Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Sunland Park
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race results

 
SUN-1   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
See original race card.
:233 :47 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NO TROUBLE (IRE) 7 3 4¼ 3.2   1½ 13 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 2.50 46% 1.20 0.50 W
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PHILADELPHIA GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
YO SOY ROY 2 7 7 7   42 23 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 121 10.00 16.10  
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUALITY LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
CHASING COYOTES 6 4 2nk 2nk   2½ 3 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 8% 12.10 5.60 S
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
RIGHT IN FRONT 1 5 3.2 4   5 4 (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 4.50 7.20  
  (by COAL FRONT out of OUR ELEANOR by EDITOR'S NOTE)
RED FROST 3 6 6 6   75 57 (long vaughn)HEBERT J 121 15.00 46.70  
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
CASH FOLLOWS ME 5 1 1nk 1nk   3 6 (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00 9.60  
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
LOVESUNFAIR 4 2 5 5   6 7 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 23% 3.30 6.60  
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
SCR  COPPER STATE               (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  DINI DICE               (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
 
SUN-2   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
See original race card.
:484 1:134 1:27   1:394   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT 2 6 6 3½ 12 11 1¾ (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.00 61% 0.60 2.40 W
BURNZ DA BOSS 7 7 7 5 3 21 2¾ (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00 2.50  
LOOKING FOR BULL 8 4 3½ 2nk 4 31 3 (hancock l)CARRENO J 124 15.00 29.90  
DOM WAYNE 5 2 4 42 5 4 4 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00 13.30  
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP 3 5 5 7 7 5 5 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 8% 11.40 1.80  
REVOLT AND RIOT 6 1 2½ 6 6 6 6 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.00  
WILLTOBELUCKY 4 8 8 8 8 89 715½ (marquez l)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 21.20  
GORDY'S RULES 1 3 1½ 1nk 22 77 815¾ (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
SCR  SILVER DADDY               (hudson jeff)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
 
SUN-3   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:124     1:192   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESERTROSE OFTEXAS 6 3 2½ 2nk   2½ 1 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00 10.60  
AWESOME WALKER 3 5 1½ 1nk   1½ 2 (martinez este)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 30% 2.30 2.40 P
SPECIAL PRIDE 1 2 6 6   44 3 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 8.00 14.80  
TIME IS PRECIOUS 5 1 5 4   3 4 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 22% 3.60 1.10  
PASSION BELLE 4 4 42 3   6 5 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00 4.70  
INDIAN EXCELLENCE 2 6 32 5   5 68 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 10% 9.40 4.90  
SCR  SHORT POCKETS               (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 3.50    
 
SUN-4   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
See original race card.
:231 :463 1:121     1:184   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OPEN ROAD 7 4 3½ 3½   1nk 1¼ (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 69% 0.50 0.30 W
MAGIC MOSCO 8 2 4¾ 4¾   3.2 1¼ (green greg)CARRENO J 124 6.00 1.30 DH
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY 1 8 74 6   5 3¼ (alvarez sergi)JUAREZ J 124 10.00 19.30  
10  TW SKIPPING STONES 9 1 5¾ 5   4 4 (story chad)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00 12.60  
MAGIC IS FLYING 4 6 6 7   6 5 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 6% 15.50 4.60  
FLAT FAST 6 3 2nk 1½   2nk 6 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 16.00  
JUST CALL ME KEN 3 9 9 8   7 7 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00 22.20  
TRACK BOUND 2 7 84 9   9 8 (alvare)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00 59.50  
BULLAWAY 5 5 1nk 2½   8 911½ (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 4.00  
SCR  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST               (garrett j)TORRES J 124 8.00    
 
SUN-5   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
See original race card.
:232 :47 1:121     1:183   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRAZEN BOY 7 5 4 3   1½ 1 (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50 2.80  
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 5 2 1½ 1½   2½ 2 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 10.00 15.00  
STOREY'S FURY 8 8 62 43   33 3 (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 6.00 9.00  
STELLA BOY 1 6 9 78   4 4 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 12.00 20.20  
PARS AND BIRDIES 2 9 73 8   55 57 (cappellucci dic)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 29% 2.40 17.40  
OKAY YOU SAY WHEN 3 10 8 910   7 6 (moreno ed)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00 17.30  
SAGA (NZ) 6 4 5 67   66 710½ (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00 29% 2.40 6.10  
10  AHEAD OF TIME KID 9 7 10 1013   1010½ 819 (story chad)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00 82.40  
ATTILA'S ACE 4 1 2½ 56   910 921¼ (rondan je)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 11% 8.30 34.00  
11  BAJA BOOGIE 10 3 31 2½   88 1021¼ (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.50 6% 16.20 1.10  
SCR  ANGEL'S SHADOWS               (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00    
 
