Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Turf Paradise
Monday - February 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-4   WIN (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  4 $7.00 $1.00 17%
Simulator Race results
 
TUP-2   02/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 2 1 2½     1½ 12 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 3.50 3.60  
5  SEE YOU AT THE TOP 4 4 46     32½ 22 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 26% 2.90 1.10 P
1  DAHLIA'S DANCER 1 2 1½     2½ 32¼ (barraza raf)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.20 S
3  ROSES FOR SUZZETT 3 3 35½     47 48¾ (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
SCR  ZIPPIN PIPPIN               (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 117 1.00    
 
TUP-3   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:11 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PAID IN FULL 4 1 1½ 11½ 11½ 13½ 16¾ (diodoro)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 1.80  
5  CONRAD THE RED 5 5 52½ 21½ 21½ 23½ 26¾ (si)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 60% 0.70 0.40 P
3  HEARTBREAK KID 3 2 31 52¼ 48 314½ 324¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00 S
2  WESTERBERG 2 4 2½ 42 59½ 515 425½ (alvarez se)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.50 7.40  
1  JOHN'S KID 1 3 41½ 31½ 37½ 415 526¾ (silva j)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60 17.40  
 
TUP-4   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  CHIC SAMARAI 4 1 31½ 43   41 1¼ (brown jared)RADKE K 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.50 W
3  AMARETTO DI AMORE 3 2 21 21   3½ 2¼ (lund valori)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 4.90  
2  WON SASSY RIDE 2 4 51¾ 32   2nk 31¼ (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 20% 4.10 8.60 S
5  MINEDANDREFINED 5 3 41½ 54½   53½ 44½ (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.60 0.50  
1  ACES OVER DEUCES 1 5 11 11   1nk 54¾ (villamar ca)MORALES ROBERTO 116 4.00 10% 9.10 16.40  
 
TUP-5   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:223 :451 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GODSEND (GB) 3 1 1½ 12   12½ 14 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.50 W
1  QUALITY RAGS 1 5 53 42¼   22½ 24 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 2.10  
2  CHIEFS BLANKET 2 4 31 32   35½ 314¼ (evans justi)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
5  DAVID'S FAITH 5 2 41 55¼   512½ 419¾ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 19.00  
4  GOALINE 4 3 2½ 22   48 520¼ (belvoir v)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 20% 4.00 6.40  
 
TUP-6   02/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEENS EFFORT 1 1 1½ 11½   11½ 11¼ (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 20.00  
2  NYQUILER 2 3 2½ 21½   21½ 21¼ (silva-martinez a)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 4.30  
4  NORTHERN COCKTAIL 4 6 43 33   31½ 33¾ (woolley ben)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10 S
6  SEA BREEZE BOY 6 4 54 57   510 48¾ (chambers mike)RADKE K 124 2.00 1.80  
3  COUNTRY BOY 3 2 32 45½   48½ 59¼ (silva l)REYES R 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
5  WOLF'S LIFE 5 5 65½ 68   616 618 (torres-casa)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
 
TUP-7   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:102 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 4 1 21½ 21½ 21½ 21 1¼ (story chad)CORBETT W 124 5.00 2.40  
3  IL CAPITANO (GB) 3 2 11½ 11½ 11½ 11 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 11% 8.30 8.00 P
1  CREATIVE WAY 1 4 53½ 31½ 34 33½ 35½ (capestro pa)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 S
5  SANTALUZ DREAMIN 5 3 33 52½ 46 45½ 47¾ (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 37% 1.70 4.20  
2  TONE FEELIN 2 6 43½ 42 57½ 56 58 (cappellucci dic)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 3.00  
6  KIRBY DERBY 6 5 65½ 64½ 613 611½ 614½ (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 6.50  
 
TUP-8   02/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:221 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  JAIME'S COMMITMENT 5 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (bainum kelly)BRAVO MAIKEL 124 3.50 55% 0.80 1.60 W
2  SCOPELLO 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2nk (mcfarlane dan)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 4.90  
1  DRISKILL 1 5 41¼ 42½   44 33½ (barraza ra)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30 S
8  NOTACRY 7 6 31 31   32½ 44 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 4.70  
6  B R KIDD ROCK 6 3 77¼ 78   57½ 57½ (dennison d)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 13% 6.80 2.30  
3  SHINING TIGER 3 7 65¼ 67   712 612½ (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
4  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY 4 4 52¾ 54½   69½ 712¾ (homer jason)RADKE K 124 12.00 33.20  
SCR  RANTANEN               (fales mat)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.