Handicappers' Racing Form

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Ellis Park
Saturday - July 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELP-1   Win (5/2/6/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-2   Win (8/6/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-3   Win (3/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-4   Win (4/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
ELP-5   Win (2/9/3/7/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-6   Win (10/3/12/9/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00
ELP-7   Win (6/2/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-8   Win (4/3/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00
ELP-9   Win (10/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
ELP-1   07/27/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 F PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WAUNEKA         (calhoun )LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 15.00    
KILWIN         (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 4.50 24% 3.20    
RISUKO         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 12.00    
FUN TO RUN         (sharp joe)TORRES A 119 8.00    
TOTAL HEART Jun24         (lynch a)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 6.00 45% 1.20    
VIXEN         (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 119 5.00 8% 11.20    
SCR  AURELIA'S MISCHIEF Jun14         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 2.50    
BOUTWELL TIME Jun14         (amoss m)LANERIE J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
TEQUILAANDTHERAPY Jun26         (o'neill doug)CANNON DECLAN 119 20.00    
10  OKLAHOMA LOGIC Jul06         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 12.00    
SCR  SHE'S ALL CHARM         (harty eoin)BEJARANO R 119 4.00    
SCR  HIGH SUMMER         (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00    
SCR  BIRKIN GIRL         (colebrook ben)MACHADO LUAN 119 12.00    
SCR  LALILY Jul06 Jun25       (hancock l)FUENTES ERICK 109 30.00    
 
ELP-2   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MIDNIGHT TANGO Jun15 May18 Feb24 Dec20 Nov12 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 123 12.00    
SWEET AMY Jun14 Oct19 Oct12 Sep18 Aug14 (wismer glenn )CONCEPCION AXEL 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
KLIMT'S MUSE May23 May01 Aug05 Jul07 Jun16 (humphries thomas)MACHADO LUAN 123 5.00    
BEST SELLER Jun15 May09 Apr10 Jun16 Apr21 (brisset rod)TORRES A 123 6.00    
CHIQUITA MOSCA Jul17 Jun30 Jun22 Mar28 Jan25 (bahena ismael)LEBRON VICTOR 123 20.00    
MY GOOD FORTUNE Apr12 Mar07 Feb11 Dec02 Oct25 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 123 3.50 17% 5.00    
PENS STREET Jun21 Apr27 Mar17 Jan28 Dec02 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 3.00 9% 10.60    
JUMP INTO THE FIRE Apr30 Mar09 Aug11 May27 May05 (colebrook ben)ACHARD ALEX 123 2.50 46% 1.20    
 
ELP-3   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 2 ALL PT- 1:49
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OY GEVALD         (divito james)CORRALES GERARDO 119 8.00    
PATRIOTIC JERRELL Jul07 May16       (hancock jack )MIRANDA ROGELIO 119 30.00    
NORMANDY COAST Jun27         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 2.50 48% 1.10    
HEAVENVILLE         (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 6.00    
RAVE RUNNER         (asmussen st)TORRES A 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
FINANCIAL WHIZ Jun19 May09       (hamilton sa)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 30.00    
BLAKE JAMES         (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 4.50    
BRERETON'S BAYTOWN Jul07 Jun19 Jun06     (mcentee pau)BEALMEAR C 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
BORROWED TIME Jul05         (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 119 5.00    
 
ELP-4   07/27/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKAWAY REEF Jul04 Jun12 May19     (miller kenny)ROMAN A 119 15.00    
SCR  CLASSIC MYSTERY Jun08 May12 Nov16 Oct03   (drury jr)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
BEACH BUNNY Jun29         (catalano m)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00    
CANDY LOVER May23 Apr18 Mar13 Feb04 Nov25 (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 119 4.50 68% 0.50    
AIR FORCE THUNDER Jan15 Jan01 Nov12     (moger jr)BEJARANO R 119 6.00    
MIDWAY VOW Jul05 May19 Mar28     (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 114 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE Jun26 Nov24 Oct25 Aug18   (wilkes ian )TORRES A 119 3.00 5% 19.00    
MO SASHAY Jun25 Jun08       (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
TIZ SALTY Jun26         (thompson michae)CANNON DECLAN 119 30.00    
10  LADY ABERDEEN Jul05 Jun16 May26 Apr20 Mar13 (miller kenny)LANERIE J 119 5.00    
11  ROMANTIC DANCER         (kenneally ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 15.00    
 
ELP-5   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 ALL PT- 2:54
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTUNE SELLER Jul06 Jun07 May11 Oct26 Oct08 (williamson b)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 15.00    
HAMMERSTEIN Feb03 Dec23 Oct07     (lynch brian)TORRES A 120 2.00 37% 1.70    
KATHEEB Jun13 Mar08 Jan13 Dec06   (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 8.00 12% 7.50    
REALIGNMENT Jun27         (block chris)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
BANJO CHRIS Jun23 Jun05 Mar01 Feb16   (wismer s)MACHADO LUAN 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KITTY HAWK (GB) Jul06 May10 Apr10 Nov12 Oct07 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
STORMS HOME Jun23 May26 May05 Apr14   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 6.00 7% 13.70    
THIS TIME Jun07 May04 Apr06 Feb23 Jan25 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 120 10.00    
HERCHEE Jun30         (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 20% 4.10    
10  POOL GUY May23 May04 Apr18 Mar01 Jan31 (humphries thomas)BEJARANO R 120 12.00    
SCR  TEMECULA Jun23 Jun02 Apr21 Mar16   (walsh brenda)CORRALES GERARDO 120 15.00    
SCR  MO RHODES Jun29 May31 Apr24 Mar02 Oct29 (amoss thoma)TORRES A 120 4.00    
SCR  FIRST OF HIS NAME Jun27 May29 May09 Mar21 Aug26 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 120 6.00    
 
