Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00  4-7-6 $23.10 $11.10 93%
    SFT (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.10 $2.40  4-7-6-5 $5.51 $3.11 130%
TUP-6   TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-1-7 $23.65 $20.65 688%
TUP-7   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00  1 $9.60 $1.60 20%
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-1 $14.60 $2.60 22%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-1   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  GODDESS OF WAR 3 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20 0.10 W
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of AMARIAH GRACE by SKY MESA)
6  SWEET AND EZ 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 4.50 3.70  
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R SWEET ADDICTION by OLD FASHIONED)
3  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW 2 3 31 31½   32 34½ (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 13% 6.70 11.10 S
  (by DELHOMME out of LA PROFESORA by WELL INFORMED)
1  GOINTOTHEGOGO 1 4 49 411½   416 421½ (kenney rya)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20 8.20  
  (by UH OH BANGO out of WITTY BIDDY by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  BOOSICAL LADY               (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
  (by BOOS out of FLASHY CARLINE by FLASHY BULL)
SCR  TWISTED MISCHIEF               (alvarez sergio)LULL E 118 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MINT TWIST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
 
TUP-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 3 33 21½ 1nk 12½ 15¾ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 29% 2.40 0.30 W
5  HOLY ZAGS 5 4 46½ 43½ 55 55½ 25¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 23% 3.30 5.90 P
4  IN THE RED 4 1 23 31½ 32 34 36½ (kereluk edward)CRUZ M 122 5.00 3.40  
3  GUARDING ELK CAMP 3 5 57½ 54 43½ 44 48¼ (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 35.10  
1  GOLDEN GOPHER 1 6 612 68½ 69½ 68 59½ (silva gabr)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 21% 3.80 33.80  
6  LOOPY 6 2 13 11½ 2nk 22½ 610 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 3.00 9.50  
 
TUP-3   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:221 :442 :562     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  PRISONER 3 2 22½ 22   21 12¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.50 W
2  HIT THE SEAM 2 1 12½ 12   11 22¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 2.70  
5  BUGLER 5 6 67¾ 69¾   36 33½ (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 3.50 11% 8.20 12.70 S
1  ITALIANO 1 4 36 36½   46½ 45 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.50 11% 7.70 5.50  
4  MEET JOE 4 5 46 46½   57½ 55½ (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 8.00 41.30  
6  LIE AND DENY 6 3 56¼ 56¾   69 67 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 7.90  
 
TUP-4   02/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:212 :442       :501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  NORTHERN COCKTAIL 3 1 1nk     13½ 12¼ (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.90 W
7  DELTA DELTA 6 3 33     35½ 22¼ (toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.70 P
6  FED GRANT 5 5 54¾     47 35½ (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 12% 7.50 5.30 S
5  OFF TO THE RACES 4 2 2nk     23½ 46¼ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50  
2  HOT ROD JIMMY 2 4 44½     57 56½ (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 4.10  
1  WOLF'S LIFE 1 6 610¾     615 614¾ (torres-casa)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 57.40  
SCR  BIG BLUE CAT               (esquibel )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
7  NYQUILER 7 5 42 41½ 33 22½ 1¼ (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 1.40  
2  CHIEFS BLANKET 2 1 11 11 11½ 12½ 2¼ (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.40 P
1  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE 1 3 32 31½ 21½ 33 32¾ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 2.20  
5  CLASS COMPOUNDS 5 2 21 21 45 411 412½ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 41.70  
3  AVIATOR NATION 3 7 710½ 720½ 612 512½ 515½ (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 5.00  
4  CHARLIE'S MAN 4 6 64½ 66½ 511 618½ 628¼ (alvarez ser)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80 9.50  
6  PARS AND BIRDIES 6 4 52½ 54 715 725½ 731¼ (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 8.00 21% 3.70 12.00  
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY               (vitali )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:223 :444 :561     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  BLESSED ANGEL 4 3 11½ 12   12 11¼ (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.20 W
1  ON PURPOSE 1 4 21½ 22   22 21¼ (cerin vladim)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 9% 9.70 2.70 P
7  HOLY TUTTA BELLA 6 1 32 44   48 37¾ (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 9% 10.60 32.10 S
2  DORITA'S HAPPY 2 5 42 32½   36½ 49¼ (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 19.00  
3  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN 3 6 65 65½   610 59½ (capestro paula )CORBETT W 122 3.50 1.70  
6  CHIC SAMARAI 5 2 53 54   58½ 69¾ (brown jared)RADKE K 124 8.00 8.60  
SCR  SHE'S RESILIENT               (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:104 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE DOLLAR 1 4 31½ 31½ 33 33 1nk (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 32% 2.10 3.80 W
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 5 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 120 6.00 2.10  
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
5  PEPPER MILL 4 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 31¼ (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.10 S
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
8  HALOSNHEAVEN 7 6 63¼ 63 55½ 44½ 42¼ (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  TIZ A MACHO GIRL 2 3 41¾ 42 44½ 55 52½ (evans justin)CRUZ M 120 4.00 15% 5.90 2.30  
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
7  BUSKER ALLIE 6 7 73¼ 73½ 69½ 610 67¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00 30.70  
  (by GRAZEN out of SHESABRONXBOMBER by AFLEET ALEX)
4  DELUSIVELY 3 8 84¾ 85 712½ 714½ 714½ (baze robert)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00 25.40  
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
9  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) 8 5 52¾ 52 812¾ 818 819 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 13.20  
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARACENA by MARJU (IRE))
SCR  LOANA               (hone ba)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
 
TUP-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ELDORADO DREAM 2 6 32 42   12½ 12¼ (valerio raymo)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 2.30  
6  RED NOON RISING 6 8 84¾ 63   33½ 22¼ (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 58% 0.70 2.30 P
3  MO CONNELLY 3 5 74½ 52½   22½ 34 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 124 15.00 9.60  
7  LILLY CHROME 7 11 1112¼ 115¾   55 45½ (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 20.00 20.40  
1  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 1 9 106¼ 95¼   85¾ 56¼ (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
10  WORKIN NINETOFIVE 10 4 64 73½   65¼ 67¾ (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 11.40  
11  LAWN DART 11 7 95¾ 31   45 78½ (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
5  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 5 2 2½ 2nk   75¾ 811¾ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.70  
9  WEDDING CHAPEL 9 3 42 83¾   97¾ 911¾ (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 59.10  
8  JUMPING JILL FLASH 8 10 53½ 105¾   109¼ 1014½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 9% 9.80 13.00  
4  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 4 1 1½ 1nk   1115¼ 1125¼ (moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 12.00 29.90  
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.