Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-1   WIN (9/2/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00  7 $16.46 $6.46 65%
    EXA (9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11) 20 $2.00 $40.00  7-2 $112.56 $72.56 181%
    TRI (9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-2-3 $79.33 $49.33 164%
    SFT (9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11)-(9/2/7/3/11) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-2-3-9 $70.04 $58.04 484%
ELP-4   WIN (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00  6 $8.84 $2.84 47%
ELP-5   EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-2 $22.74 $4.74 26%
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/5)-(3/2/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00  3-2-5 $22.30 $13.30 148%
    DD (4/6/5)-(3/2/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  6-3 $29.08 $11.08 62%
ELP-6   WIN (3/12/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $15.26 $9.26 154%
    EXA (3/12/4)-(3/12/4/6/5) 12 $2.00 $24.00  4-6 $156.58 $132.58 552%
    TRI (3/12/4)-(3/12/4/6/5)-(3/12/4/6/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00  4-6-12 $200.02 $182.02 1011%
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/12/4) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $47.52 $29.52 164%
    PK3 (4/6/5)-(3/2/6)-(3/12/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50  6-3-4 $67.62 $54.12 401%
ELP-9   TRI (7/4/8/1)-(7/4/8/6/1)-(7/4/8/6/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  7-4-8 $30.56 $6.56 27%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CURLINS INCHARGE   (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 6% 14.50 7.23 W
HASKELLED   (van thoma)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.30 7.83 P
WASHINGTON'S UNION   (pino mich)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 5% 19.00 2.62 S
FLASH OF GENIUS   (pino mich)TORRES A 122 5.00 51% 1.00 3.41  
10  GOLDEN BUCK   (castanon jose )CASTANON L 118 20.00 14.46  
LEAD FOOT   (gonzalez re)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 37.68  
ONE LAST BID   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 9.97  
11  MR. FAVERSHAM   (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.06  
IBN AL ARABI   (cano mu)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.35  
TAP THE CANDY   (hancock john)TORRES A 122 10.00 9.42  
SCR  RIGEL   (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
 
ELP-2   07/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MORUNNING   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 49% 1.10 1.81 W
MELLIFLUOUS   (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 3.50 26% 2.90 3.20 P
DU MONDE   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 20.48  
BERNIN HOT   (davis chr)TORRES A 119 4.50 4.50  
MARK UR WAY   (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.69  
SESAME STREEK   (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 5.00 11.76  
LATTA   (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 6.30  
HARBOUR BRIDGE   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.87  
CRUSADER CONRAD   (mcsorley )BEALMEAR C 117 30.00 11.94  
 
ELP-3   07/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAYOU MAGIC   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.84  
REDFIELD   (hill f)STILLION BROOKE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 37.02 P
TOWN BRANCH   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 25% 3.00 1.37 S
10  REDHILL   (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 50.83  
NEW BERN   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 11.01  
ORESTES   (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.00 21% 3.90 5.28  
NACHO CHROME   (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.50 3.98  
JUDO   (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 123 10.00 8% 11.10 13.55  
FLORIS   (duvall william)CASTANON L 118 20.00 21.50  
BEER WITH ICE   (cano muno)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 14% 6.00 9.29  
 
ELP-4   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHASING LIBERTY   (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 29% 2.40 3.42 W
  (by CONSTITUTION out of PEACEFUL by DECLARATION OF WAR)
ZAP D'ETAT   (house )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 45.21  
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of SHOVALLA by GHOSTZAPPER)
I'M OTTER HERE   (hiles a)TORRES A 119 12.00 7.79  
  (by MUNNINGS out of ANYA YLINA by OASIS DREAM)
TARIFF   (eurton pe)TORRES A 119 4.00 4.08  
  (by COLLECTED out of WEIGHT NO MORE by PURE PRIZE)
GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 14.09  
  (by MOHAYMEN out of JUDY'S PRIZE by NEW YEAR'S DAY)
ENDRICK   (camejo m)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.67  
  (by VOLATILE out of CORAL WAY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
THE CHALK   (calhoun w)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.77  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BEEN STUDYING HER by FAST ANNA)
OVER PROOF   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 9.44  
  (by LAOBAN out of PROOF by CONSTITUTION)
10  SKYNET   (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 45.14  
  (by YOSHIDA out of SKY SHAFT by MINESHAFT)
11  GROUND SHAKER   (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 32.85  
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of DANDY DASHA by DUTY OFFICER)
SCR  MO WORK   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of OUTRAGEOUS MISS by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MOON SNIPER   (miller da)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of RUBY NOTION by GREAT NOTION)
SCR  SILVER FALCON   (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
  (by CARACARO out of TEA LIGHT by COUNTRY LIGHT)
SCR  ZUN REYDER   (nihei mi)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PRECOCIOUS MISS by WINSLOW HOMER)
 
