Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Thursday - January 18, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (9/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/6/8)-(9/6/8/7) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
    TRI (9/6/8)-(9/6/8/7)-(9/6/8/7) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (9/6/8)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-2   WIN (3/4/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1)-(3/4/7/1) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
    DD (3/4/7/1)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/1)-(4/6/3)-(8/4/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
SUN-4   WIN (8/4/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/10)-(8/4/9/6/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/10)-(8/4/9/6/10)-(8/4/9/6/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-5   WIN (6/2/4/11/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/11/3)-(6/2/4/11/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/11/3)-(6/2/4/11/3)-(6/2/4/11/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
SUN-6   WIN (8/3/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/7/9)-(8/3/7/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (8/3/7/9)-(8/3/7/9/6)-(8/3/7/9/6) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-7   WIN (2/5/8/4/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/5/8/4/6)-(2/5/8/4/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/5/8/4/6)-(2/5/8/4/6)-(2/5/8/4/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
    PK3 (2/5/8/4/6)-(7/1/5)-(4/8/5/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
SUN-8   WIN (7/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/1/5)-(7/1/5/6)-(7/1/5/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (7/1/5)-(4/8/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
SUN-9   WIN (4/8/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/1/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/8/5/9)-(4/8/5/1/9)-(4/8/5/1/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($28K) 3 ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COPPER STATE Dec13 Nov04       (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 121 15.00    
  (by COPPER BULLET out of MODIFY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
SCR  DINI DICE Jan05 Dec11       (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00    
  (by CALEB'S POSSE out of MUSADAQA by BERNARDINI)
RIGHT IN FRONT Dec03 Oct28 Sep04     (chadborn k)JAIME R 121 4.50    
  (by COAL FRONT out of OUR ELEANOR by EDITOR'S NOTE)
YO SOY ROY Dec12 Nov06       (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 121 10.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of QUALITY LANE by QUALITY ROAD)
RED FROST Dec11 Jul30       (long vaughn)HEBERT J 121 15.00    
  (by FROSTED out of BODEE BEAUTIFUL by BODEMEISTER)
LOVESUNFAIR Jan05 Dec11 Nov06     (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 4.00 23% 3.30    
  (by UNIFIED out of LOVE AFFAIR by KNIGHT)
CASH FOLLOWS ME Dec11         (marr jo)FUENTES T 121 5.00    
  (by SPORTING CHANCE out of FAST GATOR by DIABOLICAL)
CHASING COYOTES Dec11         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 121 8.00 8% 12.10    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UTANA by CURLIN)
NO TROUBLE (IRE) Dec11 Aug27       (marr h)TOHILL S 121 2.50 46% 1.20    
  (by WORLD OF TROUBLE out of PHILADELPHIA GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
 
SUN-2   01/18/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GORDY'S RULES Nov21 Oct27 Oct04 Aug14 May28 (barrios bernadette)TORRES J 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SILVER DADDY Nov21 Oct15 Sep17 Jul08 May06 (hudson jeff)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
SURPRSINGLYPERFECT Dec18 Nov21 Oct29 Oct07 Sep01 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 2.00 61% 0.60    
RAISEBEFORETHEFLOP Dec18 Oct22 Oct04 Sep04 Jun18 (gonzalez jo)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 8% 11.40    
WILLTOBELUCKY Dec18 Nov28 Oct25 Oct11 Sep10 (marquez jose)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 10.00    
DOM WAYNE Dec20 Oct25 Sep30 Sep15 Jul16 (gonzalez andres)MEDELLIN A 124 8.00    
REVOLT AND RIOT Sep30 Sep15 Sep03 Jun11 Feb28 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
BURNZ DA BOSS Jan11 Dec18 Nov20 Jun23 Apr23 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00    
LOOKING FOR BULL Oct28 Aug04 Jun18 Apr02 Mar28 (hancock l)HEBERT J 124 15.00    
 
