Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Free horse Racing Picks, Strong Longshots and Vulnerable Favorites."
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
 
The Longshot Specialist!
Ellis Park
Saturday - July 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-1   WIN (6/4/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7)-(6/4/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/1/7)-(4/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1/7)-(4/7/5)-(5/8/9/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-2   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(5/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(5/8/9/4)-(6/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-3   WIN (5/8/9/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/9/4)-(5/8/9/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/9/4)-(5/8/9/4)-(5/8/9/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/9/4)-(6/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/8/9/4)-(6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
ELP-4   WIN (6/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/1)-(6/5/1)-(6/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1)-(9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
ELP-5   WIN (9/3/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/4/1)-(9/3/4/10/1)-(9/3/4/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/3/4/1)-(5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $180 
ELP-6   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(2/8/4/1/7)-(4/8/3/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
ELP-7   WIN (2/8/4/1/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/1/7)-(2/8/4/1/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/1/7)-(2/8/4/1/7)-(2/8/4/1/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/1/7)-(4/8/3/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/1/7)-(4/8/3/6)-(7/5/10/1/8) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
ELP-8   WIN (4/8/3/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6)-(4/8/3/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/8/3/6)-(7/5/10/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
ELP-9   WIN (7/5/10/1/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/10/1/8)-(7/5/10/1/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/5/10/1/8)-(7/5/10/1/8)-(7/5/10/1/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELP-1   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($16K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HONEY RUN Jun14 May19 Apr27 Apr07 Mar22 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  SHIP IT Jun14 Feb17 Jan11 Dec27 Nov24 (esquivel jesus)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
3  CRACKALACKING Jun13 May23 Apr17 Jun11 May13 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 5.00    
4  STAND BY YOU May25 Apr19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul14 (watkins ja)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
5  SUPERTALEOFHOUDINI Nov08 Aug28 Jul31 Jun23 May26 (brennan te)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
6  MAZOKU Jun21 May25 Apr30 Apr10 Mar15 (butcher j)BEALMEAR C 117 0.60 57% 0.80    
7  GOSHEN May17 Apr30 Apr10 Mar20 Jan24 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOW KEY FLEX May17         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 5.00    
2  MOON FLEET May31 May04 Apr17 Feb14 Jan17 (roberson denni)CASTANON L 119 4.50    
SCR  E STORMY Apr14 Mar29 Feb11 Jan07 Dec16 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109 12.00    
4  BOLD APPEAL Jun19 Mar24 Feb17 Dec31   (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 119 1.40 61% 0.60    
5  NIGHT CRY         (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  RISK THE WIND         (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
7  VINO VELOCE Jun19 May17 Apr17 Aug04   (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  NAUGHTY MISS Jun19 May24 May03 Mar28 Sep20 (cano mu)TORRES A 119 6.00    
 
ELP-3   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 1:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRACE ON GRACE Jun09 May27 May10     (demeritte larr)CASTANON L 119 3.00    
2  LOVEBUG Jun09         (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00    
SCR  ANONIMA         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
4  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Jun16         (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  IBUKI         (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 4.00 46% 1.20    
6  STATLER INN Jun28         (hancock a)LANERIE J 119 10.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN SHINJUKU Jun17 May10 Apr18     (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
8  CONTINUITY         (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 10% 8.70    
9  WAVER Jun28         (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.50    
10  INDY'S UNIVERSE Jun22 May19       (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 4.50    
 
ELP-4   07/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOBWHITE BOBBY Jun08 May09 Apr12 Feb11 Dec15 (von hemel )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EXPRESS CRUISER Jun12 May19 Apr27 Apr04 Feb09 (camejo m)BEJARANO R 118 3.50    
3  WESTERN COMMAND Jun12 May18 Mar24 Feb03 Jan04 (amoss m)LANERIE J 122 3.00    
4  CITY OF CLOUDS Jun08 May25 May05 Apr21 Mar24 (santamaria)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.50    
5  TAGLIATELLE Jun16 May25 May09 Apr12 Mar20 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 25% 3.00    
6  EDDIE M May29 Sep13 Aug04 Jun25 May28 (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 122 2.50 31% 2.20    
 
ELP-5   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CITY COCKTAILS         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of COCKTAILS ON TAP by TAPIZAR)
2  FIXIN TO BEE         (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 119 20.00    
  (by MSHAWISH out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
3  LADY ORIENT         (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.50 18% 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SECOND COMING by GHOSTZAPPER)
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Jun22         (hancock john )LEBRON VICTOR 119 15.00 17% 5.00    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT FROST by FROSTED (GB))
SCR  VICTORY WALTZ         (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 119 6.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOO CHARMING by BERNARDINI)
7  SWEET BEBSI         (walsh d)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SWEET NKOSI by A. P. WARRIOR)
8  BY REQUEST         (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of INVITATION by VINDICATION)
9  BOIS BLANC May11 Apr26       (wojczyns)RODRIGUEZ A 119 3.50 40% 1.50    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of FLORIAN by TWIN TIME)
10  DON'T CALL ME BABE         (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 ★    
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of THAT VOODOO YOUDO by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
11  PRINCESS SKAYA         (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
12  PRESHA         (walden wi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 5.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of HUMOR ME DIXIE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  PAX AMERICANA         (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 5.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of COEXISTENCE by VIOLENCE)
SCR  PONDERING         (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 4.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of ALWAYS THINKING by STREET SENSE)
 