ELP-5   07/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROLO RAPIDO   (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 47% 1.10 2.20 W
CULPRIT   (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.45 P
COPPER ECHO   (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 4.96 S
FIRST OF HIS NAME   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 11.77  
DYNAMIS (IRE)   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00 13.57  
POLAR BEAR PLUNGE   (hiles a)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 14.25  
MO RHODES   (amoss tho)TORRES A 120 6.00 3.34  
SCR  MUGATU   (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
 
ELP-6   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELEGANT TRIP   (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 15% 5.60 6.63 W
  (by TOURIST out of NATIVE TALENT by A.P. INDY)
ROWDY RIOT   (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 8.93 P
  (by RUNHAPPY out of AUGUSTA QUEEN by FORESTRY)
12  ROCK N ROLL BOLT   (camejo)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00 28% 2.50 3.70 S
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of BLAKELY'S SMILE by WILDCAT HEIR)
ENTICE THE NATION   (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 10.07  
  (by ENTICED out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
TRUST ISSUES   (lovell miche)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.79  
  (by ENTICED out of INDIAN CEE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
CAPE MAELSTROM   (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 16.46  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of LADYMIDTOWN by MIDSHIPMAN)
10  NOBLE EAGLE   (beckman d )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 24.27  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BIG MEESH by HIGH CHAPARRAL)
DR TIMOTHY   (wilkes ian)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 31.75  
  (by BEE JERSEY out of BOURBON GLEAM by NOT BOURBON)
FLAME ROCK FIRE   (camejo jose )RENGIFO KEIBER 119 30.00 55.40  
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of MISSILETOE KISS by GOLDEN MISSILE)
FORT SAM   (casse nor)TORRES A 119 8.00 4.71  
  (by VINO ROSSO out of HOOKAH LADY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
SCR  DROBNY   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUSIE BEE by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
SCR  GOOD LORD   (amoss tho)TORRES A 119 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MALIBU PARTY by HARD SPUN)
SCR  SEND CASH   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CASH IN by TAPIT)
 
ELP-7   07/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BRUNACINI   (sims p)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 6.63  
  (by DORTMUND out of OUR CONQUISTADORA by WILBURN)
AJAAYB   (esqu)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 8.00 6% 16.40 9.81 P
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MEZAH by TAPIT)
10  MULTITASK   (harty eoin)TORRES A 119 8.00 15% 5.80 10.64 S
  (by CANDY RIDE out of DIVIDED ATTENTION by A.P. INDY)
EGLISE   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5.19  
  (by FROSTED out of AHH CHOCOLATE by CANDY RIDE)
LOU'S LEGACY   (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 23% 3.30 11.60  
  (by TAPITURE out of BIOGIO'S GIFT by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
BEAVER STATE   (tomlinson mich)ROCCO S 119 20.00 15.83  
  (by FLATTER out of SONG SUNG TRUE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
11  GOLDEN SYMPHONY   (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 27.30  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of SOUND THE TRUMPETS by BERNARDINI)
AMENTUM   (walsh bre)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
  (by MUNNINGS out of IMPERTINENT by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CARNITINE   (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.91  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TAURINE by FLATTER)
14  HIGH FIVE SY   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 21.08  
  (by GIRVIN out of SUMMER IN MIDWAY by SUMMER FRONT)
MORAL DILEMMA   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 27.11  
  (by STREET SENSE out of BROADWAY PLAY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  BLACK NOISE   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
  (by AUDIBLE out of ABOUNDING JOY by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT   (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of BY THE LIGHT by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  SCUBA   (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
  (by JUSTIFY out of LOVELY REGINA by DEPUTY MINISTER)
SCR  SHALLUS   (sanchez)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of STRIKE FREE by CONCERN)
SCR  UNCLE WILLIAM   (guida anthony)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of AWESOME MARY by AWESOME AGAIN)
 
ELP-8   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CALLIE'S GRIT   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 2.70  
10  PAINT ME PERFECT   (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 16% 5.20 11.76 P
MAKE THE BOYS WINK   (medina rober)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.60 S
BEST PERFORMER   (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 12% 7.50 12.12  
NO FEAR (BRZ)   (lobo paul)TORRES A 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.52  
HONEY HAULER   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 18.51  
EMBRACE ME   (rutledge )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 16.71  
12  LADY JUNE   (castanon jose )CASTANON L 118 30.00 33.30  
CATMINT   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 20.00 24.37  
11  TOWHEAD   (maker michae)TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.79  
SCR  SCHOOL DANCE   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SCR  TITLED LADY   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
 
ELP-9   07/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOURMET   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.00 64% 0.60 2.03 W
SHE'S SO MALICE   (maker michae)TORRES A 124 3.00 13% 7.00 3.57 P
PLAY MAKER   (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.19 S
FASHION AFFIRMED   (pittma)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 27.21  
10  RETAIL THERAPY   (ortiz ale)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 16.15  
COMPUTADORA (ARG)   (brownfield cla)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 15.13  
HAND IT OVER   (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 4.00 3.84  
FANCY FASCINATOR   (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 10.93  
SUCRE CECILE   (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 20.49  
MORE SPIRITS PLEEZ   (cano juan)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 29.47  
SCR  INDY LABEL   (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.