Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $6.38 $6.38 0.38
ELP-2   Win (3/11/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 0 $18.26  
ELP-3   Win (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $7.26 $7.26  
ELP-4   Win (5/2/11/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $8.24 $8.24  
ELP-5   Win (5/1/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 0 $16.56  
ELP-6   Win (10/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00 9 1 1 $6.42 $6.42 0.42
ELP-7   Win (9/8/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 0 $36.84  
ELP-8   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $8.96  
ELP-9   Win (7/5/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $22.60 $22.60 12.60
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:242 :48 1:122 1:25   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  I'M YOUR MAN 4 3 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 11½ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 10% 8.60 2.19 W
2  EPIC BATTLE 1 5 42½ 31½ 31½ 32 21½ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 4.50 9% 10.50 1.49 P
6  ICE TIME 5 4 53½ 53 54 43½ 32½ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 123 5.00 4.65  
3  DR KRINGLE 2 2 1½ 1½ 1nk 2½ 43 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 52% 0.90 3.00  
4  QUARRYMEN 3 1 31½ 41½ 42½ 56 516 (shorter aaro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 12.80  
SCR  MERIT               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00    
 
ELP-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:223 :461 :582     1:104   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CANDY CRAZE 2 3 41½ 31½   2nk 11¼ (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 119 4.50 8.13  
11  PATTY VAN TWINKLE 8 2 31½ 2nk   3½ 21¼ (hamilton sarah)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.00 19% 4.20 2.74 P
4  TAKER BACK 4 1 1½ 1nk   1nk 32 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 12.00 14.96  
1  DESPO'S DREAM 1 6 74 74¾   52¾ 44 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00 1.70  
3  CONQUEST DANCER 3 7 52 41¾   42½ 55¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 3.50 49% 1.10 2.45  
7  CHARM OF THE SONG 6 4 62½ 53¼   65¾ 69¼ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109 15.00 15.21  
5  REMEMBERING MAUDE 5 8 810 810¾   711¾ 718½ (french wayn)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 5% 19.00 43.49  
9  SPICEY VALENTINE 7 5 2½ 64¼   812¾ 822¼ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 32.15  
SCR  AIN'T NO OTHER               (catalano wayne)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00    
SCR  COLDASICE               (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE TREASURE               (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
 
ELP-3   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:213 :442 :554     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  OFF RAMP 2 4 53 63¾   2½ 11¾ (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.50 9% 9.80 2.63 W
4  SAMAY (PER) 4 3 1nk 1nk   1½ 21¾ (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.00 4.98  
7  HIDEKI 7 2 32 31   31 32¾ (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 50% 1.00 3.22 S
5  DRIANA 5 1 42½ 43   43 44½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50 4.22  
3  SARA MIA 3 7 63½ 53¼   53 54½ (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 14% 6.20 5.72  
6  MOON RAY (FR) 6 5 2nk 2nk   64 66¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00 5.82  
1  ITSABLINGTHING 1 6 75 74¾   77 714¼ (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112 20.00 20.39  
SCR  CHARRIERE               (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.00    
 
ELP-4   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:222 :453 :581     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  ALILNALOT 5 3 41½ 3½   1½ 11 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 44% 1.30 3.12 W
1  LUCCHESI 1 5 63¼ 52½   42 21 (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 4.89  
10  MALIBLUE 9 2 1nk 1nk   2½ 32¾ (foster eric)TORRES A 119 6.00 5.64  
2  MUNYHUNGRY 2 6 53 63½   53½ 45¾ (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 18% 4.40 7.80  
11  EXECUTIVE POWER 10 1 31 2nk   32 57 (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 8% 10.90 2.93  
8  PLUNDER 7 8 107¼ 108¼   77½ 67¼ (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00 15.83  
6  SOCO AND LIME 6 10 96¼ 96¾   65 79½ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 13.59  
9  LORD DIAMOND 8 7 85¼ 76   87¾ 810¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 15.00 6% 14.70 14.67  
3  STRADIVARIAN 3 9 74¾ 86½   98¼ 913¼ (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 30.00 13.97  
4  LUCKYASIWONSWAS 4 4 2nk 42   1011¾ 1024¾ (warpool shane)ELLIOTT JANE 124 30.00 5% 19.00 41.57  
SCR  MR PUK               (ortiz ale)TORRES A 124 2.50    
 
ELP-5   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:212 :443 :56     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  INTO THE FRAY 7 5 43 42½   1nk 13¾ (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 8.00 7.28  
2  MOOCHIE GIRL 2 4 53½ 54½   42¼ 23¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 7% 12.50 8.69 P
5  LITTLE MO 5 8 87 88¾   55¼ 35½ (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 4.50 26% 2.80 3.27 S
1  MEUCCI'S REVENGE 1 3 2½ 1nk   3.2 45½ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 23% 3.40 3.39  
4  BARBARINA 4 2 1½ 2nk   2nk 55¾ (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00 22.40  
12  RAGTIME KITTY 10 6 63½ 76¾   87¼ 611¾ (davis christop)TORRES A 119 8.00 16.42  
6  MERCY OTIS 6 9 75 66½   65¾ 714½ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00 44.72  
10  WE HEAR YOU 8 10 98½ 910¼   99¾ 815½ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00 18.01  
3  ISLAND RIDE 3 1 31 31   77¼ 916½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 23% 3.40 2.01  
11  HONEYBEEBOBBIE 9 7 108¾ 1012¼   1018¾ 1043 (gonzalez e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 48.22  
SCR  HOPE SHE FIRES               (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
SCR  MATCH FIVE               (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00    
SCR  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS               (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  WHITELICK ROAD               (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
 
