Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-1   EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-3 $9.00 $3.00 50%
CNL-2   DD (1/6/3)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-3 $13.70 $1.70 14%
CNL-4   TRI (3/6/1/10)-(3/6/7/10/1)-(3/6/7/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00  3-7-1 $63.95 $39.95 166%
    SFT (3/6/1/10)-(3/6/7/10/1)-(3/6/7/10/1)-(3/6/7/10/1) 96 $0.10 $9.60  3-7-1-6 $42.84 $33.24 346%
CNL-9   TRI (9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00  7-9-10 $104.50 $74.50 248%
    SFT (9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10) 120 $0.10 $12.00  7-9-10-11 $63.96 $51.96 433%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:234 :473 1:12 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FOR FLYING (BRZ) 6 6 43 4 4 31 1¼ (motion h )CARRASCO R 122 4.50 22% 3.50 2.00 W
YANKEE DOLLAR 3 4 3 32 3 4 2¼ (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 17% 4.90 1.90 P
NEXT EPISODE 2 2 5 55 54 5 3 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00 9.60  
LOVED REIKO 1 3 6 65 64 6 4 (leitch daniel)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.50 30% 2.30 5.70  
BOW DRAW 4 1 1 1 11 1nk 5 (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00 36.50  
DAMASO 5 5 2 2 21 2nk 6 (o'connell )SANCHEZ J 122 1.80 2.60  
 
CNL-2   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
See original race card.
:24 :474 1:121 1:244   1:373   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
READY FOR PEACE 3 4 3 3½ 1nk 1 1 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 12% 7.50 1.60 W
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
MEISTERSINGER 7 5 4 42 3 2 2 (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00 3.40  
  (by PAYNTER out of LILO'S CALL by DROSSELMEYER)
LORDLY 1 1 54 5 54 34 3 (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.50 41% 1.40 2.20 S
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
AMERICAN CITY 6 3 21 2nk 4 5 413 (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 20.00 12.90  
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SKY PALACE by PALACE)
CHADO 4 2 11 1nk 2nk 44 514½ (mccutche)GALLARDO A 119 2.00 12% 7.50 5.50  
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
MR MILES 5 6 65 64 66 6 617¼ (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 7% 12.60 17.80  
  (by CUPID out of SPUN RIBBON by HARD SPUN)
PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY 2 7 710 710 714 720½ 738½ (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 20.00 24.80  
  (by SKIPSHOT out of LYNDA D by THE FACTOR)
SCR  MIGHTY MIKE               (kelley james )JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PICKAWAY by PIVOTAL)
 
CNL-3   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
See original race card.
:25 :494 1:141 1:26   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CUPIDS DREAM 1 1 12 1 2nk 11 1 (sillaman rich)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.00 7.00  
SANDPIPER MEMORIES 7 2 45 43 43 33 2 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 124 2.00 55% 0.80 2.40 P
SULLIVAN STREET 5 4 22 2 1nk 21 3 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00 4.00  
LADY DOMINANCE 2 3 5 55 7 55 4 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 2.20  
FUNNY ENOUGH 6 5 3 33 3 4 5 (russo anthony )ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00 13.20  
LOVE UNLIMITED 3 6 67 6 65 6 6 (werneth robert)ROCCO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00 27.10  
STARRY HOPE 4 7 78 7 5 7 7 (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00 16% 5.20 4.00  
SCR  MACASSA               (seale christophe)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:223 :453 :573     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LAZIO (BRZ) 3 1 1 12   13 1 (lightner)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 44% 1.20 0.60 W
  (by BUCCHERO out of MIGHTY MINI by FIRST DUDE)
WARHEART 6 8 44 4   23 2 (brisset rodolphe)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 4.30 P
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
EL TINMARIN 1 4 54 54   5 3 (lusk r)CASIQUE UBARDO 117 30.00 5% 19.00 45.90 S
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of PRIMELA by ORPEN)
CITY OF OSCARS 5 7 6 65   6 44 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 25% 3.00 4.80  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of CITY DIVA by CITY ZIP)
HASTEN 8 5 9 9   710¼ 510 (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00 33.50  
  (by LAOBAN out of ON MY TOES by MORE THAN READY)
PRINSIPITO 7 2 2 22   4 613¾ (munoz carlos)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 122 10.00 31.00  
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
FANTASY FLYER 4 3 3 32   3 716½ (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00 55.10  
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
10  PENEI 9 9 77 78   811¾ 818¾ (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 15.40  
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOSTINHIM by GHOSTZAPPER)
GLOBAL PHENOM 2 6 8 8   913¾ 922 (brion keri)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00 9.80  
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PEGGY RING by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  DAVID H               (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SWEET STORY by MASS MEDIA)
SCR  GOLDEN LEGACY               (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SILENT LEGACY by SLEWPY)
SCR  PROBALE TEN               (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
 
