9/4)						4	$2.00	$8.00	8		$11.10			$3.10				39%
ELP-4			WIN	(6/5/1)						3	$2.00	$6.00	5		$8.18			$2.18				36%
			DD	(5/8/9/4)-(6/5/1)						12	$2.00	$24.00	8-5		$43.66			$19.66				82%
ELP-5			WIN	(9/3/4/1)						4	$2.00	$8.00	3		$8.86			$0.86				11%
			EXA	(9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)						16	$2.00	$32.00	3-10		$59.20			$27.20				85%
			TRI	(9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)						48	$0.50	$24.00	3-10-9		$57.73			$33.73				141%
			DD	(6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1)						12	$2.00	$24.00	5-3		$32.74			$8.74				36%
			PK3	(5/8/9/4)-(6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1)						48	$0.50	$24.00	8-5-3		$70.77			$46.77				195%
ELP-6			WIN	(5/2/7)						3	$2.00	$6.00	2		$13.20			$7.20				120%
			EXA	(5/2/7)-(5/2/7)						6	$2.00	$12.00	2-7		$49.38			$37.38				312%
			DD	(9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-2		$56.68			$32.68				136%
			PK3	(6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7)						36	$0.50	$18.00	5-3-2		$74.05			$56.05				311%
ELP-7			WIN	(2/8/4/1/7)						5	$2.00	$10.00	4		$11.36			$1.36				14%
			DD	(5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7)						15	$2.00	$30.00	2-4		$89.78			$59.78				199%
			PK3	(9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7)						60	$0.50	$30.00	3-2-4		$113.45			$83.45				278%
ELP-8			EXA	(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)						12	$2.00	$24.00	3-4		$44.44			$20.44				85%
			TRI	(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)						24	$0.50	$12.00	3-4-6		$65.36			$53.36				445%
			DD	(2/8/4/1/7)-(4/8/3/6)						20	$2.00	$40.00	4-3		$54.80			$14.80				37%
			PK3	(5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7)-(4/8/3/6)						60	$0.50	$30.00	2-4-3		$71.14			$41.14				137%

Simulator Race results


ELP-1			07/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC6	FAST	Optional Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($31K)			3UP		M/F		PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
6	MAZOKU									(butcher j)BEALMEAR C 117						0.60		57%		0.80		0.43	W
4	STAND BY YOU									(watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122						4.50		17%		4.80		7.06	P
2	SHIP IT									(esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122						10.00						8.65
3	CRACKALACKING									(hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122						5.00						6.38
1	HONEY RUN									(heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122						15.00		5%		19.00		22.59
5	SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI									(brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						20.00						32.30
7	GOSHEN									(foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112						10.00		5%		19.00		11.53

ELP-2			07/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($16K)					Purse ($25K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	MOON FLEET									(roberson denni)CASTANON L 119						4.50						4.16
4	BOLD APPEAL									(moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 119						1.40		61%		0.60		0.58	P
7	VINO VELOCE									(puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 114						8.00		5%		19.00		9.81	S
1	LOW KEY FLEX									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119						5.00						4.21
5	NIGHT CRY									(pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119						20.00		5%		19.00		26.47
6	RISK THE WIND									(medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						8.00						13.93
SCR	E STORMY									(foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109						12.00
SCR	NAUGHTY MISS									(cano mu)TORRES A 119						6.00

ELP-3			07/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC2	FAST	Mdn Opt Clm ($50K)					Purse ($44K)			2		F		PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
8	CONTINUITY									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						6.00		10%		8.70		4.55	W
2	LOVEBUG									(hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119						15.00						8.11
5	IBUKI									(brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119						4.00		46%		1.20		3.51	S
4	PREYATHOUSANDWORDS									(veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119						20.00		5%		19.00		10.45
9	WAVER									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119						5.00		8%		11.50		5.27
6	STATLER INN									(hancock a)LANERIE J 119						10.00						3.01
10	INDY'S UNIVERSE									(davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119						4.50						3.86
SCR	ANONIMA									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119						12.00
SCR	BAYTOWN SHINJUKU									(mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112						30.00
SCR	GRACE ON GRACE									(demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119						3.00

ELP-4			07/13/2024		3960ft	DIRT	RC7	FAST	Claiming ($30K)					Purse ($32K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
5	TAGLIATELLE									(foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118						4.00		25%		3.00		3.09	W
2	EXPRESS CRUISER									(camejo m)BEJARANO R 118						3.50						4.50
1	BOBWHITE BOBBY									(von hemel )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122						8.00		5%		19.00		7.33	S
6	EDDIE M									(arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 122						2.50		31%		2.20		4.96
3	WESTERN COMMAND									(amoss m)LANERIE J 122						3.00						2.25
4	CITY OF CLOUDS									(santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 122						4.50						4.21

