Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 21, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (3/11/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (7/3/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-4   Win (5/2/11/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-5   Win (5/1/3/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (10/9/13) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (9/8/4/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-9   Win (7/5/3/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MERIT Jul04 Apr06 Mar01 Feb03 Nov04 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 2.00    
EPIC BATTLE Jun19 May30 May09 Oct29 Sep15 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 118 4.50 9% 10.50    
DR KRINGLE Jun29 Jun08 May23 Apr25 Mar23 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 52% 0.90    
QUARRYMEN Jun20 May17 May01 Mar20 Feb13 (shorter aaro)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00    
I'M YOUR MAN Jun29 May31 May05 Mar23 Nov23 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 10% 8.60    
ICE TIME May18 Apr24 Nov29 Nov16 Sep28 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 123 5.00    
 
ELP-2   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESPO'S DREAM Jun19 May25 May03 Sep20 Aug04 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 4.00    
CANDY CRAZE Jun05 May24 May01     (habeeb j)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
CONQUEST DANCER Jun20 Apr25       (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 3.50 49% 1.10    
TAKER BACK Jun23 Jun08 May19 Apr28 Apr07 (haran john)BURGOS ALBERTO 119 12.00    
REMEMBERING MAUDE         (french wayn)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  COLDASICE         (moquett ronald )CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
CHARM OF THE SONG Jul04 Jun05 May12 Apr10 Feb11 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 109 15.00    
SCR  DIVINE TREASURE Oct25         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
SPICEY VALENTINE         (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  AIN'T NO OTHER Jun18 Apr25 Mar23     (catalano wayne)BARBOSA CARLOS 114 10.00    
11  PATTY VAN TWINKLE Jun19 May31 Jan01 Nov26 Oct30 (hamilton sarah)GARCIA MARTIN 124 3.00 19% 4.20    
 
ELP-3   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ITSABLINGTHING Jun27 May29 May02 Apr10 Jan31 (barrett )CURTSINGER JOHNATHON 112 20.00    
OFF RAMP Jun26 May12 Apr28 Apr04 Sep02 (sharp joe)TORRES A 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
SARA MIA Jun23 May26 Mar10 Jan21 Dec14 (pessin neil )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 3.00 14% 6.20    
SAMAY (PER) Jul17 Jul07 Jul04 Jun13 Jun10 (arias alfonso)CHUAN MARTIN 122 4.00    
DRIANA Jun18 May06 Apr07 Mar27 Aug31 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 122 4.50    
MOON RAY (FR) Apr20 Mar23 Mar03     (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
HIDEKI Jun07 Apr07 Mar20 Oct01 Sep22 (walsh d)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
SCR  CHARRIERE Jun26 May17 Mar23 Feb03 Dec22 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 2.00    
 
ELP-4   07/21/2024 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCCHESI Jun16 May24 May02 Mar13   (habeeb j)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
MUNYHUNGRY Jul05 May26 May11 Nov18   (parker r)LEBRON VICTOR 119 6.00 18% 4.40    
STRADIVARIAN Nov22 Sep30 Aug13     (forster t)GRAHAM J 119 30.00    
LUCKYASIWONSWAS Jun27         (warpool shane)MILLER CHASE 124 30.00 5% 19.00    
ALILNALOT Jun05 Sep17 Jul30 Jun10 May13 (catalano m)MACHADO LUAN 124 8.00 44% 1.30    
SOCO AND LIME Jun21         (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
SCR  MR PUK May05         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 124 2.50    
PLUNDER Jun21 May04       (wojczynski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 12.00    
LORD DIAMOND Jun16 May27       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 15.00 6% 14.70    
10  MALIBLUE Jul06 Jun05 May17 Apr30 Mar15 (foster eric)TORRES A 119 6.00    
11  EXECUTIVE POWER Apr20 Apr06       (asmussen steven)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.00 8% 10.90    
 
ELP-5   07/21/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MEUCCI'S REVENGE Jun16 May27       (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 8.00 23% 3.40    
MOOCHIE GIRL Jun16 May27       (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 8.00 7% 12.50    
ISLAND RIDE Jun16 Apr07       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 23% 3.40    
BARBARINA Jun28         (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 20.00    
LITTLE MO         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
MERCY OTIS Jun22         (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 20.00    
INTO THE FRAY         (arnold r)LANERIE J 119 8.00    
SCR  WHITELICK ROAD Jun22         (hancock john )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 8.00    
SCR  HOPE SHE FIRES         (casse mark)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50    
10  WE HEAR YOU         (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  HONEYBEEBOBBIE         (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
12  RAGTIME KITTY Jun17         (davis christop)TORRES A 119 8.00    
SCR  PREYATHOUSANDWORDS Jul13 Jun16       (veinot trudy)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  MATCH FIVE Jul06 May22 Apr26     (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 109 30.00    
 
