Handicappers' Racing Form

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Turf Paradise
Monday - February 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

TUP-2   Win (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-3   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-4   Win (4/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (3/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-6   Win (4/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-7   Win (5/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-8   Win (5/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
TUP-2   02/05/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($13.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DAHLIA'S DANCER Sep15 Aug07 Jul16 Jun24 Feb15 (barraza rafae)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Oct21 Sep30 Sep17 Sep02 Aug26 (williams dewey)LULL E 122 3.50    
ROSES FOR SUZZETT Jan12 Nov13 Oct18 Sep23 Sep07 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ZIPPIN PIPPIN Dec11 Nov10 Oct31 Oct17 Sep05 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 117 1.00    
SEE YOU AT THE TOP Jan12 Dec05 Oct18 Oct01 Sep15 (silv)DA FAUSTO 122 6.00 26% 2.90    
 
TUP-3   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:36
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOHN'S KID Jan25 Dec11 Dec03 Nov21 Nov13 (silva jua)BRAVO MISAEL 119 6.00 13% 6.60    
WESTERBERG Nov14 Oct13 Aug12 Aug04 Jun24 (alvarez serg)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 2.50    
HEARTBREAK KID Jan12 Nov05 Oct08 Sep04 Jul30 (evans justin)NEGRON LUIS 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
PAID IN FULL Nov18 Oct14 Sep07 Jul31 Jul07 (diodoro r)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 124 1.60    
CONRAD THE RED Dec12 Dec06 Nov10 Jun21 May30 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 2.00 60% 0.70    
 
TUP-4   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:04
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ACES OVER DEUCES Nov28 Sep10 Jul08 May06 Apr15 (villamar cand)MORALES ROBERTO 116 4.00 10% 9.10    
WON SASSY RIDE Dec19 Dec04 Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 (homer jason)PENA BRYAN 122 5.00 20% 4.10    
AMARETTO DI AMORE Jan07 Dec30 Nov24 Oct06 Sep03 (lund valorie)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
CHIC SAMARAI Jan07 Nov12 Oct28 Sep23 Sep02 (brown jared)RADKE K 122 3.00 32% 2.10    
MINEDANDREFINED Oct08 Aug17 Jul22 Jul01 Jun04 (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 1.60    
 
TUP-5   02/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:32
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUALITY RAGS         (story chad)CORBETT W 124 3.00    
CHIEFS BLANKET Dec15 Sep29 Aug24 Aug13 Jun24 (evans justin)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 5.00 5% 19.00    
GODSEND (GB) Jan13 Aug11 Jul04 Jan30   (evans justin)CONTRERAS LUIS 124 1.40 52% 0.90    
GOALINE         (belvoir van)VALENZUELA A 124 2.00 20% 4.00    
DAVID'S FAITH Nov13         (lund valorie)LOPEZ KARLO 118 6.00    
 
TUP-6   02/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
QUEENS EFFORT Dec18 Oct14 Sep09     (gleason m)LOPEZ KARLO 124 12.00    
NYQUILER Dec29 Dec09 Nov10 Sep23 Sep04 (silva-martinez ale)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50    
COUNTRY BOY Dec26 Nov23 Nov04 Sep25 Jun02 (silva l)REYES R 124 4.00 22% 3.50    
NORTHERN COCKTAIL Jan18 Nov13 Jun14 May06 Apr17 (woolley benni)ARREOLA ALBERTO 124 3.50 51% 1.00    
WOLF'S LIFE Nov24 Nov04 Aug03 Jul02 Jun16 (torres-casas )MORALES ROBERTO 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SEA BREEZE BOY Dec30 Nov19 Sep23 Sep04   (chambers mike)RADKE K 124 2.00    
 
TUP-7   02/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CREATIVE WAY Dec15 Nov10 Oct14 Sep20 Aug05 (capestro paul)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 2.50 24% 3.20    
TONE FEELIN Nov28 Nov07 Aug19 Jul21 Jun18 (cappellucci dick)NEGRON LUIS 122 3.50    
IL CAPITANO (GB) Jan13 Dec26 Dec02 Nov12 Oct14 (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 122 3.00 11% 8.30    
LETTHERAINSETTLEIT Jan11 Nov21 Oct29 Oct13 Sep11 (story chad)CORBETT W 124 5.00    
SANTALUZ DREAMIN Dec04 Nov13 Oct06 May13 Apr25 (crotts jame)VALENZUELA A 122 4.00 37% 1.70    
KIRBY DERBY Jan11 Nov28 Nov07 Oct29 Oct06 (woolley l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.50    
 
TUP-8   02/05/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($16K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:56
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DRISKILL Jul02 Jun17 Aug20 May22 Apr29 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
SCOPELLO Dec18 Dec04 Nov13 Sep09 Aug28 (mcfarlane l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 5.00    
SHINING TIGER Sep17 Jul28       (caraman michael)NEGRON LUIS 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Jan11 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct20 (homer jason)RADKE K 124 12.00    
JAIME'S COMMITMENT Jan21 Dec26 Dec09 Nov04 Sep25 (bainum kelly)MONROY FRANCISCO 124 3.50 55% 0.80    
B R KIDD ROCK Jan19 Dec20 Nov07 Sep20 Aug18 (dennison dan)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 6.00 13% 6.80    
SCR  RANTANEN Feb11 May01 Mar25     (fales matt)VALENZUELA A 124 8.00    
NOTACRY Jul09 Jun10 Mar27 Jan30 Jan11 (kenney ryan)PENA BRYAN 124 3.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.