Handicappers' Race Results

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Elko County Fair
Saturday - August 26, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

ELK-2   Win (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 1 1 1 $4.40 $4.40  
ELK-8   Win (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 2 1 0 $5.60  
ELK-9   Win (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $16.40  
ELK-10   Win (9/5/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 1 1 0 $13.40  

Simulator Race results

 
ELK-2   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
See original race card.
1:072         1:072   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON DAD 1 3 32 31   1 1 (carter ronald )AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.60 33% 2.00 1.20 W
BEBBANBURG 4 1 1½ 1nk   2 2 (mitchell r)JAMES JARELL 117 2.50 31% 2.30 2.10 P
MAKE MY YEAR 2 5 43 43   3 310 (mckinne)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 10.00 8.80  
HART OF THE PULPIT 5 2 2½ 2nk   4 415¾ (dahlke kyle)ZAVALA JULIAN 119 3.50 11.30  
TIZ CURLY JOE 6 4 67 6   516½ 526¼ (tschirgi brian)ACEVES E 122 4.50 3.20  
JENNY B BLAZIN 3 6 55 5   620½ 635 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 119 12.00 7% 13.20 12.30  
 
ELK-8   08/26/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
See original race card.
1:132         1:132   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
COME CORRECT 2 4 512½ 58   45 13 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 125 6.00 1.80  
EARLY APRIL 4 3 411½ 4   33 23 (mckinney kyndra )JAMES JARELL 125 2.50 50% 1.00 1.50 P
CALL SPIKE 5 2 2½ 22   1nk 35 (mitchel)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 125 2.00 26% 2.80 3.80 S
LEAPSTER 1 5 3 3   57 411½ (scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 122 4.00 4.70  
MORE THAN PEGASUS 3 1 1½ 12   2nk 519 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 120 8.00 6.50  
 
ELK-9   08/26/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($3.5K) Purse ($8.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:20
See original race card.
1:071         1:071   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DR GS SWEETIE 2 3 3 2   23 1 (hadley tori)JAMES JARELL 124 3.50 7.20  
SILK ROAD SALLY 1 5 511½ 5   4 2 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 2.50 5.20  
WATERFALL 6 2 2½ 1   13 3 (crystal dustie)ACEVES E 124 6.00 5% 19.00 7.30 S
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 3 1 1½ 3   3 4 (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.80 41% 1.40 2.60  
TRICKY MOM 5 4 4 4   5 5 (gibbs tyler)ALAYA ERIC 124 10.00 3.20  
SNICKEL TE 4 6 615½ 614½   611½ 6 (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 4.00 27% 2.60 1.70  
SCR  CHASE THE MUSIC               (scudder mike)ZAVALA JULIAN 124 1.60    
 
ELK-10   08/26/2023 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:45
See original race card.
1:291         1:291   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCOTTY WHO 1 1 1½ 1½   1nk 1nk (mckinney d)GAMEZ M 124 1.60 5.70  
MUSKET POWDER 4 2 2½ 2½   2nk 2nk (scudder mike)CORTEZ LUIS 124 4.50 13.90  
PRESS BRIEFING 6 3 4 418½   310 3 (gibbs tyler)ALAYA ERIC 124 2.00 11% 7.80 12.80 S
ALPINE HYPNOSIS 8 5 711 621   418 412½ (burns eugene)AGUILAR DANIEL 124 1.80 23% 3.30 1.30  
GOLD NOTE 5 6 6 721½   621½ 519¼ (christo)FIGUEROA ANTONIO 124 2.50 22% 3.50 2.40  
TWIST OF FATE 2 7 3 310½   722 620 (kellett wes)DEL RICARDO 124 10.00 13.40  
CRACK A COLD ONE 7 4 5 520½   521 720½ (martin k)ACEVES E 124 4.00 10.70  
AUSTIN'S ACE 3 8 812 823½   823 821¼ (tsosie terrill)JAMES JARELL 124 6.00 10% 9.10 7.90  
SCR  NAP TIME               (luna ceasar)JUAREZ BRAYAN 119 8.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.