Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Monday - July 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (4/9/7/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (8/2/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (5/7/1/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (1/5/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (8/3/1/2/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (4/2/1/15/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (2/10/6/12) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (3/8/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SITKA Jul05 Jun09 Apr05 Feb24 Jan13 (hamilton sar)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 30.00    
2  HYDRO FROST Jun07 May11 Apr20 Feb17 Jan27 (howey quinn)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
3  W W CRAZY Jul15 May25 Apr20 Apr05 Mar23 (lauer michael)MORALES EDGAR 122 15.00    
4  ONE COOL DUDE Jun21 May19 Mar06 Feb15 Nov05 (blair jordan)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 35% 1.90    
5  TALLAHATCHIEBRIDGE Jun29 May26 Apr11 Sep02 Aug10 (kenneally eddie)MACHADO LUAN 122 10.00    
6  BORN FLAWLESS Jun26 Apr18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (cano mun)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 4.50 ★    
7  SIR OLLIE Jul06 May10 Feb15 Jan28 Dec21 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 122 8.00 10% 8.80    
SCR  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE Jun21 May18 Feb16 Jan05 Dec15 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 10.00    
9  LIKE A SALTSHAKER Jun21 Jun05 May10 Mar15 Jan11 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
10  ALL IN SYNC Jun29 May25 Jun23 May02 Apr08 (hernandez r)BEALMEAR C 115 10.00    
11  COMMUNICATION MEMO Jul15 Jun21 May04 Apr12 Mar21 (hancock dan)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-2   07/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TWIRLING GOOD TIME Jun15 May03 Apr07 Sep27   (bauer a)TORRES A 118 4.50    
2  AMY Z Jun22 Jun06 May12 Apr20 Mar09 (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  POPPERINA Jul07 Jun05 Apr17 Mar24 Feb17 (moquett rona)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 3.50    
4  BLUE SQUALL Jun22 Apr20 Mar16 Feb17 Jan26 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 118 4.00    
5  TENENBAUM Dec27 Nov10       (drury jr)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 24% 3.20    
6  LOTSANDLOTSOFCANDY Jun08 Apr12       (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.60 30% 2.30    
7  ALDORA Jun25 Apr21 Mar31 Jan03 Dec06 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
SCR  JE SUIS RAPIDE Jul07 Jun13 Jun05 May23 May11 (king l)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 30.00    
 
ELP-3   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREAM ON STORMY Jul15 Jun29 Jun07 May11 Mar28 (winston )GUTIERREZ RAMOS 114 30.00 5% 19.00    
2  YO LEVEN Jun20 May16       (baker james)GRAHAM J 118 6.00 31% 2.20    
3  VICTORIOUS NYQUIST Jun20 Sep09 Jul29     (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
SCR  A DOLLAR A DAY Jun20 May08 Apr17 Mar07 Feb22 (butcher jam)BEALMEAR C 117 5.00    
5  BELLA ESTRELA Jun27 Feb06       (wadsworth kathlee)ACHARD ALEX 118 30.00    
6  CALATHEA Jul06         (sancal murat)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 16% 5.30    
7  TIME FOR MAGIC Jun28 May18 Apr12     (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 15.00    
8  LETSTALKABOUTME Jun15 May18 Apr07 Feb29   (green troy)TORRES A 118 1.00 33% 2.10    
 
ELP-4   07/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOLT ACTION Jun30 Apr19 Mar07 May21   (stall m)TORRES A 124 2.50 9% 10.10    
2  GOTTA HAVE DREAMS Jun28 Jun06 May04 Apr07 Mar09 (shorter aar)TORRES A 118 12.00    
3  GLYNE BEACH Jul05         (camejo jose)HERNANDEZ J 118 20.00    
4  REJOINDER         (cowans willi)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
5  JON'S STREET BAND Jun23         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 4.50 40% 1.50    
6  TRACK OF MY TEARS Jun26         (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 30.00    
7  SAGITTARIUS Jun28 May18 Apr13 Mar15 Mar01 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 4.00 25% 3.00    
8  SIX PACK MUMBLES         (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  MONEY MEMOLO Apr25 Feb15 Dec28     (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00    
10  MUNYHUNGRY Jul21 Jul05 May26 May11 Nov18 (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  READY TO REIGN Jun18 May06       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
SCR  SOUL SNATCHER Jul06         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 118 20.00    
SCR  ULTIMATE STRIKE Nov23 Oct26 Sep29 Sep10 Aug06 (santamaria c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
SCR  OVERSTATEMENT Jun07 May24       (blair jordan)CHUAN MARTIN 118 6.00    
 
