Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (2/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/4)-(2/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/4)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4)-(1/2/3)-(5/6/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(5/6/3)-(3/1/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-3   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(3/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(3/1/2)-(3/6/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-4   WIN (3/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/2)-(3/1/2)-(3/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/2)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/2)-(3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-5   WIN (3/6/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7)-(3/6/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/7)-(2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-6   WIN (2/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/3)-(2/5/3)-(2/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/3)-(1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (1/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5)-(1/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/4/5)-(7/9/8/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (7/9/8/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2)-(7/9/8/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($7.5K) Purse ($18.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY MAN VITO Mar20 Mar03 Jan10 Dec27 Dec01 (bernar)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 1.60    
2  JOKEMEISTER Mar20 Feb29 Sep05 Aug03 Jul05 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 2.50 43% 1.30    
3  POWERFUL MOON Mar05 Feb12 Aug17 Jul04 Jun21 (ray kevin)PETERSON FERRIN 124 1.80    
4  TRIGZ TOO Mar17 Mar05 Feb20 Feb05 Jan18 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 6.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  RED GUN Mar20 Mar06 Feb08 Jan30 Jan15 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 10.00    
 
MVR-2   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($11.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUT ATTHE SPEEDWAY Mar28 Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 Jan22 (haehn r)PAUCAR E 124 1.60 35% 1.90    
2  FRANKLY MY DEAR Mar28 Mar05 Feb19 Feb07 Jan24 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 18% 4.70    
3  SABELLE Feb05 Dec30 Dec14 Nov28 Sep27 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 15% 5.50    
4  O K BABY Mar28 Mar12 Feb24 Jan25 Jan04 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00    
5  ROSE RING Apr03 Mar11 Feb21 Feb05 Sep28 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 8.00    
6  LA REINA DEL NORTE Apr03 Mar17 Mar05 Feb19 Feb08 (trevino )MARTINEZ A 126 4.00    
 
MVR-3   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNEXPECTEDVALENTYN Feb22 Feb05 Jan22 Jan09 Dec20 (bird danny)TOLEDO S 124 8.00    
2  DEE'S KY WILDCAT Mar27 Mar19 Feb05 Jan09 Dec06 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
3  SHAKA'S LYRIC Mar27 Mar12 Feb29 Jan09 Dec07 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 10.00 12% 7.50    
4  TITEBLUEJEANS Mar27 Feb22 Feb05 Jan11 Dec20 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
5  HALO EFFECT Mar27 Mar11 Feb22 Dec06 Nov15 (yoder susa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 2.00 30% 2.30    
6  GHOSTLY REVIVAL Mar25 Mar11 Feb21 Jan04 Dec21 (romero jose)PETERSON FERRIN 124 2.50 15% 5.80    
 
MVR-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($25K) Purse ($30.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEDAYOFTHEGREY Feb14 Dec26 Nov28 Oct04 Sep06 (cline robert )BRACHO A 124 3.00 25% 3.00    
2  MANGA MAN Apr04 Jan23 Jan01 Sep28 Jul31 (rivera)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 3.50 12% 7.70    
3  COUNTRY CLUB BOBBY Mar06 Jan31 Dec26 Dec07 Nov20 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 124 1.80 33% 2.00    
4  MISTER MOBIL Apr04 Mar26 Mar14 Mar06 Feb28 (bailey ricardo)AVILES YAN 124 8.00    
5  RUMBLE STRIP RON Mar26 Mar18 Mar04 Jan31 Jan08 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
6  THE PINK Z Mar25 Mar04 Jan31 Dec28 Nov28 (silva fernand)SIMPSON JASON 124 5.00    
 
MVR-5   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAINBOW SHIP Feb13 Jan25 Jan08 Nov02 Oct02 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 16% 5.40    
2  JETTIN PEGASUS Mar26 Mar07 Feb28 Feb13 Jan04 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 124 4.00    
3  BOOGIE BOOGEE Mar26 Mar06 Sep11 Aug16 Jul19 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 124 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  CAUSE OF LOVE Mar13 Feb13 Jan25 Jan02 Dec13 (haehn terr)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 10.00    
5  OUT FOR FUN Apr02 Mar07 Feb13 Jan24 Dec30 (rivera nestor)CEDILLO MAURO 124 6.00    
6  TWERK Feb29 Feb13 Dec19 Nov28 Nov02 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  SOLE FACTOR Nov02 Sep18 Aug07 Jul17 Dec30 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MVR-6   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANTRUNWITHBIGDOGS Mar13 Feb26 Dec19 Nov16 Sep28 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 124 12.00    
2  C V DYNAMIC Mar25 Feb29 Feb15 Feb01 Dec21 (salcedo ramon)BRACHO A 119 2.00 32% 2.10    
3  INDY CARR Feb08 Jan09 Dec07 Nov08 Oct24 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 124 1.60 16% 5.10    
4  MUSIC GEM Mar01 Feb14 Oct24 Sep13 Aug30 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 124 12.00    
5  KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Mar07 Feb07 Jan23     (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 117 3.00 29% 2.40    
6  NO MAS CERVEZA Mar27 Mar06 Feb21 Jan09 Dec28 (brown glenr)PETERSON FERRIN 124 6.00    
 
MVR-7   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIVING THE DREAM Mar15 Feb08 Jan10 Dec18 Nov30 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 117 2.00 39% 1.60    
2  HAPPY TAKEOVER Mar27 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 Dec26 (campbell a)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 20.00    
3  KELLEHER Mar08 Jan23 Jan02 Dec18 Nov15 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 117 3.00    
4  COUNTEVERYBLESSING Jan18 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (vazquez ivan)PAUCAR E 117 8.00 14% 6.20    
5  REDDEN Mar25 Feb21 Feb07 Jan23 Dec21 (cline robert )BRACHO A 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
6  MAY MAYHEM Mar27 Mar04 Sep22 Jul27 Jul13 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 117 2.50 20% 4.00    
7  SOL OF VAQUERO Mar27 Mar13 Feb21 Jan23 Jan08 (campbell antho)DIAZ I 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($35.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KERRI'S MIRACLE Jan10 Dec12 Aug24 Aug10 Jul27 (vazquez iva)PETERSON FERRIN 124 20.00    
2  SEEYOUINMOTOWN Mar27 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Nov28 (rone penny)AVILES YAN 124 10.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  DANES LAST SONG Jan04 Dec21 Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 124 10.00    
4  KISS VALENTINA Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 Oct06 Sep14 (ca)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 20.00    
5  SWEET MOBILTEE Mar27 Mar11 Feb21 Feb07 Jan22 (smith la)MARTINEZ A 124 15.00    
6  MOBIL MEMORY Feb08 Jan22 Jan04 Dec21 Nov21 (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 12.00    
7  BUCKEYE ROSE Feb24 Dec27 Nov24 Sep13 Aug09 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 1.60 26% 2.80    
8  KAT TRAX Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 Dec12 Nov09 (gorham robert )DIAZ I 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
9  TWISTED JUSTICE Mar27 Mar12 Feb27 Feb08 Jan10 (smith )BATISTA ALBERTO 117 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  AMY'S STAR Mar12 Feb21 Feb05 Jan11   (pappada julie)BRACHO A 117 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.