Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Ellis Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

ELP-2   WIN (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $10.88 $2.88 36%
    DD (5/2/6/8)-(8/6/7/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  2-7 $36.70 $4.70 15%
ELP-3   EXA (3/5/8)-(3/5/7/8/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-1 $39.10 $15.10 63%
    DD (8/6/7/2)-(3/5/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00  7-3 $49.00 $25.00 104%
    PK3 (5/2/6/8)-(8/6/7/2)-(3/5/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-7-3 $26.27 $2.27 9%
ELP-4   WIN (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $8.30 $2.30 38%
    DD (3/5/8)-(4/7/6) 9 $2.00 $18.00  3-4 $20.94 $2.94 16%
    PK3 (8/6/7/2)-(3/5/8)-(4/7/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00  7-3-4 $47.99 $29.99 167%
ELP-5   EXA (2/9/3/7/5)-(2/9/3/7/5) 20 $2.00 $40.00  9-3 $49.16 $9.16 23%
    TRI (2/9/3/7/5)-(2/9/3/7/5)-(2/9/3/7/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00  9-3-2 $33.11 $3.11 10%
    DD (4/7/6)-(2/9/3/7/5) 15 $2.00 $30.00  4-9 $35.64 $5.64 19%
    PK4 (8/6/7/2)-(3/5/8)-(4/7/6)-(2/9/3/7/5) 180 $0.50 $90.00  7-3-4-9 $171.50 $81.50 91%
    PK5 (5/2/6/8)-(8/6/7/2)-(3/5/8)-(4/7/6)-(2/9/3/7/5) 720 $0.50 $360  2/7/11/12/13/14-7-3-4-9 $581.09 $221.09 61%
ELP-8   EXA (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 12 $2.00 $24.00  1-6 $35.52 $11.52 48%
    TRI (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00  1-6-3 $25.08 $13.08 109%
    SFT (4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6)-(4/3/1/6) 24 $0.10 $2.40  1-6-3-4 $12.53 $10.13 422%

Simulator Race results

 
ELP-1   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:214 :443 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KILWIN 2 4 3 3   31 12 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 24% 3.20 1.63 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of SPANISH STAR by BLAME)
WAUNEKA 1 2 21 2½   1nk 22 (calhou)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 15.00 18.30  
  (by ASTERN out of NAVAJO SCOUT by EVEN THE SCORE)
VIXEN 6 9 8 9   7 3 (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.20 3.57 S
  (by VEKOMA out of TOP MISSION by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
10  OKLAHOMA LOGIC 9 1 11 1½   2nk 4 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 12.09  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WINDING WAY by MALIBU MOON)
BOUTWELL TIME 7 8 9 7   6 5 (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.21  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of DEL MAR MAY by JIMMY CREED)
TEQUILAANDTHERAPY 8 3 53 53   54 66 (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 11.68  
  (by MRAZEK out of CHEXCESS by IN EXCESS (IRE))
RISUKO 3 6 6 6   4 7 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 24.68  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of SILK ASSASSIN by BERNARDINI)
TOTAL HEART 5 7 4 4   8 811 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 45% 1.20 7.16  
  (by HEART TO HEART out of DROP DEAD RED by HOLD ME BACK)
FUN TO RUN 4 5 74 8   9 911 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00 17.58  
  (by KLIMT out of ANABRANCH by CONGAREE)
SCR  AURELIA'S MISCHIEF               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LADY AURELIA by SCAT DADDY)
SCR  BIRKIN GIRL               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of BLAME THE FROG by BLAME)
SCR  HIGH SUMMER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EXAGGERATED by BLAME)
SCR  LALILY               (hancock jack )FUENTES ERICK 109 30.00    
  (by ARMY MULE out of VIOLINIST by REGAL CLASSIC)
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 4.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of TOO CHARMING by BERNARDINI)
 
ELP-2   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:111 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PENS STREET 7 4 56 5 3 2½ 1 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 9% 10.60 4.44 W
BEST SELLER 4 1 2 22 1½ 1½ 2 (brisset r)TORRES A 123 6.00 3.11  
MY GOOD FORTUNE 6 5 610 67 44 34 3 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 17% 5.00 5.69 S
KLIMT'S MUSE 3 7 714 712 6 44 4 (humphries thom)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 7.08  
SWEET AMY 2 2 1 12 2½ 55 518¼ (wismer glen)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 31.23  
CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 6 815 815 813¼ 714½ 621 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 123 20.00 22.11  
MIDNIGHT TANGO 1 3 32 3 7 6 726 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 5.36  
JUMP INTO THE FIRE 8 8 4 4 54 815 841¾ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.50 46% 1.20 2.56  
 