ELP-5			07/13/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC5	FIRM	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			2		F		PT- 2:53
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LADY ORIENT									(amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119						4.50		18%		4.50		3.43	W
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of SECOND COMING by GHOSTZAPPER)
10	DON'T CALL ME BABE									(walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119						5.00		★				5.79	P
		(by TIZ THE LAW out of THAT VOODOO YOUDO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
9	BOIS BLANC									(wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 119						3.50		40%		1.50		3.80	S
		(by FIRST SAMURAI out of FLORIAN by TWIN TIME)
11	PRINCESS SKAYA									(maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119						8.00						6.59
		(by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2	FIXIN TO BEE									(arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119						20.00						18.51
		(by MSHAWISH out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
1	CITY COCKTAILS									(kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119						15.00		5%		19.00		13.11
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of COCKTAILS ON TAP by TAPIZAR)
12	PRESHA									(walden william)ACHARD ALEX 119						5.00						6.33
		(by OMAHA BEACH out of HUMOR ME DIXIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4	MELITTLEFROSTGIRL									(hancock joh)CONCEPCION AXEL 119						15.00		17%		5.00		7.06
		(by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT FROST by FROSTED (GB))
7	SWEET BEBSI									(walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 119						15.00						12.15
		(by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
8	BY REQUEST									(calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119						20.00						23.60
		(by MENDELSSOHN out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
SCR	PAX AMERICANA									(lynch a)GRAHAM J 119						5.00
		(by WAR FRONT out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
SCR	PONDERING									(walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119						4.00
		(by HARD SPUN out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
SCR	SHE'S ALL CHARM									(harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119						3.00
		(by MORE THAN READY out of TOO CHARMING by BERNARDINI)
SCR	VICTORY WALTZ									(corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119						6.00
		(by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)

ELP-6			07/13/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC4	FAST	Maiden Claimer ($16K)					Purse ($25K)			3UP		ALL		PT- 3:22
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
2	AMERICAN RAIDER									(asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 124						6.00		22%		3.50		5.60	W
7	QUEBRANCHO									(bahena ismael)MACHADO LUAN 118						5.00		6%		14.60		6.92	P
4	ENDLESS REIGN									(lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 118						3.50						1.80
5	CHULLIGAN									(shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 124						3.00		45%		1.20		1.02
8	TIE BREAKER LENNIE									(romans dale)LANERIE J 118						12.00						10.82
SCR	PENROD									(moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118						4.50
SCR	QUIET RUSH									(arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118						4.00
SCR	WEEKEND FLAME									(gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 108						30.00

ELP-7			07/13/2024		5280ft	DIRT	RC5	FAST	Maiden Sp Wt					Purse ($71K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 3:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
4	PLAYBACK									(lobo h)ROMAN A 118						4.50		19%		4.30		4.68	W
		(by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5	CHURNING BERNI									(pessin l)LANERIE J 118						20.00						28.04
		(by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
9	BABY AVERY									(vance tho)BEALMEAR C 111						30.00						24.75
		(by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
1	PENNY ROYAL									(asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118						3.50		10%		8.70		4.20
		(by CURLIN out of GLINDA THE GOOD by HARD SPUN)
3	PRETTY PERTINENT									(molloy th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118						15.00						11.82
		(by LIAM'S MAP out of PRETTY PROLIFIC by LION HEART)
7	SKYLAROSE									(o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118						15.00		5%		19.00		16.58
		(by SKY MESA out of PISTOL PACKIN ROSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
2	BOLT'S BROAD									(delima e)SAEZ GABRIEL 124						8.00		28%		2.60		6.09
		(by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
8	SUSTANCIA									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124						5.00		22%		3.60		3.91
		(by VIOLENCE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
6	AVALON GIRL									(moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118						12.00						14.52
		(by CATALINA CRUISER out of FLASH OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
10	SHEZALITTLESTINKER									(catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00						9.46
		(by GUN RUNNER out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12	POLITICAL SPIN									(mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118						15.00						39.08
		(by COLLECTED out of PICK UP LINE by HARD SPUN)
11	VIABLE									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118						10.00						8.36
		(by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)

ELP-8			07/13/2024		3630ft	TURF	RC10	FIRM	Allowance					Purse ($73K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	MAKEUP									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 118						4.00		23%		3.30		2.31	W
4	LA LA ROSE									(foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118						3.50		28%		2.50		3.95	P
6	CABERNEIGH									(barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118						12.00		5%		19.00		8.32	S
5	PLUM TRICKY									(stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118						5.00						9.16
7	FLUENT									(drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122						12.00						26.93
8	DETERMINED CANDY									(devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118						6.00		23%		3.30		3.60
2	SACOS STOGIE									(acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 120						30.00						32.18
9	OUR DOTSIE									(oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122						4.50						3.55
SCR	ARMY GIRL									(wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122						20.00
SCR	SICKLE DANCE									(danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124						8.00

ELP-9			07/13/2024		5280ft	TURF	RC7	FIRM	Claiming ($16K)					Purse ($28K)			3UP		M/F		PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.																M/L		W/P		B/E		F/O
3	LADY MERCEDES									(forster t)LANERIE J 123						6.00						4.02
5	CANT KEEP ME DOWN									(salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 123						6.00		20%		4.00		3.64	P
2	SHE'S JERSEY TUFF									(kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123						6.00						8.59
7	MISS TAPPY TONE									(hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123						3.50		30%		2.40		2.93
1	BELLA CRUELLA									(williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 113						6.00		8%		12.10		4.54
10	LIL TOWN SIS									(asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 125						6.00		10%		8.70		8.83
8	RUN RUN RABBIT									(fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118						30.00		5%		19.00		43.16
4	ALAMO									(lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118						8.00						12.35
6	HATTIE M									(huffman pa)CORRALES GERARDO 123						8.00						15.69
SCR	LUCKY ANA									(douaihy m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123						15.00



	Labels:
	M/L	Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
	W/P	Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
	B/E	Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
	F/O	Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

	Two Groups of Contenders:
	Win Contenders
		The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
	Place/Show Contenders
		The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

	Legal:
	Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.