Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - July 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (9/2/7/3/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 7 1 1 $16.46 $16.46 6.46
ELP-2   Win (7/1/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $5.62 $5.62  
ELP-3   Win (5/2/3/6/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $21.68  
ELP-4   Win (4/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $8.84 $8.84 2.84
ELP-5   Win (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
ELP-6   Win (3/12/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $15.26 $15.26 9.26
ELP-7   Win (4/5/10/8/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 12 1 0 $15.26  
ELP-8   Win (3/4/10/5/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 0 $7.40  
ELP-9   Win (7/4/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $6.06 $6.06  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
See original race card.
:224 :454 1:092 1:211   1:341   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  CURLINS INCHARGE 6 9 74¼ 62¾ 31½ 33 1¼ (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 122 6.00 6% 14.50 7.23 W
2  HASKELLED 2 4 96¾ 95¾ 83¾ 44½ 2¼ (van thomas)MACHADO LUAN 122 8.00 9% 10.30 7.83 P
3  WASHINGTON'S UNION 3 3 64 52½ 73¼ 55½ 3¼ (pino michae)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 4.50 5% 19.00 2.62 S
9  FLASH OF GENIUS 8 6 2nk 11 2nk 12 41½ (pino michae)TORRES A 122 5.00 51% 1.00 3.41  
10  GOLDEN BUCK 9 8 42 31 1nk 22 52¼ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 20.00 14.46  
1  LEAD FOOT 1 5 1011¼ 108¼ 94¼ 86½ 63¼ (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 30.00 37.68  
5  ONE LAST BID 5 1 53 84¾ 105¾ 97 75¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 8.00 9.97  
11  MR. FAVERSHAM 10 10 86¼ 74¼ 62¾ 76 85¼ (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00 5% 19.00 24.06  
8  IBN AL ARABI 7 7 31½ 41½ 52½ 65½ 96 (cano muno)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 6.00 5.35  
4  TAP THE CANDY 4 2 1nk 21 42 107¼ 1017 (hancock a)TORRES A 122 10.00 9.42  
SCR  RIGEL               (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 122 3.50    
 
ELP-2   07/28/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:101     1:164   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  MORUNNING 7 3 21 1nk   14 17½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 49% 1.10 1.81 W
1  MELLIFLUOUS 1 8 87½ 76¾   45½ 27½ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 3.50 26% 2.90 3.20 P
4  DU MONDE 4 6 54½ 55¼   35½ 37½ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 20.48  
6  BERNIN HOT 6 1 11 2nk   24 48 (davis chris)TORRES A 119 4.50 ★ 4.50  
9  MARK UR WAY 9 7 66½ 86¾   79 511 (walsh p)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00 5% 19.00 19.69  
8  SESAME STREEK 8 2 42½ 42¼   66½ 612¼ (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 5.00 11.76  
3  LATTA 3 4 32 32   56 712¾ (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 12.00 6.30  
5  HARBOUR BRIDGE 5 9 912 911¾   912 813 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 18.87  
2  CRUSADER CONRAD 2 5 76½ 66¼   811 919¾ (mcsorley jo)BEALMEAR C 117 30.00 11.94  
 
ELP-3   07/28/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:113 1:252   1:39   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  BAYOU MAGIC 8 4 33½ 33½ 23 2nk 12½ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 118 8.00 9.84  
9  REDFIELD 9 9 1010½ 97¼ 67½ 34 22½ (hill f)STILLION BROOKE 118 20.00 5% 19.00 37.02 P
5  TOWN BRANCH 5 3 11 11 13 1nk 35¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 25% 3.00 1.37 S
10  REDHILL 10 8 65½ 54½ 47 44½ 49 (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00 50.83  
7  NEW BERN 7 7 77½ 86¼ 78½ 56 513½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 5.00 11.01  
2  ORESTES 2 6 910 108¼ 811½ 710 615 (hamilton sarah)ELLIOTT JANE 123 4.00 21% 3.90 5.28  
4  NACHO CHROME 4 5 55 65 1014 913 715¼ (van thomas)MORALES EDGAR 123 4.50 3.98  
6  JUDO 6 10 89½ 76 57½ 68 818¾ (fosdick steve)ROMAN A 123 10.00 8% 11.10 13.55  
1  FLORIS 1 1 43½ 43½ 913½ 1015½ 925½ (duvall e)CASTANON L 118 20.00 21.50  
3  BEER WITH ICE 3 2 21 21 36½ 812½ 1026 (cano munoz)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 6.00 14% 6.00 9.29  
 