ELP-6   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WEEKEND FLAME Jun23         (gowan willia)MONCADA IRVING 108 30.00    
2  AMERICAN RAIDER Jun19 May23 Apr27 Mar21 Feb17 (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 124 6.00 22% 3.50    
SCR  PENROD May11 Apr12 Jan13 Dec09 Oct01 (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50    
4  ENDLESS REIGN May24 Mar30 Mar03     (lynch bria)CORRALES GERARDO 118 3.50    
5  CHULLIGAN Jun23 May30 May11 Oct16 Sep04 (shirer matt)CONCEPCION AXEL 124 3.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  QUIET RUSH Jun07 May01 Apr10 Mar08 Nov01 (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.00    
7  QUEBRANCHO Jun19 May26 Apr12 Mar28 Mar21 (bahena ismael)NAVAS YOEL 118 5.00 6% 14.60    
8  TIE BREAKER LENNIE Jun23 Jun05 Mar13 Feb29 Dec24 (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/13/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENNY ROYAL May25         (asmussen stev)GARCIA MARTIN 118 3.50 10% 8.70    
  (by CURLIN out of GLINDA THE GOOD by HARD SPUN)
2  BOLT'S BROAD Jun20 May01 Apr05 Jan28 Dec31 (delima e)SAEZ GABRIEL 124 8.00 28% 2.60    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of AWESOME BROAD by MR. BROAD BLADE)
3  PRETTY PERTINENT         (molloy th)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PRETTY PROLIFIC by LION HEART)
4  PLAYBACK Jan10 Nov29 Oct29 Jun30   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 4.50 19% 4.30    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  CHURNING BERNI Jun07 Apr27 Mar14 Feb13 Dec21 (pessin l)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  AVALON GIRL Jun12 Nov22       (moquett ronald)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FLASH OF WONDER by TIZ WONDERFUL)
7  SKYLAROSE May30         (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SKY MESA out of PISTOL PACKIN ROSE by FIRST DEFENCE)
8  SUSTANCIA Jun22 May03 Feb29     (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 5.00 22% 3.60    
  (by VIOLENCE out of SUSTAINABLE by SOCIETY MAX)
9  BABY AVERY Jun20 May18 Apr28 Mar29 Mar08 (vance tho)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of CHARMAINE'S LEGACY by MR. GREELEY)
10  SHEZALITTLESTINKER Jun08         (catalano wa)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of J. QUIRK by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  VIABLE Jan10 Nov29 Nov03     (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of RELEVANT by HOLD YOUR PEACE)
12  POLITICAL SPIN         (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PICK UP LINE by HARD SPUN)
 
ELP-8   07/13/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ARMY GIRL Jun24 Feb23 Jan10 Dec21 Oct30 (wisner j)ACHARD ALEX 122 20.00    
2  SACOS STOGIE Jun16 May20 Apr17 Mar14   (acevedo israel)BEJARANO R 120 30.00    
3  MAKEUP Oct19 Aug26       (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.00 23% 3.30    
4  LA LA ROSE Jun19 May11 Jan06     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 3.50 28% 2.50    
5  PLUM TRICKY Jun05 Apr25 Mar16 Feb17 Jan20 (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00    
6  CABERNEIGH Jun15 Apr20 Mar07 Feb21 Jan17 (barker scott )CANUTO THIAGO 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  FLUENT May18 Jun18 Mar26 Feb20   (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
8  DETERMINED CANDY Jun02 Apr12       (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 23% 3.30    
9  OUR DOTSIE Jun28 May30 Mar03 Jan31 Nov29 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.50    
SCR  SICKLE DANCE Jun18 Dec21 Nov24 Sep02 Aug18 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 8.00    
 
ELP-9   07/13/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA CRUELLA Jun19 May10 Apr12 Mar13 Feb09 (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 113 6.00 8% 12.10    
2  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Feb24 Feb03 Jan04 Nov21 Nov09 (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 6.00    
3  LADY MERCEDES Jun22 May09 Feb15 Jan25 Jan01 (forster t)LANERIE J 123 6.00    
4  ALAMO Jun08 May09 Apr19 Mar28 Mar01 (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 8.00    
5  CANT KEEP ME DOWN Jun19 May09 Apr07 Mar15 Feb24 (salas felipe)CHUAN MARTIN 123 6.00 20% 4.00    
6  HATTIE M Jun22 Oct18 Sep07 Aug03 Jul08 (huffman )RODRIGUEZ A 123 8.00    
7  MISS TAPPY TONE Jun01 Apr30 Mar21 Mar07 Feb15 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 30% 2.40    
8  RUN RUN RABBIT Jun08 May08 Apr17 Mar01 Jan27 (fletcher kevin)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  LUCKY ANA Jun13 May18 May08 Apr14 Mar09 (douaihy m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 15.00    
10  LIL TOWN SIS Jun14 May19 Apr19 Mar21 Mar09 (asmussen steve)MACHADO LUAN 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.