SUN-3   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.1K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SPECIAL PRIDE Dec05 Sep20 Aug04 Mar21 Feb12 (marr h)TOHILL S 124 8.00    
SCR  SHORT POCKETS Jan05 Dec18 Dec05 Nov13 Oct14 (cappellucci dick)VALDEZ S 124 3.50    
INDIAN EXCELLENCE Dec05 Nov13 Oct06 Aug04 Jul14 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 6.00 10% 9.40    
AWESOME WALKER Dec05 Nov13 Feb19 Jan01 Dec20 (martinez este)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
PASSION BELLE Nov27 Nov07 Oct08 Jul14 Jun24 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 4.00    
TIME IS PRECIOUS Jan11 Dec05 Nov13 Aug05 May07 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 6.00 22% 3.60    
DESERTROSE OFTEXAS Dec05 Nov21 Nov13 Sep10 Aug26 (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 5.00    
 
SUN-4   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUSHOLIDAY Nov21 Oct21 Sep23 Jul28 Jul15 (alvarez)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 10.00    
TRACK BOUND Nov21 Apr02 Mar11 Mar04 Feb14 (alvare)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 20.00    
JUST CALL ME KEN Dec11 Oct15 Sep24 Aug26 Jul09 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 12.00    
MAGIC IS FLYING Nov13 Oct21 Sep30 Apr29 Apr02 (armstrong s)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 3.50 6% 15.50    
SCR  ROCKYMOUNTAINTWIST Dec18 Nov21 Sep04 Aug14 Jul29 (garrett j)TORRES J 124 8.00    
BULLAWAY Nov13 Oct22 Oct06 Sep09 Jul30 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00    
FLAT FAST Nov21 Oct29 Sep20 Sep09 Aug20 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00    
OPEN ROAD Dec11 Oct22 Sep02 Jul30 Jun16 (valdez-cabral m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.00 69% 0.50    
MAGIC MOSCO Dec18 Nov21 Oct29 Oct07 Sep09 (green greg)CARRENO J 124 6.00    
10  TW SKIPPING STONES Sep02 Aug05 Jul15 Aug13 Aug01 (story chad)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   01/18/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STELLA BOY Dec18 Oct25 Oct06 Aug26 Jul22 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 12.00    
PARS AND BIRDIES Dec20 Dec04 Nov07 Oct18 Sep15 (cappellucci dic)LOPEZ KARLO 124 10.00 29% 2.40    
OKAY YOU SAY WHEN Dec20 Dec05       (moreno ed)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
ATTILA'S ACE Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Aug20 Jul30 (rondan je)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00 11% 8.30    
NORTHERN COCKTAIL Nov13 Jun14 May06 Apr17 Apr05 (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 10.00    
SAGA (NZ) Dec18 Dec04 Nov07 Oct11 Aug27 (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 5.00 29% 2.40    
SCR  ANGEL'S SHADOWS Nov13 Aug27 Aug13 Jul23   (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 20.00    
GRAZEN BOY Dec16 Dec01 Nov05 Oct20   (gonzalez sal)MEDELLIN A 121 3.50    
STOREY'S FURY Jan05 Dec20       (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
10  AHEAD OF TIME KID Jan05 Oct14       (story chad)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00    
11  BAJA BOOGIE Jan05 Dec18 Sep21 Sep06 Jun23 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 4.50 6% 16.20    
 
SUN-6   01/18/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUTISM WARRIOR Dec18 Nov21 Oct15 Sep04 Aug26 (christian billy)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
RIO CUTIE Oct21 Oct13 Sep14 Apr16 Feb28 (gonzalez jos)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 10.00    
ATTILA THE STAR Oct15 Sep03 May13 May06 Apr16 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00 16% 5.40    
D C ALLIED FORCES Oct27 Sep23 Sep03 Jul22 Jun16 (saucedo rene)MARQUEZ LARRY 124 15.00    
SCR  FLAG THE FOOTNOTE Dec11 Oct22 Jul23 Jun25 Mar14 (alamos )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 15.00    
TIZ'A STELLAR DUDE Dec11 Oct14 Sep23 Jul16 Jun25 (woolley l)TOHILL S 124 12.00    
THOUGHTS OF GOLD Dec19 Nov06 Oct15 Sep23 Aug21 (wheeler trav)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 4.50 11% 7.90    
ROCHESTER'S FINEST Dec05 Oct15 Sep24 Aug21 Jul15 (rust terri)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 1.60 45% 1.20    
D C GUN RUNNER Dec20 Dec11 Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 (saucedo rene)MEDELLIN A 124 5.00 6% 15.80    
10  PLAYING FIELD Dec18 Apr02 Feb21 Jan10 Oct31 (hudson)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 124 10.00    
 
