Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Thursday - April 04, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/1)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/1)-(1/3/2)-(4/7/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
MVR-2   WIN (1/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/2)-(1/3/2)-(1/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/2)-(4/7/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2)-(4/7/5)-(4/5/7/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (4/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/7/5)-(4/7/5)-(4/7/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/7/5)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/7/5)-(4/5/7/2)-(11/4/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (4/5/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2)-(4/5/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2)-(11/4/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2)-(11/4/6/9/7)-(2/3/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (11/4/6/9/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/4/6/9/7)-(11/4/6/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/4/6/9/7)-(11/4/6/9/7)-(11/4/6/9/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/4/6/9/7)-(2/3/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (11/4/6/9/7)-(2/3/4)-(4/1/6) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
MVR-6   WIN (2/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/3/4)-(2/3/4)-(2/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/3/4)-(4/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/3/4)-(4/1/6)-(3/2/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6/5)-(4/1/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/6)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/2/5/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7)-(3/2/5/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LITTLE RONS ROCKET Jan30 Dec30 Dec07 Nov22 Nov08 (radosevich jake )AVILES YAN 124 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  NOSEY POWER Mar25 Mar06 Feb21 Feb08 Jan24 (spiess sha)SMITH DIOGDINABI 124 12.00    
SCR  TAMMY'S TOY Mar25 Mar06 Feb24 Feb08 Jan24 (brown glenro)BERRIOS HECTOR 124 8.00    
4  I STRONG Mar18 Feb29 Feb14 Jan25 Dec28 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.00    
5  STARS N SPACE Mar06 Feb06 Jan15 Dec26 Dec14 (overholt paul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.50 34% 1.90    
SCR  GOOD MUSIC Mar06 Feb21 Feb06 Dec28 Dec11 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
 
MVR-2   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($15K) Purse ($25.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Jan08 Dec26 Dec04 Nov14 Oct03 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 4.00 52% 0.90    
2  SURROUNDER Mar18 Mar11 Feb19 Jan24 Jan01 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 3.50 9% 9.70    
3  VISUAL MISSION Mar14 Mar06 Feb14 Jan23 Jan08 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 2.50 11% 8.00    
4  MANGA MAN Jan23 Jan01 Sep28 Jul31 Jul11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
5  DOUGS MORNING PICK Mar14 Feb29 Feb14 Jan23 Dec07 (zielinski ric)BRACHO A 124 4.50    
6  VICTORY DIVISION Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 Aug07 Jul11 (schuster robi)BARBARAN ERIK 124 8.00    
 
MVR-3   04/04/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BLUE HOUR Mar20 Feb23 Jan11 Dec27 Dec08 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
2  C C'S WORLD Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Jan03 (gonzalez agusti)LEON A 124 8.00    
3  CONTESSINA Mar07 Nov07 Sep21 Aug29 Aug08 (johnson ga)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 4.00    
4  LA CUMPARSITA Jan27 Dec22 Jul15 Jun17 May11 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
5  CANTHO Mar20 Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 5.00 9% 10.60    
6  BEING CREATIVE Feb28 Feb21 Feb14 Jan25 Jan03 (bracho j)BRACHO A 124 15.00    
7  BELLAVALENCIA Mar20 Feb20 Jan25 Dec27 Nov14 (flores chris)HALDAR J 124 8.00 15% 5.70    
 
MVR-4   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NAUGHTY STREAK Feb16 Feb03 Jan13 Nov11   (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 117 3.00    
2  INSACIABLE PRINCE Mar27 Mar12 Feb29 Feb15 Dec04 (romero jos)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  RAMBLIN CHROME Feb29 Feb12 Jan18 Dec23 Dec09 (brown glenroy)CEDILLO MAURO 124 20.00    
4  AMAZING JUSTICE Mar14 Mar02 Jan31 Dec23 Nov29 (farrior )MARTINEZ A 124 2.50 54% 0.80    
5  SMALL SAILOR Mar27 Mar12 Feb01 Nov29 Nov13 (schuster robin)DIAZ I 124 1.80 8% 11.50    
6  THE GOSPEL OF MARK Jan18 Dec28 Dec04 Nov08 Oct24 (vazquez ivan)YARANGA Y 124 20.00    
7  DOMI Mar19 Mar12 Feb12 Jan25 Jan11 (mahan p)PAUCAR E 124 8.00 8% 12.20    
 