ELP-4   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:213 :441 :554     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  CHASING LIBERTY 6 6 3½ 3½   1½ 11¼ (atras rob)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.50 29% 2.40 3.42 W
9  ZAP D'ETAT 8 8 83¾ 85¼   52¾ 21¼ (house ga)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 30.00 45.21  
8  I'M OTTER HERE 7 9 95¼ 96¼   73¼ 31¼ (hiles a)TORRES A 119 12.00 7.79  
2  TARIFF 2 4 41½ 52½   62¾ 42¾ (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 4.00 ★ 4.08  
3  GERALDRAYDAPLEGRAY 3 5 1nk 1½   2½ 53 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 14.09  
5  ENDRICK 5 7 51¾ 42   42½ 64¼ (camejo m)CASTANON L 119 10.00 5% 19.00 4.67  
4  THE CHALK 4 2 2nk 2½   32½ 75¼ (calhoun wil)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 3.50 46% 1.20 2.77  
1  OVER PROOF 1 3 73¼ 74¼   84¾ 85½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 ★ 9.44  
10  SKYNET 9 10 105¾ 108¾   97¼ 98½ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 45.14  
11  GROUND SHAKER 10 1 63¼ 64   108¼ 1011¼ (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 32.85  
SCR  MO WORK               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00    
SCR  MOON SNIPER               (miller darr)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 20.00    
SCR  SILVER FALCON               (moquett e)BEJARANO R 119 10.00    
SCR  ZUN REYDER               (nihei mich)RODRIGUEZ A 119 10.00    
 
ELP-5   07/28/2024 5940ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:234 :472 1:114 1:37   1:50   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  CAROLO RAPIDO 2 7 78¼ 66¼ 64½ 31½ 1¼ (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50 47% 1.10 2.20 W
2  CULPRIT 1 4 1nk 2nk 1nk 11 2¼ (ward a)MACHADO LUAN 122 3.00 28% 2.60 2.45 P
5  COPPER ECHO 4 2 2nk 1nk 2nk 21 34½ (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00 ★ 4.96 S
8  FIRST OF HIS NAME 7 5 32 31 31 43 46 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 12.00 11.77  
6  DYNAMIS (IRE) 5 3 42¼ 51¾ 42 55½ 59 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 6.00 5% 19.00 13.57  
4  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE 3 1 52¼ 41½ 53½ 611½ 630¼ (hiles a)CANNON DECLAN 122 30.00 14.25  
7  MO RHODES 6 6 66¼ 76¾ 722½ 7100 7100 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 120 6.00 3.34  
SCR  MUGATU               (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.50    
 
ELP-6   07/28/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:204 :431 :544     1:003   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  ELEGANT TRIP 4 8 75¼ 74¼   3½ 11 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 8.00 15% 5.60 6.63 W
6  ROWDY RIOT 6 1 64¾ 64   1nk 21 (morse l)GARCIA MARTIN 119 8.00 ★ 8.93 P
12  ROCK N ROLL BOLT 10 9 96¾ 85¾   62¼ 34 (camejo j)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 5.00 28% 2.50 3.70 S
1  ENTICE THE NATION 1 5 2nk 2½   2nk 44½ (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00 10.07  
3  TRUST ISSUES 3 3 33 32½   51¾ 55¼ (lovell michell)TORRES A 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.79  
9  CAPE MAELSTROM 8 2 1nk 1½   4¾ 67¼ (danner kelsey)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00 16.46  
10  NOBLE EAGLE 9 6 53¾ 42½   72¾ 77½ (beckman wh)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 12.00 24.27  
2  DR TIMOTHY 2 7 85¾ 97¾   84¾ 88½ (wilkes r)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 20.00 31.75  
7  FLAME ROCK FIRE 7 10 1010¾ 1011¾   109¼ 99 (camejo m)RENGIFO KEIBER 119 30.00 55.40  
5  FORT SAM 5 4 43¼ 53½   96¾ 1016¾ (casse norm )TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 4.71  
SCR  DROBNY               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 20.00    
SCR  GOOD LORD               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 119 6.00    
SCR  SEND CASH               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 1.80    
 
