Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Ellis Park
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELP-2   EXA (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  8-3 $26.58 $2.58 11%
    TRI (8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1)-(8/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  8-3-6 $39.43 $27.43 229%
ELP-9   WIN (4/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00  4 $9.00 $1.00 13%
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:50
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LITTLE MO   (eurton pe)TORRES A 119 2.50 41% 1.40 1.47 W
6  OKLAHOMA LOGIC   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 24% 3.30 2.25 P
8  MISS TIFEYE   (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00 25.40  
10  TEGWAR   (wainwrigh)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 11% 7.70 13.10  
11  VERY UNLIKELY   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00 20.83  
12  LITTLE BIT O STORM   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★ 6.13  
5  ARE YOU A SPY   (bogle fer)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 53.62  
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL   (hancock john )GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00 9.18  
2  MY CHERRY PIE   (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00 18.01  
9  MERCY OTIS   (barrett roddin)ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00 64.06  
7  HONEYBEEBOBBIE   (gonzalez rein)FUENTES ERICK 119 30.00 44.90  
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING   (puhich mi)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SCR  DINAHS GIRL   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  EQUAL SUCCESS   (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00    
SCR  LIBERTY QUEEN   (camejo jose )BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  TAKE OVER   (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-2   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  MO RUM   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 66% 0.50 2.00 W
3  MO EL GRANDE   (morse ran)TORRES A 119 6.00 6% 14.90 4.68 P
6  DU MONDE   (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00 8.68 S
4  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 2.89  
9  WICKED MELODY   (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50 7.10  
7  MACHO VILLA   (lukas wayn)TORRES A 124 5.00 11.12  
2  GOOD NEWS ROCKET   (hobby ste)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00 11.64  
1  CRABTREE   (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 16.01  
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 
ELP-3   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  REGAL REY   (antonuik)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00 4.99  
6  GOOD LIKE MAGIC   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 60% 0.70 1.46 P
1  EL QUESO GRANDE   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00 9.08  
2  DAZZLEMESILVER   (amoss tho)TORRES A 122 2.00 2.20  
4  JOE THE TAILOR   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 6.00 7% 13.50 12.23  
5  TRUE JEDI   (cano mu)TORRES A 122 6.00 10% 9.20 5.55  
SCR  MUMAYAZ   (moquett ronal)MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
ELP-4   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  PRETTY SURE   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 ★ 3.51  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of BEAUTICIAN by DEHERE)
3  NANA GRACE   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★ 10.71 P
  (by MUNNINGS out of FROST DANCE by SHACKLEFORD)
5  SHIRLEY ANN   (ortiz a)TORRES A 119 4.00 49% 1.00 2.52 S
  (by OUTWORK out of HEY PAIGE by STAY THIRSTY)
10  ANNA'S PROMISE   (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 15.00 33.59  
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of CAROLINE LOIS by PAYNTER)
2  CONTEMPLATE   (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 25% 3.00 2.39  
  (by HARD SPUN out of ANOTHER THINK by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
9  TEMPERS FLY   (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00 19.43  
  (by VEKOMA out of RESPECT by THUNDER GULCH)
8  GEEZ ELOISE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 6.23  
  (by VEKOMA out of MY FAIR LILY by SMOKE GLACKEN)
14  FORMAGGIO   (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00 47.10  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of LAQUEZZA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  SWEET SIB   (morey wil)TORRES A 119 12.00 24.25  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of SWEET NINA by TIZNOW)
4  MELLY'S BIRKIN   (cunningha)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00 59.77  
  (by SPUN TO RUN out of EBONY ORO by BOB AND JOHN)
1  SECURED   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00 28.37  
  (by MAXIMUM SECURITY out of CRAFTY LADY by CARPE DIEM (FR))
SCR  CERTAIN VICTOR E   (gorostieta ci)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of ELKE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  MIDNIGHT MYTH   (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of FIORETTI by BERNARDINI)
SCR  MOR LUCK   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  TRISTA   (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
  (by HIGHTAIL out of VINCA by OXBOW)
 
ELP-5   08/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  FLASHY LASS   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 39% 1.50 4.68 DQ↓3
5  BOW DRAW   (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 12.00 40.52  
2  EVERLAND   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 11% 8.30 1.64 P
8  CAT'S CAVE   (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 8.41  
1  PENS STREET   (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00 5.42  
7  SULTRY LASS   (lovell miche)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.80 5.32  
3  PEACOCK LASS   (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00 6.96  
9  HONEY DIJON   (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00 10.25  
SCR  CATMINT   (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
 
