The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Mahoning Valley Race Course
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

MVR-1   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $44.60 -4.00
MVR-2   Win (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $8.20 -6.00
MVR-3   Win (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -2.60
MVR-4   Win (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $4.20 $4.20 -3.80
MVR-5   Win (11/4/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 11 1 1 $13.20 $13.20 3.20
MVR-6   Win (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $6.60 $6.60 0.60
MVR-7   Win (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $2.00 -6.00
MVR-8   Win (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $3.40 $3.40 -4.60

Simulator Race results

 
MVR-1   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:013     1:153   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NOSEY POWER 2 4 4 4   4¼ 1 (spiess shane)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00 21.30  
LITTLE RONS ROCKET 1 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 2 (radosevich s)AVILES YAN 124 4.00 23% 3.40 5.90 P
I STRONG 3 1 3.2 3.2   3.2 3 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00 0.60  
STARS N SPACE 4 3 1nk 1nk   2nk 4 (overholt g)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 34% 1.90 1.20  
SCR  GOOD MUSIC               (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY               (brown glenroy)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 8.00    
 
MVR-2   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:15 1:283   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MANGA MAN 4 3 43 42 2nk 1nk 1½ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 3.10  
VISUAL MISSION 3 4 56 54 6 3.2 2½ (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 11% 8.00 5.30 P
OAKS HONEY 1 6 66 65 5 4¼ 3 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 52% 0.90 0.80 S
SURROUNDER 2 5 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 4 (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 9% 9.70 7.20  
VICTORY DIVISION 6 1 3 32 4 5 5 (schuster robin)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00 21.90  
DOUGS MORNING PICK 5 2 21 2½ 3.2 6 613½ (zielinski richa)BRACHO A 124 4.50 8.60  
 
MVR-3   04/04/2024 3630ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
See original race card.
:224 :474       1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LA CUMPARSITA 3 3 2nk 2½   2nk 1¼ (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 47% 1.10 0.70 W
CANTHO 4 1 1nk 1½   1nk 2¼ (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 9% 10.60 4.90 P
BEING CREATIVE 5 5 6 64   6 3 (bracho jr)BRACHO A 124 15.00 7.50  
BELLAVALENCIA 6 6 3 3   4 4 (flores christi)HALDAR J 124 8.00 15% 5.70 7.60  
CONTESSINA 2 2 5 5   5 53 (johnson gary)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00 6.90  
C C'S WORLD 1 4 4 42   3 6 (gonzalez agustin )LEON A 124 8.00 7.40  
SCR  BLUE HOUR               (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
 
MVR-4   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:251 :491 1:154 1:293   1:442   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SMALL SAILOR 5 2 32 31 3.2 1nk 12 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 1.80 8% 11.50 1.10 W
DOMI 7 6 5 1nk 1nk 3.2 22 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 8% 12.20 7.10 P
NAUGHTY STREAK 1 5 11 2nk 2nk 2nk 3 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 3.00 5.30  
RAMBLIN CHROME 3 3 21 4 4 4 43 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00 45.70  
AMAZING JUSTICE 4 4 63 65 5 5 59 (farrior an)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 54% 0.80 1.70  
THE GOSPEL OF MARK 6 1 4 53 6 610¼ 622 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 41.80  
INSACIABLE PRINCE 2 7 75 7 712¾ 717¼ 736 (romero jose )WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00 11.40  
 
MVR-5   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
See original race card.
:231 :473 1:003     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  SCARLETT'S AWISH 10 1 1½ 11   13 12 (radosevich j)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 5.00 33% 2.00 5.60 W
SHEZA FINE JUSTICE 8 2 5 53   5 22 (wilson jr)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 10% 8.90 18.00 P
10  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE 9 6 7 7   6 3 (urieta johann)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50 1.10  
HERE COMES JIGS 3 9 8 6   23 4 (fletcher jeff)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 18% 4.70 12.00  
SARAH JANE 4 3 4 4   4 5 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 8.00 8.80  
CHECK OUT LINE 5 11 9 9   8 610¼ (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 15% 5.60 7.50  
ARTIES CRYPTONITE 7 8 10 10   10 711¾ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 15.00 28.50  
I GOT HOPE 1 10 1110¼ 1110¼   1111¼ 812½ (romero a)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 30.00 47.40  
SWEET EMPIRE 2 4 31 21   33 912¾ (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 20.00 41.20  
12  BAY MAGIC 11 5 2½ 31   7 1015¾ (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 4.00 5.70  
CONGRATS JENSEN 6 7 6 8   9 1117 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00 31.10  
SCR  COWCHI               (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-6   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:13 1:254   1:392   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP 3 2 12 12 1½ 1½ 1 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 28% 2.60 2.30 W
CONFESSOR 4 4 4 4 31 2½ 2 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 6% 15.70 11.10 P
COME SEE ABOUT IT 2 3 22 22 2½ 31 33 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 3.50 44% 1.30 3.60 S
ONE TEN 5 5 56 5 43 41 46 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00 1.80  
R CARDINAL PRINCE 1 6 6 68 6 6 518 (rive)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00 8.10  
RAVEN MOON 6 1 33 3 5 58 620 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50 5.10  
 
MVR-7   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:232 :472 1:001     1:13   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
THAT'S THE WAY 2 6 5 4   1nk 1 (bernardini jay )BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
REINVESTEDINTEREST 4 3 2nk 2nk   2nk 2 (wolochuk david)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 57% 0.70   P
MUTINY 5 1 3 3.2   4 3 (bailey ricard)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00   S
PECKS NOT BAD 3 4 1nk 1nk   3½ 4 (juarez lor)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
BISCUITS AND GRITS 1 5 6 5   5 5 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
MISTER MOBIL 6 7 710¼ 7   712½ 614 (bail)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
SHOW SLIDING HOME 7 2 4 6   6 715½ (johnson l)CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
See original race card.
:23 :471 1:004     1:144   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RYLAN JAYNE 3 3 2 2   2½ 1½ (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 25% 3.00 0.70 W
DAISY JONES 4 1 1 1   1½ 2½ (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.50 2.90  
XHILARATINGPURPOSE 1 6 5 4   34 3 (fiesman robert)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00 29.40  
ELKO 2 7 77 7   6 4 (vecchio caryn)PETERSON FERRIN 126 3.50 23% 3.40 4.90  
FAITHFUL STEPS 6 4 3 34   44 5 (preston randy)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00 6.30  
QADIRA 7 2 44 6   7 610 (urieta johanna)DIAZ R 119 20.00 5% 19.00 35.50  
NOT OVER YET 5 5 66 5   5 711¼ (urieta johanna)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 17% 4.80 21.80  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.