ELP-7   07/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:09     1:223   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
12  BRUNACINI 10 2 32 31½   1½ 12¼ (sims p)BEJARANO R 119 30.00 6.63  
8  AJAAYB 6 1 2nk 2nk   2½ 22¼ (esquiv)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 8.00 6% 16.40 9.81 P
10  MULTITASK 8 8 97¼ 69½   46½ 34¼ (harty eoin)TORRES A 119 8.00 15% 5.80 10.64 S
9  EGLISE 7 10 1010¼ 911¼   58½ 44¼ (lynch a)GRAHAM J 119 12.00 5.19  
5  LOU'S LEGACY 4 6 77 810¼   711½ 58½ (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 23% 3.30 11.60  
3  BEAVER STATE 2 11 1110¾ 1115¼   915 610¼ (tomlinson michae)ROCCO S 119 20.00 15.83  
11  GOLDEN SYMPHONY 9 5 66 58   69½ 711¼ (wilkes r)LANERIE J 119 15.00 27.30  
7  AMENTUM 5 4 43½ 47½   812 812 (walsh brend)TORRES A 119 12.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
4  CARNITINE 3 3 1nk 1nk   36½ 914¼ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 3.00 36% 1.80 1.91  
14  HIGH FIVE SY 11 7 87¼ 1011¼   1020 1024½ (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00 21.08  
2  MORAL DILEMMA 1 9 55½ 79¾   1121 1131¾ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 15.00 27.11  
SCR  BLACK NOISE               (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
SCR  IGNITE THE LIGHT               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 6.00    
SCR  SCUBA               (green troy)MORALES EDGAR 124 15.00    
SCR  SHALLUS               (sanchez e)DE CRUZ 119 15.00    
SCR  UNCLE WILLIAM               (guida e)CANNON DECLAN 124 5.00    
 
ELP-8   07/28/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:122 1:352   1:412   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  CALLIE'S GRIT 7 2 11 11 1½ 11½ 11 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 8.00 2.70  
10  PAINT ME PERFECT 8 7 84½ 74 73¼ 73¼ 21 (margolis r)GRAHAM J 122 10.00 16% 5.20 11.76 P
3  MAKE THE BOYS WINK 3 6 63 63½ 53 42½ 31½ (medina robert)GEROUX FLORENT 122 3.50 24% 3.10 2.60 S
5  BEST PERFORMER 5 3 31½ 41½ 31½ 32 41½ (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 122 12.00 12% 7.50 12.12  
4  NO FEAR (BRZ) 4 8 52½ 52½ 41½ 63 51¾ (lobo paulo )TORRES A 122 4.00 23% 3.30 2.52  
1  HONEY HAULER 1 1 21 21 2½ 21½ 62 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 18.51  
2  EMBRACE ME 2 10 94½ 95¼ 84¾ 52½ 73¼ (rutledge la)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 8.00 16.71  
12  LADY JUNE 10 9 105½ 105¾ 95 85¾ 87¼ (castanon g)CASTANON L 118 30.00 33.30  
7  CATMINT 6 4 42 31½ 63¼ 98¼ 910½ (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 20.00 24.37  
11  TOWHEAD 9 5 73½ 84¼ 106½ 1053¼ 1099¼ (maker michael )TORRES A 122 15.00 5% 19.00 18.79  
SCR  SCHOOL DANCE               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00    
SCR  TITLED LADY               (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
 
ELP-9   07/28/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:224 :46 1:094 1:221   1:344   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  GOURMET 7 5 2nk 11½ 12 14 11¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 2.00 64% 0.60 2.03 W
4  SHE'S SO MALICE 4 10 107¾ 106¾ 85¼ 34 21¾ (maker michael )TORRES A 124 3.00 13% 7.00 3.57 P
8  PLAY MAKER 8 7 63½ 74¼ 64 54¾ 33½ (wilkes r)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00 5% 19.00 6.19 S
3  FASHION AFFIRMED 3 9 95¾ 85¼ 54 44¼ 43½ (pittman )LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 20.00 27.21  
10  RETAIL THERAPY 10 3 31½ 21½ 32½ 24 54¼ (ortiz alexa)ELLIOTT JANE 118 12.00 16.15  
9  COMPUTADORA (ARG) 9 8 85½ 95¾ 95¼ 66¼ 64½ (brownfield claud)MACHADO LUAN 118 20.00 15.13  
5  HAND IT OVER 5 2 52½ 42 22 76¾ 711½ (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 118 4.00 3.84  
6  FANCY FASCINATOR 6 4 1nk 31½ 74¼ 87¼ 812¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 6.00 ★ 10.93  
2  SUCRE CECILE 2 1 42 53 43 99¼ 914½ (foster eric)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00 20.49  
1  MORE SPIRITS PLEEZ 1 6 74 64 107¾ 1012¼ 1023 (cano m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 30.00 5% 19.00 29.47  
SCR  INDY LABEL               (danner kelsey)ELLIOTT JANE 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.