Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Belterra Park
Saturday - May 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
BTP-1   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(2/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
BTP-2   WIN (2/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/1)-(2/3/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/1)-(2/3/5/1)-(2/3/5/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/1)-(3/2/7/6)-(6/1/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-3   WIN (3/2/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6)-(3/2/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5)-(6/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/4)-(2/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/4)-(5/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4)-(2/6/3)-(6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-7   WIN (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/3)-(2/6/3)-(2/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/3)-(6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (6/2)-(6/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
BTP-1   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DESTINY'S DARLING Mar15 Jan13 Dec08 Sep28 Sep19 (newton troy)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 3.50 45% 1.20    
2  MY TOMMY LEE Apr26 Feb28 Feb16 Jan03 Dec22 (sands shane)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 2.00    
3  UP IN ARMS Mar21 Mar09 Jan03 Dec21 Nov30 (anderson sus)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 4.00 13% 6.80    
4  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Apr11 Mar28 Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 (haehn r)OUZTS W 123 3.00    
5  LUCKY TUESDAY Apr13 Apr03 Mar12 Feb28 Feb13 (haehn r)BUSH V 123 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SNERDLEY Nov01 Sep19 Sep06 Aug09 Jul11 (sturgeon c)OUZTS W 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  KICK ROCKS KID Apr25 Mar27 Feb28 Feb14 Jan18 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 123 3.50 56% 0.80    
3  MY ROAD Feb29 Jan26 Aug11 Nov19 Sep20 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 118 2.50 13% 6.70    
4  FROOME (IRE) Mar14 Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 Sep27 (adams l)LEBRON VICTOR 123 4.50    
5  MOONLIGHT JOKER Apr27 Mar27 Feb03 Jan12 Dec28 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 117 4.00 ★    
6  HINDOSTAIN FALLS Mar14 Feb23 Jan11 Dec15 Nov14 (woodbury judy)MURGIA A 123 8.00    
7  KOBE BEACH Apr26 Mar08 Feb17 Jan25 Jan11 (rodriquez r)JIMENEZ J 123 10.00    
 
BTP-3   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOT ZIP Aug15 Aug02       (fletcher )CORREA L 123 4.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of PLASTIQUE by CITY ZIP)
2  SCHOOL'S OUT         (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 123 3.50 13% 6.60    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of SCHOOL LASS by PRIVATE SCHOOL)
3  MISSION CONTROL Apr01 Mar09       (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by PAYNTER out of MARATHON by DROSSELMEYER)
4  THIS TIME Apr06 Feb23 Jan25     (maker micha)PETERSON FERRIN 123 2.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of LA QUEBRADA by MORE THAN READY)
5  JUBILEE BEN PLAYIN Apr25         (bogart b)HESS SARA 113 10.00    
  (by THE PLAYER out of JUBILEE PARTNER by PARTNER'S HERO)
6  COUSIN JOE Mar06 Aug26 Aug15 Aug02   (bogart rob)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of MANY FACES by FORESTRY)
7  CARSON N SPENCE         (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 8.00 13% 6.90    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
 
BTP-4   05/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WINWARD FLO Jun14 Jun03 May17 Mar04 Jan26 (kubinova eli)TERRAZA GERMAN 120 2.50 36% 1.80    
2  ROSE RING Apr11 Apr03 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 3.00    
3  MOON PARTY Apr03 Mar19 Dec28 Dec13 Nov13 (haehn r)BUSH V 125 8.00    
4  NAUGHTY NELLIE Feb29 Feb03 Jul12 Jul03 May25 (bends p)MOJICA JR 125 4.00    
5  ABOUNDING Oct07 Sep16 Aug03 Jul21 Jul12 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  KAY BEE GEE Apr03 Feb05 Dec14 Nov29 Nov09 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 125 3.50 41% 1.40    
 
BTP-5   05/04/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRATTLE         (blair jordan)MOJICA JR 125 8.00 22% 3.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  PIGEON CAY Aug31 Oct16 Sep09 Aug18   (reed r)MCKEE J 125 4.50 32% 2.10    
  (by KANTHAROS out of TRADE ONLY by UNBRIDLED)
3  JANKA Mar29 Sep02 Aug04     (danner kels)PETERSON FERRIN 119 2.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
4  SARISSA Apr14 Feb15 Jan04     (sandy s)HESS SARA 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GET STORMY out of TREVI FOUNTAIN by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  CHITARRA (IRE) Mar13 May11       (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 6.00    
  (by ADVERTISE out of ARDIENTE by AUSTRALIA (GB))
6  NO LACA CHARM Apr08 Mar01 Dec27 Nov08 Oct17 (brownfield c)TERRAZA GERMAN 114 4.00    
  (by CHARMING KITTEN out of NO LACA TALENT by TALENT SEARCH)
7  STAY FAITHFUL Mar23         (short thomas)CALLEJA ANDRES 114 3.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of MAGGIE R by OFFICER)
 
BTP-6   05/04/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOGO GEISHA Mar29 Feb29 Feb08 Dec20 Nov09 (hernandez rey)NAVAS YOEL 118 4.50    
2  KATIE GOT LUCKY Mar15 Feb28 Jan24 Dec23 Dec02 (west w)LEBRON VICTOR 123 3.50 12% 7.50    
3  AUGURI (ARG) Mar21 Jan31 Dec30 Sep21 Aug31 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
4  SACRED CONNECTION Mar01 Feb15 Dec29 Nov24 Oct30 (smith larry)TERRAZA GERMAN 112 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOP LOOK Mar13 Dec16 Nov10 Sep22 Aug27 (adams l)HESS SARA 118 2.00 52% 0.90    
6  SPICY TUNA Apr25 Mar29 Feb29 Jan14   (tomlinson e)BUSH V 117 5.00    
 
BTP-7   05/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEQUILA FLATS Apr20 Dec14 Nov20 Nov08 Oct21 (ramos fra)CORREA L 123 12.00    
2  RUN RED RUN Apr13 Mar27 Mar13 Feb29 Jul22 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 117 3.00 32% 2.10    
3  JIM'S RIVER RUNNER Apr20 Dec14 Nov22 Nov08 Oct24 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  MAMAS HOME COOKING Oct04 Sep13 Aug02 Jun24 Jun14 (cline robert )CANUTO THIAGO 123 4.00    
5  GAPPER Apr27 Feb03 Jan12 Nov30 Nov15 (baez sergio)OUZTS W 117 1.80    
6  DELIGHTFUL CAT Feb24 Feb08 Jan25 Sep07 Aug17 (jarvis kathy)MOJICA JR 118 3.50 17% 5.00    
 
BTP-8   05/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($15.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SPRAT Mar16 Dec30 Dec06 Oct25   (corrigan jim)MURGIA A 121 10.00    
2  KITTEN'S TEMPER Mar30 Mar06 Feb21 Jan10 Sep11 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  SOUL HEIR Apr14 Mar27 Mar06 Feb15 Jan25 (grubbs jamie)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 3.50    
SCR  ALWAYS DREAM BIG Apr14 Mar16 Feb24 Feb15 Jan25 (brownfield )JIMENEZ J 126 15.00    
5  HALCYON DAYS Mar20 Feb22 Feb09 Jan18 Jan03 (short thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 15.00    
6  FROTHY Mar30 Feb24 Jan11 Nov08 Sep09 (reed r)MCKEE J 126 2.50 55% 0.80    
SCR  ON PARADISE HILL Mar13         (lobo h)LEBRON VICTOR 121 3.00    
SCR  WEST COAST SONG Mar06 Jan10 Dec02     (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 116 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.