Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Sweetwater Downs
Saturday - September 30, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SWF-5   EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  4-3 $7.10 $1.10 18%
SWF-8   WIN (4/3/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00  3 $11.20 $3.20 40%
    EXA (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  3-ALL $82.40 $70.40 587%
    TRI (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00  3-6-ALL $197.00 $185.00 1542%
    SFT (4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1)-(4/3/6/1) 24 $0.10 $2.40  3-6-1-ALL $28.72 $26.32 1097%
Simulator Race results
 
SWF-5   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($7.9K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
1:141         1:141   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
4  PRINCESS AMANDA 4 1 14 14   14 14½ (dominguez joseph)LUSK TYSON 126 3.50 18% 4.60 1.40 W
3  MISCHIEVOUS EMMA 3 4 24 24   24 24½ (williams dew)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 3.00 25% 3.00 2.40 P
2  IMAMONEYMAKER 2 6 68¼ 67¼   48 312 (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.50 7.80  
6  BIRDEAUX 6 5 46 47   38 412½ (hadley to)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 2.50 37% 1.70 2.10  
1  TERRYS ENCOUNTER 1 2 56¼ 36   511 523½ (scudder j)VIRGEN JESUS 126 4.00 17.40  
5  MORE THAN PEGASUS 5 3 36 57   616 629¼ (mitchell chr)CARILLO DANIEL 126 4.50 15.40  
 
SWF-6   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($6.9K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:05
See original race card.
1:083         1:083   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  GRONKSKY 2 1 11½ 11½   15 14½ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 4.50 2.20  
  (by VRONSKY out of TIZ ZOE CEE by TIZBUD)
5  PADDYS FOUR ROSES 3 5 56 47½   25 24½ (hall dru)LUSK TYSON 126 4.00 2.80  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of GOT ROSES by NIGHT CEREMONY)
7  TRIBAL LEADER 5 4 33 36½   35 35½ (christoffers)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 3.50 15% 5.70 2.90 S
  (by INDIAN BRUT out of TRIBAL HEADDRESS by SLEW'S TIZNOW)
6  FANCY GYPSY JU 4 3 44 59   48 410 (goodrich colby)VIRGEN JESUS 121 6.00 11% 8.00 1.90  
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of GYPSY JU JU by LUCKY PULPIT)
2  LOW KEY NATION 1 2 21½ 21½   523 532¾ (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 40% 1.50 10.70  
  (by TROJAN NATION out of SAMANTHA MARIE by HOOPER)
SCR  DIABLOS MOON               (graber jessic)JIMENEZ DAVID 126 6.00    
  (by POINT DEFIANCE out of SPECTACULAR VOW by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  ILLUSIONED               (ibanez al)BOBROFF JACQUELYN 126 10.00    
  (by MASTERY out of ISMENE by TRIBAL RULE)
SCR  MONGOLIAN SHOP               (lusk travis)PADILLA ANSELMO 124 10.00    
  (by BODEMEISTER out of WINDOW SHOPPER by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  PRAIRIE SONG               (graber jessi)CARILLO DANIEL 121 10.00    
  (by ONEBADSHARK out of DANIELLES WARFISH by SPINELESSJELLYFISH)
SCR  SCHEELITE               (hansen l)RAMOS MANUEL 121 8.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of FLOWERSINTHEALLEY by FLOWER ALLEY)
 
SWF-7   09/30/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($2.5K) Purse ($7.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:30
See original race card.
1:08         1:08   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  STREET N SOUR 4 1 2nk 23   1nk 11¾ (simpson lynn)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 8.00 13.70  
2  FLY FIRST CLASS 1 3 41¼ 44   2nk 21¾ (greene paul)VIRGEN JESUS 126 10.00 12.30  
3  ROCKETRINGO 2 2 1nk 13   41¼ 32¼ (ness john)GAMEZ M 126 6.00 5% 19.00 6.80 S
8  CHARLIE MO 7 7 62¼ 55½   51¼ 44¼ (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 126 3.50 51% 1.00 2.50  
6  LOVENSEEK 5 4 31 34   3.2 54¾ (bunn shawn)CARILLO DANIEL 126 5.00 3.90  
7  ROUGH PASSAGE 6 6 52¼ 67½   63¼ 67 (lusk travis)LUSK TYSON 126 4.50 27% 2.70 2.30  
4  GOLD STAR STUDENT 3 5 72¾ 732½   7100 7100 (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 5.00 4.20  
SCR  GABO'S MACONDO               (klatt melis)PADILLA ANSELMO 126 4.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT DRAMA               (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 126 8.00    
SCR  WILLY B               (gibbs tyler)LARSEN S 126 8.00    
 
SWF-8   09/30/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($8.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:55
See original race card.
1:152         1:152   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  FLIGHT SPEED 3 1 55½ 2nk   2½ 1¼ (garfias jorg)AGUILAR DANIEL 126 4.50 23% 3.40 4.60 W
6  RED GARNET 6 3 11 1nk   1½ 2¼ (dominguez c)DOMINGUEZ URIEL 124 3.50 19% 4.20 5.40 P
1  MOON HOLLOW 1 7 45½ 3.2   31½ 33¼ (nielsen rodne)JUAREZ BRAYAN 126 8.00 5% 19.00 2.50 S
8  VINCE'S CORNER 7 4 76¼ 76¾   52½ 43¾ (mitchell r)GAMEZ M 124 6.00 1.70  
5  INDIAS BIG RED 5 2 21 4¾   42½ 56½ (martin fr)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 8.00 12.30  
4  CHAYS CURLIN CANDY 4 5 65¾ 64¾   73½ 67 (giles chad)CARILLO DANIEL 123 4.00 31% 2.30 7.00  
2  IN THE FAST LANE 2 6 34 51¾   63 77½ (simpson lynn)LUSK TYSON 121 5.00 14.60  
SCR  SHES A KILLA QUEEN               (robles rica)PADILLA ANSELMO 121 10.00    
SCR  WE WANT ANOTHER               (tsosie te)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 6.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.