The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 1 $5.80 $5.80 1.80
MVR-2   Win (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $9.20 $9.20 3.20
MVR-3   Win (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 6 1 1 $6.40 $6.40 0.40
MVR-4   Win (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $4.60 $4.60 -1.40
MVR-5   Win (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $6.80 $6.80 -1.20
MVR-6   Win (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
MVR-7   Win (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 6 1 1 $10.40 $10.40 2.40
MVR-8   Win (7/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 2 1 1 $15.60 $15.60 7.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:221 :451 :581     1:121   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOKEMEISTER 2 3 14 16   14 1 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 43% 1.30 1.90 W
TRIGZ TOO 4 2 34 3   24 2 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60 1.30 P
MY MAN VITO 1 4 4 49   4 3 (bernardi)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60 2.20  
POWERFUL MOON 3 1 24 26   34 49 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.80 6.00  
SCR  RED GUN               (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:224 :463 :593     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FRANKLY MY DEAR 2 6 2 2   2 1½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 18% 4.70 3.60 W
SABELLE 3 1 1 1   1 2½ (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 15% 5.50 2.00 P
LA REINA DEL NORTE 6 2 33 3   3 34 (trevino st)MARTINEZ A 126 4.00 3.00  
OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY 1 5 43 4   44 4 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 1.60 35% 1.90 2.10  
O K BABY 4 3 55 5   5 58 (silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 13.90  
ROSE RING 5 4 6 6   6 6 (haehn terry )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00 18.10  
 
MVR-3   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:233 :48 1:011     1:151   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GHOSTLY REVIVAL 6 3 4 1   14 1 (romero a)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.50 15% 5.80 2.20 W
SHAKA'S LYRIC 3 6 5 33   3 2 (silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 12% 7.50 3.40 P
UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN 1 4 11 2   24 35 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 8.00 7.70  
DEE'S KY WILDCAT 2 5 6 6   5 4 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50 6.90  
TITEBLUEJEANS 4 2 21 43   46 5 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00 4.50  
HALO EFFECT 5 1 31 5   67 6 (yoder susan )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 2.00 30% 2.30 2.60  
 
MVR-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 :59     1:131   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY 3 3 2½ 2nk   1nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80 33% 2.00 1.30 W
THEDAYOFTHEGREY 1 4 1½ 1nk   2nk 2¼ (cline c)BRACHO A 124 3.00 25% 3.00 1.20 P
MANGA MAN 2 6 55 5   46 3 (rivera n)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 12% 7.70 4.50 S
MISTER MOBIL 4 5 69 6   57 4 (bailey ricardo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00 16.30  
THE PINK Z 6 1 32 3   34 5 (silva fernando)SIMPSON JASON 124 5.00 16.40  
RUMBLE STRIP RON 5 2 4 4   6 69 (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 14.80  
 
MVR-5   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:003     1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BOOGIE BOOGEE 3 3 21 2½   1nk 1 (szczepanski emi)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 32% 2.10 2.40 W
TWERK 6 2 52 64   6 2 (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 2.50 22% 3.60 6.60 P
CAUSE OF LOVE 4 6 4 41   3 32 (haehn terry )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00 22.30  
OUT FOR FUN 5 7 77 53   5 4 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00 11.10  
RAINBOW SHIP 1 4 11 1½   2nk 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 16% 5.40 1.00  
JETTIN PEGASUS 2 5 3 31   4 66 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00 5.60  
SOLE FACTOR 7 1 63 75   7 7 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 24.20  
 
MVR-6   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:252 :502 1:161 1:292   1:424   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
C V DYNAMIC 2 2 3 4 32 14 16 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 2.00 32% 2.10 1.20 W
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT 5 1 1 1nk 1½ 24 26 (gorham m)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.00 29% 2.40 3.60 P
INDY CARR 3 3 2 2nk 2½ 3 3 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 16% 5.10 1.70 S
CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS 1 6 43 32 46 410 416½ (sweeting)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00 32.50  
NO MAS CERVEZA 6 4 55 5 56 511 518¾ (brown glenroy)PETERSON FERRIN 124 6.00 6.60  
MUSIC GEM 4 5 6 6 6 612½ 620 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00 38.00  
 
MVR-7   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:001     1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYHEM 6 1 2½ 3.2   2nk 1¼ (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 20% 4.00 4.20 W
KELLEHER 3 4 32 1nk   1nk 2¼ (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.00 3.60  
LIVING THE DREAM 1 6 64 5   4 3 (shannon jennife)TUNON JORDANO 117 2.00 39% 1.60 3.80 S
COUNTEVERYBLESSING 4 2 4 4   5 4 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 117 8.00 14% 6.20 1.50  
SOL OF VAQUERO 7 5 78 7   6 5 (campbell anthony)DIAZ I 124 10.00 23.20  
REDDEN 5 3 1½ 2nk   32 69 (cline c)BRACHO A 126 6.00 5% 19.00 5.40  
HAPPY TAKEOVER 2 7 54 6   7 713¼ (campbell ant)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00 65.80  
 
MVR-8   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:223 :462 :594     1:14   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SEEYOUINMOTOWN 2 8 7 3   1½ 1¾ (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 12% 7.10 6.80 W
MOBIL MEMORY 5 5 5 4   4 2¾ (radosevich j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00 26.70  
SWEET MOBILTEE 4 4 810¾ 89   7 3 (smith larr)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00 27.20  
KAT TRAX 7 2 6 7   5 4 (gorham m)DIAZ I 124 5.00 15% 5.60 5.10  
BUCKEYE ROSE 6 7 4 6   6 5 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 26% 2.80 0.70  
KERRI'S MIRACLE 1 6 2nk 1½   2½ 64 (vazquez ivan)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00 43.90  
KISS VALENTINA 3 3 1nk 2½   3½ 7 (cast)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00 11.30  
TWISTED JUSTICE 8 1 3 5   8 89 (smith la)BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.00 22% 3.60 4.20  
SCR  AMY'S STAR               (pappada a)BRACHO A 117 8.00    
SCR  DANES LAST SONG               (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.