ELP-6   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LADY KATHRYN   (mott rile)TORRES A 119 2.00 56% 0.80 1.12 W
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of PINK SCATILLAC by SCAT DADDY)
7  CANDY MINE   (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00 12.99  
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of TIZ RAE ANNA by TIZ WONDERFUL)
12  MY LIL PUNKY   (ennis john)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00 32.15  
  (by OUTWORK out of TRANSLATOR by STRAVINSKY)
3  GIRL MATH   (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 ★ 6.09  
  (by MCKINZIE out of SACRISTY by GODSWALK)
8  ALEDEAN   (amoss thom)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★ 15.74  
  (by GAME WINNER out of TONI'S HOLLYDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
11  ELECTRIFYING LADY   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 22% 3.60 6.84  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA MILANESA by MR. GREELEY)
9  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00 5.32  
  (by VEKOMA out of GLITTER APPEAL by GEMOLOGIST)
6  MO ICE FORTHE LADY   (fletcher ke)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00 48.70  
  (by MO TOWN out of ICE FOR THE LADY by FLATTER)
2  DON'T WORRY   (oliver victori)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00 52.97  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of OVER THINKING by OVERANALYZE)
10  BABY LADY   (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 51.80  
  (by CONNECT out of ACCOMPLISH FIRST by FIRST DEFENCE)
1  SCRIBBLE   (littlefield der)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00 56.63  
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of SAXONY by HARD SPUN)
5  CITY OF SECRETS   (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00 11.70  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SEACRETTINA by SEA OF SECRETS)
SCR  BOOT TRICK   (dutrow rich)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SYSTEM TIME by GIROLAMO)
SCR  PRAYING   (medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00    
  (by VEKOMA out of PRAY FOR LESLIE by BERNARDINI)
SCR  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of POCKET GIFT by GREAT NOTION)
 
ELP-7   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN   (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00 7.75  
  (by PALACE MALICE out of C J'S GAL by AWESOME AGAIN)
3  CRANK IT UP   (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 118 20.00 33.81  
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
6  PROUD DIVI   (mackey wa)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00 34.97  
  (by DIVISIDERO out of PROUD AND FEARLESS by PROUD CITIZEN)
10  MONTEGO BAY (IRE)   (mott will)TORRES A 118 12.00 29.24  
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of ALWAYS ON MY MIND by CONGRATS)
12  MATERIAL WITNESS   (atras rob)TORRES A 124 3.00 15% 5.50 3.04  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of MORE THAN BEAUTY by MORE THAN READY)
7  ELHUBOOB   (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 43% 1.30 4.15  
  (by HARD SPUN out of LOVING VINDICATION by VINDICATION)
11  QUEEN CLANCY   (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00 25.79  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
4  VIBE CHECK   (maker mich)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00 16.10  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DAILY CAST by CURLIN)
9  WATERSEEKER   (medina rober)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00 21.72  
  (by DIVINING ROD out of ISLAND BOUND by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
2  STARCOURT   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00 17.48  
  (by ENTICED out of TWISTED DECISION by OLD FASHIONED)
1  SHORE WAR   (arnold george )CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 6% 14.70 3.23  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INFRACTION by TAPIT)
5  SAME OLD FEARS   (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.60 6.31  
  (by UNCLE MO out of BOMBO GENESIS by AFLEET ALEX)
SCR  A MUST SEE   (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GLITTERING TAX by ARTAX)
SCR  MAY MAY STRONG   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of LADY TIZNOW by TIZNOW)
SCR  MO HAPPY   (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
  (by TRAPPE SHOT out of GENUINE HAPPINESS by UNCLE MO)
SCR  ONDA BRAVA   (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
ELP-8   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR   (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00 7.34  
5  ECHO AGAIN   (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 7% 13.90 4.09 P
1  MIACOMET   (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 9.78  
7  MR SKYLIGHT   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 4.00 13% 6.50 4.32  
2  PURE PANIC   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00 4.94  
6  CHIRON   (estvanko richa)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00 22.03  
3  KING'S GLORY (GB)   (asmussen )TORRES A 124 4.50 21% 3.70 3.21  
9  BARTULIA   (wismer gl)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00 18.25  
4  VITTORIO   (santamaria ca)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 37% 1.70 7.71  
 
ELP-9   08/25/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
See Brisnet Instant Chart.
See TBRSimulator Race Card.   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  AK SAR BEN DERBY   (ortiz al)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 31% 2.20 3.50 W
  (by TAPITURE out of MENSA MEMBER by FLATTER)
10  HALF DOME (IRE)   (mccarthy m)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00 4.96  
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  WARP NINE   (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00 11.00  
  (by HIGHTAIL out of POWERTAP by TAPIT)
6  OSCARWORTHY   (lynch bri)TORRES A 118 3.50 30% 2.30 4.55  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of LOYA by CITY ZIP)
9  TENNESSEE LAMB   (arnold ge)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00 5.88  
  (by TONALIST out of TENNESSEE WHISKEY by PERSIAN TURBAN (IRE))
8  MONEY MEMOLO   (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 17% 4.80 20.82  
  (by WAR FRONT out of LA MANTA GRIS by LEMON DROP KID)
1  SWEET FREEDOM   (medina rob)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 ★ 3.39  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of ALL AMERICAN GAL by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
7  MARK UR WAY   (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00 15.89  
  (by UNION RAGS out of WEEKEND AWAY by MALIBU MOON)
11  RETURNED   (semkin sa)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00 39.48  
  (by BRODY'S CAUSE out of FLOWERFUL by OVERANALYZE)
5  D'ORO LEMON   (stewart d)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00 16.75  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LEMONS FOREVER by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  CREEK   (mott william)TORRES A 118 8.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of GULF by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.