Handicappers' Racing Form
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Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
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Ellis Park
Sunday - August 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (3/6/10/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (8/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-6   Win (4/11/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-7   Win (7/12/1/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-8   Win (4/3/7/5/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-9   Win (4/6/8/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
ELP-1   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC2 FIRM Mdn Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  EQUAL SUCCESS         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 10.00    
2  MY CHERRY PIE         (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  LITTLE MO Jul21         (eurton pete)TORRES A 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
4  MELITTLEFROSTGIRL Aug10 Jul13 Jun22     (hancock a)GARCIA MARTIN 119 12.00    
5  ARE YOU A SPY         (bogle fergu)BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
6  OKLAHOMA LOGIC Jul27 Jul06       (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 3.50 24% 3.30    
7  HONEYBEEBOBBIE Jul21         (gonzalez rein)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
8  MISS TIFEYE         (baker james)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 20.00    
9  MERCY OTIS Jul21 Jun22       (barrett roddina )ELLIOTT JANE 119 30.00    
10  TEGWAR Jul09         (wainwright )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 10.00 11% 7.70    
11  VERY UNLIKELY         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 8.00    
12  LITTLE BIT O STORM         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★    
SCR  LIBERTY QUEEN Aug10         (camejo m)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 12.00    
SCR  DINAHS GIRL         (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 4.50    
SCR  AIRFORCE LIGHTNING         (puhich mike)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 8.00    
SCR  TAKE OVER         (lynch a)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
 
ELP-2   08/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRABTREE May05 Mar30       (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  GOOD NEWS ROCKET Aug06 Jul02 Sep03 Aug20   (hobby steve)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 12.00    
3  MO EL GRANDE Apr13 Mar30 Mar15 Feb24   (morse randy)TORRES A 119 6.00 6% 14.90    
4  ROCKETEIGHTYEIGHT Jul06 May24 Apr20 Mar21 Mar07 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
SCR  GRAND ILLUSION Aug06         (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
6  DU MONDE Jul28 Jun16 May24 Apr24 Feb23 (hill f)CANNON DECLAN 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  MACHO VILLA Feb10 Jan06 Aug20 Aug04 Jun25 (lukas wayne)TORRES A 124 5.00    
8  MO RUM Jul15 Jun06 Apr30 Mar24 Mar07 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 119 2.50 66% 0.50    
9  WICKED MELODY Aug13 Jul06 Jun16 May21 May04 (garcia genaro)BARBOSA CARLOS 119 4.50    
 
ELP-3   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL QUESO GRANDE Jul04 Jun08 May17 Apr26 Apr06 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 6.00    
2  DAZZLEMESILVER Aug03 Jul20 Jun02 May11 Apr12 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 122 2.00    
3  REGAL REY Aug10 Jul27 Jul07 Jun20 May08 (antonuik j)RODRIGUEZ A 124 6.00    
4  JOE THE TAILOR Jul18 Jun29 May25 Apr21 Jan12 (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 6.00 7% 13.50    
5  TRUE JEDI Jul14 Jun16 May18 Apr07 Mar08 (cano muno)TORRES A 122 6.00 10% 9.20    
6  GOOD LIKE MAGIC Nov10 Sep24 Aug26 Jul23   (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 3.00 60% 0.70    
SCR  MUMAYAZ Oct12 Sep13 Aug11 Apr16 Feb25 (moquett ronald )MORALES EDGAR 122 8.00    
 
ELP-4   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SECURED         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CONTEMPLATE         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 3.50 25% 3.00    
3  NANA GRACE         (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★    
4  MELLY'S BIRKIN         (cunningham )BEALMEAR C 112 30.00    
5  SHIRLEY ANN Jul22         (ortiz ale)TORRES A 119 4.00 49% 1.00    
6  PRETTY SURE         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 119 6.00 ★    
7  SWEET SIB         (morey willi)TORRES A 119 12.00    
8  GEEZ ELOISE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
9  TEMPERS FLY         (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 119 12.00    
10  ANNA'S PROMISE         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MYTH         (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 4.50    
SCR  TRISTA         (lukas wayne)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
SCR  CERTAIN VICTOR E Jun26         (gorostieta ciri)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 119 30.00    
14  FORMAGGIO         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 20.00    
SCR  MOR LUCK         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 15.00    
 
ELP-5   08/25/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PENS STREET Jul27 Jun21 Apr27 Mar17 Jan28 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  EVERLAND Aug04 Jul13 Jun01 May03 Mar23 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 3.50 11% 8.30    
3  PEACOCK LASS Jul27 Jul07 Jun01 May04 Apr07 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 6.00    
4  FLASHY LASS Jul27 Jun30 May04 Apr12 Mar07 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 4.00 39% 1.50    
5  BOW DRAW Aug17 Jul13 Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 (mcgoey monica)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 12.00    
SCR  CATMINT Jul28 Jun30 Jun08 May11 Apr14 (hiles rick)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
7  SULTRY LASS Jun30 Jun09 May03 Apr13 Mar21 (lovell michell)TORRES A 122 3.00 17% 4.80    
8  CAT'S CAVE Jul15 Jun01 Dec13 Nov18 Sep29 (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00    
9  HONEY DIJON Jul13 May31 Dec02 Oct21 Sep13 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 10.00    
 