ELP-5   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($37K) 3 F PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK FURY Jul11 Jun06 Apr27     (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
2  HIGH FASHION KATE Jul06 Jun08 May09 Apr05 Mar07 (minnock g)GRAHAM J 120 4.00    
3  BALLADRY Jun21 May31 May01 Nov25 Oct30 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50    
SCR  KRICKLE Jun28 May30 May09 Jan26 Dec29 (holsapple h)BEALMEAR C 113 15.00    
5  REAGAN'S FLAME Jun28 May31 Mar20 Feb01 Dec31 (schultz lindsa)TORRES A 120 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  SOMBRA DORADA Jun16 May25       (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
7  GLORIETTE Jun27 Jun02 Apr13 Jan31 Dec20 (scherer marianne)MACHADO LUAN 120 5.00    
8  END OF INNOCENCE Jun19 May23 Sep21 Aug02 Jun16 (hobby steve)GARCIA MARTIN 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-6   07/29/2024 5280ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BREAD TO RUN Jul04         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 13% 6.50    
2  QUINN'S PROMISE Jul04         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 12% 7.30    
3  PEANUT GALLERY         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 15% 5.80    
4  TAKE CHARGE MILADY         (mcpeek g)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  MOON LAW Jun21         (cowans d)MACHADO LUAN 119 10.00    
6  MAD ABOUT MARIE Jun28         (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
7  TOTALLY JUSTIFIED Jun28         (arnold georg)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.50    
8  HEREFORAGOODTIME Jun21         (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
9  QUEEN MCKINZIE Jul15         (perez car)ROMERO GREGORY 119 30.00    
10  JEWELED DESTINY         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
11  RUNNIN N GUNNIN         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
12  REIGN CHAMPAGNE Jun28         (wilkes r)TORRES A 119 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/29/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THUNDERHAWK         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
2  MESERO         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 5.00 17% 4.90    
3  LUCKY MISCHIEF         (stewart dall)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
4  TREW VIOLENCE Jul05         (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 119 4.50 56% 0.80    
5  HISTORIC         (moquett rona)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 20.00    
6  SMOOTH N SILKY         (maker michael )TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  MY OWN         (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
8  SHAN         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00    
9  ROYAL BRO         (divito james )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
10  GUNS         (lukas wayne)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
11  G. ERIK         (von donni)GARCIA MARTIN 119 20.00    
SCR  EAST AVENUE         (walsh brenda)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 3.00    
SCR  CYBERBEAST         (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 12.00    
SCR  CORRELATION         (ennis john)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00    
15  SNAP CALL         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SEA VISTA         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
 
ELP-8   07/29/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOOBIE QUANDO Jun22 May18 Apr19 Mar23 Feb23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 ★    
2  TATANKA Jul06 May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb08 (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.00 67% 0.50    
SCR  TAKE THE CHARGE Jun29 Oct24 Sep30 Aug13 Jul13 (kenneally ed)HERNANDEZ J 122 30.00    
4  EL KABONG Jun19 May09 Apr11 Feb17 Jan04 (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
SCR  KIGALI May25 Apr27 Nov15 Oct28 Sep22 (bauer philip )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00    
6  AMERICAN MAYHEM Aug19 Jul21 Oct01 Sep14 Aug26 (divito p)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  LINCOLN HIGHWAY Jun22 May18 Apr10 Nov26 Oct19 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
8  DESERT DUKE Jul06 May31 Dec30 Nov23 Aug05 (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
9  TAPIT SHOES Jun07 May12 Aug13 Jun10 Apr22 (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 5.00    
10  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS Jun22 Aug06 Jun25 May21 Apr07 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 5% 18.30    
SCR  KING CURLIN May18 Apr20 Jan01 Nov05 Oct12 (vanden brittan)EMIGH A 122 8.00    
12  KITODAN Jul06 May18 Apr06 Mar23 Feb17 (foster eric)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MIGHTY MESSAGE Jun09 Apr20 Mar08 Feb08 Dec16 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 118 3.50    
SCR  NATIVE LAND Jun29 May11 Apr10 Mar09 Feb11 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 2.00    
 
ELP-9   07/29/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THESE APPLES Jul06 Jun01 Apr19 Mar30 Feb21 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★    
SCR  VINOBELLO Jun29 Apr28 Feb24     (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 120 8.00    
3  BIG TROUBLE Jun28 Jun06 May11 Apr12 Feb18 (foley greg)HERNANDEZ J 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
4  BEST KISS YET May31 Apr20 Apr05 Mar13   (catalano m)LANERIE J 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  YAY HOORAY Jun19 May04 Apr07 Feb11   (maker michae)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
6  LIUZZA Jun29 Jun01 Feb17 Jan18 Dec16 (calhoun wil)TORRES A 120 10.00    
7  SARIR Jun06 Apr20 Feb11 Dec17   (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
8  PENDULUM Jun21 May01 Mar31 Jan07 Dec10 (walsh brenda)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 37% 1.70    
9  AUTUMN CHILL Nov25 Oct07 Aug27 Aug06 Jun16 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 10.00    
10  TOASTED ROLL Dec29 Nov26 Oct29 Sep28 Aug31 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 10.00    
SCR  PEIGNOIR Jul05 Nov10 Oct15 Aug26 Jul31 (brisset rodolp)GEROUX FLORENT 120 8.00    
SCR  AGRA Jun08 May05 Jan12 Dec16 Nov05 (mott i)TORRES A 120 2.50    
SCR  SUMMERINTAHOE Jun01 Mar07 Feb10 Dec20 Nov18 (ewing ann)LANERIE J 120 30.00    
SCR  LADY D'ORO Jul07 Jun08 Jul29 Jul02 Jun16 (pino michael)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.