Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Monday - August 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (3/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-2   Win (6/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-3   Win (11/5/8/1/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-4   Win (7/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-5   Win (4/6/1/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (5/12/4/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-7   Win (8/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-8   Win (7/10/8/11/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP M/F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TAMARA'S WAY Jul07 Jun01 May12 Sep20 Sep03 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 123 4.50    
MISSY BEE Jul05 Jun19 Apr30 Apr11 Mar15 (foster eric)FUENTES ERICK 108 8.00 5% 19.00    
GRACE GIVEN Jul22 Jul04 May31 Apr14 Mar08 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 2.00 33% 2.00    
ELLA FRANCES Apr30 Mar27 Feb29 Feb03 Jan13 (beckman whit)TORRES A 123 3.00    
BYZANTINE Jul05 Jun01 Apr27 Mar22 Feb16 (morse randy)TORRES A 123 3.50 27% 2.70    
BEAUTIFUL MANDATE Jun17 May12 Mar22 Mar06 Feb14 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 5.00    
 
ELP-2   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  QUEEN ANNA T Jun19 Apr20       (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00    
VINO VELOCE Jul13 Jun19 May17 Apr17 Aug04 (puhich mike)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
OH MACARENA Jun05 Mar09 Feb02 Jan06 Dec17 (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 5.00 21% 3.90    
REMEMBERING MAUDE Jul21         (french wayn)BEALMEAR C 111 20.00    
AMERICAN SPLENDOR Jul22 Jul07 Jun16     (cambray andres)HEBERT LINDSEY 118 3.50    
STREETS OF PARIS Jun26 Jun12       (shirer a)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 2.00 31% 2.20    
GRAND PRAIRIE GAL Jul07 May26 Apr28 Oct13 Aug26 (moquett ron)TORRES A 118 2.50    
 
ELP-3   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HI'IAKA Feb14 Dec14 May19     (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00 7% 13.80    
MO HAPPY Jun08 May22 May05 Mar31 Jan28 (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
PERFORMABILITY         (williamson b)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00    
GO PURPLE         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 8.00    
DON'T SAY IT Oct21 Sep16       (cox h)MACHADO LUAN 119 3.50 23% 3.30    
KIMBERLINA Oct21         (wojczynski justi)DOYLE SOPHIE 119 20.00    
MIA MARCELA Jul15 Jun26 Nov17 Sep27 Aug09 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00    
MIYAKO Jun26 Jun02 Apr25     (lynch brian)TORRES A 119 6.00 7% 12.40    
DEAR SCARLETT Jun18         (murphy conor)LANDEROS CHRIS 124 15.00    
10  WINE AND WAVES Jul20 Jun12 May18 Apr13 Mar03 (hancock john)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 6.00    
11  WHERE'S THE WINE Jul15 Jun08 Feb28     (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 5.00 42% 1.40    
12  BAH HUMBUG         (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  STAGE PRESENCE Jun28 May25       (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 4.00    
SCR  PRECISELY Jun11         (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
SCR  INNOCENT NYGHT Jun26 May25 Sep28 Aug23   (michael bri)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00    
SCR  PRETTY SONG Nov18         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
ELP-4   08/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAMETIME GLADIATOR Jul05 Jun15 May01 Mar16 Feb18 (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 4.00 19% 4.30    
INTERLOCK EMPIRE Jul05 May23 May05 Apr13 Mar23 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
DR KRINGLE Jul21 Jun29 Jun08 May23 Apr25 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.50 17% 4.70    
CAWKAB Jul09 Mar17 Jan07 Dec16 Nov03 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50    
FORGE IN FIRE May25 May01 Apr14 Feb21 Jun01 (bahena isma)TORRES A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCHIFTY'S HALOID Jan07 Dec28 Nov07 Oct19 Sep05 (mccarthy micha)TORRES A 123 8.00    
GOD OF WINE Jul05 May25 May01 Mar15 Feb22 (davis christ)CORRALES GERARDO 123 2.50 28% 2.60    
 
