Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/9/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 9 1 1 $7.48 $7.48  
ELP-2   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $3.84 $3.84  
ELP-3   Win (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $2.88 $2.88  
ELP-4   Win (5/7/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $16.12 $16.12 6.12
ELP-5   Win (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.38 $4.38  
ELP-6   Win (8/3/1/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $45.66 $45.66 35.66
ELP-7   Win (4/2/15/1/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 1 $12.58 $12.58 2.58
ELP-8   Win (2/10/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00 10 1 1 $18.34 $18.34 10.34
ELP-9   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 8 1 1 $7.06 $7.06 1.06
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  LIKE A SALTSHAKER 7 5 31½ 2nk   1nk 1½ (vanden brittany)GRAHAM J 122 6.00 32% 2.10 2.74 W
4  ONE COOL DUDE 3 4 41½ 1nk   2nk 2½ (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 35% 1.90 1.97 P
5  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE 4 8 52½ 41½   32½ 32 (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00 7.43  
6  BORN FLAWLESS 5 3 11 3½   42¾ 45½ (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 ★ 3.82  
3  W W CRAZY 2 9 74½ 63½   54¾ 55¾ (lauer michael)LEBRON VICTOR 122 15.00 16.71  
11  COMMUNICATION MEMO 9 2 85 76   67¼ 610¼ (hancock dan)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 14.85  
7  SIR OLLIE 6 1 21 53   77¼ 712½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10% 8.80 9.98  
10  ALL IN SYNC 8 7 96½ 97¾   910½ 814½ (hernandez r)BEALMEAR C 115 10.00 35.25  
2  HYDRO FROST 1 6 63 86¼   810¼ 918¼ (howey quinn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 21.57  
SCR  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE               (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 10.00    
SCR  SITKA               (hamilton sar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
 
ELP-2   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:213 :441 1:093     1:162   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY 5 1 11½ 11½   13 15 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 30% 2.30 0.92 W
7  ALDORA 6 4 66 55½   34½ 25 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 26.45  
4  BLUE SQUALL 3 3 32 21½   23 39½ (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00 2.63  
2  AMY Z 2 5 54 45   47½ 411 (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00 24.43  
1  TWIRLING GOOD TIME 1 6 43½ 66½   57½ 514 (bauer a)TORRES A 118 4.50 3.69  
5  TENENBAUM 4 2 21½ 33   68½ 622¾ (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 24% 3.20 6.81  
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE               (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00    
SCR  POPPERINA               (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
 
ELP-3   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:231 :461 1:114 1:25   1:383   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LETSTALKABOUTME 7 6 64½ 63½ 2½ 11½ 11 (green troy)TORRES A 118 1.00 33% 2.10 0.44 W
3  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST 3 3 2½ 2½ 1½ 21½ 21 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 5.73  
7  TIME FOR MAGIC 6 4 3½ 3½ 31 33½ 35 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00 17.23  
2  YO LEVEN 2 1 1½ 1½ 42 44 48 (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 31% 2.20 5.99  
5  BELLA ESTRELA 4 2 52 52½ 53½ 57 59¾ (wadsworth kathlee)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00 41.49  
1  DREAM ON STORMY 1 5 41½ 42 66 612 626¾ (winston )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 30.00 5% 19.00 36.21  
6  CALATHEA 5 7 7100 7100 7100 7100 7100 (sancal murat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 16% 5.30 6.95  
SCR  A DOLLAR A DAY               (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 117 5.00    
 
ELP-4   07/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:242 :491 1:133 1:253   1:38   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  SAGITTARIUS 7 7 54 54 52 42¼ 1hd (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 25% 3.00 7.06 W
9  MONEY MEMOLO 9 8 76½ 74¾ 62¼ 52¾ 2hd (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 21.34  
5  JON'S STREET BAND 5 4 42½ 42 3½ 2nk 3¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 40% 1.50 2.52 S
6  TRACK OF MY TEARS 6 3 1½ 1½ 1nk 3.2 41¼ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00 37.65  
10  MUNYHUNGRY 10 6 2½ 2½ 2nk 1nk 51½ (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00 16.49  
2  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS 2 9 87½ 86¼ 73¼ 85¾ 64¼ (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 12.00 18.56  
4  REJOINDER 4 5 65 64½ 83¾ 74¼ 74½ (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00 10.24  
3  GLYNE BEACH 3 1 32 32 41½ 63¼ 84¾ (camejo jose)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00 34.47  
8  SIX PACK MUMBLES 8 10 925½ 951¼ 9100 9100 9100 (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 5% 19.00 7.77  
1  BOLT ACTION 1 2 10100 10100 10100 10100 10100 (stall m)TORRES A 124 2.50 9% 10.10 1.53  
SCR  OVERSTATEMENT               (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00    
SCR  READY TO REIGN               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SOUL SNATCHER               (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE STRIKE               (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
 
