The Thoroughbred Racing
Simulator
Handicappers' Race Results
 

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Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

SWF-5   Win (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 4 1 1 $4.80 $4.80 -1.20
SWF-6   Win (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 3 1 0 $6.40 -6.00
SWF-7   Win (8/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 5 1 0 $29.40 -6.00
SWF-8   Win (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 3 1 1 $11.20 $11.20 3.20

Simulator Race results

 
SWF-5   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
1:141         1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PRINCESS AMANDA 4 1 14 14   14 1(dominguez m)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 18% 4.60 1.40 W
MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 3 4 24 24   24 2(williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00 2.40 P
IMAMONEYMAKER 2 6 6 6   48 312 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.50 7.80  
BIRDEAUX 6 5 46 47   38 412½ (hadley tori)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.10  
TERRYS ENCOUNTER 1 2 5 36   511 523½ (scudder jr)VIRGEN JESUS 126 4.00 17.40  
MORE THAN PEGASUS 5 3 36 57   616 629¼ (mitchell chris)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50 15.40  
 
SWF-6   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRONKSKY 2 1 1 1   15 1(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.50 2.20  
PADDYS FOUR ROSES 3 5 56 4   25 2(hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00 2.80  
TRIBAL LEADER 5 4 33 3   35 3(christoffersen)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.50 15% 5.70 2.90 S
FANCY GYPSY JU 4 3 44 59   48 410 (goodrich colby)VIRGEN JESUS 121 6.00 11% 8.00 1.90  
LOW KEY NATION 1 2 2 2   523 532¾ (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 40% 1.50 10.70  
SCR  DIABLOS MOON               (graber jessica)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 6.00    
SCR  ILLUSIONED               (ibanez albe)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00    
SCR  MONGOLIAN SHOP               (lusk travis)PADILLA ANSELMO 124 10.00    
SCR  PRAIRIE SONG               (graber jessica)CARILLO DANIEL 121 10.00    
SCR  SCHEELITE               (hansen l)RAMOS MANUEL 121 8.00    
 
SWF-7   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STREET N SOUR 4 1 2nk 23   1nk 1(simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 13.70  
FLY FIRST CLASS 1 3 4 44   2nk 2(greene paul)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00 12.30  
ROCKETRINGO 2 2 1nk 13   43(ness john)GAMEZ M 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
CHARLIE MO 7 7 6 5   54(dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 3.50 51% 1.00 2.50  
LOVENSEEK 5 4 31 34   3.2 5(bunn shawn)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00 3.90  
ROUGH PASSAGE 6 6 5 6   667 (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50 27% 2.70 2.30  
GOLD STAR STUDENT 3 5 7 732½   7100 7100 (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 4.20  
SCR  GABO'S MACONDO               (klatt melissa)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT DRAMA               (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
SCR  WILLY B               (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 8.00    
 
SWF-8   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT FAST Allowance Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
1:152         1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLIGHT SPEED 3 1 5 2nk   2½ 1¼ (garfias jorge)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 23% 3.40 4.60 W
RED GARNET 6 3 11 1nk   1½ 2¼ (dominguez cal)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 3.50 19% 4.20 5.40 P
MOON HOLLOW 1 7 4 3.2   33(nielsen rodney )JUAREZ BRAYAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
VINCE'S CORNER 7 4 7 7   54(mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 1.70  
INDIAS BIG RED 5 2 21 4¾   45(martin fran)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00 12.30  
CHAYS CURLIN CANDY 4 5 6 6   767 (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 123 4.00 31% 2.30 7.00  
IN THE FAST LANE 2 6 34 5   63 7(simpson lynn)LUSK TYSON 121 5.00 14.60  
SCR  SHES A KILLA QUEEN               (robles ricard)PADILLA ANSELMO 121 10.00    
SCR  WE WANT ANOTHER               (tsosie terr)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry shall win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group of contenders are printed in bold. TBRSimulator estimates that there is a very high probability that one of these entries shall win the race.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. If there are less than five (5) entries in the first group, non-Win contenders are added to the second group in the order of their strengths to round up the total entries in the two groups to five. TBRSimulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected return-on-investment. Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted, in the order that they are listed, to replace scratched entries in the first group. Note that there could be five or more entries in the first group, in which case there would be no second group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.