MVR-5   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 MUDDY Claiming ($6.5K) Purse ($17.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I GOT HOPE Mar06 Feb27 Dec18 Jun12 Mar14 (romero jose )BERRIOS HECTOR 124 30.00    
SCR  COWCHI Mar17 Mar06 Feb27 Feb19 Jan23 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
3  SWEET EMPIRE Mar17 Feb08 Jan23 Dec18 Nov29 (rone penny)RIVERA R 124 20.00    
4  HERE COMES JIGS Mar17 Feb27 Feb19 Feb06 Jan22 (fletcher jef)GONZALEZ KEVIN 124 8.00 18% 4.70    
5  SARAH JANE Feb20 Jan22 Dec21 Dec11 Nov16 (bates l)BRACHO A 124 8.00    
6  CHECK OUT LINE Mar17 Feb27 Jan23 Jan01 Dec11 (calderon ivan)DIAZ I 126 4.50 15% 5.60    
7  CONGRATS JENSEN Feb27 Jan23 Nov29 Sep30 Aug21 (cline c)AVILES YAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  ARTIES CRYPTONITE Mar19 Mar04 Feb20 Jan09 Dec20 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 15.00    
9  SHEZA FINE JUSTICE Mar26 Mar06 Feb19 Jan01 Nov29 (wilson jr)YARANGA Y 124 20.00 10% 8.90    
10  WILLIAMSBEACHBABE Mar12 Feb27 Jan24 Dec07 Nov13 (urieta joha)SEVERINO VICTOR 124 3.50    
11  SCARLETT'S AWISH Mar17 Mar06 Feb19 Feb06 Jan23 (radosevich)WEATHERLY BAILEY 119 5.00 33% 2.00    
12  BAY MAGIC Feb27 Feb06 Jan22 Dec18 Jul04 (calderon ivan)LEON A 124 4.00    
 
MVR-6   04/04/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  R CARDINAL PRINCE Mar19 Mar12 Feb26 Jan03 Dec20 (ri)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 5.00    
2  COME SEE ABOUT IT Mar19 Feb20 Jan23 Dec28 Nov29 (smith larry)BRACHO A 124 3.50 44% 1.30    
3  FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Mar19 Feb20 Feb01 Dec10 Nov12 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 28% 2.60    
4  CONFESSOR Mar12 Feb20 Jan24 Dec20 Nov06 (clouston edward)AVILES YAN 124 6.00 6% 15.70    
5  ONE TEN Feb07 Jan06 Dec16 Dec01 Oct28 (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 124 3.00    
6  RAVEN MOON Mar06 Feb07 Jan10 Dec26 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 124 4.50    
 
MVR-7   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC9 MUDDY Starter Allowance ($8K) Purse ($22.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BISCUITS AND GRITS Mar18 Feb29 Jan24 Dec04 Nov14 (tumblin andrew)DIAZ I 124 4.50 11% 8.10    
2  THAT'S THE WAY Mar20 Mar11 Feb29 Feb06 Jan22 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
3  PECKS NOT BAD Mar11 Feb21 Feb06 Jan22 Dec26 (juarez l)MARTINEZ A 124 8.00    
4  REINVESTEDINTEREST Feb13 Jan30 Dec27 Nov28 Nov07 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 124 1.80 57% 0.70    
5  MUTINY Mar25 Mar11 Feb29 Feb21 Jan24 (bailey rica)PETERSON FERRIN 124 10.00 ★    
6  MISTER MOBIL Mar26 Mar14 Mar06 Feb28 Feb21 (ba)SALAZAR FERNANDO 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  SHOW SLIDING HOME Mar11 Feb28 Nov21 Oct13 Sep04 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 124 10.00    
 
MVR-8   04/04/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.3K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XHILARATINGPURPOSE Mar12 Feb24 Nov27     (fiesman robe)GONZALEZ KEVIN 126 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED ENERGY out of SOUL PURPOSE by FAPPIE'S NOTEBOOK)
2  ELKO         (vecchio car)PETERSON FERRIN 126 3.50 23% 3.40    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of PRINCESS ASPEN by BIRDSTONE)
3  RYLAN JAYNE Mar07 Jan20 Nov18 Aug24   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 126 1.60 25% 3.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PAMMY WHAMMY by WAR FRONT)
4  DAISY JONES Mar20 Mar05 Jan31 Jan18 Dec22 (zielinski richard)PAUCAR E 126 2.50    
  (by BUCCHERO out of CHANNEL REGATTA by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  NOT OVER YET         (urieta johann)CEDILLO MAURO 119 8.00 17% 4.80    
  (by FAR FROM OVER out of ELECTRO PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
6  FAITHFUL STEPS Mar20 Mar05 Jan31 Jan01 Dec19 (preston randy)VIGIL NOEL 126 6.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of THIRTY EIGHT PLUS by CATIENUS)
7  QADIRA Mar20 Sep05       (urieta johanna)DIAZ R 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by QAFEEF out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.