Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (5/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (9/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (2/8/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (7/5/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY RUN Jun14 May19 Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHIP IT Jun14 Feb17 Jan11 Dec27 Nov24 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
3  CRACKALACKING Jun13 May23 Apr17 Jun11 May13 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
4  STAND BY YOU May25 Apr19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul14 (watkins jame)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Nov08 Aug28 Jul31 Jun23 May26 (brennan terr)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
6  MAZOKU Jun21 May25 Apr30 Apr10 Mar15 (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 117 0.60 57% 0.80    
7  GOSHEN May17 Apr30 Apr10 Mar20 Jan24 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW KEY FLEX May17         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
2  MOON FLEET May31 May04 Apr17 Feb14 Jan17 (roberson dennis)CASTANON L 119 4.50    
SCR  E STORMY Apr14 Mar29 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109 12.00    
4  BOLD APPEAL Jun19 Mar24 Feb17 Dec31   (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.40 61% 0.60    
5  NIGHT CRY         (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RISK THE WIND         (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
7  VINO VELOCE Jun19 May17 Apr17 Aug04   (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS Jun19 May24 May03 Mar28 Sep20 (cano muno)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE Jun09 May27 May10     (demeritte larry)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
2  LOVEBUG Jun09         (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
SCR  ANONIMA         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
4  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Jun16         (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  IBUKI         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  STATLER INN Jun28         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Jun17 May10 Apr18     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
8  CONTINUITY         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
9  WAVER Jun28         (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.50    
10  INDY'S UNIVERSE Jun22 May19       (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
 
ELP-4   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBWHITE BOBBY Jun08 May09 Apr12 Feb11 Dec15 (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXPRESS CRUISER Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 Feb09 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
3  WESTERN COMMAND Jun12 May18 Mar24 Feb03 Jan04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 3.00    
4  CITY OF CLOUDS Jun08 May25 May05 Apr21 Mar24 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
5  TAGLIATELLE Jun16 May25 May09 Apr12 Mar20 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  EDDIE M May29 Sep13 Aug04 Jun25 May28 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
ELP-5   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY COCKTAILS         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  FIXIN TO BEE         (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
3  LADY ORIENT         (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Jun22         (hancock a)LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.00    
7  SWEET BEBSI         (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
8  BY REQUEST         (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
9  BOIS BLANC May11 Apr26       (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
10  DON'T CALL ME BABE         (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★    
11  PRINCESS SKAYA         (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
12  PRESHA         (walden will)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
SCR  PAX AMERICANA         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
SCR  PONDERING         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
 
ELP-6   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEEKEND FLAME Jun23         (gowan william)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
2  AMERICAN RAIDER Jun19 May23 Apr27 Mar21 Feb17 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  PENROD May11 Apr12 Jan13 Dec09 Oct01 (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
4  ENDLESS REIGN May24 Mar30 Mar03     (lynch brian )CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
5  CHULLIGAN Jun23 May30 May11 Oct16 Sep04 (shirer a)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  QUIET RUSH Jun07 May01 Apr10 Mar08 Nov01 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00    
7  QUEBRANCHO Jun19 May26 Apr12 Mar28 Mar21 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 118 5.00 6% 14.60    
8  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Jun23 Jun05 Mar13 Feb29 Dec24 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY ROYAL May25         (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
2  BOLT'S BROAD Jun20 May01 Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 (delima e)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
3  PRETTY PERTINENT         (molloy thom)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
4  PLAYBACK Jan10 Nov29 Oct29 Jun30   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
5  CHURNING BERNI Jun07 Apr27 Mar14 Feb13 Dec21 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
6  AVALON GIRL Jun12 Nov22       (moquett e)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
7  SKYLAROSE May30         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  SUSTANCIA Jun22 May03 Feb29     (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
9  BABY AVERY Jun20 May18 Apr28 Mar29 Mar08 (vance thoma)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
10  SHEZALITTLESTINKER Jun08         (catalano wayn)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
11  VIABLE Jan10 Nov29 Nov03     (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
12  POLITICAL SPIN         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
 
ELP-8   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMY GIRL Jun24 Feb23 Jan10 Dec21 Oct30 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
2  SACOS STOGIE Jun16 May20 Apr17 Mar14   (acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
3  MAKEUP Oct19 Aug26       (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  LA LA ROSE Jun19 May11 Jan06     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  PLUM TRICKY Jun05 Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
6  CABERNEIGH Jun15 Apr20 Mar07 Feb21 Jan17 (barker w)CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLUENT May18 Jun18 Mar26 Feb20   (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
8  DETERMINED CANDY Jun02 Apr12       (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  OUR DOTSIE Jun28 May30 Mar03 Jan31 Nov29 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
SCR  SICKLE DANCE Jun18 Dec21 Nov24 Sep02 Aug18 (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA CRUELLA Jun19 May10 Apr12 Mar13 Feb09 (williamson bri)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 8% 12.10    
2  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 Nov21 Nov09 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00    
3  LADY MERCEDES Jun22 May09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
4  ALAMO Jun08 May09 Apr19 Mar28 Mar01 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
5  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Jun19 May09 Apr07 Mar15 Feb24 (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  HATTIE M Jun22 Oct18 Sep07 Aug03 Jul08 (huffman pa)RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
7  MISS TAPPY TONE Jun01 Apr30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  RUN RUN RABBIT Jun08 May08 Apr17 Mar01 Jan27 (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY ANA Jun13 May18 May08 Apr14 Mar09 (douaihy mic)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
10  LIL TOWN SIS Jun14 May19 Apr19 Mar21 Mar09 (asmussen steven )MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.