Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-1   WIN (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/3)-(5/1/3)-(5/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/3)-(2/5/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/1/3)-(2/5/1)-(3/1/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TUP-2   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(3/1/5)-(5/4/6/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (3/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/5)-(3/1/5)-(3/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/5)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/5)-(5/4/6/7)-(2/6/4/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/4/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7)-(5/4/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/7)-(2/6/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/7)-(2/6/4/5)-(5/1/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-5   WIN (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5)-(2/6/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/6/4/5)-(5/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/4/5)-(5/1/7)-(1/5/2/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-6   WIN (5/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/7)-(5/1/7)-(5/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/7)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/7)-(1/5/2/8)-(6/8/1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
TUP-7   WIN (1/5/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8)-(1/5/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5/2/8)-(6/8/1/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TUP-8   WIN (6/8/1/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/8/1/11/9)-(6/8/1/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/8/1/11/9)-(6/8/1/11/9)-(6/8/1/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-1   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOINTOTHEGOGO         (kenney rya)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by UH OH BANGO out of WITTY BIDDY by SHARP HUMOR)
SCR  TWISTED MISCHIEF         (alvarez sergio)LULL E 118 5.00    
  (by LOTSA MISCHIEF out of MINT TWIST by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
3  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Feb06 Dec04 Nov07 Oct08 Sep14 (zi)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 13% 6.70    
  (by DELHOMME out of LA PROFESORA by WELL INFORMED)
SCR  BOOSICAL LADY Apr29 Apr18 Mar27 Mar07 Jan30 (mccartney j)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 4.00    
  (by BOOS out of FLASHY CARLINE by FLASHY BULL)
5  GODDESS OF WAR Jan31 Dec31 Apr01     (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by ATTA BOY ROY out of AMARIAH GRACE by SKY MESA)
6  SWEET AND EZ Sep17         (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 124 4.50    
  (by EZ EFFORT out of R SWEET ADDICTION by OLD FASHIONED)
 
TUP-2   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN GOPHER Nov18 Nov02 Sep03 Aug24 Aug05 (silva g)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 122 10.00 21% 3.80    
2  CLUBHOUSE SAINT Feb07 Nov21 Nov14 Oct11 Aug24 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 1.60 29% 2.40    
3  GUARDING ELK CAMP Jan30 Dec12 Nov14 Oct22 Apr01 (leon alex)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00    
4  IN THE RED Dec27 Nov25 Aug13 Jul21 Jul03 (kereluk edward)CRUZ M 122 5.00    
5  HOLY ZAGS Jan05 Nov24 Oct23 Jul02 May30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  LOOPY Aug30 Aug22 Aug06 Jul21 Jul03 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 3.00    
 
TUP-3   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ITALIANO Jan29 May06 Mar26 Mar05 Feb12 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 4.50 11% 7.70    
2  HIT THE SEAM Feb06 Nov21 Oct27 Sep30 Sep09 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 2.00    
3  PRISONER Feb01 Dec29 Nov19 Aug18 Jul09 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 2.50 49% 1.00    
4  MEET JOE Sep02 Aug07 May27 Apr14 Mar17 (kenney ryan)RADKE K 124 8.00    
5  BUGLER Jan29 Aug17 Jul22 Jun17 May05 (kenney ryan)CORBETT W 124 3.50 11% 8.20    
6  LIE AND DENY Sep09 Aug13 Jul09 Jan24 Dec22 (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 5.00    
 