ELP-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORMANDY COAST 3 5 1½ 1½   1 1¾ (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.61 W
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of ALLITERATION by CONGRATS)
OY GEVALD 1 7 4 5   2 2¾ (divito jam)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 9.58 P
  (by GAME WINNER out of RUM GO by MIZZEN MAST)
HEAVENVILLE 4 4 5 4   36 313 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 10.70  
  (by INSTAGRAND out of TREASURE IN HEAVEN by STREET SENSE)
BORROWED TIME 9 2 3 2½   48 417¼ (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 10.54  
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SECRETARIAL QUEEN by SECRETARIAT)
RAVE RUNNER 5 1 2½ 3   59 521 (asmussen )TORRES A 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.21  
  (by GUN RUNNER out of RAVER by TIZNOW)
PATRIOTIC JERRELL 2 6 75 9   713½ 622 (hancock jac)MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 49.89  
  (by COAL FRONT out of FOOLISH PATRIOT by AWESOME PATRIOT)
FINANCIAL WHIZ 6 8 6 6   611 722 (hamilton )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 33.80  
  (by IMPROBABLE out of GATORETTE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
BLAKE JAMES 7 9 86 76   814½ 822¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 8.97  
  (by AUDIBLE out of GAMBIARRA by QUALITY ROAD)
BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 8 3 9 87   916 928¾ (mcentee p)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 5% 19.00 8.56  
  (by UPSTART out of KIKA by BIRDSTONE)
 
ELP-4   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:103     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDY LOVER 3 3 2 21   11 1 (mcgee pau)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 68% 0.50 3.15 W
BEACH BUNNY 2 7 33 3   3 2 (catalano wayne )COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 4.01  
10  LADY ABERDEEN 9 1 1 11   21 3 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 119 5.00 7.52 S
MIDWAY VOW 5 4 7 68   4 4 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 5% 19.00 15.33  
AIR FORCE THUNDER 4 5 4 56   5 5 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 7.86  
ROCKAWAY REEF 1 8 6 78   6 6 (miller kenny)ROMAN A 119 15.00 20.18  
TIZ SALTY 8 2 9 1013   810¾ 712¾ (thompson mich)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 50.28  
11  ROMANTIC DANCER 10 6 5 4   7 815½ (kenneally )LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 21.14  
MO SASHAY 7 9 87 811   1016¼ 931¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 19.77  
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 6 10 1010 912½   913¼ 1034 (wilkes ia)TORRES A 119 3.00 5% 19.00 2.12  
SCR  CLASSIC MYSTERY               (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
ELP-5   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:091 1:204   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HERCHEE 8 6 21 21 2nk 1½ 1¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 20% 4.10 2.87 W
KATHEEB 3 3 43 6 6 3 2¾ (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.50 8.53 P
HAMMERSTEIN 2 2 11 11 1nk 2½ 3 (lynch bri)TORRES A 120 2.00 37% 1.70 0.86 S
FORTUNE SELLER 1 4 7 75 7 6 43 (williamson)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 14.72  
BANJO CHRIS 5 5 6 53 53 44 54 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.16  
REALIGNMENT 4 1 3 42 4 54 6 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 25.66  
10  POOL GUY 9 9 9 9 9 7 7 (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 23.46  
STORMS HOME 6 7 86 8 8 89 810¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 7% 13.70 16.12  
THIS TIME 7 8 53 32 32 9 913¾ (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00 17.87  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  MO RHODES               (amoss tho)TORRES A 120 4.00    
SCR  TEMECULA               (walsh bren)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  IRINA'S CHARM 8 7 4 35   31 1hd (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 35% 1.90 3.14 W
  (by JUSTIFY out of STRIKE CHARMER by SMART STRIKE)
12  HEY OLIVIA 10 5 2 24   11 2hd (pitts helen)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 14% 6.10 3.18 P
  (by GUN RUNNER out of SHE'S A GYPSY by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
14  LADY CHAI 12 6 10 5   44 35 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 40.06  
  (by KANTHAROS out of INDIAN BAY by ARCHERS BAY)
13  CLIQUE 11 4 1 14   21 4 (irion heath)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 30.00 50.70  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of LITTLE ALEXIS by MR. GREELEY)
11  MOMBAYLA 9 12 12 6   5 5 (tomlinson mic)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 25.82  
  (by KARAKONTIE out of CALIFORNIA BREEZE by INTO MISCHIEF)
FLIGHT TO PARIS 6 2 11 1114¼   6 6 (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.45  
  (by UNKNOWN out of FLY TO THE STARS by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
LEGACY DEFINED 5 3 3 4   7 712½ (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 10.00 11.08  
  (by UNCLE MO out of TIZ MIZ SUE by TIZNOW)
QUEEN CLANCY 7 1 96 811½   811¼ 812½ (von hemel)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.94  
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MISS DIXIE CUP by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
JAZZ PARTY 2 8 8 1214¾   913¼ 913 (cox brad )TORRES A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 3.27  
  (by UNKNOWN out of STAR SIGHTING by MALIBU MOON)
KISS ME AGAIN 1 9 6 911¾   1013¾ 1018¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 7.56  
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of FUHRIOUSLY KISSED by LANGFUHR)
VIBE CHECK 4 11 55 7   1114¼ 1120 (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.56  
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of DAILY CAST by CURLIN)
CRANK IT UP 3 10 7 1011¾   1216¼ 1229¼ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 119 15.00 23.13  
  (by FROSTED out of HERMAJESTYCOMMANDS by WAR FRONT)
SCR  CALATHEA               (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
  (by TONALIST out of LADY CANDY by CANDY RIDE)
SCR  MORINGA               (pribble w)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of LADY SIPHONICA by SIPHON (BRZ))
 
