Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Colonial Downs
Saturday - August 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CNL-1   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/3)-(1/3/4/5)-(8/5/4) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CNL-2   WIN (1/3/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5)-(1/3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/4/5)-(8/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/4/5)-(8/5/4)-(3/6/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-3   WIN (8/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/4)-(8/5/3/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (8/5/4)-(8/5/3/4)-(8/5/3/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (8/5/4)-(3/6/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4)-(3/6/1/10)-(3/2/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-4   WIN (3/6/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/1/10)-(3/6/7/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/6/1/10)-(3/6/7/1/10)-(3/6/7/1/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/6/1/10)-(3/2/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (3/6/1/10)-(3/2/1/10)-(11/3/2) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-5   WIN (3/2/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/10)-(3/2/1/9/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/10)-(3/2/1/9/10)-(3/2/1/9/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (3/2/1/10)-(11/3/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1/10)-(11/3/2)-(4/2/5/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-6   WIN (11/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (11/3/2)-(11/3/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (11/3/2)-(11/3/5/2)-(11/3/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (11/3/2)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (11/3/2)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CNL-7   WIN (4/2/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8)-(4/2/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/2/5/8)-(4/5/3/7)-(9/8/11/7/10) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CNL-8   WIN (4/5/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7)-(4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5/3/7)-(9/8/11/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CNL-9   WIN (9/8/11/7/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10)-(9/8/11/7/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CNL-1   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($90K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LOVED REIKO Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 Jul23 May18 (leitch dani)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 1.50 30% 2.30    
2  NEXT EPISODE Aug03 Jul11 Jun29 Jun08 Apr25 (saville niall)CONNER TYLER 124 5.00    
3  YANKEE DOLLAR Jul22 Jun22 Apr11 Mar14 Feb19 (vitali m)GALLARDO A 122 8.00 17% 4.90    
4  BOW DRAW Jul13 Apr27 Apr04 Mar08 Feb18 (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 122 20.00    
5  DAMASO Jul04 Jun02 Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 (o'connell )SANCHEZ J 122 1.80    
6  FOR FLYING (BRZ) Jun27         (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
CNL-2   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LORDLY         (delacour )CARRASCO R 119 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by FLATTER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  PNUTBUTTER WHISKEY         (kelley a)ROCCO S 119 20.00    
  (by SKIPSHOT out of LYNDA D by THE FACTOR)
3  READY FOR PEACE         (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 119 3.50 12% 7.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of PEACE PROCESS by SUGGEST)
4  CHADO Aug01 Jul18 May19 Apr25 Apr05 (mccutchen j)MCCARTHY TREVOR 119 2.00 12% 7.50    
  (by AMERICAN FREEDOM out of ORIOLE by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  MR MILES         (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 119 8.00 7% 12.60    
  (by CUPID out of SPUN RIBBON by HARD SPUN)
SCR  MIGHTY MIKE         (kelley james )JIMENEZ MANNY 119 30.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of PICKAWAY by PIVOTAL)
7  AMERICAN CITY May18 May09 Apr25     (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 119 20.00    
  (by THE BIG BEAST out of SKY PALACE by PALACE)
8  MEISTERSINGER Aug01         (casse mark)ASHTON GAVIN 119 4.00    
  (by PAYNTER out of LILO'S CALL by DROSSELMEYER)
 
CNL-3   08/17/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUPIDS DREAM Jul27 Jun15 Apr26 Mar23 Nov17 (sillaman rich)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.00    
SCR  MACASSA Aug03 Jun22 May25 Apr20 Mar23 (seale christophe)RUIZ JORGE 124 10.00    
3  LADY DOMINANCE Jul27 Jun21 May05 Oct14 Aug25 (schuh ti)GALLARDO A 124 2.50 ★    
4  LOVE UNLIMITED Jul27 May03 Apr13 Mar30 Feb24 (werneth robert)ROCCO S 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
5  STARRY HOPE Jul25 Jun21 May19 May04 Apr21 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 6.00 16% 5.20    
6  SULLIVAN STREET Jul12 Jun13 Jan14 Dec22 Nov15 (eppler e)KARAMANOS A 124 8.00    
7  FUNNY ENOUGH Mar03 Feb24 Feb07 Aug31 Aug12 (russo anthony )ASHTON GAVIN 124 20.00    
8  SANDPIPER MEMORIES Jul27 Jun21 Apr20 Apr05 Mar06 (rodriguez ang)FUENTES MARIO 124 2.00 55% 0.80    
 
