Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/6/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $4.94 $4.94  
ELP-2   Win (8/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 8 1 1 $6.00 $6.00  
ELP-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $11.98  
ELP-4   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 0 $9.02  
ELP-5   Win (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 0 $83.04  
ELP-6   Win (4/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.24 $4.24  
ELP-7   Win (7/12/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $17.50  
ELP-8   Win (4/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 8 1 0 $16.68  
ELP-9   Win (4/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $9.00 $9.00 1.00
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:213 :442 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LITTLE MO 2 8 64 63½   2½ 14 (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.47 W
6  OKLAHOMA LOGIC 5 1 1½ 11½   1½ 24 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 24% 3.30 2.25 P
8  MISS TIFEYE 7 6 53 32   33 38 (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 25.40  
10  TEGWAR 9 10 108 108   66½ 48 (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 11% 7.70 13.10  
11  VERY UNLIKELY 10 7 75 75½   77 511¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 20.83  
12  LITTLE BIT O STORM 11 9 97½ 86½   45 611¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 6.13  
5  ARE YOU A SPY 4 11 1110 1111   99 712¼ (bogle fergu)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 53.62  
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL 3 4 42½ 21½   55 814½ (hancock a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 9.18  
2  MY CHERRY PIE 1 5 32½ 53   88½ 920 (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.01  
9  MERCY OTIS 8 2 85½ 97½   1012 1022¾ (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 64.06  
7  HONEYBEEBOBBIE 6 3 2½ 42½   1118 1137¼ (gonzalez reina )FUENTES ERICK 119 30.00 44.90  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING               (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SCR  DINAHS GIRL               (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  EQUAL SUCCESS               (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  LIBERTY QUEEN               (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TAKE OVER               (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-2   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:224 :461 1:112     1:243   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MO RUM 7 1 51¾ 2½   11 12¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 66% 0.50 2.00 W
3  MO EL GRANDE 3 7 31 32   44 22¾ (morse randy)TORRES A 119 6.00 6% 14.90 4.68 P
6  DU MONDE 5 3 63¾ 42   21 33½ (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.68 S
4  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT 4 8 11 1½   31½ 44 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.89  
9  WICKED MELODY 8 5 88¼ 85½   65½ 57¼ (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50 7.10  
7  MACHO VILLA 6 2 76¼ 73½   54½ 67½ (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 5.00 11.12  
2  GOOD NEWS ROCKET 2 4 41½ 63   76 79 (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 11.64  
1  CRABTREE 1 6 21 52½   89 814½ (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.01  
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION               (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:224 :461 :581     1:103   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  REGAL REY 3 3 1½ 1½   13 12¾ (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 4.99  
6  GOOD LIKE MAGIC 6 4 2½ 2½   23 22¾ (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 60% 0.70 1.46 P
1  EL QUESO GRANDE 1 1 31½ 32   34½ 34½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00 9.08  
2  DAZZLEMESILVER 2 5 64 54   54¾ 44¾ (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 2.00 2.20  
4  JOE THE TAILOR 4 2 42 42½   44½ 57½ (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 6.00 7% 13.50 12.23  
5  TRUE JEDI 5 6 52 64   612¾ 637¼ (cano muno)TORRES A 122 6.00 10% 9.20 5.55  
SCR  MUMAYAZ               (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
ELP-4   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:223 :463 :59     1:12   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRETTY SURE 6 4 83¼ 41   11½ 14¼ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 ★ 3.51  
3  NANA GRACE 3 8 61¾ 52   32½ 24¼ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★ 10.71 P
5  SHIRLEY ANN 5 3 2½ 2nk   21½ 35¾ (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 4.00 49% 1.00 2.52 S
10  ANNA'S PROMISE 10 11 94¾ 64   54½ 46¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 15.00 33.59  
2  CONTEMPLATE 2 2 1½ 1nk   43 510¼ (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.39  
9  TEMPERS FLY 9 1 31½ 74¼   79 612 (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 19.43  
8  GEEZ ELOISE 8 10 105 107¼   89½ 712½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 6.23  
14  FORMAGGIO 11 5 41½ 3½   67 815¾ (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 47.10  
7  SWEET SIB 7 9 115½ 119¼   1113 917¼ (morey willi)TORRES A 119 12.00 24.25  
4  MELLY'S BIRKIN 4 6 72¾ 96¼   910½ 1017½ (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 59.77  
1  SECURED 1 7 51¾ 85¾   1012 1119¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.37  
SCR  CERTAIN VICTOR E               (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MYTH               (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
SCR  MOR LUCK               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
SCR  TRISTA               (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
 
