Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-7   WIN (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $14.46 $8.46 141%
    EXA (8/1/3)-(8/1/3/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-8 $57.10 $39.10 217%
    DD (5/12/4/10)-(8/1/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  5-3 $40.46 $16.46 69%
ELP-8   TRI (7/10/8/11/6)-(7/10/8/11/6)-(7/10/8/11/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-8-11 $68.23 $38.23 127%
    DD (8/1/3)-(7/10/8/11/6) 15 $2.00 $30.00  3-7 $31.74 $1.74 6%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELLA FRANCES   (beckman wh)TORRES A 123 3.00 2.04  
3  GRACE GIVEN   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 33% 2.00 1.57 P
6  BEAUTIFUL MANDATE   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00 11.11  
2  MISSY BEE   (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 8.00 5% 19.00 24.77  
1  TAMARA'S WAY   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50 2.61  
5  BYZANTINE   (morse ran)TORRES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70 9.25  
 
ELP-2   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GRAND PRAIRIE GAL   (moquett r)TORRES A 118 2.50 3.37  
3  OH MACARENA   (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 21% 3.90 2.85 P
6  STREETS OF PARIS   (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20 0.93 S
2  VINO VELOCE   (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 17.46  
5  AMERICAN SPLENDOR   (cambray andr)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 3.50 6.86  
4  REMEMBERING MAUDE   (french wa)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00 36.63  
SCR  QUEEN ANNA T   (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  DON'T SAY IT   (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 23% 3.30 1.63 W
  (by JIMMY CREED out of FOREVER DISCREET by BERNARDINI)
8  MIYAKO   (lynch bri)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40 2.62 P
  (by YOSHIDA out of PERFECT STEP by IFFRAAJ)
1  HI'IAKA   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7% 13.80 11.09 S
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
4  GO PURPLE   (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 8.00 8.67  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of WAKI PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
11  WHERE'S THE WINE   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 5.00 42% 1.40 6.11  
  (by MITOLE out of AMARONE by QUALITY ROAD)
2  MO HAPPY   (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00 72.38  
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
9  DEAR SCARLETT   (murphy conor)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00 30.76  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of BUTTERNUT BLOOMERS by CURLIN)
10  WINE AND WAVES   (hancock jo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00 18.91  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of MALIBU PIER by MALIBU MOON)
7  MIA MARCELA   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 19.66  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  KIMBERLINA   (wojczynski jus)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00 37.69  
  (by ASTERN out of SHE'S MESSI by PURIM)
3  PERFORMABILITY   (williamson)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 63.56  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of MAGICAL FLUTE by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
12  BAH HUMBUG   (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00 20.81  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of APPLE SNOW by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT   (michael b)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of INNOCENT LOVE by GRAND SLAM)
SCR  PRECISELY   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of HIGH TECH by DATA LINK)
SCR  PRETTY SONG   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PRETTY FANCY by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE   (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of MARQUEE by GOLD REGENT)
 
ELP-4   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CAWKAB   (mckeever an)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 3.09  
2  INTERLOCK EMPIRE   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 5.66  
1  GAMETIME GLADIATOR   (camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 19% 4.30 3.95 S
7  GOD OF WINE   (davis chri)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 28% 2.60 2.93  
5  FORGE IN FIRE   (bahena is)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.23  
6  SCHIFTY'S HALOID   (mccarthy mic)TORRES A 123 8.00 12.07  
3  DR KRINGLE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.50 17% 4.70 3.75  
 
ELP-5   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEDGE   (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 9% 9.80 1.42 W
5  DIXIE DEVIL   (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 23.36  
3  REB   (fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.89 S
4  GALLO DE FUEGO   (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 28% 2.60 7.67  
6  ABBI FEDE   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 15% 5.60 3.74  
2  BAYTOWN GUVNAH   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00 13.27  
9  REMAINING NAMELESS   (jazdzewski)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 63.35  
7  BELIEVE IN DREAMS   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 14.05  
8  BOURBONATOR   (desormeaux)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 17.30 9.53  
12  KERNER   (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00 37.32  
10  NOBLE SOUL   (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 13.41  
11  BOURBON STATE   (miller darri)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00 34.70  
 