CNL-4   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($60K) 2 ALL PT- 2:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EL TINMARIN         (lusk br)BRAVO MISAEL 117 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ADIOS CHARLIE out of PRIMELA by ORPEN)
2  GLOBAL PHENOM         (brion keri)ASHTON GAVIN 122 10.00    
  (by GLOBAL CAMPAIGN out of PEGGY RING by GHOSTZAPPER)
3  LAZIO (BRZ) Jul18         (lightner ma)MCCARTHY TREVOR 122 2.00 44% 1.20    
  (by BUCCHERO out of MIGHTY MINI by FIRST DUDE)
SCR  DAVID H         (rountree cath)FUENTES MARIO 122 20.00    
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of SWEET STORY by MASS MEDIA)
5  FANTASY FLYER Aug01         (munoz carlos)PANAIJO JORGE 122 30.00    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of WEEKEND FANTASY by PLEASANTLY PERFECT)
6  CITY OF OSCARS         (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of CITY DIVA by CITY ZIP)
7  WARHEART         (brisset rodolphe)CURTIS BEN 122 4.50 ★    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
8  PRINSIPITO Aug01         (munoz carlos)JIMENEZ MANNY 122 10.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MISS BONNIE by OFFICER)
9  HASTEN         (simms jr)CONNER TYLER 122 10.00    
  (by LAOBAN out of ON MY TOES by MORE THAN READY)
10  PENEI         (desormeaux kei)RIQUELME J 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of GHOSTINHIM by GHOSTZAPPER)
SCR  GOLDEN LEGACY         (magana j)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00    
  (by GOLDEN LAD out of SILENT LEGACY by SLEWPY)
SCR  PROBALE TEN Jul25 Apr17       (chapman james)FUENTES MARIO 122 30.00    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of LIFE AT TEN by MALIBU MOON)
 
CNL-5   08/17/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($25K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SENDERO Jun16 May14 Apr08 Mar11 Feb11 (rivelli larry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.50 23% 3.30    
2  WHITING FIELD Jun28 May23 Apr21 Mar31 Feb18 (crichton ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 120 6.00 24% 3.10    
3  BORDER WAR Jul20 Jun14 May17 Apr27 Feb08 (toner jam)CARRASCO R 125 2.00 30% 2.40    
4  ELUSIVE Jul25 May27 Oct12 Aug18 Jul22 (fout douglas)ASHTON GAVIN 121 15.00    
5  SWEET TRAVELS Jul18 Jul06 Jun21 Apr21 Mar27 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 12.00    
6  FLYING HOUDINI Jul20 Jun21 May29 May05 Apr12 (mcgoey monic)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 123 20.00    
7  MR SCATTER Jun07 May19 Mar07 Jan12 Dec08 (correas ignac)KARAMANOS A 120 12.00    
SCR  TWIRLING TROILLET Aug10 Jul05 Jun23 Jun13 May26 (king l)RIQUELME J 120 30.00    
9  BIG BIG STAR Jul14 Jun22 May27 Apr28 Jan07 (brion keri)CURTIS BEN 123 4.00 ★    
10  ADIOS BUCCANEER Jul04 Apr14 Dec21 Dec03   (o'connel)GALLARDO A 123 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-6   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DAZZLING TRUTHS Aug01 Apr21 Apr13 Mar24 Mar17 (mcgoey monic)CASIQUE UBARDO 123 20.00    
2  BAIL OUT Jul27 Jul05 Jun07 May25 Nov16 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  FATIMA'S BLESSING Jul20 Jun29 Jun15 May11 Apr21 (dini mike)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 26% 2.80    
SCR  TIZ A PRINCE Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 May25 May04 (russo victor)TREJOS JOSEPH 123 20.00    
SCR  CASTAGNO Aug02 Jul12 Jun01 May04 Feb24 (gallegos)GALLARDO A 123 4.50 ★    
6  INDY LYON Mar24 Feb25 Jan24 Dec15 Aug27 (crichton ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 123 10.00    
SCR  RECONVENE Aug01 Jul11 Jun19 Jun04 Nov10 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00    
8  VINTNER Jul11 May25 May04 Apr21 Mar22 (yanez r)RIQUELME J 123 30.00    
SCR  HARDY CHOICE Jul25 Jul03 Jun10 Apr30 Mar01 (ness jamie)SANCHEZ J 123 6.00    
SCR  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Jul25 Jul17 Jul05 Jun10 May11 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 125 20.00    
11  GRAND JOURNEY Jul11 May25 May04 Apr12 Mar03 (rodriguez ang)KARAMANOS A 123 5.00 50% 1.00    
12  COPAZO Jul07 May25 Apr26 Sep09 Aug18 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 123 10.00    
13  TITRATE Sep22 Aug25 Aug12 Jul20 Jun24 (mancilla carlos )RUIZ JORGE 123 12.00    
 