ELP-6   07/27/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($71K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CALATHEA Jul06         (sancal murat)GRAHAM J 119 12.00    
KISS ME AGAIN Jun22 Jun01 May01 Apr05 Feb28 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 119 12.00    
JAZZ PARTY         (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 4.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  MORINGA Jun29 Jun02       (pribble wil)BEALMEAR C 112 20.00    
CRANK IT UP         (catalano m)LANERIE J 119 15.00    
VIBE CHECK Jun16 May19       (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 119 8.00    
LEGACY DEFINED Jul31         (hobby steve)ROCCO S 119 10.00    
FLIGHT TO PARIS Feb25 Jan28 Nov25 Sep21   (arnold r)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
QUEEN CLANCY May25 Apr28 Mar22 Jan26 Dec29 (von d)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
10  IRINA'S CHARM Oct21 Sep16       (damato philip)GARCIA MARTIN 119 3.50 35% 1.90    
11  MOMBAYLA         (tomlinson micha)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
12  HEY OLIVIA Jun29 Nov03       (pitts helen)BEJARANO R 119 8.00 14% 6.10    
13  CLIQUE         (irion heather)ARRIETA REYNIER 119 30.00    
14  LADY CHAI May20 Mar23 Dec29 Nov17 Oct06 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00    
 
ELP-7   07/27/2024 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEPHANIE'S CHARM Jul11 Jun16 Apr27 Mar23 Mar03 (gutierrez f)TORRES A 123 15.00    
HEART SPIN Jun15 Mar11 Jan18     (navarrete an)LOVEBERRY JARETH 123 3.50 27% 2.80    
LUCKY SPEECH Jun15 May17 Apr05 Feb29 Jan27 (sharp joe)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
CALL ME TONI Jun21 May23 Apr24 Mar13 Feb14 (hughes g)GRAHAM J 123 15.00    
LAST CALL (ARG) Jun28 May11 Apr14 Oct27   (thomas jonat)CORRALES GERARDO 123 5.00    
BIG BRASS BED Jun01 Mar03 Jan27 Jul23 Jun22 (walsh p)MACHADO LUAN 123 3.00 34% 2.00    
SHE'S ON THE ROCKS May30 Mar21 Feb15 Jul07 Jun11 (devaux cherie)CONCEPCION AXEL 123 4.50 15% 5.50    
UMEBOSHI Jun19 May28 Nov10 Oct15 Sep14 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 118 15.00    
ALYBAER May28 Apr14 Mar21 Feb14 Jan17 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  BAG LADY May11 Apr07 Feb24 Feb01 Jan01 (catalano m)LANERIE J 123 20.00    
 
ELP-8   07/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($76K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:19
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRU NA BOINNE Jun09 Sep23 Aug05 Jun29 Mar25 (calhoun will)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 5.00 11% 8.30    
QUEEN LECA (URU)         (lobo h)ROMAN A 122 10.00    
FLASHY LASS Jun30 May04 Apr12 Mar07 Feb11 (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 117 3.00 21% 3.80    
DEAR LADY Jan27 Jan01 Nov26 Nov16 Oct14 (mcpeek kenn)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 45% 1.20    
SCR  SECRET STATEMENT Jul22 Jun09 May19 May04 Nov24 (baker james)BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 4.50    
PEACOCK LASS Jul07 Jun01 May04 Apr07 Feb24 (brisset rodolphe)ACHARD ALEX 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SUNNY ISLE BEACH Jun09 Apr30 Mar22 Jan31 Jan01 (shirer a)CHUAN MARTIN 122 8.00    
IN MY OPINION Mar28 Feb17 Dec17 Oct30 Oct02 (estvanko richard)MACHADO LUAN 122 15.00    
 
ELP-9   07/27/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($73K) 3 F PT- 4:48
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SANCTIFY Jun29 Jun07 May18 Apr17 Mar06 (holsapple h)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 10.00    
SMOOTH WAVES Jun21 Oct25 Oct06 Sep10 Aug06 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
FLOORED Jun29 May26 Nov25 Oct29 Oct15 (oliver victo)CORRALES GERARDO 120 30.00    
SCR  MOON SPUN Jun15 May16 Mar29 Mar08   (lynch a)GRAHAM J 120 3.00 31% 2.20    
LOW COUNTRY MAGIC Jun15 May30 Apr17     (correas ignacio )MACHADO LUAN 120 15.00    
OFF THE LAM Jun15 May12 Feb24 Feb02   (gutierrez f)TORRES A 122 15.00    
CAIRO STREET May10 Dec09 Oct11 Sep13 Aug13 (wilkes r)LANDEROS CHRIS 120 8.00    
FANTASTICAL Feb07 Jan03 Dec08 Nov16 Oct19 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 8.00    
SENSE OF PEARL Jun24 Jun08 Apr05 Mar13   (asmussen steven)ASMUSSEN ERIK 115 12.00    
10  PHAROAH'S WINE Jun21 Mar30 Feb03 Nov26 Oct06 (romans dale)CHUAN MARTIN 120 2.00 45% 1.20    
SCR  PENDULUM Jun21 May01 Mar31 Jan07 Dec10 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 120 5.00    
SCR  MS QUALITY CONTROL Jun19 May01 Mar09 Feb17 Jan27 (cox h)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 4.50    
SCR  SARIR Jun06 Apr20 Feb11 Dec17   (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 120 10.00    
SCR  YAY HOORAY Jun19 May04 Apr07 Feb11   (maker michae)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.