The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Belterra Park
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

BTP-1   Win (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $3.80 $3.80 -2.20
BTP-2   Win (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $15.20 $15.20 9.20
BTP-3   Win (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 0 $2.60 -8.00
BTP-4   Win (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
BTP-5   Win (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $21.20 $21.20 15.20
BTP-6   Win (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -0.80
BTP-7   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $2.60 -6.00
BTP-8   Win (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 0 $6.60 -4.00

Simulator Race results

 
BTP-1   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
See original race card.
1:15         1:15   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESTINY'S DARLING 1 3 31 11   1 17 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 45% 1.20 0.90 W
MY TOMMY LEE 2 4 4 4   2 27 (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 2.00 2.70  
UP IN ARMS 3 2 2nk 21   3 312½ (anderson susan)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00 13% 6.80 4.10 S
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 4 5 5 5   4 416¼ (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 3.00 4.70  
LUCKY TUESDAY 5 1 1nk 32   5 522½ (haehn r)BUSH V 123 4.50 5% 19.00 11.00  
 
BTP-2   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :462 :592     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KICK ROCKS KID 2 5 42 45   3.2 1¼ (adams nanc)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 3.50 56% 0.80 6.60 W
MY ROAD 3 1 1nk 1   1nk 2¼ (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.50 13% 6.70 0.90 P
HINDOSTAIN FALLS 6 2 31 33   4¼ 3 (woodbury judy)MURGIA A 123 8.00 17.90  
MOONLIGHT JOKER 5 4 2nk 2   2nk 4 (evans michael )ARAGON ROLANDO 117 4.00 2.40  
KOBE BEACH 7 3 5 58   5 5 (rodriquez reg)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00 33.20  
FROOME (IRE) 4 6 7 610½   6 6 (adams l)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50 7.00  
SNERDLEY 1 7 65 710½   7 717¾ (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 123 10.00 5% 19.00 11.60  
 
BTP-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:222 :453 :582     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THIS TIME 4 4 3.2 1nk   14 1 (maker michael)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.00 0.30  
SCHOOL'S OUT 2 5 1nk 35   36 2 (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 123 3.50 13% 6.60 6.30 P
MISSION CONTROL 3 3 2nk 2nk   24 38 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 45% 1.20 4.90 S
CARSON N SPENCE 7 2 4 4   410 418½ (cline c)LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 13% 6.90 24.90  
GOT ZIP 1 6 5 510½   513 520½ (fletcher ke)CORREA L 123 4.00 18.90  
COUSIN JOE 6 1 6 612½   621 642¼ (bogart rober)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 19.00 27.30  
JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN 5 7 717¾ 724½   746½ 771 (bogart b)HESS SARA 113 10.00 29.10  
 
BTP-4   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:232 :471       1:054   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAY BEE GEE 6 5 3 2nk   13 111¾ (cline c)LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50 41% 1.40 0.30 W
ABOUNDING 5 1 2½ 1nk   23 211¾ (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00 20.80 P
ROSE RING 2 4 4 4   49 312 (haehn r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00 11.40  
MOON PARTY 3 3 64 6   511 415¾ (haehn r)BUSH V 125 8.00 28.90  
NAUGHTY NELLIE 4 6 53 33   37 516½ (bends p)MOJICA JR 125 4.00 8.30  
WINWARD FLO 1 2 1½ 5   612 621¼ (kubinova elisk)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 2.50 36% 1.80 3.90  
 
BTP-5   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
See original race card.
:233 :471       :594   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SARISSA 4 2 21 2nk   1½ 1½ (sandy s)HESS SARA 120 10.00 5% 19.00 9.60 W
NO LACA CHARM 5 1 11 1nk   2½ 2½ (brownfield cla)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00 3.30  
STAY FAITHFUL 6 4 4 32   3 3 (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 3.50 2.70  
JANKA 3 5 5 56   4 4 (danner kelsey)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00 2.70  
PIGEON CAY 2 3 32 45   510 511 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 4.50 32% 2.10 4.60  
PRATTLE 1 6 6 611   613 612½ (blair jordan)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 22% 3.60 4.50  
SCR  CHITARRA (IRE)               (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
 
BTP-6   05/04/2024 4290ft DIRT SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
See original race card.
:231 :464 1:123     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KATIE GOT LUCKY 2 4 5 2   1½ 1 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 12% 7.50 1.60 W
TOP LOOK 5 2 2nk 1   2½ 2 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 2.00 52% 0.90 3.50 P
SACRED CONNECTION 4 5 6 67   46 3 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 8.00 5% 19.00 8.80 S
GOGO GEISHA 1 6 4 44   34 4 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.50 1.80  
AUGURI (ARG) 3 1 1nk 3   511 520 (cline c)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00 11.80  
SPICY TUNA 6 3 3½ 56   616 630¼ (tomlinson e)BUSH V 117 5.00 8.60  
 
BTP-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
See original race card.
:223 :46 :584     1:122   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAPPER 5 2 2nk 1   12 1 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 117 1.80 0.30  
DELIGHTFUL CAT 6 1 3.2 2   22 2 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118 3.50 17% 5.00 6.30 P
JIM'S RIVER RUNNER 3 6 5 5   5 3 (ramos francis)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00 18.10 S
MAMAS HOME COOKING 4 3 6 6   610 48 (cline c)CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00 11.40  
RUN RED RUN 2 5 1nk 32   34 5 (cline c)LEBRON VICTOR 117 3.00 32% 2.10 3.90  
TEQUILA FLATS 1 4 4 4   45 69 (ramos franc)CORREA L 123 12.00 33.20  
 
BTP-8   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
See original race card.
:25 :49 1:142 1:414   1:46   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SOUL HEIR 2 1 11 1nk 1 1 1 (grubbs l)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 3.50 2.30  
HALCYON DAYS 3 4 44 33 3 2 2 (short thomas)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 15.00 11.10  
KITTEN'S TEMPER 1 2 21 4 4 4 310½ (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00 3.90 S
FROTHY 4 3 31 2nk 2 3 413 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 2.50 55% 0.80 0.50  
SCR  ALWAYS DREAM BIG               (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ J 126 15.00    
SCR  ON PARADISE HILL               (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00    
SCR  SPRAT               (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 121 10.00    
SCR  WEST COAST SONG               (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.