Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.08  
ELP-2   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 7 1 0 $8.74  
ELP-3   Win (11/5/8/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 5 1 1 $5.26 $5.26  
ELP-4   Win (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $8.18  
ELP-5   Win (4/6/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 1 1 1 $4.84 $4.84  
ELP-6   Win (5/12/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.04 $4.04  
ELP-7   Win (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $14.46 $14.46 8.46
ELP-8   Win (7/10/8/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $4.78 $4.78  
ELP-9   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 11 1 0 $16.66  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:113 1:234   1:37   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELLA FRANCES 4 1 31 31 14½ 18 110 (beckman whit)TORRES A 123 3.00 2.04  
3  GRACE GIVEN 3 4 42 43 35 28 210 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 33% 2.00 1.57 P
6  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE 6 6 2½ 2nk 24½ 310 313 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 11.11  
2  MISSY BEE 2 3 52½ 53¼ 68½ 514½ 416¼ (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 8.00 5% 19.00 24.77  
1  TAMARA'S WAY 1 5 63½ 64¾ 57 412½ 516¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 2.61  
5  BYZANTINE 5 2 1½ 1nk 47 619½ 653¾ (morse randy)TORRES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70 9.25  
 
ELP-2   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :454 1:112 1:252   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL 6 6 45 46½ 32½ 3½ 13 (moquett ron)TORRES A 118 2.50 3.37  
3  OH MACARENA 2 1 1nk 1½ 21½ 2nk 23 (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 21% 3.90 2.85 P
6  STREETS OF PARIS 5 5 3½ 2½ 11½ 1nk 34½ (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20 0.93 S
2  VINO VELOCE 1 2 68½ 59½ 57 45½ 49½ (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.46  
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR 4 4 2nk 3½ 45 56 512 (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 3.50 6.86  
4  REMEMBERING MAUDE 3 3 56 610½ 613½ 611 614¼ (french wayn)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 36.63  
SCR  QUEEN ANNA T               (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:214 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T SAY IT 5 4 63½ 62½   22 12 (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 23% 3.30 1.63 W
8  MIYAKO 8 10 74 73½   54 22 (lynch brian)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40 2.62 P
1  HI'IAKA 1 5 32 42   32 32½ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7% 13.80 11.09 S
4  GO PURPLE 4 2 11 1½   12 43¼ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.67  
11  WHERE'S THE WINE 11 6 84½ 84   75¾ 54¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 42% 1.40 6.11  
2  MO HAPPY 2 8 116½ 116¼   86¼ 65 (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 72.38  
9  DEAR SCARLETT 9 11 127 106¼   96¼ 75½ (murphy conor)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00 30.76  
10  WINE AND WAVES 10 7 95 96   107¼ 85¾ (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 18.91  
7  MIA MARCELA 7 1 21 2½   43 97 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 19.66  
6  KIMBERLINA 6 3 42½ 31½   65½ 108¼ (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00 37.69  
3  PERFORMABILITY 3 9 53 52   118¼ 1110½ (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 63.56  
12  BAH HUMBUG 12 12 106½ 126¾   129¾ 1211 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.81  
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT               (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
SCR  PRECISELY               (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
SCR  PRETTY SONG               (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE               (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:24 :47 1:112 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAWKAB 4 7 54 64 2nk 11½ 1¾ (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 3.09  
2  INTERLOCK EMPIRE 2 4 75 75½ 62¼ 21½ 2¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 5.66  
1  GAMETIME GLADIATOR 1 5 64½ 54 41½ 31½ 31¼ (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 19% 4.30 3.95 S
7  GOD OF WINE 7 6 32 32½ 3½ 53½ 46¾ (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.93  
5  FORGE IN FIRE 5 2 1nk 2½ 1nk 43 59½ (bahena isma)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.23  
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID 6 1 2nk 1½ 52 63¾ 612¼ (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 123 8.00 12.07  
3  DR KRINGLE 3 3 42½ 43 74¾ 77¾ 716 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.50 17% 4.70 3.75  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:113     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEDGE 1 1 2nk 21½   12 11 (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.42 W
5  DIXIE DEVIL 5 10 94¼ 53½   32 21 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 23.36  
3  REB 3 9 105¼ 75½   44 32¼ (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.89 S
4  GALLO DE FUEGO 4 11 117¾ 107½   66½ 44¼ (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 28% 2.60 7.67  
6  ABBI FEDE 6 5 62¼ 43   55½ 55½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 15% 5.60 3.74  
2  BAYTOWN GUVNAH 2 4 1nk 11½   22 65½ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 13.27  
9  REMAINING NAMELESS 9 3 41 64   78½ 79¼ (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 63.35  
7  BELIEVE IN DREAMS 7 6 3½ 32½   811 817¾ (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 14.05  