ELP-6   08/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GIOCOSO   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 41% 1.50 1.02 W
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of NUTCRACKER SUITE by FASTNET ROCK)
12  COURAGEOUS CLAY   (medina robe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30 5.39 P
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
9  MINARET STATION   (walden wi)TORRES A 119 12.00 8.05  
  (by INSTILLED REGARD out of BEAU RECALL by SIR PRANCEALOT)
3  THUBOOT   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 11.54  
  (by NYQUIST out of HAAFILAH by BERNARDINI)
8  TURNBUCKLE   (hancock dana)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 29.43  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of MOUNTAIN DOVE by POINT OF ENTRY)
1  HOMER'S ODYSSEY   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 ★ 17.99  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of CONQUEST DYNASTY by COURT VISION)
7  REPEAT BUSINESS   (brown c)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00 12.01  
  (by NYQUIST out of CHOI by BERNARDINI)
6  BOY BOY   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 51.30  
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of MISS CURLIN by CURLIN)
10  MISSIONARY MAN   (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 29.53  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of QUEBEC by INTO MISCHIEF)
2  SKIP FACTOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00 16.33  
  (by THE FACTOR out of SUSIE'S DADDY by SCAT DADDY)
4  AMERICAN VISION   (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 7% 13.70 10.25  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of DECEPTIVE VISION by A.P. INDY)
11  MALEVAJE   (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00 86.69  
  (by ACCELERATE out of REGAL SONG by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
SCR  BET ON BRET   (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
  (by DIVISIDERO out of DRIFT AWAY by CONGRATS)
SCR  SHOGUN (IRE)   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
  (by BLAME out of SILVICULTURE by FORESTRY)
 
ELP-7   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  SEXAGENARIAN   (maker michae)TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00 6.23 W
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of WHATS YUR STORY by LIAISON)
8  ZANDVOORT   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 45% 1.20 2.27 P
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of MELLONBROOK by DISCREET CAT)
7  QUINTILLION (IRE)   (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 11.16  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
1  TUXEDO PARK   (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 32% 2.10 6.13  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of GREEN EYED CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
9  STUNNING BRUNO   (jazdzewski j)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 30.00 51.36  
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of YOUNGNFLASHY by FLASHY BULL)
6  CORRELATION   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 4.26  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of FRANDERELLA by HENNY HUGHES)
5  CYBERBEAST   (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 10.00 ★ 2.99  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of QUOTATION by CONGRATS)
11  HASTY FLYER   (asmussen s)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 10.51  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SPEED ON TAP by TAPIT)
SCR  BIG MUCH   (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of TRUST by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  CHASES MAGIC   (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 4.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of NARROW SEA by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  FLOODLITES   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of MORE MO FOR ME by UNCLE MO)
 
ELP-8   08/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  AGRA   (mott william)TORRES A 118 2.00 52% 0.90 1.39 W
8  MS QUALITY CONTROL   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 10% 8.70 6.84 P
11  PEIGNOIR   (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 16.43 S
9  QUIETLY   (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00 5.89  
4  BIG DIG   (bahena ism)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 20.00 51.66  
3  CANDY BAR   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 10.00 7.50  
1  NORISKIT NOBISCUIT   (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 25.26  
10  CLARET BERET   (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 13% 6.50 3.88  
6  DIVINE (IRE)   (mackey wa)BEALMEAR C 116 10.00 5% 19.00 30.94  
5  ETNA'S NAPPER   (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 44.83  
2  ARMY GIRL   (wisner j)BEJARANO R 123 20.00 29.99  
SCR  GENETICS   (mott william)TORRES A 118 4.50    
SCR  PARTY   (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  FINSTER   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★ 7.33  
10  ARABIAN PRINCE   (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00 19.87  
4  DEMOLITION DUKE   (walsh bre)TORRES A 122 2.00 58% 0.70 1.02 S
1  COMMITTEE OF ONE   (asmussen stev)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00 ★ 5.67  
3  GLACIAL POWER   (camejo jos)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.10 5.44  
12  CHRYSO ALOGO   (vasquez german )LANERIE J 118 20.00 70.40  
2  B SUDD   (von hemel )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
5  BACKSIDE BUZZ   (atras rob)TORRES A 122 15.00 21.99  
6  JAMMIN JUSTICE   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00 69.17  
7  CHITWOOD   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00 38.01  
8  TEXAS TOWN   (hartma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00 14.04  
SCR  TAGLIATELLE   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.