Handicappers' Race Results
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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELP-1   Win (5/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $5.26 $5.26  
ELP-2   Win (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 1 $10.88 $10.88 2.88
ELP-3   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $5.22 $5.22  
ELP-4   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $8.30 $8.30 2.30
ELP-5   Win (2/9/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 9 1 1 $7.74 $7.74  
ELP-6   Win (10/3/12/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 10 1 1 $8.28 $8.28  
ELP-7   Win (6/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 0 $32.28  
ELP-8   Win (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $6.32 $6.32  
ELP-9   Win (10/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 10 1 1 $3.48 $3.48  
Simulator Race results
 
ELP-1   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:50
See original race card.
:214 :443 :554     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  KILWIN 2 4 31½ 31½   31 12 (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 24% 3.20 1.63 W
1  WAUNEKA 1 2 21 2½   1nk 22 (calhoun )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 15.00 18.30  
6  VIXEN 6 9 85½ 96¾   74¾ 32¾ (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.20 3.57 S
10  OKLAHOMA LOGIC 9 1 11 1½   2nk 44¾ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00 12.09  
8  BOUTWELL TIME 7 8 95¾ 74¾   64¼ 55¼ (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00 4.21  
9  TEQUILAANDTHERAPY 8 3 53 53   54 66 (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00 11.68  
3  RISUKO 3 6 63½ 63¼   43½ 76¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00 24.68  
5  TOTAL HEART 5 7 41½ 41½   86¼ 811 (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 45% 1.20 7.16  
4  FUN TO RUN 4 5 74 86¾   98¼ 911 (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00 ★ 17.58  
SCR  AURELIA'S MISCHIEF               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
SCR  BIRKIN GIRL               (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  HIGH SUMMER               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  LALILY               (hancock l)FUENTES ERICK 109 30.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM               (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 4.00    
 
ELP-2   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
See original race card.
:232 :461 1:111 1:24   1:363   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  PENS STREET 7 4 56 54½ 32½ 2½ 12¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 9% 10.60 4.44 W
4  BEST SELLER 4 1 21½ 22 1½ 1½ 22¼ (brisset rod)TORRES A 123 6.00 3.11  
6  MY GOOD FORTUNE 6 5 610 67 44 34 36½ (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 17% 5.00 5.69 S
3  KLIMT'S MUSE 3 7 714 712 64¼ 44 47¾ (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00 7.08  
2  SWEET AMY 2 2 11½ 12 2½ 55 518¼ (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00 31.23  
5  CHIQUITA MOSCA 5 6 815 815 813¼ 714½ 621 (bahena ismael)CHUAN MARTIN 123 20.00 22.11  
1  MIDNIGHT TANGO 1 3 32 32½ 75¼ 69½ 726 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00 5.36  
8  JUMP INTO THE FIRE 8 8 43½ 43½ 54 815 841¾ (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.50 46% 1.20 2.56  
 
ELP-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:49
See original race card.
:223 :452 1:103     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  NORMANDY COAST 3 5 1½ 1½   13½ 1¾ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 48% 1.10 1.61 W
1  OY GEVALD 1 7 41½ 52½   23½ 2¾ (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00 ★ 9.58 P
4  HEAVENVILLE 4 4 52½ 42½   36 313 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00 10.70  
9  BORROWED TIME 9 2 31½ 2½   48 417¼ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00 10.54  
5  RAVE RUNNER 5 1 2½ 31½   59 521 (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 25% 3.10 2.21  
2  PATRIOTIC JERRELL 2 6 75 97½   713½ 622 (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00 49.89  
6  FINANCIAL WHIZ 6 8 64½ 65½   611 722 (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00 33.80  
7  BLAKE JAMES 7 9 86 76   814½ 822¾ (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50 ★ 8.97  
8  BRERETON'S BAYTOWN 8 3 96½ 87   916 928¾ (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 5% 19.00 8.56  
 
ELP-4   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
See original race card.
:222 :45 1:103     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CANDY LOVER 3 3 21½ 21   11 14¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 68% 0.50 3.15 W
3  BEACH BUNNY 2 7 33 33½   32½ 24¾ (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00 4.01  
10  LADY ABERDEEN 9 1 11½ 11   21 35½ (miller kenny)LANERIE J 119 5.00 ★ 7.52 S
6  MIDWAY VOW 5 4 76½ 68   46½ 46¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 5% 19.00 15.33  
5  AIR FORCE THUNDER 4 5 43½ 56   56½ 57¾ (moger jr)BEJARANO R 119 6.00 7.86  
1  ROCKAWAY REEF 1 8 65½ 78   68½ 67¾ (miller kenny)ROMAN A 119 15.00 20.18  
9  TIZ SALTY 8 2 99½ 1013   810¾ 712¾ (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00 50.28  
11  ROMANTIC DANCER 10 6 54½ 45½   78¾ 815½ (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00 ★ 21.14  
8  MO SASHAY 7 9 87 811   1016¼ 931¾ (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 19.77  
7  CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 6 10 1010 912½   913¼ 1034 (wilkes ian )TORRES A 119 3.00 5% 19.00 2.12  
SCR  CLASSIC MYSTERY               (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
 