ELP-6   08/25/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCRIBBLE         (littlefield dermo)ACHARD ALEX 119 20.00    
2  DON'T WORRY         (oliver victoria)CHUAN MARTIN 119 15.00    
3  GIRL MATH         (brisset rodolphe)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 ★    
4  LADY KATHRYN Jul15 Jun21       (mott riley)TORRES A 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
5  CITY OF SECRETS         (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  MO ICE FORTHE LADY         (fletcher kevi)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 30.00    
7  CANDY MINE         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 12.00    
8  ALEDEAN         (amoss thomas)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 ★    
9  JOYFUL JOSEPHINE         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
10  BABY LADY         (schultz lin)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
11  ELECTRIFYING LADY Jul22         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 4.50 22% 3.60    
12  MY LIL PUNKY         (ennis john)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 20.00    
SCR  BOOT TRICK         (dutrow richar)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
SCR  PRAYING Jul06 Jun14       (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 3.00    
SCR  SUNDAY DISRUPTOR Aug03         (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.00    
 
ELP-7   08/25/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHORE WAR Jun09 Apr18 Jan07 Nov11 Oct19 (arnold r)CHUAN MARTIN 118 4.50 6% 14.70    
2  STARCOURT Jul05 Jun06 Apr27 Mar23   (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CRANK IT UP Jul27         (catalano m)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
4  VIBE CHECK Jul27 Jun16 May19     (maker michae)CORRALES GERARDO 118 12.00    
5  SAME OLD FEARS Apr25 Dec26 Jul21     (ward wesle)RODRIGUEZ A 118 8.00 6% 15.60    
6  PROUD DIVI May04 Mar23 Jan03     (mackey wayn)BEALMEAR C 111 15.00    
7  ELHUBOOB Jun29 Apr20       (walsh brenda)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 43% 1.30    
8  LIGHTNING MYQUEEN Dec29 Sep29       (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 118 8.00    
9  WATERSEEKER         (medina robert)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 15.00    
10  MONTEGO BAY (IRE) Jul14 Jun06 Sep17     (mott willia)TORRES A 118 12.00    
11  QUEEN CLANCY Jul27 May25 Apr28 Mar22 Jan26 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 20.00    
12  MATERIAL WITNESS Oct28 Sep21 Sep02 Jul30 Oct14 (atras rob)TORRES A 124 3.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ONDA BRAVA Jul20 Jun08 Dec27 Nov17 Oct04 (lobo h)ROMAN A 118 10.00    
SCR  MAY MAY STRONG Jul20 Jun18 Jun02 Apr12 Feb28 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 113 12.00    
SCR  A MUST SEE Jul20         (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 20.00    
SCR  MO HAPPY Aug05 Jun08 May22 May05 Mar31 (thompson boyd)GRAHAM J 124 30.00    
 
ELP-8   08/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIACOMET Aug04 Aug13 May28 Apr26 Feb11 (shirer a)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00    
2  PURE PANIC Jun27 Jun02 May10 Apr14 Feb28 (foster eric)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  KING'S GLORY (GB) Jul07 Jul08 Apr23 Mar25 Aug27 (asmussen st)TORRES A 124 4.50 21% 3.70    
4  VITTORIO Oct25 Sep16 Aug13 Jul08 May27 (santamaria carl)GARCIA MARTIN 122 5.00 37% 1.70    
5  ECHO AGAIN Jul04 May16 Apr05 Mar03 May06 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.50 7% 13.90    
6  CHIRON Jul06 Jun08 Apr19 Mar23 Feb02 (estvanko richard)ELLIOTT JANE 122 15.00    
7  MR SKYLIGHT Jun17 May18 Apr20 Mar16 Feb10 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 4.00 13% 6.50    
8  LOFTY ADJUDICATOR Aug01 Jun08 May16 Apr21 Sep07 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 124 8.00    
9  BARTULIA Jan29 Jan01 Dec09 Nov02   (wismer glen)BEALMEAR C 115 6.00    
 
ELP-9   08/25/2024 5940ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET FREEDOM Jul05 May26 Dec15     (medina rober)LOVEBERRY JARETH 118 4.00 ★    
2  WARP NINE Dec15 Nov12 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
SCR  CREEK Sep24 Aug31 Aug05     (mott i)TORRES A 118 8.00    
4  AK SAR BEN DERBY Jul22 Jun08 May18 Mar30 Dec08 (ortiz alex)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.50 31% 2.20    
5  D'ORO LEMON Jun23 May27       (stewart dal)HERNANDEZ J 124 15.00    
6  OSCARWORTHY Jul05 Feb29 Jan28     (lynch brian)TORRES A 118 3.50 30% 2.30    
7  MARK UR WAY Jul28         (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 118 15.00    
8  MONEY MEMOLO Jul29 Apr25 Feb15 Dec28   (sims p)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 17% 4.80    
9  TENNESSEE LAMB Jun30 Oct14 Sep13 Jul21   (arnold geor)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  HALF DOME (IRE) Jul05         (mccarthy mic)CORRALES GERARDO 118 5.00    
11  RETURNED Aug01 Jun12       (semkin sam)BEALMEAR C 111 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.