Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-7   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $14.46 $8.46 141%
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-8 $57.10 $39.10 217%
    DD (5/12/4/10)-(8/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $40.46 $16.46 69%
ELP-8   TRI (7/10/8/11/6)-(7/10/8/11/6)-(7/10/8/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-8-11 $68.23 $38.23 127%
    DD (8/1/3)-(7/10/8/11/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-7 $31.74 $1.74 6%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELLA FRANCES 4 1 31 31 14½ 18 110 (beckman wh)TORRES A 123 3.00 2.04  
3  GRACE GIVEN 3 4 42 43 35 28 210 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 33% 2.00 1.57 P
6  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 6 6 2½ 2nk 24½ 310 313 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 11.11  
2  MISSY BEE 2 3 52½ 53¼ 68½ 514½ 416¼ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 8.00 5% 19.00 24.77  
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 5 63½ 64¾ 57 412½ 516¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 2.61  
5  BYZANTINE 5 2 1½ 1nk 47 619½ 653¾ (morse ran)TORRES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70 9.25  
 
ELP-2   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :454 1:112 1:252   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 6 6 45 46½ 32½ 3½ 13 (moquett r)TORRES A 118 2.50 3.37  
3  OH MACARENA 2 1 1nk 1½ 21½ 2nk 23 (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 21% 3.90 2.85 P
6  STREETS OF PARIS 5 5 3½ 2½ 11½ 1nk 34½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20 0.93 S
2  VINO VELOCE 1 2 68½ 59½ 57 45½ 49½ (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.46  
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 4 4 2nk 3½ 45 56 512 (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 3.50 6.86  
4  REMEMBERING MAUDE 3 3 56 610½ 613½ 611 614¼ (french wa)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 36.63  
SCR  QUEEN ANNA T               (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:214 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T SAY IT 5 4 63½ 62½   22 12 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 23% 3.30 1.63 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOREVER DISCREET by BERNARDINI)
8  MIYAKO 8 10 74 73½   54 22 (lynch bri)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40 2.62 P
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
1  HI'IAKA 1 5 32 42   32 32½ (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7% 13.80 11.09 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
4  GO PURPLE 4 2 11 1½   12 43¼ (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.67  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
11  WHERE'S THE WINE 11 6 84½ 84   75¾ 54¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 5.00 42% 1.40 6.11  
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
2  MO HAPPY 2 8 116½ 116¼   86¼ 65 (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 72.38  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
9  DEAR SCARLETT 9 11 127 106¼   96¼ 75½ (murphy conor)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00 30.76  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
10  WINE AND WAVES 10 7 95 96   107¼ 85¾ (hancock jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 18.91  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
7  MIA MARCELA 7 1 21 2½   43 97 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 19.66  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  KIMBERLINA 6 3 42½ 31½   65½ 108¼ (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00 37.69  
  (by ASTERN out of SHE'S MESSI by PURIM)
3  PERFORMABILITY 3 9 53 52   118¼ 1110½ (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 63.56  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAGICAL FLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
12  BAH HUMBUG 12 12 106½ 126¾   129¾ 1211 (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.81  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of APPLE SNOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael b)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  PRECISELY               (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGH TECH by DATA LINK)
SCR  PRETTY SONG               (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PRETTY FANCY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE               (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
 
ELP-4   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAWKAB 4 7 54 64 2nk 11½ 1¾ (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 3.09  
2  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 2 4 75 75½ 62¼ 21½ 2¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 5.66  
1  GAMETIME GLADIATOR 1 5 64½ 54 41½ 31½ 31¼ (camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 19% 4.30 3.95 S
7  GOD OF WINE 7 6 32 32½ 3½ 53½ 46¾ (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.93  
5  FORGE IN FIRE 5 2 1nk 2½ 1nk 43 59½ (bahena is)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.23  
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID 6 1 2nk 1½ 52 63¾ 612¼ (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 123 8.00 12.07  
3  DR KRINGLE 3 3 42½ 43 74¾ 77¾ 716 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.50 17% 4.70 3.75  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEDGE 1 1 2nk 21½   12 11 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.42 W
5  DIXIE DEVIL 5 10 94¼ 53½   32 21 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 23.36  
3  REB 3 9 105¼ 75½   44 32¼ (fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.89 S
4  GALLO DE FUEGO 4 11 117¾ 107½   66½ 44¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 28% 2.60 7.67  
6  ABBI FEDE 6 5 62¼ 43   55½ 55½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 15% 5.60 3.74  
2  BAYTOWN GUVNAH 2 4 1nk 11½   22 65½ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 13.27  
9  REMAINING NAMELESS 9 3 41 64   78½ 79¼ (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 63.35  
7  BELIEVE IN DREAMS 7 6 3½ 32½   811 817¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 14.05  
8  BOURBONATOR 8 7 52 97   915 921¼ (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 17.30 9.53  
12  KERNER 12 2 73¾ 86   1015½ 1026¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 37.32  
10  NOBLE SOUL 10 8 84¼ 118   1118 1129¼ (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 13.41  
11  BOURBON STATE 11 12 128¾ 1211   1221½ 1235½ (miller darri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 34.70  
 
