Handicappers' Race Results
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Elko County Fair
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
ELK-2   Win (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 6 1 0 $7.60  
ELK-3   Win (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $11.60  
ELK-6   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.60 $4.60  
ELK-8   Win (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 0 $5.60  
ELK-9   Win (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 1 1 0 $7.20  
ELK-10   Win (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 3 1 1 $3.80 $3.80  
Simulator Race results
 
ELK-2   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MONTUCKY 5 5 58½ 59   51¼ 1nk (butterfield kr)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00 2.80  
5  SUNDAY FUNDAY 4 4 47 48   1nk 2nk (butterf)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 2.00 35% 1.90 2.80 P
1  ZACANGO PRIDE 1 1 1½ 1nk   4¾ 3½ (guadarrama oma)MORENO T 119 6.00 5.10 DH
4  BOLD BREAK 3 3 36½ 37   3.2 3½ (mckinney kyndra)BURNEY ROBERT 119 4.00 5.00 DH
2  JUST N JACK 2 2 2½ 2nk   2nk 52 (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 122 2.50 41% 1.40 1.30  
SCR  GREAT BOOK               (guadarrama oma)MORENO T 122 10.00    
 
ELK-3   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
See original race card.
1:142         1:142   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  ALLISON'S SURPRISE 2 1 33½ 35½   31½ 11 (mitchell r)CORTEZ LUIS 125 6.00 4.80  
4  TRIBAL LEADER 4 2 2½ 1½   1nk 21 (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 10.00 3.60  
1  MIDNIGHT DARE 1 3 1½ 2½   2nk 33¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00 22% 3.50 2.90 S
5  RUNAWAY ANNIE 5 5 57 511   44½ 414¼ (dominguez jose)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 2.00 39% 1.60 2.30  
3  DEELITEFUL LIZZY 3 4 45½ 49½   59½ 585½ (jensen mark)KELLENBERGER KODY 125 8.00 2.00  
 
ELK-6   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  BET ON DAD 4 6 33 34½   11 16¾ (carter ronald )AGUILAR DANIEL 125 1.60 36% 1.80 1.30 W
2  PRINCESS AMANDA 2 1 2nk 13   21 26¾ (dominguez joseph )CORTEZ LUIS 122 4.50 5.40  
3  OUR HONEY BUNNY 3 5 66 69   34 37¾ (scudder ric)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 6% 16.00 9.30 S
6  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 6 3 43½ 47½   56 49 (williams dewey)BURNEY ROBERT 122 4.00 30% 2.30 4.20  
7  SOUTHRN SWEETHEART 7 4 55½ 58   68 511¾ (simpson)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 10.00 5.10  
1  LEAPSTER 1 2 1nk 23   45 612½ (scudder mike)DEL RICARDO 122 6.00 12.20  
5  W. WHITEHOUSE 5 7 78½ 711   712 718 (domingue)CAMACHO SOLIS 125 3.50 5.10  
 
ELK-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE 4 1 12 13   12½ 12¼ (jensen jare)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 1.60 1.80  
1  BIRDEAUX 1 2 22 23   22½ 22¼ (mckinne)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 2.50 14% 6.30 7.40 P
2  TRICKY MOM 2 5 58½ 48   36½ 38 (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 125 4.50 20% 3.90 3.90 S
6  CLIPPERVILE GIRL 6 4 45½ 59½   510½ 48¼ (scudder mike)DEL RICARDO 125 2.00 36% 1.80 6.00  
7  WATERFALL 7 3 33½ 35   48½ 59¾ (crystal dustie)ACEVES E 125 6.00 6.90  
3  SNOW HILL 3 6 69½ 611½   613½ 612¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00 5.50  
5  BELLAS KITTY 5 7 711½ 714½   715½ 714½ (amezcua ruben)CORTEZ LUIS 125 8.00 4.90  
 
ELK-9   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
1:112         1:112   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR GS SWEETIE 1 2 11 1½   12 1½ (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00 2.60  
3  SNICKEL TE 3 4 43 42   22 2½ (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 8.00 12% 7.30 4.50 P
2  NAP TIME 2 1 21 2½   32½ 32½ (luna ceasar)CORTEZ LUIS 124 10.00 3.70  
4  COME CORRECT 4 5 58 57   44½ 45¾ (williams dewey)JAMES JARELL 124 6.00 2.00  
5  SILK ROAD SALLY 5 3 31½ 31   58½ 511½ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 2.00 50% 1.00 2.60  
 
ELK-10   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
1:062         1:062   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  AGENT GIBBS 2 1 11 11   12 14 (mckinne)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.00 35% 1.90 0.90 W
5  MO GEE 4 4 21 21   22 24 (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 8.00 4.00  
4  MUSKET POWDER 3 3 34 33   33½ 34¼ (scudder mike)DEL RICARDO 124 4.00 2.20  
2  WILLY B 1 2 46 47   46½ 48½ (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 124 6.00 33% 2.00 3.20  
SCR  UNCLE FLOYD               (williams dewey)BURNEY ROBERT 124 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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