ELP-6   07/21/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING RUSSELL May24 Apr28 Mar30 Feb16 Jan13 (moquett ronald )ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00    
MIDNIGHT RAID Jun09 May10 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 (casse w)LANERIE J 123 8.00    
CURLIN'S GESTURE May11 Jul02       (walsh brend)TORRES A 123 10.00    
PEEK Jun13 May11 Nov24 Oct06 Sep03 (arnold r)GARCIA MARTIN 123 15.00    
WINSTON WOLF Jun23 May27 May09 Mar13 Feb02 (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 125 15.00    
GLEN AIRY Jun27 May27 Apr19 Feb08 Jan15 (mcgee paul)MORALES EDGAR 123 10.00    
MIDNIGHT DAJOEY Jun21 May29       (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 123 20.00    
SCR  LAUGHINALLTHEWAY Jun23 May09 Apr12 Mar03 Feb08 (lovell michelle)CONNER TYLER 123 30.00    
MOST WANTED Jun21         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
10  BATON ROUGE (IRE) Jun07 May05 Mar15     (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 2.50 48% 1.10    
11  UNO MAS BOURBON Jun20 May26 Apr24 Sep24 Aug05 (wilkes ian )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00    
12  MR MCGREGOR Jun20 Oct12 Sep10 Jul02 Jun02 (mott i)TORRES A 123 15.00    
13  OUR DREAM RYE'D Jul04 May27 Apr18 Feb28 Jan10 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
ELP-7   07/21/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SASHAY AWAY         (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
STREAKING Jun25 Jun04       (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 6% 15.10    
HEARTS UNITED         (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY MAMA Jun14         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.50 7% 12.90    
ALWAYS FOREVER         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 5.00    
LADY RILEY         (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
SCR  JEWISH MOTHER Jun28 Jun16       (hobby steve)TORRES A 119 30.00    
DELORAINE         (harty eoin)MACHADO LUAN 119 4.50 26% 2.80    
JUST SHOWING OFF         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.00 38% 1.70    
10  DAISY FLYER         (arnold r)ACHARD ALEX 119 15.00    
11  MIDNIGHT IN AUSTIN May31         (casse mark)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
12  SUPER MAXIMA Jun21 May31 May14     (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00    
SCR  JEWELED CITY         (stall m)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  SOMETHINABOUTHER Jun14         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 3.00    
SCR  PANACHE Jun21         (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
SCR  TOTAL HEART Jun24         (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
ELP-8   07/21/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jeff Hall Memorial Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERE MI SONG Jun01 May04 Mar09 Aug13 Jul22 (stinson william)MORALES EDGAR 122 2.00    
HAPPY IS A CHOICE Jun22 Apr13 Mar03 Jan26 Jan01 (ortiz ale)TORRES A 126 3.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  OSBOURNE Mar16 Feb09 Dec09 Sep29 Aug26 (moquett e)BEJARANO R 122 12.00    
CALL ME FAST May30 May03 Apr06 Aug25 Jul08 (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMPLIN May16 Apr21 Feb29 Jan15   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 4.00 39% 1.50    
GULFSTREAM WAY Oct06 Sep16 Aug04 Jul01 May26 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00    
SCR  SCOTLAND Jun22 May30 May02 Sep23 Aug26 (mott willia)TORRES A 122 5.00    
 
ELP-9   07/21/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KISS BLUE Jun15         (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00    
TONALITE Jun07 May01 Apr05 Oct27 Aug18 (oliver victo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
I AM THE SAUCE Jun28 May25       (lovell michell)TORRES A 118 8.00 8% 11.90    
SCR  ONE LIFE LIVE IT Jun25         (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
MOONLIGHT GAMBLER Jun15 May09 Apr05 Feb21 Oct27 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 6.00 23% 3.40    
MY SEXY BLONDE Jul05 Jun07 Mar07 Feb21 Jan10 (taylor brent)CASTANON L 118 30.00    
MY BRAZILIAN GIRL Jun29 Oct24 Sep23     (wadsworth k)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 118 3.00 41% 1.40    
NOVARA Jun07 Apr19 Mar09 Aug26   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 10.00    
ILLUSION Jun25 May25 Apr20 Mar28   (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
10  STEPHANIESWARRIOR May25 Apr05 Mar01 Jan24 Dec13 (capps a)BEJARANO R 118 10.00    
11  FOR LOVE AND HONOR May27 May04 Apr18 Mar06 Feb14 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 5.00    
12  BEAUTIFUL PHARAOH Jun20         (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
13  PUBLIC ASSEMBLY Nov04         (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 118 8.00    
SCR  WHAPPEN Jun09         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.