ELP-5   08/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:114 1:243   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLASHY LASS 4 2 62½ 52 42 21 1nk (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 39% 1.50 4.68 DQ↓3
5  BOW DRAW 5 3 1½ 11 11 11 2nk (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 12.00 40.52  
2  EVERLAND 2 4 73½ 73½ 63 31 3.15 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 11% 8.30 1.64 P
8  CAT'S CAVE 7 6 2½ 31½ 31½ 42½ 45 (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 8.41  
1  PENS STREET 1 1 86 87 76 65 55¼ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
7  SULTRY LASS 6 7 41 42 52½ 75¼ 68 (lovell michell)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 5.32  
3  PEACOCK LASS 3 5 3½ 21 21 54 713¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 6.96  
9  HONEY DIJON 8 8 51½ 63 86 811¼ 832¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 10.25  
SCR  CATMINT               (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:222 :454 :581     1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY KATHRYN 4 3 1½ 11½   11½ 12½ (mott riley)TORRES A 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.12 W
7  CANDY MINE 7 11 106¾ 73¾   53¾ 22½ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 12.99  
12  MY LIL PUNKY 12 8 73 31½   21½ 33 (ennis john)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 32.15  
3  GIRL MATH 3 7 52 53   43½ 45¼ (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 ★ 6.09  
8  ALEDEAN 8 2 62½ 63¼   65¼ 56¼ (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★ 15.74  
11  ELECTRIFYING LADY 11 4 42 21½   33½ 66¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 22% 3.60 6.84  
9  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE 9 1 94¾ 97¼   79¾ 714¼ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5.32  
6  MO ICE FORTHE LADY 6 10 129¼ 119¼   911¾ 815½ (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 48.70  
2  DON'T WORRY 2 12 119¼ 1212¼   1113¼ 917¼ (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 52.97  
10  BABY LADY 10 9 84½ 86¼   1011¾ 1020¾ (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 51.80  
1  SCRIBBLE 1 5 31 107¼   1213¾ 1123¾ (littlefield dermo)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 56.63  
5  CITY OF SECRETS 5 6 2½ 42   810¾ 1226¼ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
SCR  BOOT TRICK               (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
SCR  PRAYING               (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00    
SCR  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR               (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
ELP-7   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:21 :43 :55     1:012   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN 8 3 22½ 22½   21½ 1¾ (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.75  
3  CRANK IT UP 3 8 65¼ 56   43 2¾ (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 20.00 33.81  
6  PROUD DIVI 6 4 32½ 33   31½ 31¾ (mackey wayn)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00 34.97  
10  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) 10 7 76¼ 77½   55½ 42¼ (mott willia)TORRES A 118 12.00 29.24  
12  MATERIAL WITNESS 12 1 12½ 12½   11½ 54¾ (atras rob)TORRES A 124 3.00 15% 5.50 3.04  
7  ELHUBOOB 7 2 43 45   65¾ 66½ (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 43% 1.30 4.15  
11  QUEEN CLANCY 11 11 117¾ 119¼   88¾ 76¾ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 25.79  
4  VIBE CHECK 4 12 107¼ 109   98¾ 87¼ (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 16.10  
9  WATERSEEKER 9 10 128 1210¾   109¼ 97½ (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 21.72  
2  STARCOURT 2 9 96¾ 98   77¾ 108¼ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.48  
1  SHORE WAR 1 5 86¼ 88   1210¾ 1111¼ (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 6% 14.70 3.23  
5  SAME OLD FEARS 5 6 55 67   119¾ 1219¼ (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.60 6.31  
SCR  A MUST SEE               (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  MAY MAY STRONG               (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
SCR  MO HAPPY               (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
SCR  ONDA BRAVA               (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00    
 
ELP-8   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:221 :444 1:093     1:163   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR 8 2 51¾ 31   2½ 1½ (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 7.34  
5  ECHO AGAIN 5 7 72¾ 62½   41 2½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 7% 13.90 4.09 P
1  MIACOMET 1 6 1nk 1½   1½ 31½ (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 9.78  
7  MR SKYLIGHT 7 4 61¾ 41½   52 41½ (mott riley)TORRES A 118 4.00 13% 6.50 4.32  
2  PURE PANIC 2 8 41½ 52½   62¼ 53¾ (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.94  
6  CHIRON 6 9 83¾ 73   73¾ 64 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 22.03  
3  KING'S GLORY (GB) 3 3 2nk 2½   31 76½ (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50 21% 3.70 3.21  
9  BARTULIA 9 1 95¾ 99   912¾ 821¾ (wismer glen)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00 18.25  
4  VITTORIO 4 5 31 84½   811¾ 935¼ (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 37% 1.70 7.71  
 
ELP-9   08/25/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:241 :504 1:151 1:373   1:49   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AK SAR BEN DERBY 3 6 52½ 62¼ 61½ 2nk 1¾ (ortiz alex)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 31% 2.20 3.50 W
10  HALF DOME (IRE) 9 5 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 2¾ (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 4.96  
2  WARP NINE 2 3 11 1½ 1nk 3.2 32½ (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 11.00  
6  OSCARWORTHY 5 1 42½ 31½ 3.2 41¾ 44½ (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 3.50 30% 2.30 4.55  
9  TENNESSEE LAMB 8 4 63½ 74¼ 73½ 53¾ 55 (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.88  
8  MONEY MEMOLO 7 10 95½ 94¾ 94½ 63¾ 66¼ (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 17% 4.80 20.82  
1  SWEET FREEDOM 1 2 31½ 51¾ 41¼ 74 76¾ (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 ★ 3.39  
7  MARK UR WAY 6 7 74 84¾ 84½ 910½ 816¼ (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 15.89  
11  RETURNED 10 9 84½ 41½ 51¼ 810 917 (semkin sam)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 39.48  
5  D'ORO LEMON 4 8 105¾ 105¾ 106½ 1012½ 1019¼ (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 16.75  
SCR  CREEK               (mott i)TORRES A 118 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.