SUN-6   01/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:223 :47 :593     1:06   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCHESTER'S FINEST 7 7 8 63   4 1 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.60 45% 1.20 1.20 W
10  PLAYING FIELD 9 5 5 52   2½ 2 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 10.00 21.30  
RIO CUTIE 2 8 6 4   31 3 (gonzalez a)TORRES J 124 10.00 8.10  
AUTISM WARRIOR 1 6 95 74   5 4 (christian billy)CARRENO J 124 12.00 22.40  
D C GUN RUNNER 8 3 4¼ 3½   1½ 5 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 6% 15.80 6.80  
THOUGHTS OF GOLD 6 2 2nk 2nk   6 6 (wheeler trav)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50 11% 7.90 3.80  
ATTILA THE STAR 3 9 73 97   7 712½ (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 16% 5.40 6.80  
D C ALLIED FORCES 4 1 3.2 8   910 821¼ (saucedo rene)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 15.00 43.30  
TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE 5 4 1nk 1nk   89 921¾ (woolley l)TOHILL S 124 12.00 7.70  
SCR  FLAG THE FOOTNOTE               (alamos )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
 
SUN-7   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
See original race card.
:224 :46 :583     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LET HIM BE 2 4 5 6   11 12 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 3.50 36% 1.80 0.80 W
10  DIABOLICAL STORM 10 6 4 41   21 22 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 6.00 3.30  
ALL CHROME 7 11 11 11   7 33 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 10.00 17.90  
DELBERT TOO 6 8 8 9   3 4 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00 55.10  
MASSIVE ROAR 5 5 7 73   6 5 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.50 25% 3.00 6.00  
STORM BAYOU 3 9 9 8   9 6 (story chad)TOHILL S 124 15.00 93.70  
ANTONIOS MARK 1 10 10 105   11 7 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 124 8.00 43.70  
11  NO PASA NADA 11 7 6 5   5 8 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00 72.60  
LARIAT 8 2 2nk 2nk   4 9 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 11% 7.80 6.90  
MAMIE'S LAST HOPE 9 3 3½ 3½   8 109 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00 16.50  
TUCUM 4 1 1nk 1nk   10 1112½ (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00 41.40  
 
SUN-8   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Corralito Steak House Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:221 :452 :581     1:114   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COMMUNITY LEADER 6 3 2 2   2½ 1¼ (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 38% 1.60 0.30 W
  (by DIABOLICAL out of MIDNIGHT SUMMER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
MARKING CANYON 4 5 4 3   3 2¼ (fincher leroy)CARRENO J 121 2.50 9% 9.60 6.40 P
  (by MARKING out of STORMY CANYON by SCATMANDU)
MILK IT 1 2 1 1   1½ 3 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 32% 2.10 2.90 S
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
HOLY BULLET 3 7 67 55   5 4 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00 41.40  
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
EVERYROSEHASATHORN 7 1 33 43   4 5 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00 69.70  
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
AMIGO LOCO 2 6 7 6   612½ 616 (woolley benn)FUENTES A 121 20.00 60.10  
  (by MARKING out of HUBBA HUBBA by ATTILA'S STORM)
HEZEKIAH'S RULE 5 4 56 710½   722½ 736½ (marr h)TOHILL S 121 4.00 12.50  
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of RULES LIKE A GIRL by ROMAN RULER)
SCR  REYNALDO P.               (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of CONQUEST FLATTERME by FLATTER)
 
SUN-9   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST LaSenora Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:54
See original race card.
:224 :463 :591     1:113   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER 8 1 31 11   13 1 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00 17% 5.00 1.70 W
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
MARK THE WINNER 4 2 42 4   23 2 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 2.00 41% 1.40 1.10 P
  (by MARKING out of UNOFFICIAL WINNER by ATTILA'S STORM)
MAKE UP A STORY 7 9 75 6   3 3 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50 4.90  
  (by MARKING out of HOLIDAY HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
STREET MARK 6 6 6 5   45 4 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00 49.60  
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
HONKY TONK HONEY 9 8 8 74   66 511¼ (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00 26.20  
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of LA RITA by CHIMES BAND)
MARK IT DOWN 1 4 1nk 21   5 612¼ (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 121 4.50 8.00  
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
WILDCAT REESE 5 5 9 96   79 715 (barton )FUENTES T 121 15.00 13% 6.90 27.10  
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of SHINESTEIN by PREMEDITATION)
EMPRESS IN FRONT 3 7 53 85   810 817¼ (martinez a)TORRES J 121 20.00 38.40  
  (by HESINFRONT out of GRATIFYING by BODEMEISTER)
KOMFORT KID 2 3 2nk 31   913 922¼ (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00 53.50  
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

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