The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 2 1 0 $9.20 -6.00
TUP-3   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.60 -6.00
TUP-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $7.00 $7.00 1.00
TUP-5   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 1 $3.00 $3.00 -3.00
TUP-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 0 $42.00 -6.00
TUP-7   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $6.80 -6.00
TUP-8   Win (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 5 1 1 $5.20 $5.20 -2.80

Simulator Race results

 
TUP-2   02/05/2024 2970ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
See original race card.
:23 :46       :521   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 2 1 2½     1½ 12 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 3.50 3.60  
SEE YOU AT THE TOP 4 4 46     322 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 26% 2.90 1.10 P
DAHLIA'S DANCER 1 2 1½     2½ 3(barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 36% 1.80 2.20 S
ROSES FOR SUZZETT 3 3 3     47 4(torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.60  
SCR  ZIPPIN PIPPIN               (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 1.00    
 
TUP-3   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:11 1:231   1:351   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAID IN FULL 4 1 1½ 1 1 11(diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60 1.80  
CONRAD THE RED 5 5 5 2 2 22(silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 60% 0.70 0.40 P
HEARTBREAK KID 3 2 31 5 48 314½ 324¼ (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00 14.00 S
WESTERBERG 2 4 2½ 42 5 515 425½ (alvarez serg)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.50 7.40  
JOHN'S KID 1 3 4 3 3 415 526¾ (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60 17.40  
 
TUP-4   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
See original race card.
:222 :45 :574     1:11   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CHIC SAMARAI 4 1 3 43   41 1¼ (brown jared)RADKE K 122 3.00 32% 2.10 2.50 W
AMARETTO DI AMORE 3 2 21 21   3½ 2¼ (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50 4.90  
WON SASSY RIDE 2 4 5 32   2nk 3(homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 20% 4.10 8.60 S
MINEDANDREFINED 5 3 4 5   54(evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.60 0.50  
ACES OVER DEUCES 1 5 11 11   1nk 5(villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 116 4.00 10% 9.10 16.40  
 
TUP-5   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
See original race card.
:223 :451 :564     1:082   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GODSEND (GB) 3 1 1½ 12   114 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.50 W
QUALITY RAGS 1 5 53 4   224 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00 2.10  
CHIEFS BLANKET 2 4 31 32   3314¼ (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 5% 19.00 7.10 S
DAVID'S FAITH 5 2 41 5   512½ 419¾ (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00 19.00  
GOALINE 4 3 2½ 22   48 520¼ (belvoir van)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 20% 4.00 6.40  
 
TUP-6   02/05/2024 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 :57     1:032   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS EFFORT 1 1 1½ 1   11(gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00 20.00  
NYQUILER 2 3 2½ 2   22(silva-martinez ale)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 4.30  
NORTHERN COCKTAIL 4 6 43 33   33(woolley benni)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.50 51% 1.00 2.10 S
SEA BREEZE BOY 6 4 54 57   510 4(chambers mike)RADKE K 124 2.00 1.80  
COUNTRY BOY 3 2 32 4   45(silva l)REYES R 124 4.00 22% 3.50 2.10  
WOLF'S LIFE 5 5 6 68   616 618 (torres-casas )MORALES ALLYSSA 124 10.00 5% 19.00 21.20  
 
TUP-7   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:102 1:23   1:352   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT 4 1 2 2 2 21 1¼ (story chad)CORBETT W 124 5.00 2.40  
IL CAPITANO (GB) 3 2 1 1 1 11 2¼ (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 11% 8.30 8.00 P
CREATIVE WAY 1 4 5 3 34 33(capestro paul)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 24% 3.20 2.40 S
SANTALUZ DREAMIN 5 3 33 5 46 44(crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 37% 1.70 4.20  
TONE FEELIN 2 6 4 42 5 56 58 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50 3.00  
KIRBY DERBY 6 5 6 6 613 611½ 614½ (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50 6.50  
 
TUP-8   02/05/2024 3300ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
See original race card.
:221 :444       :571   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAIME'S COMMITMENT 5 2 2nk 2nk   1nk 1nk (bainum kelly)BRAVO MAIKEL 124 3.50 55% 0.80 1.60 W
SCOPELLO 2 1 1nk 1nk   2nk 2nk (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00 4.90  
DRISKILL 1 5 4 4   44 3(barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 5% 19.00 7.30 S
NOTACRY 7 6 31 31   344 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00 4.70  
B R KIDD ROCK 6 3 7 78   55(dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 13% 6.80 2.30  
SHINING TIGER 3 7 6 67   712 612½ (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00 9.20  
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY 4 4 5 5   6712¾ (homer jason)RADKE K 124 12.00 33.20  
SCR  RANTANEN               (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.