ELP-5   08/05/2024 4620ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HEDGE Jun13         (colebrook ben)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 9% 9.80    
BAYTOWN GUVNAH Jul21         (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 15.00    
REB Jun19 May09       (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
GALLO DE FUEGO Jul14         (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 119 4.00 28% 2.60    
DIXIE DEVIL         (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
ABBI FEDE         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 5.00 15% 5.60    
BELIEVE IN DREAMS         (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
BOURBONATOR         (desormeaux j)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 5% 17.30    
REMAINING NAMELESS Jul15         (jazdzewski j)CORRALES GERARDO 119 15.00    
10  NOBLE SOUL         (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
11  BOURBON STATE         (miller darrin)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 20.00    
12  KERNER         (ennis john)MONCADA IRVING 112 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/05/2024 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOMER'S ODYSSEY Jul07         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00    
SKIP FACTOR         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
THUBOOT Jul07         (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
AMERICAN VISION         (cox h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 5.00 7% 13.70    
GIOCOSO Jul07 Jun20       (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 3.00 41% 1.50    
BOY BOY         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
REPEAT BUSINESS         (brown c)GARCIA MARTIN 119 6.00    
TURNBUCKLE Jul20 Jun19 May02 Apr05   (hancock dana)BEJARANO R 119 30.00    
MINARET STATION         (walden will)TORRES A 119 12.00    
10  MISSIONARY MAN         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
11  MALEVAJE May30 Apr25       (seglin e)RIQUELME J 119 30.00    
12  COURAGEOUS CLAY Jul07         (medina robert)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.00 31% 2.30    
SCR  BET ON BRET Jul14         (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 119 20.00    
SCR  SHOGUN (IRE) Jul05         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 6.00    
 
ELP-7   08/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TUXEDO PARK May02 Apr10       (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 32% 2.10    
SCR  FLOODLITES Jul13         (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 119 5.00    
SEXAGENARIAN         (maker michael )TORRES A 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHASES MAGIC         (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 4.50    
CYBERBEAST         (mason ingrid)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
CORRELATION         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
QUINTILLION (IRE)         (miller darrin)MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00    
ZANDVOORT         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.00 45% 1.20    
STUNNING BRUNO         (jazdzewski)RODRIGUEZ A 119 30.00    
SCR  BIG MUCH         (casse w)CHUAN MARTIN 119 6.00    
11  HASTY FLYER         (asmussen ste)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-8   08/05/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORISKIT NOBISCUIT Jun12 Feb17 Jan20 Nov10 Oct25 (murphy conor)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
ARMY GIRL Jun24 Feb23 Jan10 Dec21 Oct30 (wisner j)BEJARANO R 123 20.00    
CANDY BAR Jun28 May30 Apr20 Mar21 Feb10 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 123 10.00    
BIG DIG Jun26 Jun15 May14 Apr21 Mar21 (bahena ism)RODRIGUEZ A 123 20.00    
ETNA'S NAPPER Jul02 Jun06 Feb09 Aug04 Jun24 (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
DIVINE (IRE) Apr04 Jan13 Nov05 Aug11   (mackey wayn)BEALMEAR C 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
AGRA Jun08 May05 Jan12 Dec16 Nov05 (mott i)TORRES A 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
MS QUALITY CONTROL Jun19 May01 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 10% 8.70    
QUIETLY Jul07 May25       (mott riley)ACHARD ALEX 118 6.00    
10  CLARET BERET Jul04 May25 Apr21 Mar23   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 118 6.00 13% 6.50    
11  PEIGNOIR Jul05 Nov10 Oct15 Aug26 Jul31 (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PARTY Feb10 Dec29 Nov04 Sep30 Jul15 (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00    
SCR  GENETICS Jul16 Jun22 May25 Nov11 Oct13 (mott i)TORRES A 118 4.50    
 
ELP-9   08/05/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMITTEE OF ONE Jul04 Jun16 May17 Apr07 Mar15 (asmussen steven)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
B SUDD Jun28 May30 May12 Apr12 Feb23 (von do)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
GLACIAL POWER Jun27 Jun05 May12 Mar06 Jul08 (camejo jose )HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00 11% 8.10    
DEMOLITION DUKE Jun30 May17 Apr21 Mar24 Jun17 (walsh brend)TORRES A 122 2.00 58% 0.70    
BACKSIDE BUZZ Jun29 May16 Apr20 Apr07 Mar22 (atras rob)TORRES A 122 15.00    
JAMMIN JUSTICE Jun18 May29 May08 Apr24   (murphy conor)CANNON DECLAN 118 30.00    
CHITWOOD May01 Mar08 Feb09 Jan05 Nov18 (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 20.00    
TEXAS TOWN Feb11 Dec08       (hartman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 10.00    
SCR  TAGLIATELLE Jul13 Jun16 May25 May09 Apr12 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
10  ARABIAN PRINCE Jul14 Oct25 Sep22 Sep13 Jul23 (barnett bob)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
11  FINSTER Aug08         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 118 6.00    
12  CHRYSO ALOGO Jul04 Jun20 May30 May12 Apr27 (vasquez sr)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.