TUP-4   02/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WOLF'S LIFE Feb05 Nov24 Nov04 Aug03 Jul02 (torres-casa)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 15.00    
2  HOT ROD JIMMY Jan21 Jan13 Dec26 Feb20 Jan20 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 124 4.00    
SCR  BIG BLUE CAT Oct01 Sep03       (esquibel )KELLENBERGER KODY 124 12.00    
4  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Feb05 Jan18 Nov13 Jun14 May06 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
5  OFF TO THE RACES Jan29 Sep25 Aug23 Jun17 May21 (si)DA FAUSTO 124 3.50 43% 1.30    
6  FED GRANT Sep17 Sep09 Aug20 Aug05   (lucarelli fran)ENRIQUEZ D 124 2.50 12% 7.50    
7  DELTA DELTA Dec07 Nov18 Mar30 Jul02   (toye joe)RADKE K 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-5   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREETLIGHT PEOPLE Jan21 Dec17       (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 4.50    
2  CHIEFS BLANKET Feb05 Dec15 Sep29 Aug24 Aug13 (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 3.50 39% 1.60    
3  AVIATOR NATION Jan12 Dec09 Nov19 Oct22 Aug31 (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 3.00    
4  CHARLIE'S MAN Nov14 Sep15 Aug04 Jun24 Jun04 (alvarez ser)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 5.00 15% 5.80    
5  CLASS COMPOUNDS Dec04 Nov07 Oct25 Oct11 Aug12 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  PARS AND BIRDIES Jan18 Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct18 (ferguson curt)CRUZ M 124 8.00 21% 3.70    
7  NYQUILER Feb05 Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 Sep23 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 5.00    
SCR  YANKEE TEA PARTY Jan29 Sep06 Aug08 Jul11 May16 (vitali )RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ON PURPOSE Jan13 Nov26 Nov17 Nov02 Sep17 (cerin vladim)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 2.50 9% 9.70    
2  DORITA'S HAPPY Jun26 May08 Apr10 Mar20 Feb27 (hernandez m)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00    
3  R SWIRVIN GIRVIN Dec31 Nov25 Oct27 Sep16 Aug27 (capestro paula )CORBETT W 122 3.50    
SCR  SHE'S RESILIENT Dec15 Nov26 Oct27 Sep29 Aug17 (bainum kelly)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00    
5  BLESSED ANGEL Dec08 Nov02 Apr10 Mar27 Mar12 (belvoir van)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.00 50% 1.00    
6  CHIC SAMARAI Feb05 Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 (brown jared)RADKE K 124 8.00    
7  HOLY TUTTA BELLA May06 Apr24 Apr10 Mar18 Jan25 (campo stacy)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 10.00 9% 10.60    
 
TUP-7   02/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Molly Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  YANKEE DOLLAR Dec23 Dec02 Nov18 Oct05 Sep20 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 5.00 32% 2.10    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of RED NECK SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  TIZ A MACHO GIRL Feb01 Jan06 Nov24 Nov03 Aug13 (evans justin)CRUZ M 120 4.00 15% 5.90    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of COURTIZANNA by TIZNOW)
SCR  LOANA Feb18 Nov21 Oct07 Sep04 Aug12 (hone ba)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 120 10.00    
  (by NEOLITHIC out of SARAHLINE by NORTHERN AFLEET)
4  DELUSIVELY Nov24 Apr29 Mar26 Feb11 Jan13 (baze robert)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 120 8.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of NICKSAPPEALINGLADY by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
5  PEPPER MILL Feb01 Dec20 Nov28 Nov13 Oct07 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 31% 2.20    
  (by STRONG MANDATE out of A P PEPPER by A. P. WARRIOR)
6  KYNLIE'S EMPIRE Feb01 Dec11 Nov13 Sep22 Aug25 (eikleberry kevi)CORBETT W 120 6.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of UNDETERRED by MORE THAN READY)
7  BUSKER ALLIE Feb07 Jan13 Dec01 Oct30 Oct23 (si)DA FAUSTO 120 10.00    
  (by GRAZEN out of SHESABRONXBOMBER by AFLEET ALEX)
8  HALOSNHEAVEN Feb01 Dec19 Nov28 Nov06 Sep29 (mcfarlane l)PENA BRYAN 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
9  FINANCIAL ADVICE (FR) Dec30 Nov24 Oct27 Oct07 Sep16 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 6.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of MARACENA by MARJU (IRE))
 
TUP-8   02/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANSMETOTHENDOFLOV Dec19 Dec12 Nov21 Sep27 Sep10 (ferguso)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  ELDORADO DREAM Jan30 Dec12 Nov21 Oct29 Oct11 (valerio raym)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 8.00    
3  MO CONNELLY Dec31 Dec10 Nov26 Nov11 Oct14 (johnston kimber)CRUZ M 124 15.00    
4  DOWNTHESTREETDEBBY Jan29 Sep03 Aug05 Jul17 Jun25 (moreno carlos)RADKE K 124 12.00    
5  GHOST OF GENEVIEVE Feb07 Sep13 Aug30 Aug13 Jul26 (silva a)LOPEZ KARLO 124 6.00    
6  RED NOON RISING Dec30 Dec17 Oct08 Oct02 Sep03 (rosales jorge)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 58% 0.70    
7  LILLY CHROME Nov07 Oct16 Sep11 Aug22 Aug07 (wolf ashlee)CORBETT W 124 20.00    
8  JUMPING JILL FLASH Jan29 Nov21 Oct22 Oct11 Sep27 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 4.50 9% 9.80    
9  WEDDING CHAPEL Jan29 Dec03 Nov22 Nov12 Nov01 (silva juan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
10  WORKIN NINETOFIVE Aug20 Aug13 Aug02 Jul19 Jun21 (gutierrez)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
11  LAWN DART Oct11 Sep25 Aug14 Jul17 Jun26 (rojas murray )VALDES ALEXIS 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.