CNL-5   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
See original race card.
:232 :471 1:111 1:36   1:421   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BORDER WAR 3 7 88 8 8 5 1½ (toner jam)CARRASCO R 125 2.00 30% 2.40 2.10 W
FLYING HOUDINI 6 4 34 33 2 1nk 2½ (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 20.00 48.10  
WHITING FIELD 2 1 1½ 1 1 2nk 31 (crichton rohan)CONNER TYLER 120 6.00 24% 3.10 5.90 S
SWEET TRAVELS 5 3 6 5 54 3 4 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 12.00 9.20  
10  ADIOS BUCCANEER 9 5 4 44 43 6 5 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00 10.60  
SENDERO 1 6 5 6 6 4 6 (rivelli larry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 23% 3.30 4.20  
ELUSIVE 4 8 9 9 9 9 7 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00 27.70  
MR SCATTER 7 9 77 7 7 7 814¼ (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 120 12.00 12.20  
BIG BIG STAR 8 2 2½ 2 3 8 922¼ (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00 3.00  
SCR  TWIRLING TROILLET               (king l)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:233 :471 1:112 1:36   1:482   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FATIMA'S BLESSING 2 6 7 76 7 2 1 (dini mike)SANCHEZ J 123 3.00 26% 2.80 1.30 W
INDY LYON 3 1 11 11 1½ 1 2 (crichton rohan)CURTIS BEN 123 10.00 5.50  
11  GRAND JOURNEY 5 2 21 21 2½ 3 3 (rodriguez ang)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 50% 1.00 1.90 S
BAIL OUT 1 5 63 6 64 4 410 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
12  COPAZO 6 3 5 5 3 5 512¼ (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00 9.80  
VINTNER 4 4 3 32 5 610½ 618 (yanez r)RIQUELME J 123 30.00 46.50  
13  TITRATE 7 7 42 4 4 712 731¾ (mancilla carlo)ASHTON GAVIN 123 12.00 20.60  
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL               (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 20.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO               (gallegos)GALLARDO A 123 4.50    
SCR  DAZZLING TRUTHS               (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 20.00    
SCR  HARDY CHOICE               (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
SCR  RECONVENE               (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
SCR  TIZ A PRINCE               (russo victor)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 20.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:224 :452 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STEEL LINK 7 2 31 2½   1½ 13 (west w)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50 1.80  
AGENT KELLY 1 5 5 4   3 23 (boniface kevi)KARAMANOS A 118 6.00 2.80  
VOY Y VENGO 2 3 1nk 1½   2½ 3 (hemingway mic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 4.50 26% 2.80 8.90 S
FLAT CAP 8 6 7 6   4 4 (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.60  
DENISTON 4 7 6 77   58 511½ (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 27% 2.80 10.70  
SWIFT DANCER 6 4 4 54   79 613 (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 20.00 31.10  
FRONT DANCER 3 1 2nk 3   6 717 (williams)GALLARDO A 124 3.00 3.20  
WHISKEY KISS 5 8 8 817   839 855 (libertini jas)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00 10% 8.70 17.70  
 
CNL-8   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:243 :492 1:131 1:364   1:484   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECHO LANE 2 2 21 2½ 2nk 1nk 1nk (crichton)GALLARDO A 117 8.00 6.80  
POSSIBLEMENTE 6 5 42 3 3 3.2 2nk (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 122 6.00 11.40  
SPACE LAUNCH 3 4 5 6 6 5 3.15 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 14% 6.00 4.00 S
HOT BLOODED 4 3 3 4 4 4 41 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 46% 1.20 3.10  
SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD 7 8 6 53 5 6 5 (pompay terri)CONNER TYLER 122 20.00 5% 19.00 13.00  
THE ADDISON POUR 5 6 75 7 7 7 64 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 17% 4.90 3.30  
WICKED FINN 1 1 11 1½ 1nk 2nk 75 (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00 2.90  
BATI KING 8 7 8 8 8 816¾ 819¾ (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 117 30.00 63.90  
 
CNL-9   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
See original race card.
1:034         1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO CENTS NON CENTS 6 1 3 42   11 1¾ (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 9% 9.90 3.80 W
OVERSPENT 8 8 76 85   4 2¾ (hendriks )CARRASCO R 120 2.00 47% 1.10 3.10 P
10  LOCOMOTIVE 9 7 86 7   8 3 (djuric stevic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 15.70 S
11  BEN'S HERO 10 2 54 53   5 43 (seale ch)GALLARDO A 124 6.00 10% 9.40 3.10  
PRETTY JIMMY 3 4 21 2½   21 5 (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00 8.50  
NONE THE WISER 7 3 6 6   64 69 (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00 14% 6.30 6.80  
ROARK 1 10 1013½ 1013   1010¼ 711¼ (godsey den)RIQUELME J 120 20.00 18.40  
GIFT EXCHANGE 4 5 43 32   76 812¼ (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00 5.90  
SINGULARITY 5 6 9 910   910 913¾ (payne beale)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00 48.60  
MISTY RIVER 2 9 11 1½   31 1019¼ (allen ferri)PANAIJO JORGE 124 30.00 38.70  
SCR  KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE               (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 30.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.