ELP-5   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:22 :452 :58     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REAGAN'S FLAME 4 4 42 53½   43 11¾ (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 120 3.00 29% 2.40 1.19 W
7  GLORIETTE 6 1 11 11½   11½ 21¾ (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00 4.16  
6  SOMBRA DORADA 5 2 21 32   31½ 33½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 10% 9.40 13.90 S
2  HIGH FASHION KATE 2 3 31½ 21½   21½ 45¼ (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 4.00 8.11  
3  BALLADRY 3 5 53 43   53½ 56 (pitts helen)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 6.01  
8  END OF INNOCENCE 7 7 74½ 64½   67 66¼ (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 10.94  
1  DARK FURY 1 6 63½ 76½   79½ 718 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 38% 1.60 5.23  
SCR  KRICKLE               (holsapple h)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:124 1:26   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  QUINN'S PROMISE 2 1 2½ 2½ 1½ 12 1¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 12% 7.30 21.83 W
10  JEWELED DESTINY 9 6 63 53 31 22 2¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00 7.83  
7  TOTALLY JUSTIFIED 6 3 53 63½ 62¾ 34½ 33½ (arnold r)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 2.23  
8  HEREFORAGOODTIME 7 4 42 41½ 52½ 76¼ 46 (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 4.00 19% 4.40 2.88  
11  RUNNIN N GUNNIN 10 7 74 94¾ 72¾ 55½ 56 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 5% 19.00 15.53  
4  TAKE CHARGE MILADY 4 5 84½ 73¾ 105 65¾ 66½ (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 15.00 9.05  
12  REIGN CHAMPAGNE 11 9 31½ 31½ 41 45½ 710 (wilkes r)TORRES A 119 20.00 33.50  
6  MAD ABOUT MARIE 5 8 94¾ 105 94¾ 97¾ 812½ (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 7.14  
1  BREAD TO RUN 1 2 1½ 1½ 2½ 86¼ 913 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 13% 6.50 25.97  
3  PEANUT GALLERY 3 11 118¼ 117 84¼ 109¾ 1014¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 15% 5.80 7.08  
9  QUEEN MCKINZIE 8 10 105¼ 83¾ 115½ 1112¾ 1123 (perez car)ROMERO GREGORY 119 30.00 62.00  
SCR  MOON LAW               (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-7   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:222 :461 :584     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MESERO 2 12 98 76¼   42¾ 11¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 17% 4.90 5.29 W
4  TREW VIOLENCE 4 1 2½ 2nk   1nk 21¾ (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 56% 0.80 2.86 P
15  SNAP CALL 12 2 32 1nk   2nk 34¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 5% 19.00 2.36 S
9  ROYAL BRO 9 5 1010 109¾   86¼ 44¼ (divito james )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 10.91  
11  G. ERIK 11 11 1212¾ 98¾   96½ 55¼ (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00 35.87  
7  MY OWN 7 7 76 64¼   75¼ 68 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 36.03  
1  THUNDERHAWK 1 4 1½ 3½   32½ 78¼ (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00 6.39  
8  SHAN 8 8 53 4¾   53¾ 89½ (asmussen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 114 10.00 31.10  
6  SMOOTH N SILKY 6 9 43 51¾   63¾ 910¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 14.14  
3  LUCKY MISCHIEF 3 6 63½ 86¾   109 1010½ (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 18.89  
10  GUNS 10 3 1110¼ 1213¼   1117 1124½ (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 25.42  
5  HISTORIC 5 10 86½ 1113¼   1218 1226½ (moquett rona)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00 24.84  
SCR  CORRELATION               (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
SCR  CYBERBEAST               (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  EAST AVENUE               (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00    
SCR  SEA VISTA               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:234 :48 1:114 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS 8 8 64 64 52¾ 41¾ 1hd (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 5% 18.30 8.17 W
9  TAPIT SHOES 7 5 21 21 2nk 11½ 2hd (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00 2.27  
4  EL KABONG 3 6 53½ 53½ 63¼ 31½ 3½ (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00 11.27  
8  DESERT DUKE 6 2 42½ 42½ 31½ 21½ 41 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00 16.05  
1  SCOOBIE QUANDO 1 3 75½ 75½ 85¼ 72¾ 51 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 ★ 5.70  
12  KITODAN 9 9 86½ 85½ 95¾ 83 61¼ (foster eric)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.70  
2  TATANKA 2 4 31½ 31½ 41¾ 51¾ 71½ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 122 4.00 67% 0.50 4.60  
6  AMERICAN MAYHEM 4 1 11 11 1nk 62¼ 85½ (divito p)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 6.36  
7  LINCOLN HIGHWAY 5 7 97½ 97 75¼ 94½ 95¾ (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00 14.57  
SCR  KIGALI               (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
SCR  KING CURLIN               (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MESSAGE               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  NATIVE LAND               (mott riley)TORRES A 118 2.00    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE               (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00    
 
ELP-9   07/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
null null null null null null   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  PENDULUM 6 7 77½ 64½ 41 1½ 11 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 37% 1.70 2.53 W
3  BIG TROUBLE 2 3 53½ 21½ 51½ 2½ 21 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 42% 1.40 1.03 P
4  BEST KISS YET 3 1 32 42 3½ 42 36¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00 15.35 S
10  TOASTED ROLL 8 4 11½ 11½ 1½ 31 47¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00 15.70  
7  SARIR 5 6 42½ 52½ 2½ 53½ 59¼ (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00 8.40  
6  LIUZZA 4 2 21½ 31½ 62½ 64½ 69¼ (calhoun wil)TORRES A 120 10.00 12.76  
9  AUTUMN CHILL 7 5 67 76 86 85½ 710 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00 9.66  
1  THESE APPLES 1 8 810 87½ 74½ 75½ 811 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★ 21.40  
SCR  AGRA               (mott i)TORRES A 120 2.50    
SCR  LADY D'ORO               (pino michael)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
SCR  PEIGNOIR               (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  SUMMERINTAHOE               (ewing ann)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
SCR  VINOBELLO               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
SCR  YAY HOORAY               (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.