The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-1   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $2.20 $2.20 -3.80
TUP-2   Win (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 1 $2.60 $2.60 -3.40
TUP-3   Win (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
TUP-4   Win (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 4 1 1 $7.80 $7.80 -0.20
TUP-5   Win (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 7 1 0 $4.80 -8.00
TUP-6   Win (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 1 $4.40 $4.40 -1.60
TUP-7   Win (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 1 $9.60 $9.60 1.60
TUP-8   Win (6/8/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 2 1 0 $6.60 -10.00

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-1   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:031   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODDESS OF WAR 3 1 2nk 1nk   1nk 1½ (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20 0.10 W
SWEET AND EZ 4 2 1nk 2nk   2nk 2½ (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 124 4.50 3.70  
LA DELHOMME'S SHOW 2 3 31 3   32 3(zimm)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 13% 6.70 11.10 S
GOINTOTHEGOGO 1 4 49 411½   416 421½ (kenney ryan)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20 8.20  
SCR  BOOSICAL LADY               (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
SCR  TWISTED MISCHIEF               (alvarez sergio)LULL E 118 5.00    
 
TUP-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
See original race card.
:233 :464 1:111 1:231   1:364   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CLUBHOUSE SAINT 2 3 33 2 1nk 11(woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 29% 2.40 0.30 W
HOLY ZAGS 5 4 4 4 55 52(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 23% 3.30 5.90 P
IN THE RED 4 1 23 3 32 34 3(kereluk edward)CRUZ M 122 5.00 3.40  
GUARDING ELK CAMP 3 5 5 54 4 44 4(leon alexis)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 35.10  
GOLDEN GOPHER 1 6 612 6 6 68 5(silva gabrie)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 10.00 21% 3.80 33.80  
LOOPY 6 2 13 1 2nk 2610 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 3.00 9.50  
 
TUP-3   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
See original race card.
:221 :442 :562     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRISONER 3 2 2 22   21 1(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 49% 1.00 0.50 W
HIT THE SEAM 2 1 1 12   11 2(silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00 2.70  
BUGLER 5 6 6 6   36 3(kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 3.50 11% 8.20 12.70 S
ITALIANO 1 4 36 3   445 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.50 11% 7.70 5.50  
MEET JOE 4 5 46 4   55(kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 8.00 41.30  
LIE AND DENY 6 3 5 5   69 67 (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00 7.90  
 
TUP-4   02/19/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
See original race card.
:212 :442       :501   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 3 1 1nk     11(woolley benni)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50 2.90 W
DELTA DELTA 6 3 33     32(toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00 1.70 P
FED GRANT 5 5 5     47 3(lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 12% 7.50 5.30 S
OFF TO THE RACES 4 2 2nk     24(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30 2.50  
HOT ROD JIMMY 2 4 4     57 5(tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00 4.10  
WOLF'S LIFE 1 6 610¾     615 614¾ (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00 57.40  
SCR  BIG BLUE CAT               (esquibel ma)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
 
TUP-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:113 1:241   1:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NYQUILER 7 5 42 4 33 21¼ (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00 1.40  
CHIEFS BLANKET 2 1 11 11 1 12¼ (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 39% 1.60 4.40 P
STREETLIGHT PEOPLE 1 3 32 3 2 33 3(evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50 2.20  
CLASS COMPOUNDS 5 2 21 21 45 411 412½ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00 41.70  
AVIATOR NATION 3 7 710½ 720½ 612 512½ 515½ (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00 5.00  
CHARLIE'S MAN 4 6 6 6 511 618½ 628¼ (alvarez sergi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80 9.50  
PARS AND BIRDIES 6 4 5 54 715 725½ 731¼ (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 8.00 21% 3.70 12.00  
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY               (vitali ma)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
See original race card.
:223 :444 :561     1:014   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BLESSED ANGEL 4 3 1 12   12 1(belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 50% 1.00 1.20 W
ON PURPOSE 1 4 2 22   22 2(cerin vladimir)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 9% 9.70 2.70 P
HOLY TUTTA BELLA 6 1 32 44   48 3(campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 9% 10.60 32.10 S
DORITA'S HAPPY 2 5 42 3   34(hernandez mig)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 19.00  
R SWIRVIN GIRVIN 3 6 65 6   610 5(capestro s)CORBETT W 122 3.50 1.70  
CHIC SAMARAI 5 2 53 54   56(brown jared)RADKE K 124 8.00 8.60  
SCR  SHE'S RESILIENT               (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
 
TUP-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Molly Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
See original race card.
:24 :472 1:104 1:231   1:354   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANKEE DOLLAR 1 4 3 3 33 33 1nk (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 32% 2.10 3.80 W
KYNLIE'S EMPIRE 5 1 2nk 2½ 1nk 1nk 2nk (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 120 6.00 2.10  
PEPPER MILL 4 2 1nk 1½ 2nk 2nk 3(kereluk edw)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20 3.10 S
HALOSNHEAVEN 7 6 6 63 5 44(mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00 15.00  
TIZ A MACHO GIRL 2 3 4 42 4 55 5(evans justin)CRUZ M 120 4.00 15% 5.90 2.30  
BUSKER ALLIE 6 7 7 7 6 610 6(silv)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00 30.70  
DELUSIVELY 3 8 8 85 712½ 714½ 714½ (baze robert)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00 25.40  
FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) 8 5 5 52 812¾ 818 819 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00 13.20  
SCR  LOANA               (hone bart)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
 
TUP-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
See original race card.
:223 :463 :581     1:10   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ELDORADO DREAM 2 6 32 42   11(valerio raymond)AYUSO ARMANDO 124 8.00 2.30  
RED NOON RISING 6 8 8 63   32(rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 58% 0.70 2.30 P
MO CONNELLY 3 5 7 5   234 (johnston kimberle)CRUZ M 124 15.00 9.60  
LILLY CHROME 7 11 1112¼ 11   55 4(wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 20.00 20.40  
DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV 1 9 10 9   85(ferguson )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00 9.40  
10  WORKIN NINETOFIVE 10 4 64 7   66(gutierrez j)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00 11.40  
11  LAWN DART 11 7 9 31   45 7(rojas l)VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00 9.60  
GHOST OF GENEVIEVE 5 2 2½ 2nk   7811¾ (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00 6.70  
WEDDING CHAPEL 9 3 42 8   9911¾ (silva p)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00 59.10  
JUMPING JILL FLASH 8 10 5 10   101014½ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 9% 9.80 13.00  
DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY 4 1 1½ 1nk   1115¼ 1125¼ (moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 12.00 29.90  
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.