ELP-6   08/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIOCOSO 5 2 21 2½ 1nk 13 16¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.02 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
12  COURAGEOUS CLAY 12 11 96¼ 74¾ 41½ 45 26¼ (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30 5.39 P
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
9  MINARET STATION 9 5 85¾ 85¾ 63¾ 66½ 36¾ (walden wi)TORRES A 119 12.00 8.05  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of BEAU RECALL by SIR PRANCEALOT)
3  THUBOOT 3 3 32½ 32½ 3½ 33½ 47 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 11.54  
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
8  TURNBUCKLE 8 4 42½ 42½ 51¾ 55½ 57 (hancock dana)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 29.43  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
1  HOMER'S ODYSSEY 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 23 67½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 ★ 17.99  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
7  REPEAT BUSINESS 7 7 119¾ 107¾ 106¾ 89 712¼ (brown c)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 12.01  
  (by NYQUIST out of CHOI by BERNARDINI)
6  BOY BOY 6 8 108¾ 118 117 911 813¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 51.30  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of MISS CURLIN by CURLIN)
10  MISSIONARY MAN 10 6 54 64¼ 74¼ 78 914 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.53  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  SKIP FACTOR 2 12 1211¾ 129 129 1113½ 1018½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 16.33  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUSIE'S DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
4  AMERICAN VISION 4 10 75¼ 95¾ 85¾ 1012½ 1121½ (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 7% 13.70 10.25  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DECEPTIVE VISION by A.P. INDY)
11  MALEVAJE 11 9 64¼ 54 96¾ 1216½ 1224¼ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 86.69  
  (by ACCELERATE out of REGAL SONG by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  BET ON BRET               (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  SHOGUN (IRE)               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
 
ELP-7   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SEXAGENARIAN 2 5 33 3½   13½ 13¾ (maker michae)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WHATS YUR STORY by LIAISON)
8  ZANDVOORT 6 2 54½ 53½   54¾ 23¾ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 45% 1.20 2.27 P
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
7  QUINTILLION (IRE) 5 8 89½ 88½   76¾ 33¾ (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 11.16  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  TUXEDO PARK 1 3 43½ 42   43¾ 44 (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 32% 2.10 6.13  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  STUNNING BRUNO 7 6 66 64   65¾ 511¼ (jazdzewski j)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00 51.36  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of YOUNGNFLASHY by FLASHY BULL)
6  CORRELATION 4 1 11½ 1½   33½ 612½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 4.26  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
5  CYBERBEAST 3 4 21½ 2½   23½ 713 (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★ 2.99  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of QUOTATION by CONGRATS)
11  HASTY FLYER 8 7 76½ 76   89¾ 819¾ (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 10.51  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED ON TAP by TAPIT)
SCR  BIG MUCH               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUST by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CHASES MAGIC               (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  FLOODLITES               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MORE MO FOR ME by UNCLE MO)
 
ELP-8   08/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:11 1:223   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AGRA 7 7 119¾ 106 31 1nk 11½ (mott william)TORRES A 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.39 W
8  MS QUALITY CONTROL 8 5 85½ 64¼ 73¼ 32½ 21½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 10% 8.70 6.84 P
11  PEIGNOIR 11 9 11½ 11½ 11 2nk 31¾ (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.43 S
9  QUIETLY 9 10 107¼ 96 105¾ 65¼ 42¾ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 5.89  
4  BIG DIG 4 1 21½ 21½ 21 42¾ 53¼ (bahena ism)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 51.66  
3  CANDY BAR 3 6 43 52¾ 52½ 53¼ 64½ (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 10.00 7.50  
1  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 1 2 64½ 84½ 84¼ 75¼ 75 (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 25.26  
10  CLARET BERET 10 11 53 42½ 41½ 85½ 87 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.88  
6  DIVINE (IRE) 6 8 97 117 117¾ 98½ 910½ (mackey wa)BEALMEAR C 116 10.00 5% 19.00 30.94  
5  ETNA'S NAPPER 5 4 75 74¼ 95¾ 1111 1013½ (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 44.83  
2  ARMY GIRL 2 3 32½ 32½ 63 109½ 1113¾ (wisner j)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 29.99  
SCR  GENETICS               (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  PARTY               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:211 :44 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FINSTER 10 6 54¾ 42¼   12 11 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★ 7.33  
10  ARABIAN PRINCE 9 7 86½ 53¾   32 21 (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 19.87  
4  DEMOLITION DUKE 4 9 1010 108¼   66 31½ (walsh bre)TORRES A 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.02 S
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE 1 5 66¼ 85¾   43½ 41½ (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 5.67  
3  GLACIAL POWER 3 4 1nk 2nk   22 52½ (camejo jos)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.10 5.44  
12  CHRYSO ALOGO 11 11 1112 119¾   98¾ 64¼ (vasquez german )LANERIE J 118 20.00 70.40  
2  B SUDD 2 8 76¼ 75¼   55 75 (von hemel )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
5  BACKSIDE BUZZ 5 10 98½ 96¾   87¾ 85¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 122 15.00 21.99  
6  JAMMIN JUSTICE 6 3 44½ 64¾   76¼ 98¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 69.17  
7  CHITWOOD 7 2 33 32   1111¼ 1013 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 38.01  
8  TEXAS TOWN 8 1 2nk 1nk   1010¼ 1114½ (hartma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 14.04  
SCR  TAGLIATELLE               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.