8  BOURBONATOR 8 7 52 97   915 921¼ (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 17.30 9.53  
12  KERNER 12 2 73¾ 86   1015½ 1026¼ (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 37.32  
10  NOBLE SOUL 10 8 84¼ 118   1118 1129¼ (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 13.41  
11  BOURBON STATE 11 12 128¾ 1211   1221½ 1235½ (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 34.70  
 
ELP-6   08/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:231 :471 1:112 1:343   1:404   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIOCOSO 5 2 21 2½ 1nk 13 16¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.02 W
12  COURAGEOUS CLAY 12 11 96¼ 74¾ 41½ 45 26¼ (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30 5.39 P
9  MINARET STATION 9 5 85¾ 85¾ 63¾ 66½ 36¾ (walden will)TORRES A 119 12.00 8.05  
3  THUBOOT 3 3 32½ 32½ 3½ 33½ 47 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 11.54  
8  TURNBUCKLE 8 4 42½ 42½ 51¾ 55½ 57 (hancock dana)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 29.43  
1  HOMER'S ODYSSEY 1 1 11 1½ 2nk 23 67½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 ★ 17.99  
7  REPEAT BUSINESS 7 7 119¾ 107¾ 106¾ 89 712¼ (brown c)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 12.01  
6  BOY BOY 6 8 108¾ 118 117 911 813¾ (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 51.30  
10  MISSIONARY MAN 10 6 54 64¼ 74¼ 78 914 (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.53  
2  SKIP FACTOR 2 12 1211¾ 129 129 1113½ 1018½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 16.33  
4  AMERICAN VISION 4 10 75¼ 95¾ 85¾ 1012½ 1121½ (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 7% 13.70 10.25  
11  MALEVAJE 11 9 64¼ 54 96¾ 1216½ 1224¼ (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 86.69  
SCR  BET ON BRET               (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
SCR  SHOGUN (IRE)               (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:214 :453 :581     1:044   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SEXAGENARIAN 2 5 33 3½   13½ 13¾ (maker michael )TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23 W
8  ZANDVOORT 6 2 54½ 53½   54¾ 23¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 45% 1.20 2.27 P
7  QUINTILLION (IRE) 5 8 89½ 88½   76¾ 33¾ (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 11.16  
1  TUXEDO PARK 1 3 43½ 42   43¾ 44 (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 32% 2.10 6.13  
9  STUNNING BRUNO 7 6 66 64   65¾ 511¼ (jazdzewski jon)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00 51.36  
6  CORRELATION 4 1 11½ 1½   33½ 612½ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 4.26  
5  CYBERBEAST 3 4 21½ 2½   23½ 713 (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★ 2.99  
11  HASTY FLYER 8 7 76½ 76   89¾ 819¾ (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 10.51  
SCR  BIG MUCH               (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
SCR  CHASES MAGIC               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 4.50    
SCR  FLOODLITES               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:11 1:223   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AGRA 7 7 119¾ 106 31 1nk 11½ (mott i)TORRES A 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.39 W
8  MS QUALITY CONTROL 8 5 85½ 64¼ 73¼ 32½ 21½ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 10% 8.70 6.84 P
11  PEIGNOIR 11 9 11½ 11½ 11 2nk 31¾ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.43 S
9  QUIETLY 9 10 107¼ 96 105¾ 65¼ 42¾ (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 5.89  
4  BIG DIG 4 1 21½ 21½ 21 42¾ 53¼ (bahena ismae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 51.66  
3  CANDY BAR 3 6 43 52¾ 52½ 53¼ 64½ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 10.00 7.50  
1  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT 1 2 64½ 84½ 84¼ 75¼ 75 (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 25.26  
10  CLARET BERET 10 11 53 42½ 41½ 85½ 87 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.88  
6  DIVINE (IRE) 6 8 97 117 117¾ 98½ 910½ (mackey wayn)BEALMEAR C 116 10.00 5% 19.00 30.94  
5  ETNA'S NAPPER 5 4 75 74¼ 95¾ 1111 1013½ (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 44.83  
2  ARMY GIRL 2 3 32½ 32½ 63 109½ 1113¾ (wisner j)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 29.99  
SCR  GENETICS               (mott i)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  PARTY               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:211 :44 :551     1:011   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FINSTER 10 6 54¾ 42¼   12 11 (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★ 7.33  
10  ARABIAN PRINCE 9 7 86½ 53¾   32 21 (barnett bobby )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 19.87  
4  DEMOLITION DUKE 4 9 1010 108¼   66 31½ (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.02 S
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE 1 5 66¼ 85¾   43½ 41½ (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 5.67  
3  GLACIAL POWER 3 4 1nk 2nk   22 52½ (camejo jose )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.10 5.44  
12  CHRYSO ALOGO 11 11 1112 119¾   98¾ 64¼ (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 118 20.00 70.40  
2  B SUDD 2 8 76¼ 75¼   55 75 (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
5  BACKSIDE BUZZ 5 10 98½ 96¾   87¾ 85¼ (atras rob)TORRES A 122 15.00 21.99  
6  JAMMIN JUSTICE 6 3 44½ 64¾   76¼ 98¾ (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 69.17  
7  CHITWOOD 7 2 33 32   1111¼ 1013 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 38.01  
8  TEXAS TOWN 8 1 2nk 1nk   1010¼ 1114½ (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 14.04  
SCR  TAGLIATELLE               (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.