Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Elko County Fair
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ELK-2   WIN (2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/5)-(2/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    DD (2/5)-(5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
ELK-3   WIN (5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/1)-(5/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
ELK-6   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-8   WIN (6/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/1)-(6/2/1)-(6/2/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
ELK-9   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    DD (5/3)-(3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
ELK-10   WIN (3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/2)-(3/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ELK-2   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 2 ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZACANGO PRIDE Jul09         (guadarrama o)MORENO T 119 6.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of SILVER SAILS by SAIL ME AGAIN)
2  JUST N JACK Jul29         (scudder mike)GAMEZ M 122 2.50 41% 1.40    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SUPPORT by ARCH)
SCR  GREAT BOOK         (guadarrama o)MORENO T 122 10.00    
  (by NORTHERN CAUSEWAY out of HOLY SCRIPT by HOLY BULL)
4  BOLD BREAK         (mckinney kynd)BURNEY ROBERT 119 4.00    
  (by PASS THE BUCK out of BREAKINTHECLOUDS by BROKEN VOW)
5  SUNDAY FUNDAY         (butte)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 2.00 35% 1.90    
  (by PROTONICO out of FLYING COLORS by TEOFILO)
6  MONTUCKY Aug27         (butterfield )AGUILAR DANIEL 122 8.00    
  (by PROTONICO out of ROCKHARD LADY by ROCK HARD TEN)
 
ELK-3   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($3.5K) Purse ($5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT DARE Aug19 Jul01 Jun11 May21 Apr30 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  ALLISON'S SURPRISE Aug19 Jul08 Jun24 Jun11 Oct01 (mitchell chris )CORTEZ LUIS 125 6.00    
3  DEELITEFUL LIZZY Feb27 Jan30 Dec22 Mar11 Feb11 (jensen ma)KELLENBERGER KODY 125 8.00    
4  TRIBAL LEADER Aug06         (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 10.00    
5  RUNAWAY ANNIE Aug19 Dec26       (dominguez jo)AGUILAR DANIEL 122 2.00 39% 1.60    
 
ELK-6   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEAPSTER Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul22 Jul02 (scudder mik)DEL RICARDO 122 6.00    
2  PRINCESS AMANDA Jul08 Jun18 Jul11     (dominguez josep)CORTEZ LUIS 122 4.50    
3  OUR HONEY BUNNY Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 Jul01 Jun11 (scudder r)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 8.00 6% 16.00    
4  BET ON DAD Aug26 May05 Mar19 Mar01 Feb06 (carter ronal)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 1.60 36% 1.80    
5  W. WHITEHOUSE Aug18 Apr04 Mar19 Mar13 Feb26 (doming)CAMACHO SOLIS 125 3.50    
6  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA Aug26 Aug05 Jul30 Jul16 Apr18 (williams dewe)BURNEY ROBERT 122 4.00 30% 2.30    
7  SOUTHRN SWEETHEART Jul30 Jul01 Jun10 Sep04 Aug27 (simps)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 10.00    
 
ELK-8   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BIRDEAUX Aug18 Jul30 Jul15 Jun24 Jun11 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 122 2.50 14% 6.30    
2  TRICKY MOM Aug26 Aug05 Jun09 May29 May21 (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 125 4.50 20% 3.90    
3  SNOW HILL Aug18 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 May27 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 125 4.00    
4  MISCHIEVIOUSLANIE Aug18 Jul29 Jul16 Jun19 Sep04 (jensen ja)KELLENBERGER KODY 122 1.60    
5  BELLAS KITTY Aug19 Jul19 Jul12 Jun28   (amezcua ruben)CORTEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
6  CLIPPERVILE GIRL Aug19 Aug06 Jul30 Jul16 Jul08 (scudder mik)DEL RICARDO 125 2.00 36% 1.80    
7  WATERFALL Aug26 Aug10 Jun24 Sep02 Aug11 (crystal dustie)ACEVES E 125 6.00    
 
ELK-9   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DR GS SWEETIE Aug26 Aug19 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 (hadley tori)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 4.00    
2  NAP TIME Aug19 May06 Apr16 Mar25 Mar11 (luna ceasar)CORTEZ LUIS 124 10.00    
3  SNICKEL TE Aug26 Jul22 Jul09 Jun18 Oct02 (chris)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 8.00 12% 7.30    
4  COME CORRECT Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jun25 Jun10 (williams dewey)JAMES JARELL 124 6.00    
5  SILK ROAD SALLY Aug26 Aug19 Aug05 Jul29 Jun25 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
ELK-10   09/02/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($5.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCLE FLOYD Aug25 Aug06 Jul29 Jun24 Apr11 (williams dewe)BURNEY ROBERT 124 10.00    
2  WILLY B Aug25 Aug06 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (gibbs tyler)JAMES JARELL 124 6.00 33% 2.00    
3  AGENT GIBBS Aug25 Aug19 Aug06 Jul08 Jun24 (mckin)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.00 35% 1.90    
4  MUSKET POWDER Aug26 Aug06 Jul29 Jul15 Jul02 (scudder mik)DEL RICARDO 124 4.00    
5  MO GEE Aug05 Jul29 Jul15 Jun24 May02 (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.