ELP-7   07/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:123 1:352   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LUCKY SPEECH 3 4 11 11 11 1 11 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 15.14  
BIG BRASS BED 6 2 6 6 64 44 21 (walsh brendan )MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 34% 2.00 3.27 P
HEART SPIN 2 7 5 4 42 33 31 (navarrete )LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 27% 2.80 5.77 S
STEPHANIE'S CHARM 1 1 21 21 21 2 4 (gutierrez)TORRES A 123 15.00 9.01  
ALYBAER 9 8 4 53 5 55 54 (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.71  
LAST CALL (ARG) 5 3 31 31 3 65 6 (thomas jon)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 3.53  
SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 7 6 8 8 8 77 7 (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 15% 5.50 3.01  
CALL ME TONI 4 10 10 10 108 8 8 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 37.38  
UMEBOSHI 8 5 7 7 7 98 9 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 36.38  
10  BAG LADY 10 9 9 9 9 1016 1042½ (catalano wayne )LANERIE J 123 20.00 12.53  
 
ELP-8   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRU NA BOINNE 1 1 4 42 4 31 1 (calhoun wi)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 11% 8.30 2.16 W
PEACOCK LASS 5 5 31 3 2nk 1½ 2 (brisset rodolph)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.52 P
FLASHY LASS 3 3 1½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 3 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75 S
DEAR LADY 4 2 2½ 1½ 3½ 43 411 (mcpeek ke)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 45% 1.20 3.04  
QUEEN LECA (URU) 2 4 5 55 55 57 512 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 10.00 12.23  
SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 6 6 67 67 69 618¼ (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 6.57  
IN MY OPINION 7 7 7 7 7 711½ 721¼ (estvanko richa)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 22.61  
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT               (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50    
 
ELP-9   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:111 1:221   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PHAROAH'S WINE 8 5 1 11 1nk 11 11 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.00 45% 1.20 0.74 W
FANTASTICAL 6 1 2 21 2nk 21 21 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 5.87 P
SMOOTH WAVES 1 2 3 3 32 33 33 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.41 S
CAIRO STREET 5 4 6 6 76 46 4 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 8.65  
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 3 8 8 75 65 6 58 (correas ignaci)MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 15.05  
SENSE OF PEARL 7 3 43 53 5 5 6 (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00 13.46  
FLOORED 2 6 7 8 8 79 710 (oliver vic)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 39.69  
OFF THE LAM 4 7 5 42 4 812 826¾ (gutierrez)TORRES A 122 15.00 19.89  
SCR  MOON SPUN               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MS QUALITY CONTROL               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
SCR  PENDULUM               (walsh brendan)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  SANCTIFY               (holsapple)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
SCR  SARIR               (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  YAY HOORAY               (maker mich)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.