CNL-7   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AGENT KELLY Jul25 Jun07 May15     (boniface ke)MCCARTHY TREVOR 118 6.00    
2  VOY Y VENGO Aug03 Aug11 Jul02 Jun03 Apr29 (hemingway mic)SILVERA RUBEN 124 4.50 26% 2.80    
3  FRONT DANCER Jun15 May04 Mar23 Feb02 Nov25 (williams)GALLARDO A 124 3.00    
4  DENISTON         (brion ker)CARRASCO R 118 5.00 27% 2.80    
5  WHISKEY KISS         (libertini jas)FUENTES MARIO 124 15.00 10% 8.70    
6  SWIFT DANCER Jul25 May26 May04 Apr27 Apr19 (vigil jaime)SAEZ SEBASTIAN 124 20.00    
7  STEEL LINK Jul03 Jun19 May29 Apr19 Mar01 (west w)CONNER TYLER 118 2.50    
8  FLAT CAP Jul26 Jun16 Jun02 Apr27 Apr14 (mcgoey monica)CURTIS BEN 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CNL-8   08/17/2024 5940ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WICKED FINN Jul27 Jun20 May25 Apr19 Mar21 (kelly blake)CURTIS BEN 122 5.00    
2  ECHO LANE Jun08 May18 May03 Apr04 Mar09 (crichton ro)MCCARTHY TREVOR 117 8.00    
3  SPACE LAUNCH Jul13 May09 Apr07 Mar07 Feb22 (d'angelo j)SANCHEZ J 122 2.00 14% 6.00    
4  HOT BLOODED Jun22 May24 Apr11 Mar15 Feb22 (maker michael)KARAMANOS A 124 4.50 46% 1.20    
5  THE ADDISON POUR Jul14 Jun15 May17 Apr21 Dec01 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  POSSIBLEMENTE Aug01 Jul07 Mar30 Feb16 Jan21 (rodriguez dari)COTTO L 122 6.00    
7  SEVEN BRIDGES ROAD Aug11 Jul08 Mar24 Mar03 Feb03 (pompay terri)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BATI KING Aug01 Jun29 Jun02 May04 Apr27 (ochoa ge)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 117 30.00    
 
CNL-9   08/17/2024 3630ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($56.25K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KARMA'S INTHEHOUSE Jul27         (mcclure dia)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 124 30.00    
2  ROARK         (godsey den)RIQUELME J 120 20.00    
3  MISTY RIVER Jul26         (allen ferris)ROCCO S 124 30.00    
4  PRETTY JIMMY Jul26         (cooney s)CURTIS BEN 120 8.00    
5  GIFT EXCHANGE Jul21 Jun09 May18     (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 120 6.00    
6  SINGULARITY Jul26         (payne beale)CONNER TYLER 120 30.00    
7  NO CENTS NON CENTS Jul26 Jun23 Jun07 May18 Apr27 (godsey d)ASHTON GAVIN 120 4.00 9% 9.90    
8  NONE THE WISER Jul26 Jun07       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 120 6.00 14% 6.30    
9  OVERSPENT Jul31 Jul13       (hendriks richard)RUIZ JORGE 120 2.00 47% 1.10    
10  LOCOMOTIVE         (djuric stevic)TOLEDO JEVIAN 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
11  BEN'S HERO Jul26 Jul04 Jun01 Oct26 Sep22 (seale chris)MCCARTHY TREVOR 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.