ELP-6   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:122 1:244   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  MOST WANTED 8 6 2nk 2nk 1nk 11 1¾ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 28% 2.50 2.21 W
2  MIDNIGHT RAID 2 3 114 104 83¾ 41¼ 2¾ (casse w)LANERIE J 123 8.00 ★ 10.54 P
11  UNO MAS BOURBON 10 9 41½ 51¼ 41 21 3¾ (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 22.94  
10  BATON ROUGE (IRE) 9 12 83 82½ 52 52¼ 41½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 48% 1.10 2.53  
1  KING RUSSELL 1 1 1nk 1nk 2nk 31 53¾ (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 ★ 13.74  
3  CURLIN'S GESTURE 3 2 72 72¼ 105¾ 64¾ 66½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 123 10.00 7.91  
6  GLEN AIRY 6 11 93 93 93¾ 74¾ 76¾ (mcgee paul)SAEZ GABRIEL 123 10.00 8.65  
4  PEEK 4 4 61¾ 41¼ 72¾ 85¾ 89½ (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00 42.73  
5  WINSTON WOLF 5 5 125½ 124½ 116¼ 107 910 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 15.00 18.33  
12  MR MCGREGOR 11 7 3½ 31 3½ 96¾ 1013¼ (mott i)TORRES A 123 15.00 24.50  
13  OUR DREAM RYE'D 12 10 51¾ 61¾ 62¼ 118½ 1114¾ (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00 13.41  
7  MIDNIGHT DAJOEY 7 8 104 114½ 1210¼ 1214½ 1225½ (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00 43.05  
SCR  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY               (lovell michelle)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00    
 
ELP-7   07/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:233 :493 1:141 1:254   1:371   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASHAY AWAY 1 4 42½ 42½ 41½ 3½ 11½ (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 17.42  
5  ALWAYS FOREVER 5 3 32½ 32 31½ 41 21½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00 2.74  
4  LUCKY MAMA 4 2 21 21 2½ 2nk 33 (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 7% 12.90 2.94 S
12  SUPER MAXIMA 11 8 74¼ 75½ 74¾ 74 45 (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 32.64  
11  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN 10 7 53½ 54 53 53 55¼ (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00 4.24  
10  DAISY FLYER 9 9 85¼ 86 86¼ 85½ 65¾ (arnold r)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00 19.63  
2  STREAKING 2 1 11 11 1½ 1nk 76¼ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 6% 15.10 20.61  
8  DELORAINE 7 11 106¾ 97½ 96¾ 107¼ 87 (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 26% 2.80 5.61  
6  LADY RILEY 6 5 96¼ 108 107¾ 95¾ 97 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 54.46  
9  JUST SHOWING OFF 8 6 64 64½ 64½ 63½ 107½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 38% 1.70 9.96  
3  HEARTS UNITED 3 10 117¾ 119 119¼ 118¼ 119 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00 15.18  
SCR  JEWELED CITY               (stall m)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER               (hobby steve)TORRES A 119 30.00    
SCR  PANACHE               (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
SCR  SOMETHINABOUTHER               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART               (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
ELP-8   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:23 :454 1:092     1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HERE MI SONG 1 3 31 1nk   12 15¼ (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00 3.48  
6  GULFSTREAM WAY 5 2 21 31   33½ 25¼ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 8.46  
2  HAPPY IS A CHOICE 2 4 52½ 53¼   45 35¼ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 126 3.50 21% 3.70 1.56 S
5  CHAMPLIN 4 1 11 2nk   22 45¼ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 39% 1.50 1.79  
4  CALL ME FAST 3 5 42 43   56 58¾ (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00 6.37  
SCR  OSBOURNE               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
SCR  SCOTLAND               (mott willia)TORRES A 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:223 :463 1:104 1:341   1:40   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  MOONLIGHT GAMBLER 4 4 75¾ 85 74½ 42 1½ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 23% 3.40 10.30 W
7  MY BRAZILIAN GIRL 6 5 22 21 21 2nk 2½ (wadsworth k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 41% 1.40 3.44 P
8  NOVARA 7 6 44 42½ 31½ 1nk 3½ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00 5.66  
12  BEAUTIFUL PHARAOH 11 12 1212¼ 127¾ 116 53½ 41¾ (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 40.28  
13  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY 12 11 1110¾ 117¾ 127½ 85¾ 52 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00 8.93  
9  ILLUSION 8 7 65¾ 74 84¾ 65 64¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 5% 19.00 30.01  
2  TONALITE 2 3 54¼ 53½ 53 75½ 74¾ (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00 7.82  
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR 10 9 87¼ 64 63 96¼ 85¼ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00 7.35  
1  KISS BLUE 1 1 12 11 11 31½ 96 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00 4.34  
10  STEPHANIESWARRIOR 9 8 97¾ 105¾ 95¾ 107¾ 107¾ (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 10.00 10.15  
3  I AM THE SAUCE 3 2 32 31½ 42 118¾ 1110¾ (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.90 14.47  
6  MY SEXY BLONDE 5 10 108¾ 95½ 105¾ 1210¼ 1211¼ (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 30.00 57.10  
SCR  ONE LIFE LIVE IT               (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
SCR  WHAPPEN               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.