Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $5.80 $1.80 45%
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2-4 $12.40 $8.40 210%
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $9.20 $3.20 53%
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-3 $28.40 $16.40 137%
    DD (2/4)-(1/2/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-2 $27.80 $15.80 132%
MVR-3   EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  6-3 $26.60 $14.60 122%
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/3) 9 $2.00 $18.00  2-6 $20.20 $2.20 12%
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-2-6 $35.75 $26.75 297%
MVR-4   TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-1-2 $5.65 $2.65 88%
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/6/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50  2-6-3 $17.35 $3.85 29%
MVR-5   EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-6 $32.00 $8.00 33%
    PK5 (2/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/3)-(3/1/2)-(3/6/1/7) 216 $1.00 $216  2-2-6-3-3 $664.90 $448.90 208%
MVR-6   EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00  2-5 $14.60 $2.60 22%
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00  2-5-3 $6.25 $3.25 108%
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3) 12 $2.00 $24.00  3-2 $24.80 $0.80 3%
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00  6 $10.40 $2.40 30%
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-2-6 $35.40 $11.40 48%
MVR-8   WIN (7/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $15.60 $7.60 95%
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 16 $2.00 $32.00  6-2 $108.40 $76.40 239%
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-6-2 $104.05 $80.05 334%
    PK4 (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 192 $0.50 $96.00  3-2-6-2 $337.20 $241.20 251%
    PK6 (5/6/3)-(3/1/2)-(3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 1728 $0.20 $345  6-3-3-2-6-2 $2167 $1822 527%
Simulator Race results
 
MVR-1   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  JOKEMEISTER 2 3 14 16   14 15½ (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.90 W
4  TRIGZ TOO 4 2 34 36½   24 25½ (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60 1.30 P
1  MY MAN VITO 1 4 44¼ 49   44¼ 35½ (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 2.20  
3  POWERFUL MOON 3 1 24 26   34 49 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.80 6.00  
SCR  RED GUN               (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  FRANKLY MY DEAR 2 6 21½ 22½   21½ 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 18% 4.70 3.60 W
3  SABELLE 3 1 11½ 12½   11½ 2½ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.00 P
6  LA REINA DEL NORTE 6 2 33 34½   33½ 34 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 126 4.00 3.00  
1  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 1 5 43 44½   44 47¼ (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 1.60 35% 1.90 2.10  
4  O K BABY 4 3 55 55½   55½ 58 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 13.90  
5  ROSE RING 5 4 65¼ 65¾   67½ 68¾ (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 18.10  
 
MVR-3   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL 6 3 41¼ 11½   14 13¾ (romero jose)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.50 15% 5.80 2.20 W
3  SHAKA'S LYRIC 3 6 52¼ 33   34½ 23¾ (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 12% 7.50 3.40 P
1  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 1 4 11 21½   24 35 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 7.70  
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 5 64¾ 65¼   56½ 45½ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 6.90  
4  TITEBLUEJEANS 4 2 21 43   46 58¼ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 4.50  
5  HALO EFFECT 5 1 31 53¼   67 69¾ (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 2.00 30% 2.30 2.60  
 
MVR-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.30 W
1  THEDAYOFTHEGREY 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.00 25% 3.00 1.20 P
2  MANGA MAN 2 6 55 54¾   46 32½ (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 12% 7.70 4.50 S
4  MISTER MOBIL 4 5 69 66¼   57 42½ (bailey ricardo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 16.30  
6  THE PINK Z 6 1 32 32½   34 52¾ (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 5.00 16.40  
5  RUMBLE STRIP RON 5 2 43½ 42¾   67¼ 69 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 14.80  
 
MVR-5   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE 3 3 21 2½   1nk 11¾ (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 32% 2.10 2.40 W
6  TWERK 6 2 52 64   62¼ 21¾ (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.50 22% 3.60 6.60 P
4  CAUSE OF LOVE 4 6 41½ 41   31½ 32 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 22.30  
5  OUT FOR FUN 5 7 77 53   51¾ 42¾ (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 11.10  
1  RAINBOW SHIP 1 4 11 1½   2nk 55¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 16% 5.40 1.00  
2  JETTIN PEGASUS 2 5 31½ 31   41¾ 66 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 5.60  
7  SOLE FACTOR 7 1 63 75   74¼ 79¾ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
 
MVR-6   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:161 1:292   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  C V DYNAMIC 2 2 31½ 42¼ 32 14 16 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20 W
5  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 5 1 11½ 1nk 1½ 24 26 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.00 29% 2.40 3.60 P
3  INDY CARR 3 3 21½ 2nk 2½ 36½ 39¾ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 16% 5.10 1.70 S
1  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 1 6 43 32 46 410 416½ (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 32.50  
6  NO MAS CERVEZA 6 4 55 53¾ 56 511 518¾ (brown glenr)PETERSON FERRIN 124 6.00 6.60  
4  MUSIC GEM 4 5 66½ 64¾ 67½ 612½ 620 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 38.00  
 
MVR-7   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAY MAYHEM 6 1 2½ 3.2   2nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 20% 4.00 4.20 W
3  KELLEHER 3 4 32 1nk   1nk 2¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 3.60  
1  LIVING THE DREAM 1 6 64 52¼   42¼ 34¾ (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 117 2.00 39% 1.60 3.80 S
4  COUNTEVERYBLESSING 4 2 42½ 42¼   52¼ 45½ (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 117 8.00 14% 6.20 1.50  
7  SOL OF VAQUERO 7 5 78 74¼   63¼ 57½ (campbell antho)DIAZ I 124 10.00 23.20  
5  REDDEN 5 3 1½ 2nk   32 69 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
2  HAPPY TAKEOVER 2 7 54 63¼   77¼ 713¼ (campbell a)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 65.80  
 
MVR-8   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 8 76¼ 33½   1½ 1¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 12% 7.10 6.80 W
6  MOBIL MEMORY 5 5 53¾ 44½   41½ 2¾ (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00 26.70  
5  SWEET MOBILTEE 4 4 810¾ 89   73¼ 31½ (smith la)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 27.20  
8  KAT TRAX 7 2 65¼ 77½   51¾ 42¼ (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 5.00 15% 5.60 5.10  
7  BUCKEYE ROSE 6 7 43½ 65½   62¼ 52½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 26% 2.80 0.70  
1  KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 6 2nk 1½   2½ 64 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 43.90  
4  KISS VALENTINA 3 3 1nk 2½   3½ 76¼ (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 11.30  
9  TWISTED JUSTICE 8 1 31½ 54½   83¼ 89 (smith )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.00 22% 3.60 4.20  
SCR  AMY'S STAR               (pappada julie)BRACHO A 117 8.00    
SCR  DANES LAST SONG               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.