SUN-7   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTONIOS MARK Dec18 Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Mar26 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 124 8.00    
LET HIM BE Nov27 Nov06 Oct07 Aug18 Jul09 (marr jo)FUENTES T 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
STORM BAYOU Aug26 Jun11 May20 Apr22 Feb12 (story chad)TOHILL S 124 15.00    
TUCUM Dec12 Nov27 Nov06 Sep16 Aug04 (buechler s)RODRIGUEZ H 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
MASSIVE ROAR Nov27 Nov06 Apr22 Apr08 Mar12 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 124 4.50 25% 3.00    
DELBERT TOO Dec18 Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 Jun24 (quiroz filiberto)MEDELLIN A 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
ALL CHROME Nov27 Nov06 Jun11 May20 Apr22 (baldwin lynette)HEBERT J 124 10.00    
LARIAT Dec18 Nov06 Feb21 Jan15 Oct30 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 124 4.00 11% 7.80    
MAMIE'S LAST HOPE Nov27 Nov07 Oct18 Sep24 Sep13 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 12.00    
10  DIABOLICAL STORM Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep16 Jul22 (fincher w)VERGARA P 124 6.00    
11  NO PASA NADA Dec18 Nov27 Oct29 Sep16 Jul22 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
 
SUN-8   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Corralito Steak House Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MILK IT Nov27 Oct15 Sep24     (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of CAMPFIRE PARTY by FOREST DANGER)
AMIGO LOCO Nov27 Jun25 Jun09     (woolley benn)FUENTES A 121 20.00    
  (by MARKING out of HUBBA HUBBA by ATTILA'S STORM)
SCR  REYNALDO P. Dec20 Dec04       (quiroz )VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 20.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of CONQUEST FLATTERME by FLATTER)
HOLY BULLET Dec18 Nov13 Sep04 Aug20 Aug05 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
  (by MARKING out of CRAFTY CONTESSA by GIACOMO)
MARKING CANYON Dec04 Nov13       (fincher leroy)CARRENO J 121 2.50 9% 9.60    
  (by MARKING out of STORMY CANYON by SCATMANDU)
HEZEKIAH'S RULE Nov27 Nov13 Sep04     (marr h)TOHILL S 121 4.00    
  (by CONQUEST MO MONEY out of RULES LIKE A GIRL by ROMAN RULER)
COMMUNITY LEADER Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 2.00 38% 1.60    
  (by DIABOLICAL out of MIDNIGHT SUMMER by MIDNIGHT LUTE)
EVERYROSEHASATHORN Nov27 Sep20 Aug19 Jul21 Jun25 (green greg)MEDELLIN A 121 20.00    
  (by SHAME ON CHARLIE out of POISED BY DESIGN by MONTBROOK)
 
SUN-9   01/18/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST LaSenora Purse ($100K) 3 F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MARK IT DOWN Dec12 Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 (barton dallas)JUAREZ J 121 4.50    
  (by MARKING out of LADY GENIUS by QUINTON'S GOLD)
KOMFORT KID Jan05 Dec19 Dec05 Oct11 Aug05 (quiroz)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
  (by COMFORT out of CARNIVAL KID by BROKEN VOW)
EMPRESS IN FRONT Dec20 Dec05 Nov13     (martinez a)TORRES J 121 20.00    
  (by HESINFRONT out of GRATIFYING by BODEMEISTER)
MARK THE WINNER Nov27 Nov06 Aug06 Jul21 Jun23 (buechler sim)FUENTES A 121 2.00 41% 1.40    
  (by MARKING out of UNOFFICIAL WINNER by ATTILA'S STORM)
WILDCAT REESE Dec05 Nov13       (barton )FUENTES T 121 15.00 13% 6.90    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of SHINESTEIN by PREMEDITATION)
STREET MARK Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug19 Aug05 (cappell)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
  (by MARKING out of SOPHRONIA by STREET SENSE)
MAKE UP A STORY Nov27 Oct15 Sep24 Aug06 Jul21 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 121 3.50    
  (by MARKING out of HOLIDAY HEAT by SOUTHWESTERN HEAT)
PAYINGOFFMYMARKER Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep24 Sep01 (fincher w)HEBERT J 121 3.00 17% 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of DOMESDAY GAL by DOME)
HONKY TONK HONEY Dec19         (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KENTUCKY WILDCAT out of LA RITA by CHIMES BAND)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.