ELP-5   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
See original race card.
:233 :462 1:091 1:204   1:324   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
9  HERCHEE 8 6 21 21 2nk 1½ 1¾ (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 20% 4.10 2.87 W
3  KATHEEB 3 3 43 63½ 63¼ 32½ 2¾ (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.50 8.53 P
2  HAMMERSTEIN 2 2 11 11 1nk 2½ 32¾ (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 2.00 37% 1.70 0.86 S
1  FORTUNE SELLER 1 4 74½ 75 75¼ 65½ 43 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00 14.72  
5  BANJO CHRIS 5 5 63½ 53 53 44 54 (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00 16.16  
4  REALIGNMENT 4 1 31½ 42 42½ 54 64¾ (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00 25.66  
10  POOL GUY 9 9 97½ 96¼ 98¼ 77½ 75¾ (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 120 12.00 23.46  
7  STORMS HOME 6 7 86 85¼ 86¼ 89 810¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 7% 13.70 16.12  
8  THIS TIME 7 8 53 32 32 99½ 913¾ (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00 17.87  
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME               (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB)               (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
SCR  MO RHODES               (amoss thoma)TORRES A 120 4.00    
SCR  TEMECULA               (walsh brenda)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
 
ELP-6   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
See original race card.
:221 :442 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  IRINA'S CHARM 8 7 44½ 35   31 1hd (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 35% 1.90 3.14 W
12  HEY OLIVIA 10 5 23½ 24   11 2hd (pitts helen)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 14% 6.10 3.18 P
14  LADY CHAI 12 6 106½ 58½   44 35 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 40.06  
13  CLIQUE 11 4 13½ 14   21 45½ (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 30.00 50.70  
11  MOMBAYLA 9 12 129½ 69½   54¼ 55¾ (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00 25.82  
8  FLIGHT TO PARIS 6 2 117½ 1114¼   67¼ 67½ (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 38.45  
7  LEGACY DEFINED 5 3 33½ 47½   78¼ 712½ (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 10.00 11.08  
9  QUEEN CLANCY 7 1 96 811½   811¼ 812½ (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 5% 19.00 11.94  
3  JAZZ PARTY 2 8 85¾ 1214¾   913¼ 913 (cox h)TORRES A 119 4.50 25% 3.00 3.27  
2  KISS ME AGAIN 1 9 65½ 911¾   1013¾ 1018¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00 7.56  
6  VIBE CHECK 4 11 55 79½   1114¼ 1120 (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00 12.56  
5  CRANK IT UP 3 10 75¾ 1011¾   1216¼ 1229¼ (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 15.00 23.13  
SCR  CALATHEA               (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
SCR  MORINGA               (pribble wil)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
 
ELP-7   07/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
See original race card.
:242 :49 1:123 1:352   1:47   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  LUCKY SPEECH 3 4 11 11 11 12½ 11 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00 15.14  
6  BIG BRASS BED 6 2 63¾ 64½ 64 44 21 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 34% 2.00 3.27 P
2  HEART SPIN 2 7 52¾ 42½ 42 33 31 (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 27% 2.80 5.77 S
1  STEPHANIE'S CHARM 1 1 21 21 21 22½ 42¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 123 15.00 9.01  
9  ALYBAER 9 8 42½ 53 53½ 55 54 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 12.71  
5  LAST CALL (ARG) 5 3 31 31 31½ 65 64½ (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00 ★ 3.53  
7  SHE'S ON THE ROCKS 7 6 84¾ 85¾ 85½ 77 76½ (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 15% 5.50 3.01  
4  CALL ME TONI 4 10 106¼ 107¾ 108 87½ 87¼ (hughes g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00 37.38  
8  UMEBOSHI 8 5 74¼ 74¾ 75½ 98 97¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00 36.38  
10  BAG LADY 10 9 95¾ 95¾ 97½ 1016 1042½ (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 20.00 12.53  
 
ELP-8   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:241 :47 1:113 1:24   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRU NA BOINNE 1 1 42½ 42 41½ 31 12¾ (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 11% 8.30 2.16 W
6  PEACOCK LASS 5 5 31 31½ 2nk 1½ 22¾ (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00 6.52 P
3  FLASHY LASS 3 3 1½ 2½ 1nk 2½ 34½ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 21% 3.80 2.75 S
4  DEAR LADY 4 2 2½ 1½ 3½ 43 411 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 45% 1.20 3.04  
2  QUEEN LECA (URU) 2 4 53½ 55 55 57 512 (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 10.00 12.23  
7  SUNNY ISLE BEACH 6 6 65½ 67 67 69 618¼ (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00 6.57  
8  IN MY OPINION 7 7 77½ 79½ 79½ 711½ 721¼ (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00 22.61  
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT               (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50    
 
ELP-9   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:48
See original race card.
:233 :474 1:111 1:221   1:34   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  PHAROAH'S WINE 8 5 11½ 11 1nk 11 11 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.00 45% 1.20 0.74 W
8  FANTASTICAL 6 1 21½ 21 2nk 21 21 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00 ★ 5.87 P
2  SMOOTH WAVES 1 2 31½ 31½ 32 33 33 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00 4.41 S
7  CAIRO STREET 5 4 63¾ 63½ 76 46 45¼ (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00 8.65  
5  LOW COUNTRY MAGIC 3 8 86¼ 75 65 68½ 58 (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00 ★ 15.05  
9  SENSE OF PEARL 7 3 43 53 54½ 57½ 69¼ (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00 13.46  
3  FLOORED 2 6 73¾ 86½ 86½ 79 710 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00 39.69  
6  OFF THE LAM 4 7 53½ 42 42½ 812 826¾ (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 15.00 19.89  
SCR  MOON SPUN               (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MS QUALITY CONTROL               (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
SCR  PENDULUM               (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  SANCTIFY               (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
SCR  SARIR               (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  YAY HOORAY               (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.